Across The Tasman: Sydney, Melbourne Housing Is a Bubble Says Nobel Winning Economist

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Report by NewsroomPlus.com

MGSM Release: Sydney and Melbourne property prices have grown at more than 15 per cent per annum over the last three years, outperforming any other Australian markets and creating a bubble, says Nobel Prize winning economist Professor Vernon Smith.

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Speaking at a dinner in Sydney last night hosted by the Macquarie Graduate School of Management (MGSM) Professor Smith discussed the future and current state of global property prices and argued that bubbles aren’t necessarily a bad thing.

“In Sydney and Melbourne, you are talking about regional growth that is significantly faster than other areas. There may be speculation that that is overdone but generally bubbles are a normal function of the economy,” said Professor Smith.

“There is little regulators can do to prevent them as they are largely a reflection of human nature, investing in what they perceive as a growth market,” he said.

“Our research, over many years, has shown that even if investors can see that they are investing in real estate at the peak of the market, they adopt a boom-time mentality,” said Professor Smith.

Professor Vernon Smith is the 2002 Nobel Memorial Prize Winner in Economics. Best known for his work on experimental economics. Professor Smith is in Australia for MGSM. While in Australia, Professor Smith also opened the Vernon L Smith Experimental Economics Laboratory at MGSM’s North Ryde Campus.

“Prof Smith is the founder of experimental economics and a pioneer of research on real estate bubbles,” said Professor Alex Frino, Dean of MGSM.

“His lecture at the dinner provided cutting-edge insight into what is happening in Sydney and Melbourne property markets at the moment. He identified that prices are rising at an increasing rate which almost certainly signals that a bubble has formed,” said Professor Frino.

This is the second event in MGSM’s Nobel Laureate Speaker Series which aims to bring the greatest minds in the world to Australia to discuss critical global business issues.

Dr Vernon Smith

Dr. Smith has joint appointments with the Argyros School of Business & Economics and the Fowler School of Law, and he is part of a team that will create and run the new Economic Science Institute at Chapman. Dr. Smith has authored or coauthored more than 250 articles and books on capital theory, finance, natural resource economics and experimental economics. He serves or has served on the board of editors of the American Economic Review, The Cato Journal, Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organization, the Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Science, Economic Theory, Economic Design, Games and Economic Behaviour, and the Journal of Economic Methodology.

In 1991, the Cambridge University Press published Dr. Smith’s Papers in Experimental Economics, and in 2000, a second collection of more recent papers, Bargaining and Market Behaviour. Cambridge published his Rationality in Economics: Constructivist and Ecological Forms in January 2008.

About MGSM

MGSM is one of the oldest business schools in Australia and has maintained a reputation for providing high quality, flexible postgraduate education over the past 40 years. The schools MBA and management programs are formally accredited by AACSB International and are ranked consistently among the top business schools globally. With world-class campuses in Sydney and Hong Kong, MGSM’s comprehensive MBA Program, and Postgraduate Diploma and Postgraduate Certificate Programs, are designed to fulfil the needs of the experienced management professional, extend and challenge students and provide relevant, higher management and leadership skills. The school is also an acknowledged leader in the delivery of short-term Executive Education Programs and customised degree or non-degree programs for organization.

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Selwyn Manning, BCS (Hons.) MCS (Hons.) is an investigative political journalist with 23 years media experience. He specializes in reportage and analysis of socioeconomics, politics, foreign affairs, and security/intelligence issues.
Selwyn has extensive experience as a commentator and has provided live political analysis to a wide range of television and radio organizations broadcasting in New Zealand, Australia and globally including the BBC (Five Live, London) and BBC (World Service). He is currently a correspondent to Australia’s FiveAA radio, and is a regular live-on-air panelist on Radio New Zealand’s The Panel with broadcaster Jim Mora.

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