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		<title>Pacific climate activists join 180+ groups calling on COP30 hosts Brazil to end fossil fuel dependence</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2025/04/12/pacific-climate-activists-join-180-groups-calling-on-cop30-hosts-brazil-to-end-fossil-fuel-dependence/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Apr 2025 01:19:41 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2025/04/12/pacific-climate-activists-join-180-groups-calling-on-cop30-hosts-brazil-to-end-fossil-fuel-dependence/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[RNZ Pacific Pacific climate activists this week handed a letter from civil society to this year’s United Nations climate conference hosts, Brazil, emphasising their demands for the end of fossil fuels and transition to renewable energy. More than 180 indigenous, youth, and environmental organisations from across the world have signed the letter, coordinated by the ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/" rel="nofollow"><em>RNZ Pacific</em></a></p>
<p>Pacific climate activists this week handed a letter from civil society to this year’s United Nations climate conference hosts, Brazil, emphasising their demands for the end of fossil fuels and transition to renewable energy.</p>
<p>More than 180 indigenous, youth, and environmental organisations from across the world have signed the letter, coordinated by the campaign organisation, <a href="https://350.org/?r=NZ&#038;c=OC" rel="nofollow">350.org</a>.</p>
<p>A declaration of alliance between Indigenous peoples from the Amazon, the Pacific, and Australia ahead of COP30 has also been announced.</p>
<p>The “strongly worded letter” was handed to COP30 President André Corrêa do Lago and Brazil’s Environment and Climate Change Minister Marina Silva who attended the Acampamento Terra Livre (ATL), or Free Land Camp, in Brasília.</p>
<p>“We, climate and social justice organisations from around the world, urgently demand that COP30 renews the global commitment and supports implementation for the just, orderly, and equitable transition away from fossil fuels towards renewable energy,” the letter states.</p>
<p>“This must ensure that solutions progressively meet the needs of Indigenous, Black, marginalised and vulnerable populations and accelerate the expansion of renewables in a way that ensures the world’s wealthiest and most polluting nations pay their fair share, does not harm nature, increase deforestation by burning biomass, while upholding economic, social, and gender justice.”</p>
<p><strong>‘No room for new coal mines’</strong><br />It adds: “The science is unequivocal: there is no room for new coal mines or oil and gas fields if the world is to limit warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius — especially in critical ecosystems like the Amazon, where COP30 will be hosted.</p>
<p>“Tripling renewables by 2030 is essential, but without a managed and rapid phaseout of fossil fuels, it won’t be enough.”</p>
<p>350.org’s Fiji community organiser, George Nacewa, said it was now up to the Brazil COP Presidency if they would act “or lock us into climate catastrophe”.</p>
<p>“This is a critical time for our people — the age of deliberation is long past,” Nacewa said on behalf of the group that call themselves “Pacific Climate Warriors”.</p>
<p>“We need this COP to be the one that spearheads the Just Energy Transition from words to action.”</p>
<p>COP30 will take place in Belém, Brazil, from November 10-21.</p>
<p><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em>.</p>
<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>
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		<title>How Pacific environmental defenders are coping with the covid pandemic</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/12/how-pacific-environmental-defenders-are-coping-with-the-covid-pandemic/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2020 07:17:52 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2020/10/12/how-pacific-environmental-defenders-are-coping-with-the-covid-pandemic/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[SPECIAL REPORT: By Sri Krishnamurthi of Pacific Media Watch In this new covid-19 world, environmental and climate crisis defenders are developing new ways to cope and operate under the pandemic constraints. Groups as diverse as the local branch of the global environmental campaigner Greenpeace Pacific, Pacific Islands Forum Fisheries Agency (FFA), the Green Party in ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>SPECIAL REPORT:</strong> <em>By Sri Krishnamurthi of <a href="http://www.pacmediawatch.aut.ac.nz" rel="nofollow">Pacific Media Watch</a></em></p>
<p>In this new covid-19 world, environmental and climate crisis defenders are developing new ways to cope and operate under the pandemic constraints.</p>
<p>Groups as diverse as the local branch of the global environmental campaigner Greenpeace Pacific, Pacific Islands Forum Fisheries Agency (FFA), the Green Party in French Polynesia and Greenpeace New Zealand have found solutions.</p>
<p>They have followed in the traditions of the Fiji-based <a href="https://world.350.org/pacificwarriors/" rel="nofollow">Pacific Climate Warriors</a> – part of the global 350 movement – who have drawn attention to environment and climate crisis issues with colourful and dramatic protests.</p>
<p>Climate Warriors coined the phrase: “We are not drowning, we are fighting.”</p>
<figure id="attachment_47366" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-47366" class="wp-caption alignright c2"><a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/category/climate/climate-covid-project/" rel="nofollow"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="wp-image-47366 size-medium" src="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Climate-Covid-Project-Logo-400wide-300x250.jpg" alt="Climate &amp; Covid" width="300" height="250" srcset="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Climate-Covid-Project-Logo-400wide-300x250.jpg 300w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/Climate-Covid-Project-Logo-400wide.jpg 400w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px"/></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-47366" class="wp-caption-text"><a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/category/climate/climate-covid-project/" rel="nofollow"><strong>CLIMATE AND COVID-19 PACIFIC PROJECT</strong></a></figcaption></figure>
<p>The Pacific faces mounting climate change issues, environmental degradation, rapidly rising sea-levels, massive king tides with the salty sea affecting arable land, coral acidification, pollution and – just to make matters worse – wildlife poaching as the plundering of the region’s fisheries goes unabated.</p>
<p>“Climate change could produce 8 million refugees in the Pacific Islands alone, along with 75 million in the Asia-Pacific region within the next four decades [has] warned a report by aid agency Oxfam Australia,” wrote the Pacific Media Centre’s director Professor David Robie <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/314238813_Iconic_media_environmental_images_of_Oceania_Challenging_corporate_news_for_solutions" rel="nofollow">in <em>Dreadlocks</em> a decade ago</a> signalling the dire need even then for environmental defenders to pick up the pace.</p>
<p>Greenpeace head of Pacific Auimatagi Joseph Sapati Moeono-Kolio realises that need and is thankful that most parts of Pacific are being largely spared from the covid-19 pandemic that has raged across the world, leaving his organisation free to pursue its green goals.</p>
<p>“Fortunately, many island nations in the Pacific are free of covid-19. As a result, Pacific climate leaders are able to continue our moral and ethical fight for climate justice,” says the Samoan climate change campaigner.</p>
<p>“We are doing so by leading the world in transitioning to renewable energy – in fact Samoa is on track for 100 percent renewables by 2025.</p>
<figure id="attachment_51479" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-51479" class="wp-caption alignnone c3"><img decoding="async" class="size-full wp-image-51479" src="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Auimatagi-Joseph-Sapati-Moeono-Kolio-GPeace-Pacific-680wide.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="421" srcset="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Auimatagi-Joseph-Sapati-Moeono-Kolio-GPeace-Pacific-680wide.jpg 680w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Auimatagi-Joseph-Sapati-Moeono-Kolio-GPeace-Pacific-680wide-300x186.jpg 300w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Auimatagi-Joseph-Sapati-Moeono-Kolio-GPeace-Pacific-680wide-356x220.jpg 356w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Auimatagi-Joseph-Sapati-Moeono-Kolio-GPeace-Pacific-680wide-678x420.jpg 678w" sizes="(max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"/><figcaption id="caption-attachment-51479" class="wp-caption-text">Greenpeace Pacific’s Auimatagi Joseph Sapati Moeono-Kolio … “the transition to<br />renewables, as an important pillar of climate action, has stepped up.” Image: Greenpeace Pacific</figcaption></figure>
<p>“So, while covid-19 has slowed several things down, the transition to renewables, as an important pillar of climate action, has stepped up.”</p>
<p><strong>Climate change on back burner</strong><br />The pandemic has forced leading climate change advocates of the Small Island Developing States (SIDS), such as Fiji Prime Minister Voreqe Bainimarama, who was president of the 2017 <a href="https://cop23.com.fj/about-cop-23/about-cop23/" rel="nofollow">Conference of the Parties COP23</a> to push the issue onto the back burner.</p>
<p>Pacific Island climate frontline states such as Kiribati, Tuvalu, Tokelau and Marshall Islands along with Fiji, Vanuatu, Papua New Guinea (Carteret Islands) and the Federated States of Micronesia require a champion for their cause. However, the pandemic has put paid to that, as Auimatagi points out.</p>
<p>“Because of covid-19 our global advocacy moments to elevate the voices of Pacific leaders demanding climate action are limited,” says Auimatagi.</p>
<figure id="attachment_51474" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-51474" class="wp-caption alignnone c3"><img decoding="async" class="size-full wp-image-51474" src="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Finding-Hope-Samoa-GP-Pacific-680wide.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="363" srcset="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Finding-Hope-Samoa-GP-Pacific-680wide.jpg 680w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Finding-Hope-Samoa-GP-Pacific-680wide-300x160.jpg 300w" sizes="(max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"/><figcaption id="caption-attachment-51474" class="wp-caption-text">Finding Hope : Samoa … a crowd-funded Pacific environmental project. Image: Greenpeace Pacific/PMC screenshot</figcaption></figure>
<p>“We are also working on a documentary called <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BaQjcLSo9g4" rel="nofollow"><em>Finding Hope: Samoa</em></a>, where we will meet with people from all walks of life and share their truth of what is happening in their villages as oceans rise and warm.</p>
<p>“With covid-19 and climate change combined, we are seeing dual impacts such as in Vanuatu during the most recent <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2020/04/22/when-tropical-cyclone-harold-meets-the-novel-coronavirus/" rel="nofollow">cyclone  – Harold in April 2020</a>.</p>
<p>“Communities and families were all social distancing and then the cyclone hit so they needed to decide whether to stay apart at home or take shelter in emergency refuge centres,” he says.</p>
<p>From that occurrence emerges the real and immediate threat of making climate change of secondary importance despite an increase in adverse climate events.</p>
<figure id="attachment_51470" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-51470" class="wp-caption alignright c2"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-51470 size-full" src="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Nick-Young-Greenpeace-300tall.jpg" alt="Nick Young Greenpeace" width="300" height="364" srcset="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Nick-Young-Greenpeace-300tall.jpg 300w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Nick-Young-Greenpeace-300tall-247x300.jpg 247w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px"/><figcaption id="caption-attachment-51470" class="wp-caption-text">Greenpeace NZ’s Nick Young … “there is a threat that while the world is focused on covid-19, that<br />climate action takes a back seat.” Image: Greenpeace</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>Working hard for the Pacific</strong><br />“Pacific communities are among the first to feel the full impacts of climate change, and there is a threat that while the world is focused on covid-19, that climate action takes a back seat,” says Nick Young of Greenpeace New Zealand.</p>
<p>“Greenpeace internationally is working hard to make sure that isn’t the case.</p>
<p>“The covid-19 recovery also offers a unique opportunity in this regard as billions are spent to stimulate economies around the world and Greenpeace in New Zealand and elsewhere in the world is pushing for a Green Covid-19 Recovery that invests in climate resilience.”</p>
<p>Greenpeace initiatives and campaigns as environmental defenders are still continuing, albeit at a slower pace than usual.</p>
<p>“All of the core Greenpeace campaigns around transforming agriculture and energy, protecting the oceans and shifting away from single-use plastics remain active,” Young says.</p>
<p>However, it is more than the pollution that is a concern with the ocean. Auimatagi talks about this.</p>
<p><strong>Ocean poaching problem</strong><br />“Ocean poaching is ongoing, carried out by the Chinese and Japanese flagged vessels. While Samoa has one of the smallest Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs), places like Micronesia and Kiribati are much harder to enforce as they have much larger EEZs.”</p>
<p>As Jacky Bryant, president of the Green Party in French Polynesia points out: “The 5 million km/2 of the EEZ (Exclusive and Economic Zone) are open to all kinds of abuse by foreign ships and is under surveillance by only one ship belonging to the French state.</p>
<p>“From time to time we have a fishing vessel that gets stranded on the reef carrying tonnes of fish, some legal, some illegal.”</p>
<figure id="attachment_51481" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-51481" class="wp-caption alignnone c3"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="size-full wp-image-51481" src="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Jacky-Bryant-Tahiti-Greens-680wide.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="517" srcset="https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Jacky-Bryant-Tahiti-Greens-680wide.jpg 680w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Jacky-Bryant-Tahiti-Greens-680wide-300x228.jpg 300w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Jacky-Bryant-Tahiti-Greens-680wide-80x60.jpg 80w, https://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Jacky-Bryant-Tahiti-Greens-680wide-552x420.jpg 552w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"/><figcaption id="caption-attachment-51481" class="wp-caption-text">Jacky Bryant of Tahiti’s Greens … economic zone “open to all kinds of abuse by foreign ships”. Image: Heiura Les Verts</figcaption></figure>
<p>Last month, the Pacific Islands Forum Fisheries Agency (FFA) continued its coordination and commitment to regional fisheries surveillance operation.</p>
<p>The 17-nation organisation is based in Honiara, Solomon Islands and its members comprise: Australia, Cook Islands, the Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, New Zealand, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tokelau, Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu.</p>
<p>The FFA is charged with protecting Pacific fisheries from poaching among other cooperative activities.</p>
<p>It has recently completed its “Operation Island Chief” (August 24-September 4), conducting surveillance over the EEZs of Cook Islands, Niue, Samoa, Tonga and Tuvalu this year.</p>
<p><strong>Challenging pandemic times</strong><br />FFA’s Director-General Dr Manu Tupou-Roosen says: “During these challenging times with the focus of the world on the pandemic, we welcome the commitment and cooperation demonstrated across the region to deter illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing in our waters.”</p>
<p>That concerns Greenpeace as well. Young says: “Illegal and unregulated fishing is still an issue in many places, and certainly in the Pacific.</p>
<p>“It threatens ocean life as well as the resilience of Pacific communities who rely on the oceans for their food and way of life.”</p>
<p>The FFA Regional Fisheries Surveillance Centre (RFSC) team, supported by three officers from the Royal Solomon Islands Police Force (RSIPF), had an increased focus on intelligence gathering and analysis, providing targeted information before and during the operation in order to support surveillance activities by member countries,” the FFA said in a statement.</p>
<p>Aerial surveillance of the nations of the EEZ was provided by New Zealand, Australia, USA and France, assisting the fragile small island developing states in protecting them from poaching or overfishing.</p>
<p>In addition to that the cooperation goes as far as working together to prevent covid-19 from being transmitted in the fisheries operations allowing them to continue contributing Pacific Island economies.</p>
<p>“It is crucial for fisheries to continue operating at this time, providing much-needed income to support the economic recovery as well as to enhance contribution to the food security of our people,” says Dr Manu Tupou-Roosen.</p>
<p><strong>Pollution and climate change still major</strong><br />Greenpeace Pacific’s Auimatagi says that other than poaching, pollution and climate change remain major issues in the Pacific.</p>
<p>“While marine wildlife poaching is, of course, a big issue, the biggest polluter is one of our nearest neighbours. Australia digs up, burns and exports climate destruction to the whole world in the form of coal.</p>
<p>“Climate change is the number one issue on all fronts, including the environment as it is a threat multiplier. The impacts of climate change such as rising sea levels and warming oceans make the impacts of cyclones and ocean wildlife poaching more severe and more difficult to manage.”</p>
<p>Not so in Tahiti as Bryant explains, where covid-19 has taken hold on that part of the Pacific paradise.</p>
<p>Covid-19 cases in French Polynesia (population 280,000) have now reached more than 2700 cases – including <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2020/10/12/french-polynesian-president-tests-covid-19-positive-after-paris-visit/" rel="nofollow">territorial President Edouard Fritch</a> and 10 deaths, and Bryant say this crisis has pushed climate change and environmental issues into a secondary status.</p>
<p>“Attacks to our natural environment such as the exploitation of the biodiversity, our cars’ carbon emissions (Papeete has 120,000 cars but luckily, we are an island with regular easterlies) are of governmental responsibilities,” says Bryant.</p>
<p>“There is no clear scrutiny of the climatic effects on the town planning code for example; no compulsory measures for double glazing; using solar panels is not mandatory and the same for photovoltaic, not even for experimental purposes on<br />an urban area.</p>
<p><strong>No environmental friendly designing</strong><br />“There are no projects towards designing more environmentally friendly interisland means of transport in order to anticipate any energy crisis with petrol, for example. We carry on training our youth for the combustion engine,” he adds.</p>
<p>While Bryant laments the lack of action in Tahiti, the Greenpeace organisation remains committed to making a better, environmentally safer world.</p>
<p>“We have pushed for a green covid-19 recovery that puts people and nature first, and we are calling for the replacement of current industrial agriculture system with regenerative farming methods – where we farm in harmony with nature and don’t use synthetic nitrogen fertiliser,” says Young.</p>
<p>“Regenerative farming involves growing a large diversity of crops, plants and animals. Synthetic inputs like nitrogen fertiliser are replaced with practices that mimic natural systems to access nutrients, water and pest control required for growth.</p>
<p>“Replace unnecessary single-use products like plastic drink bottles with reusable and refillable options, including glass. Plastic bags, and bottles are just the tip of the iceberg,</p>
<p>“All of the core Greenpeace campaigns around transforming agriculture and energy, protecting the oceans and shifting away from single-use plastics remain active,” he says.</p>
<p>The last word on the issue comes from the Samoan who has been a strong activist for a greener world, Auimatagi Moeono-Kolio.</p>
<p>“When it comes to the environment, Pacific Islanders are always vigilant no matter what is happening in the outside world: It’s a question of means and resources and geopolitics, it’s a very complicated web.”</p>
<p><em>This is the <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/category/climate/climate-covid-project/" rel="nofollow">fifth of a series of articles</a> by the Pacific Media Centre’s Pacific Media Watch as part of an environmental project funded by the Internews’ Earth Journalism Network (EJN) Asia-Pacific initiative.</em></p>
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<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>
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		<title>Despite Trump, 2017 should be another top year for global wind</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2017/01/19/despite-trump-2017-should-be-another-top-year-for-global-wind/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Pacific Media Centre]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jan 2017 00:22:25 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://eveningreport.nz/2017/01/19/despite-trump-2017-should-be-another-top-year-for-global-wind/</guid>

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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>				<![CDATA[Article by <a href="http://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a>

<div readability="33"><a href="http://asiapacificreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/DonaldTrump-climate-change-680wide.jpg" data-caption="President-elect Dinald Trump ... "bunch of climate-denying billionaires [named] as his key cabinet nominees". Image: 21stCentTech"> </a>President-elect Dinald Trump &#8230; &#8220;bunch of climate-denying billionaires [named] as his key cabinet nominees&#8221;. Image: 21stCentTech</div>



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<p><strong>ANALYSIS:</strong> <em>By</em> <em><a class="article__meta__author__name no_email_address">Steve Sawyer</a></em></p>




<p>Looking back at 2016, it’s easier to come up with a list of bad things that happened than good: <a href="http://www.rechargenews.com/wind/1206725/en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brexit" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Brexit</a>, Trump and the rise of post-truth politics; the Syrian disaster, and the subsequent European bungling of the influx of refugees; and China and Russia flexing their military muscles on the borders of Europe and in the South China Sea.</p>




<p>Closer to home in the United States for wind we have the Brazilian political and economic disaster leading to zero auctions for new capacity; continued increase in the outrageous curtailment in China; and <a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-37845606" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">corruption at the highest level in South Africa</a> trying to kill the renewables industry just as it starts to bloom. The list could be much longer.</p>




<p>But there is plenty to be positive about as well: record low onshore prices in Morocco (less than $0.03/kWh); 12 months ago in Argentina we had nothing — now there’s a solid 1.4GW pipeline, which will be added to in 2017; despite the politics, the US industry is arguably healthier than it’s ever been, with record capacity under construction; the Australian market has come back to life; and amid the general European malaise, offshore prices have cratered in the past six months. Offshore wind’s prospects are now brighter than ever, not least because prices make it likely that the industry will expand outside of Europe in earnest in the coming years.</p>




<p>So what’s in store for 2017?</p>




<p>First of all, the US: the only thing I can say at this point is that I don’t know what they’re going to do, and I don’t believe that they do either.</p>




<p>Donald Trump has now appointed a bunch of climate-denying billionaires as his key cabinet nominees — the confirmation hearings will be interesting; and in his “conciliatory” <em>New York Times</em> interview, he spewed such a load of nonsense about wind power it’s hard to know where to start.</p>




<p>On the bright side, energy secretary nominee <a href="http://www.rechargenews.com/wind/1206725/en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rick_Perry" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Rick Perry</a> is the former governor of Texas, and in that role at least was a big wind supporter. More than 80 percent of US wind installations are in Republican congressional districts, and key Senate figures have vowed to oppose any moves to undo the production tax credit deal done last December.</p>




<p>Whether that resolve will hold in the face of the coming whirlwind remains to be seen. Given the level of construction activity at present we would expect 2017 to be a good year for the US market.</p>




<p>Both the International Energy Agency’s <a href="http://www.rechargenews.com/wind/1206725/www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2016/october/medium-term-renewable-energy-market-report-2016.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Medium-Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2016</a> and the <a href="http://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2016/november/world-energy-outlook-2016.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">World Energy Outlook</a> <a href="http://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2016/november/world-energy-outlook-2016.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">2016</a> are quite bullish on the outlook for wind power in the medium to longer term — to the point where the IEA’s 450 scenario is beginning to look a lot like our Global Wind Energy Outlook’s moderate scenario.</p>




<p>The wind industry and the IEA’s outlook have moved a lot closer over the past several years, and I’m happy to say that most of the movement has been on their side.</p>




<p>That said, it is still curious that for the short to medium term, the IEA’s scenarios always posit that the year that has just finished will be the largest market ever for wind power, and 2016 and 2017 are no exception, with predictions of double-digit drops from 2015 market levels for both years.</p>




<p>In the world’s largest market for wind, the downward revision in China’s feed-in tariffs at the beginning of 2018 means there will be another rush of installations in 2017 to beat the deadline. The move to shut down coal plants and even cancel some plants under construction will not solve the curtailment problem in China, although it may help a bit; and the ongoing  “airmageddon” in Beijing and elsewhere only boosts the call for clean energy as the country wrestles with its killer air pollution.</p>




<p>The cancellation of Brazil’s auction in December was the latest signal that its wind industry is another potential victim of the political and economic crisis that has occupied the country for the past year. As a result of the stringent local-content requirement attached to the only realistically available Real-denominated financing (from the BNDES national development bank), many OEMs have invested in factories in Brazil. But now that demand has dried up (temporarily, I believe), those investments are at risk.</p>




<p>Looking south to the burgeoning market in Argentina, the Brazilian industry is hoist on its own petard, because its local-content requirements make Brazilian-made turbines uncompetitive. It’s going to be a couple of very hard years in Brazil. Even though the build-out from the previous auctions will keep the installation numbers up for 2017 and a bit beyond, without new orders the supply chain will start to fall apart.</p>




<p>The refusal of South Africa’s state-owned utility Eskom to sign power-purchase agreements for the fourth round of the <a href="http://www.rechargenews.com/solar/1182866/south-african-pv-sector-slams-delays-as-manufacturers-close-shop" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">REIPPPP</a> tenders for more than 18 months now is just another facet of the moral and political bankruptcy of the Zuma government. The publication (four years late) of the updated <a href="http://www.energy.gov.za/files/irp_frame.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Integrated Resource Plan</a> shows clearly that the cheapest and cleanest way forward for South Africa is based on wind, solar and a little gas, with no need for nuclear until 2037, if ever. However, shortly after its publication, Eskom defiantly put out a tender for a new nuclear plant. There are many other narratives at play in this unfolding drama, but it will probably get sorted out during the course of 2017 and the market will flourish again.</p>




<p>Elsewhere, we see strong markets developing across South America, especially in Argentina, Chile and Peru. Mexico continues with its own energy revolution, and the Canadian government’s rediscovered commitment (pipelines and tar sands notwithstanding) to the climate issue bodes well for that market.</p>




<p>If India is able to recover from the government’s spectacularly disastrous attempt to flush the “black” money out of the system — the so-called demonetisation exercise — then we should see a strong market in 2017, following on from significant market growth in 2016.</p>




<p>There are also stirrings in Vietnam, Indonesia, Iran, Colombia, Senegal, and elsewhere across Africa, Asia and Latin America, which should be enough to occasionally distract us from the political messes in Europe and the US.</p>




<p>But we will inevitably be preoccupied with Trump. After signing on to a letter to President Barack Obama in late 2009 saying, “We support your effort to ensure meaningful measure to control climate change… if we fail to act now, it is scientifically irrefutable that there will be catastrophic and irreversible consequences for humanity and our planet”, Trump spent most of the campaign talking about <a href="http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/jun/03/hillary-clinton/yes-donald-trump-did-call-climate-change-chinese-h/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">climate change as a Chinese hoax</a>. Go figure.</p>




<p>The response of most of the rest of the countries at last year’s climate summit in <a href="http://www.rechargenews.com/wind/1192921/unity-is-strength-as-climate-action-train-rolls-on-in-morocco" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Marrakech</a> was that they were moving ahead regardless of the US. The Chinese delegation emerged as the somewhat reluctant global leaders of the climate effort, and reminded Trump that the establishment of the <a href="http://www.rechargenews.com/wind/1206725/www.ipcc.ch" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">IPCC</a> and the beginning of multilateral efforts on the climate issue were instigated by US president Ronald Reagan and UK prime minister Margaret Thatcher.</p>




<p>Post-truth politics, indeed.</p>




<p><em>Steve Sawyer is secretary-general of the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC).<br /></em></p>




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