Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
With the announcement of a polling date imminent, Michelle Grattan speaks with the ABC’s election analyst Antony Green about the national electoral map, with its variations between the states.
The latest round of opinion polls are strong for Labor, but there’s still a long way to got before polling day.
Green says:“I think if the opinion polls are correct, then the swing will be large enough for Labor to win. The question is, will the polls tighten? The polls are showing bigger leads for Labor than last time. But of course we saw in 2019 that the polls seemed to narrow, but they also were just inaccurate.”
Green also canvasses the Senate prospects for the Greens and for Pauline Hanson. Then there’s Nick Xenophon, for years a major crossbench player, who is seeking to make a comeback to the Senate.
Michelle Grattan does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.
– ref. Politics with Michelle Grattan: Election expert Antony Green on the election map – https://theconversation.com/politics-with-michelle-grattan-election-expert-antony-green-on-the-election-map-180676