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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; UAE, Israel, and The Hexagon Alliance</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/11/keith-rankin-analysis-uae-israel-and-the-hexagon-alliance/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2026 03:28:02 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin, 10 March 2026. There is a widespread perception in Aotearoa New Zealand that the &#8216;Gulf States&#8217; are similar, and closely aligned to each other. The States most familiar to New Zealanders are United Arab Emirates (&#8216;Dubai&#8217; to the many New Zealanders who do not appreciate that Dubai is just one of ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Keith Rankin, 10 March 2026.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 230px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-medium" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg" alt="" width="230" height="300" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg 230w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-783x1024.jpg 783w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-768x1004.jpg 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1175x1536.jpg 1175w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-696x910.jpg 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1068x1396.jpg 1068w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-321x420.jpg 321w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg 1426w" sizes="(max-width: 230px) 100vw, 230px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>There is a widespread perception in Aotearoa New Zealand that the &#8216;Gulf States&#8217; are similar, and closely aligned to each other.</strong> The States most familiar to New Zealanders are United Arab Emirates (&#8216;Dubai&#8217; to the many New Zealanders who do not appreciate that Dubai is just one of six Emirates) and Qatar.</p>
<p>Further we&#8217;ve long-forgotten the dispute which, not-so-long-ago, led to Qatar being isolated by the Saudi Arabia, UAE, and other Sunni Arab countries (noting Egypt in particular). This started with the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar%E2%80%93Saudi_Arabia_diplomatic_conflict" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar%25E2%2580%2593Saudi_Arabia_diplomatic_conflict&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0s78CCvZajYVSBNVVhce2Q">Qatar–Saudi Arabia diplomatic conflict</a>, which in 2017 escalated into the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar_diplomatic_crisis" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar_diplomatic_crisis&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2dl-SaiSczK7lS_MlRfgvS">Qatar diplomatic crisis</a>. This conflict related to allegations of inappropriate financial connections between Qatar and Hamas. While apparent <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar_diplomatic_crisis#Resolution" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar_diplomatic_crisis%23Resolution&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1AFykMC1k_HFV10q-5_Z4h">resolution</a> took place in 2021, there is now a new division; a division even more opaque to casual western observers, and noting that western observations of other parts of the world are rarely anything other than casual.</p>
<p>In October 2021, the popular government of Sudan (the result of a popular revolution in 2019) was overthrown by the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_Armed_Forces" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_Armed_Forces&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw32BX1QYxw7bLNCQY5ULio4">Sudanese Armed Forces</a>. On the eve of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Sudanese_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Sudanese_coup_d%2527%25C3%25A9tat&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2O48bm2X2VSYc0BSyC8XOM">coup</a>, &#8216;Protestors held signs stating, &#8220;the Emirates will not govern us, nor the implementation of Sisi&#8221;.&#8217; For Sisi, read Egypt.</p>
<p>Essentially the anti-Qatar nations were developing their interests in the military and economic exploitation of Sudan. Then, in April 2023, the two parties to the 2021 coup – the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_Support_Forces" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_Support_Forces&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2IIm8J9j-z0ENswuYfJQE5">Rapid Support Forces</a> – split in spectacular fashion, creating the present <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_civil_war_(2023%E2%80%93present)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_civil_war_(2023%25E2%2580%2593present)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1MVsJSukOa2kK8_6kZgfdw">Sudanese Civil War</a>. The UAE backed the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), while Egypt and Saudi Arabia backed the SAF. This is a hideous civil war (see my <a href="https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2505/S00043/war-in-sudan.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2505/S00043/war-in-sudan.htm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1spe4dsBm524WMvlqiQwx8">War in Sudan</a>), with most of the reported atrocities allegedly being committed by the RSF.</p>
<p>This present division of civil-war-sponsorship is <b><i>compounded by the diverging relationships of these three Arab states – Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE – with Israel</i></b>. The Trump-sponsored 2020 <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abraham_Accords" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abraham_Accords&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3d41g3qDTdMVvlKIW_WP_l">Abraham Accords</a> brought Saudi Arabia and UAE (and Bahrain) into line with Egypt as an ally-of-sorts with Israel. According to this Wikipedia account:</p>
<p>&#8220;On August 14, 2021, the Associated Press reported that <b><i>a secret oil deal between Israel and the Emirates, struck in 2020 as part of the Abraham Accords</i></b>, had turned the Israeli resort town of Eilat into a waypoint for Emirati oil headed for Western markets. It was expected to endanger the Red Sea reefs, which host some of the greatest coral diversity on the planet. As Jordan, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia also share the gulf&#8217;s waters, an ecological disaster was likely to impact their ecosystems.&#8221;</p>
<p><b><i>Since then, relations between UAE (and Bahrain) and Israel became particularly close</i></b>. Relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia (and Egypt), on the other hand have soured since the outbreak of the present Sudan war. At the same time, as revealed by Sudan, relations between UAE and these two large Red Sea nations have substantially deteriorated.</p>
<p>That is the backdrop to Iran&#8217;s greater hostility, at present, towards the UAE than towards Qatar. Western reports of the present conflict tend to equate Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait as &#8216;peas in a pod&#8217;. The reality is that UAE is a substantial – albeit understated – ally of Israel. (There has been suspicion that UAE has provided substantial secret support for Israel in its recent wars, especially Israel&#8217;s genocidal war against Hamas in Gaza. Iran will be well aware of the extent of this UAE-Israel alliance.)</p>
<p><b><i>UAE is now in an antagonist relationship with Egypt and Saudi Arabia</i></b>. (Indeed, it&#8217;s now UAE rather than Qatar which is the isolate on the Arabian Peninsula.) In Sudan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia back the SAF. The RSF, on the other hand, is funded and supplied through an opaque deal with UAE; which means that Israel – through its UAE proxy – may in fact be the most important backer of the RSF. And we should note that Israel is, formally, the most important global proxy of the United States; though it may now be that the United States has become Israel&#8217;s most important proxy.</p>
<p>(For security reasons, and as a protest against the UAE&#8217;s geopolitical cynicism, I decided that I would never again fly to London via the Emirates. Tip for Air New Zealand: put on more flights to Vancouver, and publicise the route to London via Canada.)</p>
<p><b>Qatar, Hamas, and Israel</b></p>
<p>The matter of Qatar&#8217;s financial connections with Hamas are distinctly murky. I quote here from the ABC (Australian) <b><i>60 Minutes</i></b> documentary <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-11/the-forever-war/103574742" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-11/the-forever-war/103574742&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1EmEjyGPl4VjKtzlv1SH0H">Gaza, the Forever War</a> (11 March 2024). The programme features interviews with former senior Israeli political and military personnel.</p>
<p>Excerpt from <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-11/the-forever-war/103574742" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-11/the-forever-war/103574742&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1EmEjyGPl4VjKtzlv1SH0H">transcript</a>:</p>
<p>JOHN LYONS, REPORTER: It now appears that Netanyahu wanted to sow seeds of division between the hardliners who ruled Gaza and the more conciliatory Palestinian Authority, running the West Bank.</p>
<p>AMI AYALON, FMR HEAD OF <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shin_Bet" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shin_Bet&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1BG13y3Jf1GsMtWIVcQLpT">SHIN BET</a>: We did something very, very simple. We did everything in order to make sure that Hamas will go on controlling Gaza and Palestinian Authority will control the West Bank so they will fight each other.</p>
<p>JOHN LYONS, REPORTER: Netanyahu allowed Qatar to give massive amounts of cash to Hamas in Gaza.</p>
<p>AMI AYALON, FMR HEAD OF SHIN BET: So what we did with the permission of our prime Minister is to let Qatar to transfer a huge amount of money in cash, probably more than $1.4 billion, and to make sure that they will be able to send people to work in Israel and to achieve or to get intelligence if they need. By doing it, we increase the power of Hamas.</p>
<p>EHUD BARAK, FMR PRIME MINISTER OF ISRAEL: That served Netanyahu who wanted to avoid any discussion of two state solution.</p>
<p>JOHN LYONS, REPORTER: So, are you saying Benjamin Netanyahu deliberately boosted Hamas to try to prevent a Palestinian state?</p>
<p>EHUD BARAK, FMR PRIME MINISTER OF ISRAEL: Yeah, sure. He deliberately and systematically even told on record, whoever wants to avoid the threat of a two-state solution has to support my policy of paying protection money to the Hamas.</p>
<p>JOHN LYONS, REPORTER: Netanyahu maintains the Qatar money was to avoid a humanitarian catastrophe. Having helped build up Hamas, Netanyahu has vowed to destroy it.</p>
<p>YEHUDA SHAUL, FMR ISRAELI ARMY COMMANDER: He fed the beast and it exploded in our face.</p>
<p><b>The Hexagon Alliance</b></p>
<p>From <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/22/netanyahu-says-israel-will-forge-regional-alliance-to-rival-radical-axis" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/22/netanyahu-says-israel-will-forge-regional-alliance-to-rival-radical-axis&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1k_4u-K4_n7L_YRl5pRq1e">Netanyahu says Israel will forge regional alliance to rival &#8216;radical axes&#8217;</a> (<i>Al Jazeera</i>, 22 Feb 2026) we have: &#8216;Netanyahu, who is wanted by the International Criminal Court on war crimes charges, also referred to Greece, Cyprus and other unnamed Arab, African and Asian countries. &#8220;In the vision I see before me, we will create an entire system, essentially a <i>hexagon</i> of alliances around or within the Middle East,&#8221; Netanyahu said, according to the <i>Times of Israel</i>. &#8220;The intention here is to create an axis of nations that see eye to eye on the reality, challenges, and goals against the radical axes, both the radical Shia axis, which we have struck very hard, and the emerging radical Sunni axis&#8221;.&#8217;</p>
<p>In <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/will-ethiopia-be-part-of-israels-hexagon-alliance-rivalling-its-enemies" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/will-ethiopia-be-part-of-israels-hexagon-alliance-rivalling-its-enemies&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1aex1KftqL1fsHRneidhmx">Will Ethiopia be part of Israel&#8217;s &#8216;hexagon&#8217; alliance rivalling its enemies?</a> (<i>Al Jazeera</i>, 25 Feb 2026): &#8220;In December, Israel recognised Somaliland&#8217;s statehood, becoming the first country to do so. Months before, there were unconfirmed talks about plans to move displaced Palestinians to Somaliland or to South Sudan, another key Israeli ally in the region. Analysts speculate that countries like South Sudan and the United Arab Emirates, another close friend of Israel, may also recognise Somaliland.&#8221;</p>
<p>So the hexagon would appear to be Greece, Cyprus, India, UAE, Somaliland, and Ethiopia. Ethiopia has a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Religion_in_Ethiopia" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Religion_in_Ethiopia&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3zoPNHSIGl0Ym4UB8eKwq2">Judeo-Christian heritage</a>, in sharp contract to most of its regional neighbours. (See my reference to <i>Judeo-Christian techno-supremacism</i> in <a href="https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2603/S00005/the-greater-evil.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2603/S00005/the-greater-evil.htm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw21x73bNNVv3Ap7iSQ1WSZk">The Greater Evil</a>, <i>Scoop</i>, 2 March 2026.)</p>
<p>Re the &#8220;emerging radical Sunni axis&#8221;, this article from India – <a href="https://chakranewz.com/insights/the-hexagon-alliance" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://chakranewz.com/insights/the-hexagon-alliance&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0ARUsWTIdQc5kyBgFyUAjf">The Hexagon Alliance</a>, by Ayaan Ahmad and Arjun Dev Singh, 26 Feb 2026 – suggests &#8220;Sunni-majority states such as Türkiye, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, alongside Jordan and Iraq&#8221;. You would have to add Egypt to that.</p>
<p>In this context, we should note that Israeli politicians have already been talking up Türkiye as the next &#8220;threat&#8221;. See <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/23/turkish-threat-talked-up-israel-netanyahu-focuses-new-alliances" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/23/turkish-threat-talked-up-israel-netanyahu-focuses-new-alliances&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0zZ8TnmoPsyQmDggF7h5y_">Turkish &#8216;threat&#8217; talked up in Israel as Netanyahu focuses on new alliances</a>, <i>Al Jazeera</i>, 23 Feb 2026. And, noting a joint expression of Islamophobia, <a href="https://www.trtworld.com/article/b3859ed76f89" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.trtworld.com/article/b3859ed76f89&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2fqW_6XlzWnfj1P0frVco1">Modi in Israel: ‘Hexagon&#8217; alliance and the ideological convergence of Hindutva and Zionism</a>, <i>TRT World</i>, 2 Mar 2026.</p>
<p>And from <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2025/9/21/is-turkiye-israel-next-target-middle-east" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2025/9/21/is-turkiye-israel-next-target-middle-east&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw146YO4jtgUV9KOwcg7vL0D">Is Türkiye Israel’s next target in the Middle East?</a> (<i>Al Jazeera</i>, 21 Sep 2025): &#8220;In Washington, Michael Rubin, a senior fellow at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute, suggested that Türkiye could be Israel’s next target and warned that it should not rely on its NATO membership for protection.&#8221;</p>
<p>This reflects the significance of Greece and Cyprus within the hexagon. It also points to the United Kingdom, indirectly. Part of the island of Cyprus is British sovereign territory; ie not at all a &#8216;foreign airbase&#8217;. And another part of the island of Cyprus has been a Turkish realm state, albeit unrecognised by the international community (as Somaliland – formally British Somaliland – is also unrecognised).</p>
<p>We may note that the tension between UAE and Saudi Arabia is revealed in Google Maps. Despite there being a long border between the two countries, there is only one road crossing, to the far west of Abu Dhabi. Indeed, Doha in Qatar is closer to that border crossing than is either Dubai or the city of Abu Dhabi. 95% of UAE&#8217;s population lives in that country&#8217;s northeast corner. Along most of the border, there are parallel roads, but no crossing points. In Saudi Arabia that road is Highway 95. In UAE, its road is labelled &#8216;Boarder [sic] Patrol Road CIVILIAN VEHICLE PROHIBITED&#8217;.</p>
<p><b>The Yemen and Somaliland affairs</b></p>
<p>As noted by <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/will-ethiopia-be-part-of-israels-hexagon-alliance-rivalling-its-enemies" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/will-ethiopia-be-part-of-israels-hexagon-alliance-rivalling-its-enemies&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1aex1KftqL1fsHRneidhmx">Al Jazeera</a>: &#8216;Saudi Arabia is embroiled in an ongoing rift with the United Arab Emirates over how to deal with the conflict in Yemen.&#8217;</p>
<p>Yemen is one of those many places that are geopolitically important, but completely off New Zealand&#8217;s media radar. Historically Yemen was host to an important Jewish population (<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yemenite_Jews" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yemenite_Jews&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1E0gKotELKB0TwEeseE4YN">Yemenite Jews</a>). Southern Yemen – especially Aden – was, for a century, a critical cog in the British Empire. Post-colonially, Southern Yemen became a &#8216;radical&#8217; country in the world order, whereas Northern Yemen was a religiously conservative society, the Shia <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaydism" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaydism&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0Fx-9q2OBbIg-jgFbTAwTj">Zaydi Imamate</a> until 1962 and then the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yemen_Arab_Republic" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yemen_Arab_Republic&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw09Z5SFnwsoNWvB6CDZj2Rd">Yemen Arab Republic</a>.</p>
<p>In more recent years, that conservative north has become a Shia &#8216;Iranian proxy&#8217;, the &#8216;Houthis&#8217;. And the internationally recognised government of Yemen – operative in the south – has become, in that same sense, a Saudi Arabian proxy regime.</p>
<p>On 2 December 2025, the failed <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025%E2%80%932026_Southern_Yemen_campaign" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025%25E2%2580%25932026_Southern_Yemen_campaign&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3IibcnukMhQy76fCfRLW9H">2025–2026 Southern Yemen campaign</a> began, essentially an attempt by the UAE-backed <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_Transitional_Council" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_Transitional_Council&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0tzwcB0DdKwV66SHRTPUNU">Southern Transitional Council</a> (STC) to overthrow the Saudi-backed government. It was in the midst of this Israeli-backed campaign that Israel became the first country to recognise Somaliland – close to the geographical Horn of Africa&#8217;, and juxtaposed to Aden – as a sovereign state.</p>
<p>This has to be understood in the context of Israel&#8217;s Hexagon Alliance; indeed, an attempt to impose UAE/Israeli control over the geopolitically sensitive southern coastline of the Arabian peninsula. From <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/1/16/why-israels-recognition-of-somaliland-backfired" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/1/16/why-israels-recognition-of-somaliland-backfired&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3TNDiUy32Rb-VUQyruV1sL">Why Israel&#8217;s recognition of Somaliland backfired</a>, (16 Jun 2026) by Abdi Aynte, former minister of planning and international cooperation of Somalia: &#8220;By empowering breakaway regions, Israel, with the backing of key regional partners, especially the United Arab Emirates, has sought to reshape the regional order.&#8221;</p>
<p>Aynte: &#8220;What some experts describe as an &#8216;Axis of Secession&#8217; is already visible in Libya, Yemen, Sudan, Somalia and Syria. Led by Israel and supported by a network of regional partners, this axis targets countries whose central governments, hollowed out by conflict, exercise only partial control over their territory. The logic is simple: weaken central authority, bolster breakaway regions, and cultivate dependent entities willing to align with Israel and sign onto the Abraham Accords.&#8221; Aynte calls these nations &#8220;emerging client polities&#8221; of Israel, though resistance remains strong in Somalia, Yemen and Sudan.</p>
<p>Beyond these smaller fractured nation states, there are several large nation states in the region which Israel is trying to fracture. While these attempts in Iran are all too visible, a literal smokescreen, quietly Israel is adding Ethiopia – a country with 100,000 people – to its client list. We note that Ethiopia is hosting RSF training camps, further undermining Sudan&#8217;s sovereignty. See Reuters: <a href="https://www.reuters.com/investigations/ethiopia-builds-secret-camp-train-sudan-rsf-fighters-sources-say-2026-02-10/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.reuters.com/investigations/ethiopia-builds-secret-camp-train-sudan-rsf-fighters-sources-say-2026-02-10/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1WFZWzb3g8jvuJqGGpX-ZX">Ethiopia builds secret camp to train Sudan RSF fighters, sources say</a>, 10 Feb 2026.</p>
<p>This is not regional geopolitics which New Zealand can naively pretend-away. Aynte adds: &#8220;Somaliland&#8217;s decision to cultivate ties with Taiwan inevitably drew Beijing&#8217;s attention&#8221;. &#8220;The result [of Israel&#8217;s meddling through client third parties] is an increasingly crowded and volatile theatre, where global power rivalries intersect with unresolved local aspirations.&#8221; &#8220;Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, once close partners, are now increasingly at odds, while Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Egypt have begun coordinating to counter what they view as a destabilising &#8216;Axis of Secession&#8217;.&#8221;</p>
<p>And we note &#8220;widespread claims that Israel is exploring resettlement of Palestinian refugees from Gaza in Somaliland&#8221;. (An echo of Britain&#8217;s <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Uganda_Programme" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Uganda_Programme&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw25v9Z66tDyHssjEbqiL7nV">former plan</a> to settle European Jews in Uganda!)</p>
<p>If we look at a map of the so-called &#8216;Middle East&#8217; (nobody refers to Near East or Far East anymore!) and paint the hexagon countries in &#8216;Star-of-David&#8217; blue – including Israel itself and its occupied territories, and including the RSF-controlled parts of Sudan – the obvious missing links are Egypt, Türkiye, and Iran. Hence the present war in Iran, and the concerns already noted re Türkiye. But what about Egypt?</p>
<p><b>Egypt, Iran and the Bible</b></p>
<p>Even today, Israel&#8217;s reference point is the Old Testament of The Bible. Note Al Jazeera&#8217;s Inside Story episode of 2 March 2026, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/2/what-dangers-does-the-iran-war-pose-for-israel" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/2/what-dangers-does-the-iran-war-pose-for-israel&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3u1JwNovGUFNnypRZHPhDm">What dangers does the Iran war pose for Israel?</a>, featuring Mitchell Barak, &#8220;former speech writer for Israeli PM Ariel Sharon&#8221;, noting that Sharon was nicknamed <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butcher_of_Beirut" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butcher_of_Beirut&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0SZIPX12G9lpZZQKQt0cdQ">Butcher of Beirut</a> on account of his responsibility for the 1982 <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabra_and_Shatila_massacre" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabra_and_Shatila_massacre&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1sQq9DVI3P9ZxreR7xM33P">Sabra and Shatila massacre</a>.</p>
<p>Interviewer: &#8220;Mitchell, I&#8217;m going to start things off with you. Please give us a broad brushstroke of how you see things unfolding.&#8221;</p>
<p>Barak: &#8220;First of all, I&#8217;d like to wish a Ramadan Kareem to all of the people watching who are celebrating and commemorating this holiday. It is also a fast day in Israel, the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fast_of_Esther" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fast_of_Esther&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2HKCQTTiVKMaD8EC7QI65h">Fast of Esther</a>, which commemorates ironically and interestingly enough the victory of the Jewish people over an evil Persian empire 2,500 years ago.&#8221;</p>
<p>He is referring to the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Purim" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Purim&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3tzW2_3Pqlln2dy2drfTKr">Purim</a> holiday. Note, in these Wikipedia references, the references to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amalek" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amalek&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2WI9VGfvb4H39owS8Pqh9e">Amalek</a>, the word that Benjamin Netanyahu invoked to justify the subsequent genocide of Gaza. Refer <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/religionandethicsreport/what-s-the-biblical-story-of-amalek-evoked-by-netanyahu/103380802" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/religionandethicsreport/what-s-the-biblical-story-of-amalek-evoked-by-netanyahu/103380802&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0Mjb8Xh7_aqn40mmETp7NI">The Biblical story of Amalek evoked by Netanyahu</a>, <i>ABC</i>24 Jan 2024.</p>
<p>Barak did not go on to answer the &#8220;broad brushstroke&#8221; question.</p>
<p>Two polities which feature strongly in that biblical narrative are Egypt and (in the guise of Babylon) Persia aka Iran. To fully understand Israel&#8217;s agenda today, we really need to see that regime and its cultural acolytes as playing a long game; a very long game. Israel is trying to reverse the wrongs that it believed it suffered, around 2½ to 3 thousand years ago, at the hands of those two ancient civilisations. (The irony is that Israel denied that there was any historical context – not even a day&#8217;s historical context – to the &#8216;blue-sky&#8217; shock events of 7 October 2023.)</p>
<p>Seen in this context, it is credible that the principal target of the Hexagon Alliance is Egypt, not Türkiye.</p>
<p>And, re the current role of the United Arab Emirates in that fraught region, Australia should not provide military support to Israel&#8217;s secret ally and proxy. (See <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-10/australia-to-provide-military-support-to-gulf-states/106435248" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-10/australia-to-provide-military-support-to-gulf-states/106435248&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2g0fTmGk7leouqvqSHGLjB">Australia to provide military support to Gulf states attacked by Iran</a>, ABC 10 March 2026.)</p>
<p align="center">*******</p>
<p>Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Academic’s warning over PNG settlement evictions – doomed to failure?</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/10/academics-warning-over-png-settlement-evictions-doomed-to-failure/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Mar 2026 06:15:40 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[By Johnny Blades, RNZ Pacific journalist A Papua New Guinean anthropologist has warned that a campaign by authorities to remove communities from informal settlements in Port Moresby will not solve growing social problems in PNG’s capital. The government is determined to end the role of settlements as what Prime Minister James Marape describes as “breeding ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>By <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/authors/johnny-blades" rel="nofollow">Johnny Blades</a>, <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/" rel="nofollow">RNZ Pacific</a> journalist</em></p>
<p>A Papua New Guinean anthropologist has warned that a campaign by authorities to remove communities from informal settlements in Port Moresby will not solve growing social problems in PNG’s capital.</p>
<p>The government is determined to end the role of settlements as what Prime Minister James Marape describes as “breeding grounds for terror” as part of its law and order reforms, but recent evictions have run into problems.</p>
<p>Almost half of Port Moresby’s estimated population of around 500,000 live in settlements, often without legal title or access to basic services. Some of the settlements have become notorious as crime hotspots.</p>
<p>However, in late January, police moved into the settlement at 2-Mile, sparking clashes with residents that resulted in two deaths and numerous injuries.</p>
<p>Police then moved to evict another settlement at 4-Mile, but this met with a legal challenge which led to the National Court placing a stay order on the eviction.</p>
<p>While the campaign is essentially paused, Marape has said his government would soon announce a permanent plan to replace unplanned settlements with properly titled residential allotments.</p>
<p>He also apologised to residents affected by the evictions, in recognition that many law-abiding and hard working families have made settlements their home over the years.</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col" readability="8">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Dr Fiona Hukula . . . settlements are long-established communities, stretching back decades. Image: Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat/RNZ</figcaption></figure>
<p class="photo-captioned__information"><strong>Urban drift<br /></strong> Previous attempts at evicting settlement communities did not exactly lay a template for the success of what authorities are trying to do in 2026.</p>
</div>
<p>In numerous cases, homes were destroyed or razed to the ground, people were left homeless and then simply moved to other areas of vacant land or ended up living with wantoks in other parts of Morebsy.</p>
<p>A PNG anthropologist who has done extensive work on settlements, Dr Fiona Hukula, noted that settlements are long-established communities, stretching back decades.</p>
<p>“Essentially, people came to work in the towns and the cities, like in Port Moresby, and so where there was low cost housing, or where people weren’t able to afford housing, they started living in settlements, and some of the settlements on the outskirts, there’s stories that they made some kind of connection and deals with the local landowners.”</p>
<p>Dr Hukula said over the decades, migration to the towns and cities had grown significantly, but the available housing had not kept pace.</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-half photo-right four_col">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Water services at a Port Moresby settlement. Image: RNZ</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>“People are just now coming into the city, really, to access better services, health and education. Some Papua New Guineans are coming to the city to escape various forms of conflict and violence.</p>
<p>“And this is now where we’ve seen just an influx of people coming into the city, and obviously there’s nowhere to live, and they live in settlements, and many of Moresby settlements are populated by families who have been there for several generations.”</p>
<p><strong>‘Difficult thing I have to do’<br /></strong> Many of Moresby’s settlements are now populated by families who have been there for several generations. Removing people from these communities is a complex challenge.</p>
<p>“An eviction is not going to solve the problem, because people will just go and find somewhere else to stay (in Moresby), especially if they’re generational families who have lived in these settlements, who don’t necessarily have the ties back to their rural villages and their connections to their people in their village,” Dr Hukula said.</p>
<p>Adding to the complexities of the eviction drive are social connections forged in the National Capital District (NCD) over the years.</p>
<p>The head of the NCD Police Command Metropolitan Superintendent Warrick Simitab admitted that for him personally, leading the eviction exercises such as at 2-Mile had not been easy.</p>
<p>“It’s been difficult, because I grew up here. I grew up in NCD. For example in 2-Mile. Most of my classmates that I went to school together with, they live there. So for me personally, it’s a difficult thing that I have to do,” he told RNZ Pacific.</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Papua New Guinea police .. . ran into problems at both 2-Mile and 4-Mile settlements. Image: RNZ/Johnny Blades</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>Simitab would not be drawn on when the evictions would start up again, saying things were paused while political leaders decide next steps.</p>
<p><strong>Criminal hotspot<br /></strong> The local MP for Moresby South Justin Tkatchenko said the 2-Mile settlement had become a notorious criminal hotspot, and that the people of the city had had enough of it.</p>
<p>“Hold ups nearly every night and every day, women have been raped, attacked, citizens have been held up, cars stolen, injured, abused for nearly 20 years,” he said.</p>
<p>Things came to a head when police were shot at and those living in 2-Mile refused an ultimatum given by police to hand over the criminals, he explained.</p>
<p>Tkatchenko said the government was steadily working on resettling settlers with proper, legal allocations of land to live on.</p>
<p>“We have already allocated land and sub-divided that land for over 400 families in the 2-Mile Hill area and other areas. Some have already been resettled and moved, and others will follow suit,” the MP said.</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Rainbow settlement in Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea, where West Papuan refugees have stayed for years. Photo: RNZI / Johnny Blades</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>Dr Hukula acknowledged that crime linked to some settlements was an issue that the general population keenly wanted addressed.</p>
<p>But she said persisting with displacing communities from other settlements would not address the underlying cause of the problem.</p>
<p><strong>‘Ticking time bomb’</strong><br />“It is a ticking time bomb. It’s going to be like this, where there’s evictions and then people move. And the thing is that the cycle of violence continues, and that’s what we’re trying to address here, the crime.”</p>
<p>The anthropologist stressed that “not everybody in settlements are criminals”, saying the people who lived in settlements were often working people, “people who are doing the menial jobs in the offices, the office cleaners, the people who are drivers, all of these kinds of people also live in settlements.</p>
<p>“And so when they’re being kicked out, there are people who can’t go to work, children who can’t go to school”.</p>
<p>Dr Hukula has researched and written about how settlement communities have developed informal systems of settling disputes or addressing law and order problems such as through local <em>komiti</em> groups or village courts.</p>
<p>These provided a way in which the communities could maintain order and general respect between their people. But “because the settlements have just exploded now it’s not like necessarily everybody comes from the same area or the same province” she said, making it harder to maintain a social balance.</p>
<p>In Dr Hukula’s view, “the village courts and the community leaders still play an extremely important role in being that bridge” between the authorities and the settlement community, and should be supported to play that role.</p>
<p>She said one of the other main things the government could do to help the situation was “to make sure that there’s affordable housing for all levels, all kinds of Papua New Guineans”.</p>
<p><span class="credit"><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em>.</span></p>
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<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>
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		<title>The smallest coffins are always the heaviest. The US-Israeli killing of children must be stopped</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/08/the-smallest-coffins-are-always-the-heaviest-the-us-israeli-killing-of-children-must-be-stopped/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 09:15:06 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/08/the-smallest-coffins-are-always-the-heaviest-the-us-israeli-killing-of-children-must-be-stopped/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY:  By Eugene Doyle Three more schools and a major hospital have been bombed in Iran and more in Lebanon by the US-Israeli military, all within the first week of launching their latest war. This is a pattern, not “collateral damage”. Iran’s Ambassador to the United Nations Amir-Saeid Iravani said on March 7 that the ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY: </strong> <em>By Eugene Doyle</em></p>
<p>Three more schools and a major hospital have been bombed in Iran and more in Lebanon by the US-Israeli military, all within the first week of launching their latest war.</p>
<p>This is a pattern, not “collateral damage”. Iran’s Ambassador to the United Nations Amir-Saeid Iravani said on March 7 that the US and Israel “recognise no red line in committing their crimes” against his country.</p>
<p>Densely populated parts of Tehran are being pounded by wave after wave of US and Israeli bombs.  Shahid Hamedani School in Tehran was struck on March 6, the day of the funerals of schoolgirls (6-12 year-olds) killed in Minab, Iran.</p>
<p>UN officials have confirmed that <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/6/elementary-school-in-tehran-hit-irans-foreign-ministry-says" rel="nofollow"><u>the Minab attack killed 160 children and five staff</u></a>.</p>
<p>The Palestinians, despite the genocide inflicted on them by Israel and the West, have never become used to the daily killing of children: “The smallest coffins are always the heaviest,” Palestinians say.</p>
<p>Israel has killed many times more women, children and babies than they have Palestinian resistance fighters. There is even a name for this depravity — <a href="https://imeu.org/resources/resources/explainer-the-dahiya-doctrine-israels-use-of-disproportionate-force/175" rel="nofollow"><u>the Dahiya Doctrine</u></a>.</p>
<p>Israel’s Dahiya Doctrine and the law of proportionality<br />International media are reporting that Dahiya, a southern suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, is suffering another brutal aerial <a href="https://abcnews.com/International/live-updates/israel-gaza-lebanon-live-updates-netanyahu-trump-eye?id=115724154&#038;entryId=115805632" rel="nofollow">bombardment from the Israelis</a>.</p>
<p>Dahiya — al-Dahiya al-Janubiya — is home to 700,000 civilians living in high-density housing. The suburb lends its name to Israel’s policy of using massive, disproportionate force against civilians and infrastructure to weaken an enemy’s resolve.</p>
<p>It is, of course, a war crime to do so.</p>
<p>In the 2006 Lebanon War, Israel attacked Dahiya, a popular stronghold of the Hezbollah movement. The massive bombing campaign wasn’t to achieve a military objective; the target was civilians and civilian infrastructure.</p>
<p>Hundreds of children were among the dead.</p>
<p>I have a fabric reproduction of Pablo Picasso’s <em>Guernica</em> on my office wall. It has been coloured red, green black and white – the colours of the Palestinian flag — to draw the important parallel.</p>
<p>The governments of New Zealand, Australia, the UK, Canada and all the others, with rare noble exceptions like Spain, support this depraved criminality. We share values with the Israelis and the Americans, our leaders tell us.</p>
<p><strong>The Principle of Proportionality is critical to protect children<br /></strong> The Americans and Israelis have a bloodlust and openly brag about their destructive abilities. Operation Epic Fury screams to the world: “war crimes”.</p>
<p>What should constrain US-Israeli violence is international law and the principle that there are limits to what is acceptable in “incidental” harm caused to civilians.</p>
<p>Proportionality is one of the foundational concepts in international law, along with other important injunctions like the prohibition of force against sovereign states. Under the Geneva Convention, before undertaking military action states are obligated to consider: <em>Distinction</em> (separating civilians from combatants), <em>Proportionality</em>, <em>Precaution</em> (taking care to minimise civilian harm), <em>Military Necessity</em> (i.e. don’t launch wars of aggression), and <em>Humanity</em> — prohibiting unnecessary suffering.</p>
<p>This is the exact opposite of the Dahiya Doctrine and the American Way of War — from Korea to Iraq by way of Vietnam. <a href="https://costsofwar.watson.brown.edu/" rel="nofollow"><u>Over six million civilians were killed by the US</u></a> in just those three conflicts alone.</p>
<p><strong>Article 51 of the Geneva Convention<br /></strong> The principle of proportionality is codified in Article 51 of the Geneva Conventions, and affirmed as binding customary international law applicable to all parties in all conflicts.  This is further affirmed by the International Committee of the Red Cross’s Rule 14 which states:</p>
<p><em>“Launching an attack which may be expected to cause incidental loss of civilian life, injury to civilians, damage to civilian objects, or a combination thereof, which would be excessive in relation to the concrete and direct military advantage anticipated, is prohibited.”</em></p>
<p>The West has torn up its copies of international law but we need to keep its spirit alive. New Zealand, Australia and most of the “civilised world” are signatories to various treaties that require them to enforce humanitarian law upon belligerents. Instead, our countries work day and night to support Israel and the US in their evil work. Evil is the appropriate word here.</p>
<p>I will give the last word to the Israeli commander who led the 2006 terror bombing of Dahiya, General Gadi Eisenkot, chief of Northern Command:</p>
<p><em>“What happened in the Dahiya quarter of Beirut in 2006 will happen in every village from which Israel is fired on. We will apply disproportionate force on it (villages) and cause great damage and destruction there. From our standpoint, these are not civilian villages, they are military bases. This is a plan. And it has been approved.”</em></p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/" rel="nofollow">Eugene Doyle</a> is a community organiser based in Wellington, publisher of Solidarity and a contributor to Asia Pacific Report. His first demonstration was at the age of 12 against the Vietnam war. This article was first published by Solidarity.</em></p>
<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>
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		<title>War in Iran – journalism in crisis as reporters work amid bombs, says RSF</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/06/war-in-iran-journalism-in-crisis-as-reporters-work-amid-bombs-says-rsf/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2026 05:15:06 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/06/war-in-iran-journalism-in-crisis-as-reporters-work-amid-bombs-says-rsf/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Pacific Media Watch Journalists in Iran have been working amid hostile air strikes for almost a week since the start of the US-Israeli offensive while also facing repression from the Iranian regime. Internet access in the country remains limited and information is scarce. As war spreads across the region, Reporters Without Borders (RSF) has expressed ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/category/pacific-media-watch/" rel="nofollow"><em>Pacific Media Watch</em></a></p>
<p>Journalists in Iran have been working amid hostile air strikes for almost a week since the start of the US-Israeli offensive while also facing repression from the Iranian regime.</p>
<p>Internet access in the country remains limited and information is scarce.</p>
<p>As war spreads across the region, <a href="https://rsf.org/en/" rel="nofollow">Reporters Without Borders (RSF)</a> has expressed its solidarity with journalists in the zone and has called on all parties involved in the conflict to guarantee their protection and the right to information.</p>
<p>“As the region goes up in flames, access to reliable information about the war following the attacks carried out by the United States and Israel, is more essential than ever — both regionally and internationally,” said Jonathan Dagher, head of RSF’s Middle East Desk, in a statement.<br /><em><br /></em> “Every single stakeholder involved in this war in Iran and the Middle East more widely is required, under international law, to guarantee the safety of reporters and their freedom to carry out their work.”</p>
<p>Although the situation was volatile and characterised by violence, respect for the right to information was still an obligation,” he said.</p>
<p>“The safety of journalists is non-negotiable. War must under no circumstances hinder the work of the press.</p>
<p><strong>‘Release journalists’ call</strong><br />“US and Israeli strikes against Iran must not endanger the media professionals covering those events. The Iranian regime must immediately release the journalists it is holding and cease all pressures against those covering the war.”</p>
<div readability="18.118609406953">
<p>The <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/1/us-israel-attacks-on-iran-death-toll-and-injuries-live-tracker" rel="nofollow">death toll in Iran from the US-Israeli attacks</a> has risen to 1,230, Iran’s semiofficial Tasnim news agency has reported.</p>
<p>The deadliest single incident occurred in the city of Minab in southeastern Iran, where a strike on an elementary girls school killed “about 180 young children”.</p>
<p>In Israel, at least 11 have been killed and hundreds injured but details and the narrative are strictly controlled by state authorities.</p>
<p>Specific details on journalist casualties are not yet known.</p>
</div>
<div readability="76.654219566841">
<p dir="ltr">“The Iranian regime’s relentless crackdown on media professionals is being compounded by the reality of living and working under air strikes, said RSF.</p>
<p>The US-Israeli offensive was launched on Saturday, February 28, killed several Iranian commanders and the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.</p>
<p><strong>‘Menacing phone calls’</strong><br />“Journalists are working under foreign bombs and receiving menacing phone calls from the authorities,” an independent journalist told RSF.</p>
<p>Afraid of reprisals, he requested anonymity.</p>
<p>“This political pressure hasn’t stopped with the war. On the contrary, it has intensified since the announcement of Khamenei’s death.”</p>
<p dir="ltr">The journalist is one of many reporters who have had to evacuate Tehran, the Iranian capital. However the city he fled to was also hit by heavy strikes.</p>
<p>“The attacks were very intense,” the journalist said. “The terrifying sounds of explosions and fighter jets continued until around 2 am, then they restarted at about 8 am, when we were woken up by the sound of another explosion.”</p>
<p dir="ltr">In addition to airstrikes and intimidating calls, journalists in Iran are also being <a href="https://rsf.org/en/crackdown-iran-surge-arrests-journalists-covering-protests" rel="nofollow"><u>threatened with arrest</u></a>.</p>
<p>On several occasions, the Iranian state television channel announced that any activity deemed to be “advantageous to the enemy” would be severely punished.</p>
<p>“No independent journalist is allowed to work,” said a second journalist based in Tehran. “Even those [reporters] who went to explosion-affected areas, with government permission, were sometimes briefly detained, and had all their photos deleted.”</p>
<p><strong>A shortage of information<br /></strong> These threats come amid a near-total <a href="https://rsf.org/en/media-blackout-iran-least-one-media-outlet-suspended-silence-country-s-other-independent-newsrooms" rel="nofollow"><u>media blackout</u></a> in place since the protests that swept across the country in December 2025.</p>
<p>Although some journalists have occasional internet connection depending on their location and mobile operator, broadly speaking internet access remains restricted.</p>
<p>This censorship is also targeted: “Journalists and media outlets that echo the government’s narrative generally have access to unfiltered internet and SIM cards. However, independent journalists are subject to severe restrictions,” the reporter who left Tehran told RSF.</p>
<p>As a result, there is a shortage of information and reports are “vague and imprecise,” according to the Tehran-based journalist.</p>
<p>Her colleague agrees: “You only have to read the newspapers to see the repression.</p>
<p>“For example, although journalists at one Iranian daily have no affection for Khamenei, the outlet published nothing but praise about him.”</p>
<p><em>Pacific Media Watch collaborates with Reporters Without Borders.</em></p>
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		<title>‘I know she’d be really proud’ – NZ’s first Pasifika heritage All Blacks coach</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/06/i-know-shed-be-really-proud-nzs-first-pasifika-heritage-all-blacks-coach/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Mar 2026 12:15:05 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[By Koroi Hawkins, RNZ Pacific editor The All Blacks have their first coach of Pasifika heritage. Dave Rennie has been given the job, replacing the ousted Scott Robertson. Rennie’s Cook Islands heritage comes via his mother, who hails from Titikaveka on Rarotonga, and Rennie even played a non-test match for the country in 1990. Asked ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>By <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/authors/koroi-hawkins" rel="nofollow">Koroi Hawkins</a>, <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/" rel="nofollow">RNZ Pacific</a> editor</em></p>
<p>The All Blacks have their first coach of Pasifika heritage.</p>
<p>Dave Rennie <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/sport/588599/dave-rennie-named-as-new-all-blacks-coach" rel="nofollow">has been given the job</a>, replacing the ousted Scott Robertson.</p>
<p>Rennie’s <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/sport/588617/all-blacks-reveal-new-head-coach-who-is-dave-rennie" rel="nofollow">Cook Islands heritage comes via his mother</a>, who hails from Titikaveka on Rarotonga, and Rennie even played a non-test match for the country in 1990.</p>
<p>Asked about his heritage in his first press conference as All Blacks head coach, he paid tribute to his mother’s legacy.</p>
<p>“She was hardworking, inspirational and . . . she had a massive impact on me and my brothers and sisters. I know she’d be really proud,” Rennie said.</p>
<p>“I’m honoured to represent the Cook Islands.”</p>
<p>Congratulations have come in from near and far, with Cook Islands Prime Minister Mark Brown, calling Rennie’s appointment a powerful moment for young Cook Islanders.</p>
<p>“As a son of Takitumu he carries our Cook Islands heritage with him,” Brown wrote on social media.</p>
<p><strong>‘Powerful moment’</strong><br />“As patron of the Cook Islands Rugby Union, I know how powerful this moment is for our young players. When they see one of our own standing at the helm of the All Blacks they see what is possible.”</p>
<p>Wellington Samoa Rugby Union president Leiataualesa Ken Ah Kuoi said it was time a Pacific person was recognised at the very top level.</p>
<p>Leiataualesa said as a Pacific person in the Aotearoa rugby space he was very proud.</p>
<p>“Of course it will have an impact, a huge impact, to players [and] administrators of rugby,” he said.</p>
<p>“We talk about diversity in rugby in New Zealand and this is a clear message that a Pacific person can do the job.”</p>
<p>Dave Rennie will take up the role in June, with his first assignment in July when the All Blacks host France, Italy and Ireland for three tests in New Zealand.</p>
<p><strong>‘Fair bit of diversity’</strong><br />When asked in Wednesday’s press conference if his connection with Pasifika players was an important part of what he did, Rennie said having a connection with all the players is important.</p>
<p>“We’ve got a fair bit of diversity within the group and I think the ability to celebrate that is important.”</p>
<p>The 62-year-old former Chiefs coach and coach of the Wallabies said he’s “really clear” on how he wants the team to play.</p>
<p>“We have a lot of talent here,” he said.</p>
<p>“Coaching the All Blacks is an incredible honour. I’m extremely proud to have been entrusted with this role and understand the expectations that come with it.”</p>
<p><span class="credit"><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em>.</span></p>
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		<title>Devastating new ‘ecocide’ film to premiere at West Papua solidarity forum weekend</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/05/devastating-new-ecocide-film-to-premiere-at-west-papua-solidarity-forum-weekend/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Mar 2026 03:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report A new documentary film on the devastating “ecocide” happening in West Papua will be screened at a weekend solidarity forum in Auckland Tāmaki Makaurau this weekend. The 90m feature film, Pesta Babi (“The Pig Feast”) — Colonialism In Our Time, produced by award-winning Papuan journalist Victor Mambor and directed by Dandhy Dwi ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Asia Pacific Report</em></p>
<p>A new documentary film on the devastating “ecocide” happening in West Papua will be screened at a weekend solidarity forum in Auckland Tāmaki Makaurau this weekend.</p>
<p>The 90m feature film, <a href="https://youtu.be/lobEnbgUXgs" rel="nofollow"><em>Pesta Babi (“The Pig Feast”) — Colonialism In Our Time</em></a>, produced by award-winning Papuan journalist Victor Mambor and directed by Dandhy Dwi Laksono, tells a story about the impact of the Indonesian government and military on the lives of thousands of Papuans trying to protect their rainforests from destruction.</p>
<p>It also relates the plight of thousands of internal refugees in the Melanesian region.</p>
<p>The peaceful resistance of local communities is revealed in the documentary as they face up to 54,000 Indonesian troops and large corporate entities make big profits at the expense of an ancient culture.</p>
<p>Dorthea Wabiser of the environmental and human rights group Pusaka, will speak on the deforestation and displacement of communities in the south-eastern district of Merauke  where Indonesia is destroying 2.5 million ha of rainforest for palm oil, sugar cane, biodiesel, rice and other crops.</p>
<p>Military force is deployed to silence any dissent from communities.</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="YouTube video player" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/lobEnbgUXgs?si=BuhTPlLqCMZzRltS" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen">[embedded content]</iframe><br /><em>Pesta Babi (The Pig Feast).                              Trailer: Jubi Media</em></p>
<p><strong>Solidarity group hosts</strong><br />The solidarity group West Papua Action Aotearoa with West Papua Action Tāmaki are hosting the two-day public forum on March 7 and 8 with the speakers from West Papua including environmental champions and filmmakers who operate in militarised zones at considerable risk to their personal safety.</p>
<p>Also, a media talanoa featuring Jubi Media founder Victor Mambor and others will be <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2026/03/01/pesta-babi-pig-feast-a-vivid-new-film-exposing-papuas-political-ecology/" rel="nofollow">hosted by the Asia Pacific Media Network</a> (APMN) at the Whānau Community Centre and Hub on March 9.</p>
<p>“The forum is an important event with a number of speakers and filmmakers from West Papua telling the hidden stories of the Indonesian occupation of their country,” said organiser Catherine Delahunty.</p>
<figure id="attachment_124238" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-124238" class="wp-caption alignright"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-124238" class="wp-caption-text">‘Kōrero with Victor Mambor’ . . . media forum open to the public, Monday, March 9. Poster: APMN</figcaption></figure>
<p>The climate impact of their destruction was incredibly serious as was the use of the military to enforce an end to traditional life, food sources, and forests, she said in a statement.</p>
<p>“These people are our Pacific neighbours with a devastating story to tell that our government and others across the world have chosen to ignore,” she said.</p>
<p>“They have a right to come here and to be heard despite the media bans in Indonesia and the desire of successive New Zealand governments to ignore structural genocide in our region.</p>
<p><strong>NZ citizen kidnapped</strong><br />“Only when a NZ citizen was kidnapped by Papuan soldiers did the government show any interest in West Papua, and this quickly faded once he was <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/21/captive-new-zealand-pilot-phillip-mehrtens-freed-in-west-papua-say-indonesia-police" rel="nofollow">safely released thanks especially to West Papuan efforts</a>.”</p>
<p>Other speakers at the forum include veteran activist and writer Maire Leadbeater, Green MP Teanau Tuiono, Hawai’an academic Dr Emalani Case, journalist and author Dr David Robie, Dr Arama Rata of Te Kuaka, and PNG academic Dr Nathan Rew.</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://events.humanitix.com/west-papua-solidarity-forum" rel="nofollow">Forum Day One</a> (public sessons), Saturday, March 7:  Old Choral Hall, University of Auckland, 7 Symonds St,  9am–4pm.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.academycinemas.co.nz/movie/sinma-merdeka-stories-from-west-papua" rel="nofollow">World Premiere of <em>“Pesta Babi”</em></a> <em>(The Pig Feast)</em> documentary with Q&#038;A – The Academy Cinema, Lorne St, CBD (below the Auckland Public Library), March 7, 6-8.30pm.</li>
<li><a href="https://events.humanitix.com/west-papua-solidarity-forum" rel="nofollow">Forum Day Two</a> (solidarity development), Sunday, March 8: The Taro Patch, 9 Dunnotar Rd, Papatoetoe.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.facebook.com/events/935820285540785" rel="nofollow">Media Talanoa</a>, Monday, March 9: “Kōrero with Victor Mambor: West Papua: Journalism as Resistance” – <a href="https://www.facebook.com/whanaucommunitycentre" rel="nofollow">Whānau Community Centre and Hub</a>, 165 Stoddard Rd, Mt Roskill (Next to Harvey Norman), 6-8pm.</li>
<li><em>Further information: Catherine Delahunty, West Papua Action Tāmaki and West Papua Action Aotearoa. Tel: 021 2421967</em></li>
</ul>
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		<title>New Zealand ‘shameful’ over Iran stance, says Peace Movement Aotearoa</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/05/new-zealand-shameful-over-iran-stance-says-peace-movement-aotearoa/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2026 11:15:09 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/05/new-zealand-shameful-over-iran-stance-says-peace-movement-aotearoa/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Peace Movement Aotearoa “One can oppose a hateful regime and, at the same time, oppose an unjustified and dangerous military intervention,” says Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez. “I once again call for immediate de-escalation, respect for international law, and the urgency of resuming dialogue.” While some governments around the world have easily managed to express ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Peace Movement Aotearoa</em></p>
<p>“One can oppose a hateful regime and, at the same time, oppose an unjustified and dangerous military intervention,” <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/3/spain-baulks-at-trumps-threat-to-cut-off-all-trade-over-nato-iran-stance" rel="nofollow">says Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez</a>.</p>
<p>“I once again call for immediate de-escalation, respect for international law, and the urgency of resuming dialogue.”</p>
<p>While some governments around the world have easily managed to express their opposition to the unlawful military attacks by Israel and the US and their opposition to the Iranian regime, shamefully New Zealand has failed to follow their example.</p>
<p>Instead, the government <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2026/03/02/luxon-defends-nzs-position-on-iran-attacks-same-as-australia/" rel="nofollow">has issued a statement</a> that condemns only Iran; “acknowledges” the military strikes were “designed to prevent Iran from continuing to threaten international peace and security”; and calls for “adherence to international law” — apparently blissfully unaware that the attacks comprise multiple breaches of international law.</p>
<p>In an <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2026/03/02/luxon-defends-nzs-position-on-iran-attacks-same-as-australia/" rel="nofollow">interview on RNZ</a>, the PM repeatedly responded to the question “Does New Zealand support these attacks or not?” by reading out “We think Iran is evil, we think it’s been repressing its own people.</p>
<p>“We think it’s been arming proxies and terrorist organisations. We think it has been developing its ballistic and nuclear programmes and years of diplomacy hasn’t actually paid any fruits.”</p>
<p>He also said more than once that New Zealand’s position <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2026/03/02/luxon-defends-nzs-position-on-iran-attacks-same-as-australia/" rel="nofollow">was the same as Australia’s</a> — the <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02-28/australian-government-responds-to-united-states-attack-on-iran/106401108" rel="nofollow">Australian PM has said</a> they “support the United States acting to stop Iran acquiring nuclear weapons”.</p>
<p><strong>Bizarre spectre</strong><br />Which, aside from ignoring the US’s stated desire for forced regime change in Iran, raises the bizarre spectre of two nuclear-armed states attacking another state in case it might develop nuclear weapons — even though Iran is a state party to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (#NPT), which Israel is not, and has opened its nuclear facilities to the #IAEA, which Israel has not. Indeed, the only state in the Middle East that does have stockpiles of nuclear weapons (entirely undeclared and unsupervised) <a href="https://armscontrolcenter.org/countries/israel/" rel="nofollow">is Israel</a>.</p>
<p>New Zealand’s moral failure to condemn these military strikes, but instead to continue describing the Iranian regime as “evil” or “bad actors” as though that somehow makes armed attacks on a sovereign nation to assassinate its leaders to force regime change okay — regardless of civilian casualties — shows how far it has now moved from even the <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2026/03/02/neither-preemptive-nor-legal-us-israeli-strikes-on-iran-have-blown-up-international-law/" rel="nofollow">pretence of applying international law</a> to the actions of its military friends and partners.</p>
<p>And what a missed opportunity to point out the urgent necessity for the elimination of ALL #NuclearWeapons — so much for New Zealand’s alleged commitment to a nuclear weapons-free world, and its promotion of the Treaty for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons #TPNW / #NuclearBan and the NPT.</p>
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		<title>Alternative Jewish Voices: Stop this Iran catastrophe!</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/04/alternative-jewish-voices-stop-this-iran-catastrophe/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2026 04:15:31 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/04/alternative-jewish-voices-stop-this-iran-catastrophe/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Alternative Jewish Voices — Sh’ma Koleinu We, Alternative Jewish Voices, deplore Israel and America’s illegal war of aggression against Iran. We also condemned the repression of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, but that does not justify this war. International war will only bring — is already bringing — more civilian death and destruction. We support the right ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Alternative Jewish Voices — Sh’ma Koleinu</em></p>
<p>We, Alternative Jewish Voices, deplore Israel and America’s illegal war of aggression against Iran. We also condemned the repression of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, but that does not justify this war.</p>
<p>International war will only bring — is already bringing — more civilian death and destruction. We support the right of the Iranian people to determine their own future.</p>
<p>America and Israel again attacked Iran in mid-negotiation, three days after <a href="https://x.com/araghchi/status/2026353049250443733" rel="nofollow">Iran’s Foreign Minister, Sayed Abbas Araghchi tweeted:</a> “Iran will under no circumstances ever develop a nuclear weapon.”</p>
<p>No one has offered the slightest contrary evidence.</p>
<p>This war of aggression <a href="https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox/FMfcgzQfCDRsLPwqTvmjKqKlMVzLXhQb" rel="nofollow">violates international and US domestic law</a>. After the Second World War, the Nuremberg Tribunal called aggression “the supreme international crime”.</p>
<p>We see around us the world they were trying to avert: Israel has waged genocidal war on a trapped community and bombed six countries that were not at war.</p>
<p>This morning, Israel is occupying parts of Lebanon. Russia has invaded and pounded Ukraine for four years. Pakistan is bombing the cities of Afghanistan. US President Donald Trump doesn’t know what to grab next.</p>
<p><strong>Imperial ambitions</strong><br />We regard the attack on Iran as the latest enactment of longstanding imperial ambitions. How many countries has America tried to bomb into submission? How many times did Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu bomb the blockaded population of Gaza before America gave him the green light and the weapons to commit outright genocide?</p>
<p>This week, benefiting from the distraction of Iran, Israel has yet again sealed <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/02/iran-attacks-gaza-under-siege" rel="nofollow">Gaza behind a total blockade</a>. Aid agencies are again counting the days until they again run out of food.</p>
<p>Netanyahu boasts on camera that this war is “what I have <a href="https://x.com/AaronBastani/status/2028268725141479581" rel="nofollow">yearned to do for 40 years</a>”. Beware of men who prefer the risks of war to those of peace. Chaos and civilian misery are their signatures, but we share responsibility for their impunity.</p>
<p>Even after the horror of livestreamed genocide in Gaza, New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon acquiesces to more war and speaks as if Trump and Netanyahu are trustworthy public officials.</p>
<p>Luxon’s appeasement disgraces us. We must not support this unfolding disaster, not materially and not out of the side of the Prime Minister’s mouth. We must say “No” in a bold, principled voice; joining states like Spain and Denmark.</p>
<p>As this fire spreads, we must also peer through the headlines and focus on the people of Iran, Gaza, Afghanistan and Lebanon. Civilians need protection, intervention and an end to the games of these warmongers.</p>
<p>We urge our morally vacuous government to stand with the civilians, the law and our future.</p>
<p><em><a href="https://ajv.org.nz/" rel="nofollow">Alternative Jewish Voices – Sh’ma Koleinu</a> is a collective of anti-Zionist Jews from the Far North to Dunedin. It has a liberatory Aotearoa Jewish identity, whether religious or secular or cultural. It is part of a movement for collective liberation, in Aotearoa and in Palestine.</em></p>
<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>
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		<title>‘A global energy crisis’ – Fuel price hike looms for Pacific amid Iran war</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/04/a-global-energy-crisis-fuel-price-hike-looms-for-pacific-amid-iran-war/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Mar 2026 02:15:05 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/04/a-global-energy-crisis-fuel-price-hike-looms-for-pacific-amid-iran-war/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[By Kaya Selby, RNZ Pacific journalist Analysts are warning fuel prices are expected to jump in the Pacific following the Israeli and US attacks on Iran, and the retaliatory response by Iran. Iran borders the Strait of Hormuz, which carries 20 percent of the world’s oil and gas supply, and shipments have been suspended following ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>By <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/authors/kaya-selby" rel="nofollow">Kaya Selby</a>, <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/" rel="nofollow">RNZ Pacific</a> journalist</em></p>
<p>Analysts are warning fuel prices are expected to jump in the Pacific following the Israeli and US attacks on Iran, and the retaliatory response by Iran.</p>
<p>Iran borders the Strait of Hormuz, which carries 20 percent of the world’s oil and gas supply, and shipments have been suspended following the attacks.</p>
<p>Crude oil prices could climb as high as US$100 per barrel, leading to widespread concerns the Middle East war could precipitate into “a global energy crisis”.</p>
<p>Pacific Island fuel prices are generally high and volatile due to import dependency and shipping distance.</p>
<p>Saul Kanovic, an energy sector analyst at MST Financial in Sydney, told RNZ Pacific the “threat is severe”.</p>
<p>“If the situation doesn’t de-escalate and the passage through [the Strait of Hormuz] remains significantly disrupted, we’re looking at a global energy crisis that we haven’t seen since the 1970s,” Kanovic said.</p>
<p>“This could be bigger than that.”</p>
<p><strong>Isolated nations suffer</strong><br />Kanovic said that more isolated nations with less diversified economies would suffer from a greater exposure to these price shocks.</p>
<p>“Cost of transport is going to go up from a fuel cost perspective, but we might also see insurance premiums rising.”</p>
<p>In the Pacific, imported fuel is usually paid for by forward contracts in advance, and in bulk orders that can last months, as a hedge against price shocks.</p>
<p>But the impact could embed itself into freight costs, both for shipping and air, which in the Pacific is already relatively high given the distance.</p>
<p>Glen Craig, Vanuatu’s special envoy for international development, told RNZ Pacific the severity of the impact would depend on whether the duration of the conflict outpaced a Pacific nation’s petroleum reserves.</p>
<p><strong>Not yet ‘panicking’</strong><br />“No one is panicking now, but there is definitely going to be some fuel price increases at some stage,” Craig said.</p>
<p>“We should be okay, but it depends on how big and how long this conflict is going to go for.”</p>
<p>When it hits, Craig said it would likely be reflected in all imported goods on Pacific shelves, as well as tourism and regional travel.</p>
<p>“It’s a bit like if you’re on a busy motorway, and there’s an accident on the road 30 km ahead; it might take half an hour to trickle down to the end, but it eventually gets to you.”</p>
<p>“I would dare say we’re looking at something in maybe four months’ time.”</p>
<p><strong>Papau New Guinea set to ‘definitely benefit’ – minister<br /></strong> Papua New Guinea’s Foreign Minister Justin Tkatchenko saw some potential upside for his country as a petroleum and oil exporter.</p>
<p>“It will definitely benefit PNG, but then there’s the other side, where fuel prices for the domestic market will then go up,” Tkatchenko said.</p>
<p>PNG is predominantly a petroleum gas exporter, with China, Japan and Taiwan as its biggest importers.</p>
<p>With LNG prices impacted by the Middle East, but PNG protected by distance, it leaves a shortage that they can fill.</p>
<p>“Unfortunately, it’s the consumers that will cop it, the people, and they are the ones that end up paying for it,” Tkatchenko said.</p>
<p>“So yeah, it’s good in one way, but definitely won’t help out people in the long run.”</p>
<p>A higher price means a higher tax take. According to its 2025 budget, PNG’s mining and petroleum tax drew in roughly US$971 million, a 16.5 percent increase from 2024.</p>
<p>The MPT, which is linked to gains from the sale of mining and petroleum goods, comprises PNG’s second largest source of tax revenue.</p>
<p>It may put the government in a position where it can commit to supporting consumers through any eventual price shock, as Prime Minister James Marape told local media over the weekend.</p>
<p><span class="credit"><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em>.</span></p>
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		<title>US-Israel’s war of aggression – Epic Fury or Epic Screw-up?</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/04/us-israels-war-of-aggression-epic-fury-or-epic-screw-up/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Mar 2026 12:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Eugene Doyle Western countries, including  Australia and New Zealand, were quick to line up to support Operation Epic Fury, the US-Israeli blitzkrieg on the Islamic Republic of Iran. They were effectively throwing international law into a cauldron of blood and mayhem.  These same Western powers — and the Gulf Arab states that stand ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Eugene Doyle</em></p>
<p>Western countries, including  Australia and New Zealand, were quick to line up to support Operation Epic Fury, the US-Israeli blitzkrieg on the Islamic Republic of Iran.</p>
<p>They were effectively throwing international law into a cauldron of blood and mayhem.  These same Western powers — and the Gulf Arab states that stand with them — may soon live to regret it.</p>
<p>In an article on February 21, I wrote, “<a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/international-stories/attack-on-iran-could-crash-economies" rel="nofollow">A precision strike on Qatar’s Ras Laffan</a> liquefaction trains (that purify, cool, and compress the gas), for example, would drop a bomb into the world’s gas market.”</p>
<p>Should the Iranian state survive the terrifying onslaught, it has vowed to strike back in ways that could crash the global economy.</p>
<p><strong>Early signs point to a long war</strong><br />Two early signs of their potential to do so are the closure of all the civilian airports in the Gulf and the effective <a href="https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1156478/Iran-attacks-prompt-Red-Sea-rethink-as-box-shipping-exits-Strait-of-Hormuz" rel="nofollow">closure by Iran of the Strait of Hormuz</a>.</p>
<p>The first one stops the daily movement of 500,000 international passengers through Doha, Abu Dhabi, Dubai and other airports, the second cuts off the shipment of 21 million barrels of oil and gas a day (20 percent of global daily requirements).</p>
<p>The knock-on effects of a prolonged war are almost incalculable but as I pointed out in a recent article <a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/international-stories/attack-on-iran-could-crash-economies" rel="nofollow">if Iran manages to resist the most powerful military in the world</a>, the shockwaves will soon transfer to our own economies.</p>
<p>I thought that would be a measure of last resort but Iran struck the site with drones on  March 3 and — should they choose — could destroy the facility entirely which would take years to rebuild.</p>
<p>Qatar immediately shut <a href="https://naturalgasintel.com/news/qatar-shutters-lng-production-after-iranian-drone-attacks-hit-ras-laffan-industrial-city/" rel="nofollow">down Ras Laffan</a>, the source of 20 percent of the world’s LNG. UK wholesale gas prices immediately jumped 50 percent.</p>
<p>Countries like Australia and New Zealand may end up on the losing end of a bidding war for oil, LNG and agricultural petrochemicals if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.</p>
<p>One should remember that Iran has many thousands of short range missiles and countless mines sprinkled along its coastline which will be all-but-impossible to suppress.</p>
<figure id="attachment_124513" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-124513" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-124513" class="wp-caption-text">“One should remember that Iran has many thousands of short range missiles and countless mines sprinkled along its coastline which will be all-but-impossible to suppress.” Image: www.solidarity.co.nz</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>Nuclear propaganda and mischaracterisations<br /></strong> For the moment, the assassination of the Supreme Leader may see champagne corks popping in Western capitals but, as I warned recently, a decapitation strike could lead a furious or desperate Iran to lash out, <a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/international-stories/iran-nuremberg-moment" rel="nofollow">sinking a US aircraft carrier</a> by using their hypersonic missiles.</p>
<p>There is also a non-trivial risk that the US and <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mzmtdwsef8s" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Israel could use nuclear weapons</a> if things go sideways.</p>
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<p>“Khamenei, one of the most evil people in History, is dead,” the US president gloated on his Truth Social.</p>
<p>Ironically, Ayatollah Khamenei is in reality the man who has done the most to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. <a href="https://en.irna.ir/news/85854467/Araqchi-Defying-Leader-s-fatwa-on-nuclear-weapons-is-impossible" rel="nofollow">Ali Khamenei issued a fatwa</a> (religious decree) against Iran acquiring nuclear weapons in 2003.</p>
<p>Along with President Masoud Pezeshkian (who campaigned successfully on a platform on lowering tensions with the US) Khamenei was the target of a barrage of missiles this weekend. One Peace President trying to kill another Peace President.</p>
<p>So mendacious and incoherent is the Western empire that Trump can tout the total destruction of Iran’s nuclear programme one week and the next (on February 21) his negotiator Steve Witkoff can tell the world that <a href="https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/iran-one-week-from-bomb-grade-uranium-protests-flare-again-in-tehran-top-developments/articleshow/128674827.cms" rel="nofollow">Iran is “one week from the bomb”</a>. Ponder that: for the past 20 years (more than 1000 weeks) Netanyahu has been pointing at his little bomb diagram.</p>
<p>I am in the camp of those who say this was never about nuclear weapons and most ludicrously nothing to do with democracy. <a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/international-stories/the-school-children-of-iran" rel="nofollow">150 dead Iranian schoolgirls</a> is a grim testament to that.</p>
<p><strong>Advancing women’s rights or imperial ambitions?<br /></strong> The movements in Iran for women’s rights and political pluralism will be in no way advanced by this criminal attack by states currently committing genocide in Palestine. This is a forever war against a powerful sovereign Iran that acts as a major regional player capable of being a counter-balance to a supremacist Israel and the USA.</p>
<p>Arab leaders appear to have had second thoughts about the benefits of destroying Iran.  Last week they expressed outrage after US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee said he would be fine with Israel <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/feb/20/mike-huckabee-israel-middle-east-tucker-carlson" rel="nofollow">fulfilling both its Zionist project and its biblical promise</a> (Genesis 15:18) of taking all the land stretching from the Nile in Egypt to the Euphrates, a land grab which would cover modern-day Palestine, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, and parts of Iraq and Saudi Arabia.</p>
<p>“It would be fine if they took it all,” the US Ambassador told Tucker Carlson. Not a single administration figure took him to task for the statement which he tried unconvincingly to rewind.</p>
<p>We should all fear victory by the US and Israel. Violent, tyrannical and expansionist, they will see victory over Iran as a stepping stone to yet more crimes against humanity.  We truly are in the throes of a Thucydidean world where the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.</p>
<p>Unilateral violence must not trump law.</p>
<p><strong>Lions versus parrots<br /></strong> The Spanish Prime Minister slammed the US and Israeli strikes on Iran. “We reject the unilateral military action of the United States and Israel, which represents an escalation and contributes to a more uncertain and hostile international order,” Sánchez wrote on X.</p>
<p>This marks Spain out as a rebel against a militant West that funds and fuels genocide, destroys country after country, kidnaps and kills leaders, kills negotiators in the midst of negotiations, and is the greatest killer of civilians — women, children, men and babies — in foreign lands in all the decades since the Second World War.</p>
<p>Cuba, itself undergoing a brutal blockade imposed by the Trump regime, made a valuable contribution: “<a href="https://x.com/DiazCanelB/status/2027736969925493177" rel="nofollow">President Miguel Díaz-Canel condemned the attacks</a>, calling them “a flagrant violation of International Law and the UN Charter.”</p>
<p>Cuba’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: “Strict respect for the principles of international law and the UN Charter must prevail, in particular the sovereign equality of States, non-interference in their internal affairs, the prohibition of the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any State, and the peaceful settlement of disputes.”</p>
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<p><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/28/world/middleeast/iran-attacks-reaction.html" rel="nofollow"><em>The New York Times</em> expressed surprise</a> at the bellicose position Australia took: “Prime Minister Anthony Albanese was among the few leaders who did not publicly urge restraint.”</p>
<p>They quoted Albanese saying: “We support the United States acting to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon and to prevent Iran continuing to threaten international peace and security.”</p>
<p>New Zealand’s Prime Minister Christopher Luxon, a Hollow Man if there ever was one, threw his copy of the UN Charter down the lavatory when he said: “We acknowledge that the actions taken overnight by the US and Israel were designed to prevent <a href="https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/nz-government-statement-iran" rel="nofollow">Iran from continuing to threaten international peace and security</a>.”</p>
<p>Compare those two quotes. Both PMs were clearly reading from cue cards supplied by Washington. Vassals.</p>
<p>We are truly living through Geopolitical Epsteinism: daily violations of the weak by a predatory axis headquartered in Washington.  The West are behaving like tyrants on a rampage.  We must be stopped.</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/" rel="nofollow">Eugene Doyle</a> is a community organiser based in Wellington, publisher of Solidarity and a contributor to Asia Pacific Report. His first demonstration was at the age of 12 against the Vietnam war. This article was first published by Solidarity on 3 March 2026.</em></p>
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		<title>NZ’s opposition leader Chris Hipkins says US-Israel strikes illegal</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/03/nzs-opposition-leader-chris-hipkins-says-us-israel-strikes-illegal/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Mar 2026 00:15:06 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/03/nzs-opposition-leader-chris-hipkins-says-us-israel-strikes-illegal/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[RNZ News New Zealand’s opposition Labour leader Chris Hipkins says he does not support the United States and Israel’s strikes on Iran. He disagrees with Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s stance that it was not New Zealand’s place to comment on the legality of the strikes. Iran and Israel have continued to trade strikes since joint ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/" rel="nofollow"><em>RNZ News</em></a></p>
<p>New Zealand’s opposition Labour leader Chris Hipkins says he does not support the United States and Israel’s strikes on Iran.</p>
<p>He disagrees with Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s stance that it was not New Zealand’s place to <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/588357/luxon-says-nz-s-position-the-same-as-australia-on-iran-attacks" rel="nofollow">comment on the legality of the strikes</a>.</p>
<p>Iran and Israel have continued to trade strikes since joint US and Israeli airstrikes killed Iran’s Supreme Leader <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/world/588315/what-death-of-iran-s-supreme-leader-means" rel="nofollow">Ayatollah Ali Khamenei</a> on Saturday.</p>
<p>US President Donald Trump has warned that <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/world/588324/live-trump-says-big-wave-in-iran-is-yet-to-come-as-conflict-widens" rel="nofollow">“bigger strikes” are to come</a>, and says the conflict could drag out longer than the four to five weeks he initially planned.</p>
<p>New Zealanders in Iran are urged to <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/588293/watch-foreign-minister-winston-peters-urges-new-zealanders-to-leave-iran" rel="nofollow">leave if it is safe to do so</a>, and register on SafeTravel.</p>
<p>Hipkins said he believed the strikes were illegal.</p>
<p>“I think New Zealand government seems to be moving away from what has been a long-standing and principled approach to these issues,” he told RNZ’s <em>Morning Report.</em></p>
<p><strong>‘International law matters’</strong><br />“We have been very clear that we think international law matters, and that all parties to these sorts of conflicts should follow international law. That’s not the case here.”</p>
<p>He said it was important that the New Zealand government spoke with authority and in favour of international law.</p>
<p>“New Zealand’s government should stand up for the international system of rules that we rely on for our own security as a country,” Hipkins said.</p>
<p>“If the situation becomes that the countries with the most power can do whatever they like regardless of what international law says, that’s very bad news for a small country like New Zealand.”</p>
<p>Luxon has previously said it would be up to the US and Israel to explain the legal basis for their attacks.</p>
<p>“Issues of legality [are] for Israel and the US to talk to because we’re not party to that information or that intelligence they may have,” he said.</p>
<p>Luxon went on to say it wasn’t guaranteed New Zealand would ever see this intelligence — and his government would not be asking to see it.</p>
<p><strong>‘Long-standing commitment’</strong><br />“We’ve had a long-standing commitment under successive governments that any actions that stop Iran from getting a nuclear weapon is a good thing, any actions that take to stop them from sponsoring terrorism is a good thing, any actions that stops them from killing their own people is a good thing,” he said.</p>
<p>“This is not a good regime and that has been a long-standing position of New Zealand governments under different administrations.”</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Prime Minister Christopher Luxon . . . pressed on the government’s position on US-Israel’s war on Iran in his weekly post-cabinet media conference yesterday. Image: RNZ/Samuel Rillstone</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>Hipkins said he had been taken aback by Luxon’s language around New Zealand supporting any actions to stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>“I was somewhat shocked to see that comment . . .  that does not reflect the position that successive New Zealand governments have taken,” he said.</p>
<p>“Successive New Zealand governments have expressed significant concern about the Iranian regime but that does not justify any action, particularly when it breaches international law.”</p>
<p><strong>Endangers rules-based order</strong><br />Green Party co-leader Marama Davidson said the latest conflict in the Middle East endangered the rules-based order New Zealand relied on.</p>
<p>“The idea that we can start encouraging and allowing other countries to invade just because we don’t like their leaders is an incredibly dangerous take for this Prime Minister to support.</p>
<p>“He needs to be up front and declare whether he supports the rule of law, whether he supports countries in the world just willy nilly being able to decide, on vibes, whether they can invade or not.</p>
<p>“That’s really dangerous. That puts us and regions of the world in a really unsafe position.”</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">ACT leader David Seymour . . . “It’s critical that trade is able to continue and resume.” Image: RNZ/Mark Papalii</figcaption></figure>
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<p>Deputy Prime Minister and ACT leader David Seymour is backing Luxon’s stance on the US-Israel attacks on Iran.</p>
<p>“One thing he’s noted that’s important is that New Zealand does not have all of the information that the US and Israel have used to justify their actions,” he told RNZ’s <em>First Up</em> today.</p>
<p>“So, we could spend a lot of time with New Zealand trying to be precise in its position, but I don’t think that’s what the world’s waiting for.”</p>
<p><strong>‘Normal rights’</strong><br />He said as a result of the strikes, Iranian girls will have an opportunity to “dress as you like, go to school, do things that are normal rights that have been withheld from them by this regime”.</p>
<p>“And finally, for them in Iran and also for all of us around the world, it’s critical that trade is able to continue and resume so that we don’t face price shocks and even more economic peril. Those are the things that I think are important.”</p>
<p>Seymour would not say if he expected advance warning from allies like the UK if New Zealand troops at allies’ bases in the region were in danger.</p>
<p>“That’s something that we constantly talk about with our allies, but I think it’s safe to say that whatever we may or may not be doing won’t be helped by me announcing it on New Zealand radio . . .</p>
<p>“Clearly, the safety of New Zealand personnel is critical, and whatever moves might or might not be afoot, we’re not going to discuss publicly.”</p>
<p>Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters said New Zealand was <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/588293/watch-foreign-minister-winston-peters-urges-new-zealanders-to-leave-iran" rel="nofollow">not given any advance notice</a> of the attack on Iran, and has again urged New Zealanders to leave if it is safe to do so.</p>
<p><span class="credit"><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em>.</span></p>
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		<title>Gordon Campbell: Why the US has no credible reason or credible end game for its war on Iran</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/03/gordon-campbell-why-the-us-has-no-credible-reason-or-credible-end-game-for-its-war-on-iran/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 12:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Gordon Campbell Funny . . . back when Russia invaded Ukraine, New Zealand didn’t wait for Vladimir Putin to tell us whether his acts of aggression were legal under international law. Instead, we immediately decided the invasion was illegal, and forthrightly condemned Russia’s actions at the time, and ever since. Different story when ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Gordon Campbell</em></p>
<p>Funny . . . back when Russia invaded Ukraine, New Zealand didn’t wait for Vladimir Putin to tell us whether his acts of aggression were legal under international law. Instead, we immediately decided the invasion was <em>illegal</em>, and forthrightly condemned Russia’s actions at the time, and ever since.</p>
<p>Different story when it comes to the Americans. Apparently, we’re on Team USA when it comes to international law, which forbids aggression against a sovereign state in the absence of an imminent threat to the aggressor.</p>
<p>Repeatedly though, Christopher Luxon <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/morningreport/audio/2019025096/weekly-interview-with-prime-minister-christopher-luxon" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">told RNZ this morning</a> that it is <em>up to the US and Israel</em> to tell us whether their attacks on Iran are in breach of international law.</p>
<p>Given that diplomatic negotiations were still under way in Geneva to find a peaceful compromise — a process supported by all of Iran’s immediate neighbours — there is no credible case that Iran was posing an imminent threat.</p>
<p>For 20 years, Israel has been claiming that Iran is on the brink of developing a nuclear weapon, but this threat has never materialised.</p>
<p>Last June, the US claimed to have “obliterated” Iran’s ability to make a nuclear weapon. (Israel, btw, has a large stockpile of them.)</p>
<p>Unfortunately, the babbling doofus we have in place of a Prime Minister seems to be intent on remaining in denial about such matters.</p>
<p>Luxon appears determined to exempt his friends — the US and Israel — from compliance with the rules of international law that apply to everyone else. So much for us being honest brokers on the world stage.</p>
<p>In reality, letting our traditional allies break international law whenever they see fit, is the surest way of undermining the entire system.</p>
<p><strong>Regime change – how?<br /></strong> US President Donald Trump says he aims to bring about regime change in Iran. If so, that can’t be brought about entirely from the air, no matter how intensive the bombing campaign may be.</p>
<p>Decapitation strikes against the top tiers of Iranian leadership will also not, in themselves, bring about regime change. Others will surely replace the fallen.</p>
<p>Besides, the US and Israel can hardly urge Iran to negotiate a peace, while continuing to kill everyone with the authority to make a credible deal.</p>
<p>In all likelihood, it will take tens of thousands of foreign troops on the ground to (a) topple the regime and (b) protect from guerrilla action whatever regime the US puts in its place.</p>
<p>The last 20 years of Iraq after the fall of Saddam Hussein should have taught the Americans just how long, bloody, costly and unpredictable that aftermath is likely to be.</p>
<p>Yet here we go again. As veteran political analyst Fred Kaplan <a href="https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2026/02/iran-trump-war-analysis-what-happens-next.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">put it on <em>Slate</em>:</a></p>
<p><em>“It is worth recalling that, in 2003, President George W. Bush sent 150,000 troops to depose Saddam Hussein’s regime in Iraq, yet even they were unable to impose order but instead incited an insurgency and a civil war that lasted nearly a decade and destabilised the entire region.</em></p>
<p><em>“It is not clear how Trump’s stab at regime change without any ground support — in a country three times the size of Iraq — will be any smoother . . . [even] assuming the war succeeds in its strategic aim of regime change, the likeliest outcome will be a new dictatorship, a civil war among various armed factions, or utter anarchy and chaos, reminiscent of Libya after the killing of Muammar Gaddafi.”</em></p>
<p>Do we care about the outcome? Or are we waiting for the US to tell us not to worry out little heads about such matters?</p>
<p><strong>Bombing is the easy part<br /></strong> Before launching this offensive, Trump made no attempt to enlist allied countries — in Europe or elsewhere — in this campaign. At present, this is solely a US/Israeli joint operation, with the indirect help of those states in the region that have American bases on their soil.</p>
<p>So far — cross fingers — Iran has chosen not to sabotage the Straits of Hormuz, a key transit route for oil and gas exports from the region, and a waterway on which global commerce depends.</p>
<p>At this point, Trump is talking of waging a bombing campaign lasting for days, or a week, after which . . . what? Trump has also called on the Iranian people to rebel. (That seems unlikely for a variety of reasons, including the ferocity of the suppression of Iran’s recent “cost of living” protests.)</p>
<p>The mullahs appear to be planning on a longer conflict. Reportedly, Iran has been limiting its initial missile responses in order to conserve its estimated 3000 missile stockpile for attacks on Israel and regional US bases in the weeks and months ahead.</p>
<p>From this distance, and given the internet blackout, it is impossible to gauge where the balance of public opinion currently lies in Iran.</p>
<p>No doubt, there will be elation in some quarters that the leaders of a hated regime are dead or suffering, and that the regime’s survival is now in question. “Anything but the status quo” is likely to be a common response.</p>
<p>Millions of other Iranians however resist the attacks, and have been out on the streets mourning the Supreme Leader. If the regime falls, its true believers will still regard it as their sacred duty to continue to resist, by all means possible.</p>
<p>Even the current elation is likely to be tempered by the knowledge that Iran’s “liberators” — the US, Israel, the Gulf states — do not have the wellbeing of the Iranian people in mind.</p>
<p><em>Meaning:</em> the last democratically elected government in Iran was the Mosaddegh government. This was overthrown in 1953 by the Americans, who bankrolled a coup and then installed the Shah on the Peacock Throne.</p>
<p>The coup gave American oil companies continued access to Iran’s vast oil supplies, until the Islamic revolution occurred in 1979. In the 1980s, the West also backed Saddam Hussein in his war of aggression against Iran, a conflict that turned into a grinding deadlock estimated to have cost a million lives.</p>
<p>America has earned the hostility of Iran, over decades.</p>
<p><strong>Iran, at a crossroad<br /></strong> Iran has a proud history, and a rich national culture. Normally, the mullahs could have relied on that fierce national pride to unite the country against foreign forces. In addition, Shia Islam has a strong tradition of sacrifice and martyrdom, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-16047713#:~:text=The%20day%20of%20Ashura%20is,encourage%20people%20to%20donate%20blood." target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">commemorated annually in the day of Ashura</a>.</p>
<p>That said, the recent slaughter of tens of thousands of people protesting the country’s economic conditions (caused by global sanctions) has put a question mark over how many Iranians will be willing to bury their differences, and fight back against foreign domination.</p>
<p>To repeat: the US had no credible reason for starting this war, and has no credible end game for it.</p>
<p>Over the weekend, Trump has desperately — and absurdly — delved back into history to paint Iran as posing an existential threat to the United States and the region, in order to justify this war to his MAGA sceptics.</p>
<p>Let’s be clear. Iran posed no imminent threat to the United States. Furthermore, its ability to intervene in the affairs of the Middle East has been sharply reduced over the past 18 months.</p>
<p>This hasn’t stopped the US from distorting the relevant history. For example: Trump and his minions have cited the deaths of 241 US Marines in Lebanon in 1983, and laid the blame at Iran’s door.</p>
<p>For the record, those 241 Marines — and 58 French troops — were killed by suicide bombers, in attacks claimed by Islamic Jihad, a Sunni extremist group only later linked to the Lebanese Hezbollah militia.</p>
<p>These attacks came in the wake of (a) the Israeli invasion of Lebanon, and (b) the return of a multinational peacekeeping force to Beirut after (c) hundreds of Palestinians living in the Sabra and Shatila refugee camps had been massacred by Christian gunmen, egged on by the Israeli commander, Ariel Sharon.</p>
<p>To paint this terrible episode as being caused solely by Iran is a travesty. Undaunted, Trump has also blamed Iran for the attack in 2000 on the American warship the USS <em>Cole</em> that killed 17 American sailors in the port of Aden.</p>
<p>Even the US intelligence agencies have attributed the <em>USS Cole</em> attack to Al Qaeda. Islamic Jihad and Al Qaeda are Sunni Islamic extremist groups, and were long time opponents of the Shia theocracy in Iran.</p>
<p>I’m not trying to defend the regime in Tehran. The point is to emphasise that there was no credible justification for the US offensive and New Zealand <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/#flips-6390171181112" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" rel="nofollow">should be backing up UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres</a> in his criticism of the US aggression.</p>
<p><strong>(Not) going nuclear<br /></strong> As for the nuclear weapons “threat” that Iran allegedly posed . . . In 2015, Iran signed a deal with the US via which Iran promised to forego the development of nuclear weapons in return for the US (and Europe) lifting trade sanctions.</p>
<p>This was a victory for the Iranian moderates within the regime.</p>
<p>Iran also agreed to allow in UN inspectors, who regularly confirmed that Iran was in full compliance with the terms of that deal. However, Trump tore up the deal as soon as he was elected, thereby boosting the hardliners in Tehran who had claimed all along that the US could not be trusted to keep its word.</p>
<p>Since then, Trump has engaged in indirect talks with Iran to re-negotiate a new version of the 2015 pact, and twice Israel and the US have bombed Iran and killed its leaders while those negotiations were still being held.</p>
<p>To the US and the Israelis, diplomacy seems to be merely a trick to lure out into the open the people that they have been planning to assassinate, all along.</p>
<p><strong>Footnote:</strong> In Venezuela, the US has taken military action to secure control of that country’s oil reserves. It may well have oil wealth in mind in Iran, too.</p>
<p>If the US can install another puppet in Tehran as obedient as the Shah, Iran’s refineries will once again be at the mercy of US oil companies. No doubt, access to oil will be at heart of any further “negotiations” over a ceasefire.</p>
<p><em>Republished with permission from <a href="https://info.scoop.co.nz/Gordon_Campbell" rel="nofollow">Gordon Campbell’s column</a> in partnership with Scoop.</em></p>
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		<title>‘Explicit aggression’ against Iran needs clear condemnation, envoy tells NZ</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/02/explicit-aggression-against-iran-needs-clear-condemnation-envoy-tells-nz/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 10:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report Iran’s ambassador to New Zealand says the joint US and Israeli strikes on his country need stronger condemnation, reports TV1 News. Ambassador Reza Nazar Ahari described the strikes as “explicit aggression” and a violation of the UN Charter. “There is no doubt about it, and it deserves a very clear type of ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Asia Pacific Report</em></p>
<p>Iran’s ambassador to New Zealand says the joint US and Israeli strikes on his country need stronger condemnation, <a href="https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/03/01/live-iran-confirms-supreme-leader-khamenei-killed-in-us-israeli-strikes/" rel="nofollow">reports TV1 News</a>.</p>
<p>Ambassador Reza Nazar Ahari described the strikes as “explicit aggression” and a violation of the UN Charter.</p>
<p>“There is no doubt about it, and it deserves a very clear type of condemnation,” he told <a href="https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/03/01/live-iran-confirms-supreme-leader-khamenei-killed-in-us-israeli-strikes/" rel="nofollow">TV1 News</a> in an interview broadcast tonight.</p>
<p>In a statement on Sunday, <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2026/03/02/luxon-defends-nzs-position-on-iran-attacks-same-as-australia/" rel="nofollow">Prime Minister Christopher Luxon “acknowledged” the US-Israeli strikes</a> and condemned Iran.</p>
<p>“New Zealand has consistently condemned Iran’s nuclear programme, its destabilising activities in the region and elsewhere, and its repression of its own people.”</p>
<p>Ahari said the strikes on Iran were unilateral.</p>
<p>“What Iran is seeking is, since the beginning, through the diplomatic negotiations and all other measures Iran has taken, is a kind of commitment to multilateralism.”</p>
<p>Iran maintained regular diplomatic contact with New Zealand officials, including Foreign Minister Winston Peters, Ahari said, expressing confidence of continuing bilateral relations.</p>
<p>“Of course, there are difference of opinions and ideas between any other any country in the world. We are in a direct and regular contact with each other.”</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" readability="5.9337748344371">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">My statement this afternoon on the current situation in the Middle East. <a href="https://t.co/N1Zdgj9El8" rel="nofollow">pic.twitter.com/N1Zdgj9El8</a></p>
<p>— Christopher Luxon (@chrisluxonmp) <a href="https://twitter.com/chrisluxonmp/status/2028342810458669102?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow">March 2, 2026</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>No plans to expel ambassador</strong><br /><a href="https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/03/01/live-iran-confirms-supreme-leader-khamenei-killed-in-us-israeli-strikes/" rel="nofollow">TV1 News also reports</a> that a spokesperson for Prime Minister Luxon said there were no plans to expel the Iranian Ambassador.</p>
<p>“It’s important we have a way of talking to other countries, including those we disagree with,” the spokesperson said.</p>
<p>“New Zealand’s Ambassador to Iran was withdrawn in January because it wasn’t safe to remain there, so the Iranian Ambassador to New Zealand is our best way of conveying our position to Tehran.”</p>
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		<title>Minab school massacre – hands off the children of Iran, Donald Trump</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/02/minab-school-massacre-hands-off-the-children-of-iran-donald-trump/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 06:15:15 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Eugene Doyle When I heard the terrible news that the Americans and Israelis had killed more than 165 children this week in an elementary school in Minab in Southern Iran it took me back to a wonderful day I spent in Isfahan in 2018. I met lots of Iranian school children and their ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Eugene Doyle</em></p>
<p>When I heard the terrible news that the Americans and Israelis had killed more than 165 children this week in an elementary school in <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/28/israel-strikes-two-schools-in-iran-killing-more-than-50-people" rel="nofollow">Minab in Southern Iran</a> it took me back to a wonderful day I spent in Isfahan in 2018.</p>
<p>I met lots of Iranian school children and their teachers that day. They were keen to practise their English and ask lots of questions. I want to share that day with you because it was filled with hope, with promise for a better world.</p>
<p>My wife and I were visiting Iran, both for the second time.</p>
<p>Right at the end of our time there we spent a day in Naqsh-e Jahan Square in Isfahan. It is a massive square that could enclose a dozen football fields.</p>
<p>Built by Shah Abbas I in the 17th Century, during the Safavid period, it is a UNESCO World Heritage site with markets, palaces and other cultural sites framing its four sides.  At one end is the magnificent Imam Mosque where a string of memorable moments happened to me.</p>
<p>I even saw a most astonishing one-woman demonstration.</p>
<p>We were just approaching the Imam Mosque when I noticed a young woman removing her head scarf. A mass of black hair fell down to her waist and then she began dancing.</p>
<p><strong>‘Is this a protest?’</strong><br />Rhythmically she swirled her upper body in a circular motion that sent her hair out horizontally around her. I was gob-smacked.</p>
<p>After a minute or two she stopped and started talking to her male companion who had been photographing her. I approached.</p>
<p>“Is this a protest?” I asked, somewhat gormlessly.  Yes, against the clothing restrictions.</p>
<p>Today the courage and determination of such people has, to a degree, paid off. Those restrictions, particularly in the cities, have effectively been lightened.  I have seen lots of footage of Iranian women without any head covering.</p>
<p>I salute their courage and determination and know their struggle will continue.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">“I also salute the courage and determination of the millions of Iranians who have turned out this week to support their government against the violent assault on the sovereignty of Iran.” Image: Eugene Doyle/Solidarity</figcaption></figure>
<p>I also salute the courage and determination of the millions of Iranians who have turned out this week to support their government against the violent assault on the sovereignty of Iran by the racist, fascist genocidal Israeli state and its powerful vassal the USA.</p>
<p>Following the killing of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, I saw remarkable footage of that same vast square in Isfahan filled to the four corners with what must have been <a href="https://www.youtube.com/shorts/1VgZMoOtRLs" rel="nofollow">hundreds of thousands of people</a>. As with millions around the country, they were defying the missiles to protest the violation of their sovereignty.</p>
<p><strong>The inconvenient truth</strong><br />The scale of the pro-government demonstrations is virtually never shown in the Western media but to understand the contested political landscape that is Iran you need to understand that inconvenient truth.</p>
<p>Iranian politics in the Western view has been reduced to a cartoon, to a Manichean world of black and white — which partly explains why Westerners, most particularly the leaders, fail to grasp the fierce nationalism that has seen millions of Iranians rally round their government as their state comes under an existential threat.</p>
<p>That day in 2018 in that square I chatted with pro-government and anti-government people; all incredibly nice and open and welcoming. Everyone was keen to discuss Iran and the wider world.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">“Iranians are remarkably hospitable, cultured and kind. For me, they are the finest people in the Middle East.” Image: Eugene Doyle/Solidarity</figcaption></figure>
<p>There were lots of school parties and both the teachers and their students were keen to speak with us. It was an unalloyed pleasure for us. Iranians are remarkably hospitable, cultured and kind. For me, they are the finest people in the Middle East.</p>
<p>That is partly why I felt sad and bitter when I watched the <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FA2-tpkdyDk" rel="nofollow">footage of the bombed-out Shajareh Tayyebeh girls elementary school</a> (6-12 year-olds) in Minab and heard the screams of mothers calling for children whom they will never walk to school again.</p>
<p>The Western empire has a long history of killing children. I recently referenced Madeleine Albright’s infamous comment on the killing of hundreds of thousands of Iraqi children being “a price worth paying”.</p>
<p>This is just standard modus operandi for the West.</p>
<p><strong>Protected by Mossad</strong><br />Israeli football hooligans travel through Europe chanting “<a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/international-stories/bbc-goes-full-goebbels-in-support-of-israeli-soccer-hooligans?rq=maccabi" rel="nofollow">Why is school out in Gaza?</a> Because there are no kids left!” They are protected by Mossad, local police and politicians like British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.</p>
<p>Australian PM Anthony Albanese recently welcomed Isaac Herzog, the President of Israel, who in October 2023 said: “It is an entire nation out there that is responsible.”</p>
<p>This is as clear a statement of genocidal intent as you could get and Israel made good on it.</p>
<p>Israel, the killer of tens of thousands of school kids, presents itself as a liberator for Iran? You don’t have to be an A-grade student to spot that lie.</p>
<p>Many people around the Western world want to commit the children of Iran into the hands of the President of the United States.</p>
<p>According to US Congressman Ted Lieu (D-CA), Vice-Chair of the House Democratic Caucus: “In the Epstein files, there’s highly disturbing <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-idRy5_b6sk" rel="nofollow">allegations of Donald Trump raping children</a>, of Donald Trump threatening to kill children.”</p>
<p>Lieu, one of the architects of the Epstein Files Transparency Act is also one of those legislators who has had access to some of the files still kept out of the public record.</p>
<p>Iranian children have as much right to grow up in safety as our own children.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">“Iranian children have as much right to grow up in safety as our own children.” Image: Eugene/Doyle</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>infamous bro-talk</strong><br />We should all also recall Trump’s infamous bro-talk with the vile radio host Howard Stern. Stern asked if he could refer to <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/in-2004-trump-agreed-his-daughter-was-a-piece-of-ass/" rel="nofollow">Ivanka Trump as a “piece of ass,”</a> and Donald Trump salivated back at him: “Yeah.”</p>
<p>While they were joking about this “piece of ass”, Trump said he would try to date Ivanka if she wasn’t his daughter. It is a relevant anecdote because we live in the age of American Geopolitical Epsteinism — a world of predators seeking to violate those weaker than them.</p>
<p>You don’t have to like the Iranian government to support the UN Charter and the insistence on the sovereign equality of nations.</p>
<p>Nothing in the Charter says it is okay for powerful white countries to attack other countries.  The West needs to bring its leaders to justice for the crime of genocide not launch yet another war on innocents.</p>
<p>Hands off Iran, Netanyahu. Hands off the children of Iran, Trump.</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/" rel="nofollow">Eugene Doyle</a> is a community organiser based in Wellington, publisher of Solidarity and a contributor to Asia Pacific Report. His first demonstration was at the age of 12 against the Vietnam war. This article was first published by Solidarity on 2 March 2026.<br /></em></p>
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		<title>Luxon defends NZ’s position on Iran attacks – same as Australia</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/02/luxon-defends-nzs-position-on-iran-attacks-same-as-australia/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2026 22:15:57 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[RNZ News Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says New Zealand’s stance on the United States and Israeli bombing of Iran mirrors that of Australia. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said the government supported the United States acting to stop Iran acquiring nuclear weapons. A statement by Luxon and Foreign Minister Winston Peters yesterday “acknowledges” the strikes. ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/" rel="nofollow"><em>RNZ News</em></a></p>
<p>Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says New Zealand’s stance on the United States and Israeli bombing of Iran mirrors that of Australia.</p>
<p>Australian Prime Minister <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02-28/australian-government-responds-to-united-states-attack-on-iran/106401108" rel="nofollow">Anthony Albanese said</a> the government supported the United States acting to stop Iran acquiring nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>A statement by Luxon and Foreign Minister Winston Peters yesterday “acknowledges” the strikes.</p>
<p>Asked on RNZ’s <em>Morning Report</em> whether New Zealand supported the attacks, Luxon repeatedly refused to say the word, but said it condemned the Iranian regime as evil and as having claimed countless lives.</p>
<p>“We think Iran has been repressing its own people. We think it’s been arming proxies and terrorist organisations. We think it has been developing its ballistic and nuclear programmes and years of diplomacy hasn’t actually paid any fruits,” he said.</p>
<p>“We understand fully why the Americans and Israelis have undertaken the independent action that they have taken to make sure Iran can’t threaten people.”</p>
<p>Pressed on whether the strikes were legally right, Luxon said it would be up to the US and Israel to explain the legal basis for their attacks.</p>
<p><strong>NZ should back international rules</strong><br />Former Prime Minister Helen Cark has <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2026/03/01/critics-say-weak-nz-response-over-us-israel-attacks-on-iran-a-disgrace/" rel="nofollow">called the government’s stance a “disgrace”</a> and says New Zealand should support a rules-based international order.</p>
<p>Luxon said what was disgraceful was the repressive Iranian regime which had killed thousands of its own people who had taken to the streets calling for freedoms.</p>
<p>“Iran has been a destabilising force. It has supported armed proxies throughout the region. It has seen tens of thousands of people murdered by own government, who were asking for freedom and rights.”</p>
<p><a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/world-leaders-react-cautiously-to-u-s-and-israeli-strikes-on-iran" rel="nofollow">Australia and Canada have openly supported the strikes on Iran</a>.</p>
<p>In a statement on Sunday, Luxon and Foreign Affairs Minister and Winston Peters said New Zealand had consistently condemned Iran’s nuclear programme and its “destabilising activities” in the region and “acknowledged” the strikes.</p>
<p>“Iran has, for decades, defied the will and expectations of the international community. The legitimacy of a government rests on the support of its people. The Iranian regime has long since lost that support,” they said.</p>
<div>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Former NZ prime minister Helen Clark at opposition Labour Party leader Chris Hipkins’ state of the nation speech last week. Image: RNZ/Marika Khabazi</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>“In this context, we acknowledge that the actions taken overnight by the US and Israel were designed to prevent Iran from continuing to threaten international peace and security.”</p>
<p>Luxon and Peters condemned in the “strongest terms Iran’s indiscriminate retaliatory attacks” on neighbouring states.</p>
<p>The statement also said “we call for a resumption of negotiations and adherence to international law.”</p>
<p><strong>Call out illegal strike</strong><br />Clark told <em>Morning Report</em> said the statement was a disgrace.</p>
<p>“What was wrong with it was it didn’t call out the illegal strike against Iran in the middle of diplomatic negotiations “which were going quite well and further talks were scheduled,” she said.</p>
<p>“The whole point of international law is to put rules around when force is legitimate.”</p>
<p>“A strike is justified if there is an imminent threat of attack, which clearly there was not.”</p>
<p>She said the initial strikes by the US and Israel violated international law.</p>
<p>“The New Zealand government seems only interested in the Iranian retaliation and not looking at the reason for the retaliation, which was the attack by the United States and Israel,” she said.</p>
<p>“I think it’s consistent with a steady drift in New Zealand foreign policy to realign strongly with the United States, which at this particular time seems even more questionable as a strategy.”</p>
<p>“We’re not putting a stake in the ground in defence of the international rule of law.”</p>
<p><span class="credit"><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em>.</span></p>
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