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New Zealand Politics Daily is a collation of the most prominent issues being discussed in New Zealand. It is edited by Dr Bryce Edwards of The Democracy Project.

Today’s content

1NEWS KANTAR POLL
Jessica Mutch McKay (1News): Poll: ‘If the Greens can’t get it together, the left will be in opposition’
Felix Desmarais (1News): Poll: National, ACT have numbers to govern, Luxon lags in preferred PM
Felix Desmarais (1News): ‘Disastrous’: Greens on possible National-ACT coalition
Claire Trevett (Herald): Whether the poll was a thumbs down for Budget or Chris Luxon’s Te Pāti Māori move, Chris Hipkins’ honeymoon is in the rear-view mirror (paywalled)
Richard Harman (Politik): Too close to call (paywalled)
Martyn Bradbury (Daily Blog): TVNZ Poll: ACT/National Government as Greens plunge- Winners, Losers and Predictions
Spinoff: A polling snapshot
Adam Pearse (Herald): 1 News Kantar Public poll: National and Act can govern alone
RNZ: Political poll puts National and ACT in driver’s seat
David Farrar: Leaders in Preferred PM ratings

ELECTION, PARLIAMENT
Matthew Hooton (Herald): Te Pāti Māori and the ‘coalition of chaos’ (paywalled)
Anna Whyte (Post): Ministry of Education leads government spending on contractors and consultants (paywalled)
1News: Kerekere will still vote Green, talks about ‘reputation being tarnished’
Jack Tame (1News): Ruling out NZ First could help Luxon become PM
Max Harris (Post): We can’t afford a politics that lacks ambition (paywalled)
Josie Pagani (Stuff): So, you want to win the election?
Glenn McConnell (Stuff): Christopher Luxon worries it’s hard to understand Māori names. What bubble is he in?
Brent Edwards (NBR): The Budget, interest rates, cold showers, business subsidies
Herald: The Māori Roll call continues as the July cut off date draws nearer
1News: PM jokes sausage rolls cause of 5kg weight gain this year

NATIONAL’S AI ATTACK ADS, AI
Justin Hu (1News): Revealed: National’s rejected AI attack ads
Jamie Ensor (Newshub): Privacy Commissioner says groups should be ‘clear and upfront’ about AI content, loop in ‘senior leaders’
Geraden Cann (Stuff): Privacy Commission issues warning to companies and organisations using AI
Hamish Cardwell (RNZ): Artificial intelligence privacy warnings issued for companies, departments

HOUSING
Henry Cooke (Spinoff): Luxon’s housing backtrack will come back to bite the right
Bernard Hickey: Luxon kills the hopes of Townhouse Nation
\Malcolm McCracken: The future of the Medium Density Residential Standards
Ben Gracewood (Spinoff): Another urban planning fail, and Auckland’s outer suburbs get shafted
Glenn McConnell (Stuff): Chris Luxon to ditch housing policy, wants ‘opt out’ option for higher density
Sinead Gill (Press): More than 700 children ‘homeless’ in temporary housing in Christchurch (paywalled)
Herald Editorial: Interest rates aren’t the problem – debt is the problem (paywalled)
David Hargreaves (Interest): Reserve Bank figures show the near-moribund mortgage market is being propped up by first-timers

LOAFERS LODGE FIRE TRAGEDY, BOARDING HOUSE SAFETY
James Shaw (Post): Fatal Loafers Lodge fire symptomatic of our political failings (paywalled)
Soumya Bhamidipati (RNZ): Auckland Council falls short on MBIE-recommended boarding houses checks
1News: Two more Loafers Lodge fire victims named by police
Tom Hunt (Stuff): Fourth Loafers Lodge victim identified as Kenneth Barnard, 67
Stuff: What we know about the four identified Loafers Lodge victims

GOVT’S MONEY-SAVING TIPS, COST OF LIVING
Jamie Ensor (Newshub): Government’s campaign suggesting shorter showers to save money costing $2.8 million
Steven Cowan: Power to the People
No Right Turn: Labour lectures rather than acts
Mike Hosking (Newstalk ZB): Government advice on saving money is condescending
Jamie Ensor (Newshub): Prime Minister Chris Hipkins says energy saving campaign’s ‘tone a bit off’
Brianna Mcilraith (Stuff): Minister Megan Woods admits the tone of Government’s power saving campaign is ‘a bit off’
William Hewett (Newshub): Concerns cost of living crisis could lead to malnutrition and health issues

CLIMATE CHANGE, EXTREME WEATHER
Bernard Hickey (Spinoff): A better plan to pay us all for cutting our carbon use
Dan Brunskill (Interest): The Opportunities Party would give the Climate Change Commission independent powers similar to the Reserve Bank
Tatiana Gibbs (The Press): Companies faking clean green images to be called out in school climate strike (paywalled)
Marc Daalder (Newsroom): The kids are right to be angry
Rob Stock (Stuff): Managed retreat: Day of reckoning for flood-hit homeowners nears
Rob Stock (Post): Tower deepens risk-based pricing in response to crime, inflation, extreme weather and higher reinsurance costs (paywalled)
John Campbell (1News): Wairoa mayor battles for 69yo disabled man to return home
Nick Wilson, Tim Chambers, Marnie Prickett, Adele Broadbent, and John Kerr (Public Health Communications Centre): Water infrastructure failures from Cyclone Gabrielle show low resilience to climate change
Felix Walton (RNZ): ‘Hard lessons we need to learn’ – Stormwater conference faces harsh climate reality
Jamie Morton (Herald): Maps reveal NZ’s hot spots for extreme coastal flooding
Alex Lo (Newsroom): When renewable energy is not ‘green’ enough

FOREIGN AFFAIRS, DEFENCE
Audrey Young (Herald): US v China: We know what side we’re on, says Defence Minister Andrew Little (paywalled)
Jamie Ensor (Newshub): New Zealand, Five Eyes issue alert warning of China state actor engaging in ‘malicious cyber activity
RNZ: NZ warned after Chinese hackers target critical US infrastructure – intelligence agencies
Thomas Manch (Post): Five Eyes countries issue warning about Chinese cyber spying (paywalled)
Sam Sachdeva (Newsroom): NZ blocks Myanmar from Asean study tour
Thomas Manch (Post): Defence Force experimenting with exploding drones due to ‘stark’ vulnerability (paywalled)
Adam Pearse (Herald): Army gets new $100m Bushmaster fleet as resignation requests dip after pay bump

EDUCATION
Jonathan Ayling (Stuff): Academics don’t feel free to air controversial opinions, according to survey
Fox Meyer (Critic): $355 Million for Tertiary Sector Reappropriated
Vita Molyneux (Herald): Why a Bachelor of Arts degree is a priority not a punchline
Gianina Schwanecke (Stuff): Concerns about 20 hours free extension shared by others in early childhood sector
Amelia Wade (Newshub): Many in early childhood sector up in arms over Government’s announcement
Gianina Schwanecke and Tatiana Gibbs (Press): Burnout from ‘over-assessment’ sees more schools ditching NCEA Level 1 (paywalled)
Michael Johnston (NZ Initiative): With NCEA, nothing endures but change

OCR HIKE, BUDGET
Peter Dunne (Newsroom): Budget was testing water on higher spending and taxes
John Campbell (1News): The Reserve Bank Governor said read the MPS, so I did
Heather du Plessis-Allan (Newstalk ZB): Is anyone else wondering if Adrian Orr is covering for Grant Robertson?
Mark Quinlivan (Newshub): Adrian Orr says he doesn’t ‘have anything more to answer’ amid Nicola Willis’ accusations of ‘wildly wrong’ inflation projections
Tom Pullar-Strecker (Stuff): National presses Adrian Orr on Reserve Bank’s benign take on government spending
Jenée Tibshraeny (Herald): OCR hike: Opposition questions RBNZ’s thinking on immigration and govt spending (paywalled)
RNZ: Can the cash rate hold steady, or will house prices push it up?
Russell Palmer (RNZ): Budget 2023: The things you might have missed
Nicola Willis (Herald): How to get New Zealand back on an even keel (paywalled)
RNZ: National’s Nicola Willis confirms policy costings will be released earlier
Kate Hawkesby (Newstalk ZB): Four years on from the Wellbeing Budget, how are our wellbeing stats still so woeful?

LOCAL GOVERNMENT
Tina Law (Press): Council records yet another dismal satisfaction rating as chief executive’s performance scrutinised (paywalled)
Bernard Orsman (Herald): Auckland Mayor Wayne Brown short of votes to sell Auckland Airport shares (paywalled)
Christine Fletcher (Herald): Troubling air pocket in flight to sell Auckland Airport shares (paywalled)
Rachael Kelly (Stuff): Gore’s council to consider petition asking for its chief executive to resign
Alisha Evans (Local Democracy Reporting): Councillor ‘disheartened’ by disagreement over te reo Māori use
Susan Botting (Local Democracy Reporting): Northland’s local body Māori wards working well – ex-Māori Affairs Minister Dover Samuels

CONSERVATION
Thomas Cranmer: Department of Conservation Hit By Funding Crisis
Cushla Norman (1News): Mining giant sets sights on NZ, including conservation land
Matthew Martin (Post): Waikato River at risk from freshwater clam invasion (paywalled)
Kate Nicol-Williams (1News): Country’s largest pōhutukawa infected with deadly myrtle rust

BUSINESS
Kelvin McDonald (Whakaata Māori): Māori tourism gets $8m boost to ‘keep the waka steady’
Mark Quinlivan (Newshub): Kiwibank has ‘nothing to hide’ over profits, chief executive Steve Jurkovich says
Brianna Mcilraith (Stuff): Mercury fined $279,500 by the Commerce Commission over its early termination fees
RNZ: Mercury NZ fined for wrongly charging termination fee
RNZ: Sealord turns to Vietnamese workers to boost factory workforce
Dita De Boni (NBR): Fast fashion needs freezing out by ethical investors (paywalled)
RNZ: Few exporting firms majority-owned or led by women – report
Herald: Skilled labour shortage: Freight, logistics sector needs 18,000 workers for jobs

HEALTH
Nicole Bremner (1News): NZ health reforms causing apprehension among trauma specialists
Kristie Boland (Press): ‘Appallingly depressing’ mental health facilities to be replaced
RNZ: Pay boost for thousands of GP and community nurses
Melissa-Jade Gregan (Newsroom): Wide impact of court’s liquor licensing decision
Kirsty Frame (RNZ): Wellington gets NZ’s first ‘wet house’ to help alcohol-addicted homeless

BASTION POINT 
Katie Doyle (Stuff): Hundreds gather for dawn ceremony to mark 45 years since the Takaparawhau-Bastion Point eviction
Te Rina Kowhai (Newshub): Hundreds commemorate events at Takaparawhau Bastion Point, 45 years after occupation ended
Tumamao Harawira (Whakaata Māori): Ngāti Whātua Ōrākei remember Joe Hawke 45 years after police ended Bastion Point occupation
Spinoff: Takaparawhau: The people’s story of the Bastion Point occupation
Spinoff: Takaparawhau: The people’s story of the Bastion Point occupation, part two

OTHER
Chris Trotter: Our Maori Future
Chris Trotter (Daily Blog): The Persistence Of Racism: Is the Anti-Racist Cause Winning or Losing?
Virginia Fallon (Post): Finally, a love of dogs means the greyhound racing industry is done (paywalled)
Cushla Norman (1News): Alan Hall case: ‘No failure’ by Crown Law to act on evidence sooner
RNZ: Alan Hall: Inquiry clears Crown Law of wrongdoing in miscarriage of justice case
Michael Morrah (Newshub): Former police recruits speak out about alleged sexual assault by in-house doctor
Oliver Lewis (BusinessDesk): Let’s Get Wellington Moving ‘lacks transparency’ (paywalled)
Shanti Mathias (Spinoff): The ‘third world’ isn’t the bogeyman New Zealand seems to think it is
Tim Hunter (NBR): Entain deal a gamble for Government (paywalled)
Natasha Frost (New York Times/Herald): They cuddled a Kiwi. New Zealand said, ‘stop that’ (paywalled)
Joanna Kidman (Newsroom):A bloody difficult historian

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