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		<title>AVFA PODCAST: A Deep-Dive into the US-Israel War in the Middle East</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/30/avfa-podcast-a-deep-dive-into-the-us-israel-war-in-the-middle-east/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2026 03:59:20 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[In this episode of A View from Afar, political scientist and former Pentagon Analyst Paul Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning deep-dive into the US-Israel war in the Middle East.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Podcast: <a class="yt-simple-endpoint style-scope yt-formatted-string" dir="auto" spellcheck="false" href="https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLTTfwBrpdNaPmtvuXxR9fqzdMcZjD2Hiq">A View from Afar with Paul G. Buchanan and Selwyn Manning</a></p>
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<p><iframe title="A deep-dive into the US-Israel war in the Middle East" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/HtJOeVMshc8?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
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<div id="expanded" class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">In this episode of A View from Afar, political scientist and former Pentagon Analyst Paul Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning deep-dive into the US-Israel war in the Middle East. </span></span></div>
<div></div>
<div class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><strong><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">In This Episode, they discuss: </span></span></strong></div>
<ul>
<li class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">Why did Netanyahu and Trump attack Iran and start this war?</span></span></li>
<li class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">Why did the US decide to attack without a clear reason to do so and without strategic planning nor a legal argument for it?</span></span></li>
<li class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">What impact will this war in the Middle East have on US Midterm Elections?</span></span></li>
<li class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">And what of independent operators in this conflict, such as European states, why do they risk being drawn into this US-Israel Middle East War?</span></span></li>
</ul>
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<div class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto"><strong>Your Interaction:</strong> </span></span></div>
<div class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">A View from Afar podcast is recorded live before an internet audience. </span></span></div>
<div class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">Paul and Selwyn welcome and invite interaction.</span></span></div>
<div class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">You Tube is the best platform for supporting this live interaction, so we invite you to subscribe, follow and like this podcast on this channel. </span></span></div>
<div class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">That way you will be notified in advance of the next episode of A View from Afar.</span></span></div>
<div class="style-scope ytd-text-inline-expander"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string yt-core-attributed-string--white-space-pre-wrap" dir="auto" role="text"><span class="yt-core-attributed-string--link-inherit-color" dir="auto">We look forward to your company and your questions and comments.</span></span></div>
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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; USS Tripoli: What&#8217;s in a Name?</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/27/keith-rankin-analysis-uss-tripoli-whats-in-a-name/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 03:53:33 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin &#8211; This analysis was first published on 26 March 2026. One of the United States&#8217; navy ships heading towards the Persian Gulf is the USS Tripoli. (USS = United States Ship.) How the heck did it get that name? (Will the next two United States&#8217; naval ships be called the USS ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Keith Rankin &#8211; This analysis was first published on 26 March 2026.</p>
<p>One of the United States&#8217; navy ships heading towards the Persian Gulf is the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Tripoli_(LHA-7)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Tripoli_(LHA-7)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw25OBhEVpeuo7YvSlqe7wb3">USS Tripoli</a>. (<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Navy_ships" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Navy_ships&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0M6Wsg05gXuYSC1Xj-YGIa">USS</a> = United States Ship.) How the heck did it get that name? (Will the next two United States&#8217; naval ships be called the USS <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Osama_bin_Laden" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Osama_bin_Laden&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2PMQIxP966CrWz30G3zDA8">Abbottabad</a> and the USS <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominican_Civil_War#U.S._intervention" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominican_Civil_War%23U.S._intervention&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1okXLs7kOlFuWFKJtGuNtf">Santo Domingo</a>?)</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 150px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-thumbnail" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-65x65.jpg 65w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p>The answer will be a surprise to many. The <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Revolutionary_War" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Revolutionary_War&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw38-bOXDdNJeM9xdrnX1Mra">American Revolution</a> which began in 1776 was completed in 1783, with the British capitulation to the American <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patriot_(American_Revolution)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patriot_(American_Revolution)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1Tt1uVZvwO8cxI17133A7_">patriotic forces</a>. So, the history of the United States as an independent sovereign state goes back to 1783. The British and Americans fought again from 1812 to 1815, during the Napoleonic Wars (what I suggest is better called either World War Zero or Great World War One, and my favoured dates are 1798 to 1815, with Waterloo being the final battle; Great World War One contextualises 1914 to 1945 as Great World War Two). Wikipedia describes the outcome of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_1812" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_1812&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw13sj8ZwifM5n82Mwvc5xSs">War of 1812</a> as &#8216;inconclusive&#8217;.</p>
<p>We may note that Encounter Bay, in South Australia, is named after a World War Zero encounter between British and French naval ships – <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HMS_Investigator_(1801)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HMS_Investigator_(1801)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3BjK4A8Rz-4-T2bB9pYevJ">Investigator</a> and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_corvette_G%C3%A9ographe" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_corvette_G%25C3%25A9ographe&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2LIn42XuC5m_Zgp4KwfZQt">Géographe</a>. The encounter was in 1802. <b><i>The name Tripoli dates from another encounter</i></b> (a much more violent encounter) within World War Zero, in this case a war between Libya (then known as <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ottoman_Tripolitania" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ottoman_Tripolitania&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0wjAKCz_ez76iNi7XRdDU3">Ottoman Tripolitania</a>) and the United States. That encounter, a war within a war, was the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Barbary_War" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Barbary_War&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1_vu5gF-9dOCKGYjDP26xi">First Barbary War</a> (1801-1805).</p>
<p>The genesis of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbary_Wars" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbary_Wars&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1fwvwg_3sKzIEedo_64jh3">Barbary Wars</a> (see this <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Burning_of_the_uss_philadelphia.jpg" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Burning_of_the_uss_philadelphia.jpg&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2RYuBWR5-92NhwRtNow-57">famous picture</a> of the <i>USS Philadelphia</i> in Tripoli Harbour, depicting the saving-from-capture of that ship in February 1804) was an earlier war. The <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American%E2%80%93Algerian_War" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American%25E2%2580%2593Algerian_War&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3C5HtEGjzJEJsL_EulyAId">American-Algerian War of 1785 to 1795</a>was the first foreign military adventure of the United States since its independence in 1783. Wikipedia lists the &#8216;result&#8217; of this war as an &#8216;Algerian victory&#8217;. It will be a surprise to many people that America&#8217;s first foreign war was so soon after independence, and in the Mediterranean rather than somewhere close to home; independent America has a long history of violence in the &#8216;Middle East&#8217;. It will be no surprise that, in 1795, the United States lost that war.</p>
<p>The context of the 1785-1795 war was that Great Britain, piqued by the loss of its American colonies, refused the United States the &#8216;protection&#8217; of the British Navy.</p>
<p>We note here that imperial nations traditionally extracted &#8216;tribute&#8217; from both their subjugated territories, and other populated territories which might otherwise be candidates for subjugation. Further, smaller maritime states traditionally extracted rent from passing ships.</p>
<p>These &#8216;clipping-the-ticket&#8217; relationships still exist, of course. Egypt, for example, extracts monopoly rents from its possession of the Suez Canal; as does Panama re the Panama Canal. As would New Zealand if South American merchant ships were to transit through Cook Strait on their way to Australia. Indeed, as international airports charge landing fees. Further, the extraction of imperial tribute has become apparent once again, as the American president tries to use import taxes – tariffs – and bilateral &#8216;deals&#8217; as ways of &#8216;making lots of money&#8217;; as a way of leveraging imperial power. This is extortion through <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Protection_racket" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Protection_racket&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0A1dSm5SMv7_0aiGktQljd">protection money</a>, in the very worst sense of that concept of power.</p>
<p>In the 1780s, and before, Britain and Algeria &#8216;scratched each other&#8217;s backs&#8217;. Britain let Algeria – literally a &#8216;pirate state&#8217; – do its thing, so long as it did not charge rents from ships under the protection of the British Empire. Thus, after 1783, American ships ceased to benefit from British protection. The conflict ended in 1795, with the United States agreeing to pay rents to Algeria, and – by implication – to other &#8216;pirate kingdoms&#8217; on the North African <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbary_Coast" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbary_Coast&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2xJf_53uVre3ArwKxQCeU8">Barbary Coast</a>.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbary_Wars" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbary_Wars&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1fwvwg_3sKzIEedo_64jh3">Barbary Wars</a> began when newly elected president – Thomas Jefferson – refused to pay rents to Tripolitania, aka Libya. As a result, Tripolitania declared war on the United States. The United States sent a number of frigates, including the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Philadelphia_(1799)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Philadelphia_(1799)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2-kVDIHhhShp-zZwwx8XYZ"><i>USS Philadelphia</i></a>.</p>
<p>To this day, the United States commemorates the 1804 burning of the <i>USS Philadelphia</i> by <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephen_Decatur" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephen_Decatur&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2ZrgorGtPdfyQ3GqLbqTW0">Stephen Decatur</a> as a heroic rescue, an act of <a href="https://www.oed.com/dictionary/derring-do_n" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.oed.com/dictionary/derring-do_n&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1LOZXG8DSRXZHrHHtQgYye">derring do</a> which Lord Nelson reputedly claimed was &#8220;the most bold and daring act of the Age&#8221;. <b><i>It was this action which led to the naming of three United States naval ships, including the current ship, as &#8216;Tripoli&#8217;</i></b>. Decatur went on to become a hero, once again, in the 1812 to 1815 war with Britain. And many American towns came to be named after him. (We may note that, in another &#8216;heroic&#8217; action in World War Zero, in 1812, the Russian military burned the city of Moscow in order to save it from Napoleon&#8217;s invading army. One significant aftermath was a literary novel: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_and_Peace" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_and_Peace&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2sBfppaco7bJ1drALVj3-5">War and Peace</a>.)</p>
<p>This war was not an American victory; importantly for the United States, it was not the ignominious defeat that it might otherwise have been. The United States – or at least mercenaries in the pay of the United States – did win the subsequent 1805 <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Derna_(1805)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Derna_(1805)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw18zAgOoS8GzlH52n6mKwEy">Battle of Derna</a>, which the <i>USS Tripoli</i> officially commemorates.</p>
<p><b><i>The First Barbary War ended inconclusively in 1805, with a deal</i></b>. Wikipedia <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Barbary_War#Peace_treaty_and_aftermath" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Barbary_War%23Peace_treaty_and_aftermath&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3wGDG9q5TS5Qk1QdkdiDuw">says</a>: &#8220;In agreeing to pay a ransom of $60,000 (equivalent to $1.3 million in 2025) for the American prisoners, the Jefferson administration drew a distinction between paying <i>tribute</i> and paying <i>ransom</i>.&#8221; Jefferson agreed to pay a ransom. We should note that the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Barbary_War" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Barbary_War&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2unYgF7dOE9uxVoOrBzTNd">Second Barbary War</a> of 1815, also involving Decatur, lasted just two days, and was an American victory (under President Madison).</p>
<p><b>Another reason for the naming of the USS Tripoli, which is essentially the same reason.</b></p>
<p>In 2011, the United States (as NATO), under President Obama, fought in <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Tripoli_(2011)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Tripoli_(2011)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2zWlbfZOYFRBTNG69qKfsC">another war against Libya</a>. This was a successful war of &#8216;regime change&#8217;, this time through air power rather than sea power; though few would say that the replacement regimes have improved either the stability of Libya or of the Eastern Mediterranean. This war of &#8216;decapitation&#8217; of Libya was Obama&#8217;s dress rehearsal for an even more ambitious attempt to do the same in Syria. The subsequent <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualties_of_the_Syrian_civil_war" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Casualties_of_the_Syrian_civil_war&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1C6OsHBmPTu4KKa34_XYrD">Syrian Civil War</a> was another distressing failure of United States&#8217; foreign bellicosity. At least Obama asked Congress, and as a result he was unable to escalate; Obama was thwarted in his further attempts to become a decapitating conqueror (noting <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Osama_bin_Laden" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Osama_bin_Laden&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2PMQIxP966CrWz30G3zDA8">Abbottabad</a> as well as <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Tripoli_(2011)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Tripoli_(2011)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811482000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2zWlbfZOYFRBTNG69qKfsC">Tripoli</a>). Much of Syria descended into anarchy, until Russia intervened.</p>
<p>The <i>USS Tripoli</i> was commissioned in 2012, as much in commemoration of recent American adventurism as it was in commemoration of that country&#8217;s earliest acts of violence in a land far far away.</p>
<p align="center">*******</p>
<p>Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; Has New Zealand just signed up for World War Three?</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/27/keith-rankin-analysis-has-new-zealand-just-signed-up-for-world-war-three/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 03:47:37 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1108225</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin &#8211; this analysis was first published on 24 March 2026. A minute after my radio-alarm went off this morning, I was &#8216;privileged&#8217; to hear this deeply scary interview with the Deputy Prime Minister: Deputy PM Seymour on NZ, Iran and fuel relief, RNZ 24 March 2026. For most of the interview ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Keith Rankin &#8211; this analysis was first published on 24 March 2026.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 150px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-thumbnail" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-65x65.jpg 65w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p>A minute after my radio-alarm went off this morning, I was &#8216;privileged&#8217; to hear this deeply scary interview with the Deputy Prime Minister: <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/first-up/audio/2019028158/deputy-pm-seymour-on-nz-iran-and-fuel-relief" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/first-up/audio/2019028158/deputy-pm-seymour-on-nz-iran-and-fuel-relief&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811640000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1XxJyKqKyeVl0lQ1cCRZGK">Deputy PM Seymour on NZ, Iran and fuel relief</a>, <i>RNZ</i> 24 March 2026. For most of the interview David Seymour outlines why <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ruthanasia" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ruthanasia&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811640000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3zQguRkf_Loc-JlNeK5Ib0">Ruthanasia</a> politics is essential for New Zealand, even as a global existential crisis may be unfolding. While he didn&#8217;t use the word &#8216;Ruthanasia&#8217;, he may as well have.</p>
<p>(Ruthenasia was supposed to have been a policy to deliver relatively &#8216;more money&#8217; to younger New Zealanders; that is, such policies of fiscal austerity are commonly conducted in the name of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intergenerational_equity" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intergenerational_equity&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811640000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2QUrLT3A7DpJz_TRdKjuSC">intergenerational equity</a>, though that notion – as represented by the &#8216;financial literacy&#8217; community – is a logical fallacy of the first order. Money, <u>a set of <b><i>claims</i></b> on wealth</u>, a social technology, is regarded by <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austerians" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austerians&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811640000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2N3vdJ0YrA-VdDx-PKvfh8">austerians</a> such as Ruth Richardson and David Seymour as a form of intrinsic wealth. Seymour claimed that &#8220;the previous government maxed out the credit card&#8221;; New Zealand is about 105th out of 190 countries for government debt. <a href="https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2603/S00049/turkmenistan-the-hermit-autocracy-in-the-centre-of-eurasia.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2603/S00049/turkmenistan-the-hermit-autocracy-in-the-centre-of-eurasia.htm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811640000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1peWQcV2g16A00vc99RMqR">Turkmenistan</a>, Brunei and Kuwait are the top performers by Seymour&#8217;s criterion (with Afghanistan, Haiti and Russia also in the top 10); Sudan and Japan are the worst. According to <a href="https://tradingeconomics.com/new-zealand/government-debt-to-gdp" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://tradingeconomics.com/new-zealand/government-debt-to-gdp&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811640000&amp;usg=AOvVaw20lW1tfWSkhltpA5uihPCn">Trading Economics</a>, New Zealand now has a projected 47% government debt to GDP ratio, up from 39% in 2023. Truth is becoming an increasingly scarce commodity.)</p>
<p><b>NATO and the </b><a href="https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2603/S00005/the-greater-evil.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2603/S00005/the-greater-evil.htm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811640000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0NMfMTAbPJcjIgG6Y-ptNQ"><b>Greater Evil</b></a><b></b></p>
<p>The real problem though, contained in this interview, is in the presenter&#8217;s introduction, and also in the quasi-acceptance of the alarming content of that introduction.</p>
<p>In the recording, Nato Secretary General <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Rutte" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Rutte&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774651811640000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3It4Hj9svxfQlgpc3J_K5T">Mark Rutte</a> claims that New Zealand has signed up to a 22-country Nato-led initiative &#8220;to implement <b><i>his vision</i></b> [referring to the President of the United States] of making sure the Strait of Hormuz is free, is opening up as soon as possible&#8221;.</p>
<p>First, we should note that the Strait of Hormuz is presently open to all neutral countries; it is not open to those countries waging a war of aggression on Iran (a country along with Oman which has, by virtue of geography, sovereignty over that narrow Strait). (Much as Egypt has sovereignty over the Suez Canal.) Although there is some ambiguity regarding countries (such as New Zealand) which condemn Iran but choose to not-condemn Israel or the USA.</p>
<p>What New Zealand should do, if it really wants trade access to the Persian Gulf, is to condemn – equally – all the belligerents in this war. Beyond that, the paucity of ships passing through the Strait is an insurance matter; a matter that can be most easily resolved by the aggressors stopping the present war rather than (literally and figuratively) inflaming it. Does New Zealand want to be safe, and to have safe access to the Gulf States, or does it want to be egregiously stupid?</p>
<p><b>Regional Wars too easily become World Wars</b></p>
<p>At present there are two &#8216;regional&#8217; wars of global significance in &#8216;play&#8217;. We note that in World War Two there was something similar. In November 1941 there was an all-out European war in which Germany was fighting the Soviet Union on one front and fighting the United Kingdom on the other. And there was a war in the western Pacific in which Japan was fighting China and Indo-China; kind of a world war in that most of Indo-China was &#8216;colonies&#8217; of the European powers France, Netherlands, and the United Kingdom.</p>
<p>Then, in December 1941, Japan attacked the United States&#8217; fleet in Hawaii (noting that Hawaii was not a part of the United States then). Three days later, Japan sank two British battleships – <i>Prince of Wales</i>, and <i>Repulse</i> – in the South China Sea, effectively declaring war on the United Kingdom. And then, another day later, German Chancellor Adolf Hitler declared war on the United States – his biggest strategic mistake. <b><i>Two regional geopolitical wars had become a world war</i></b>.</p>
<p><b>Goliath 2.0; a modern-day unsophisticate and anti-intellectual, and his band of orcs</b></p>
<p>In 2026, the two wars are between Nato and Russia, with most of the action taking place in the territory of the Nato proxy-state, Ukraine. The second war is between Israel and Iran, with Israel being helped out by its much larger proxy with its Goliath president. Much of the violence is taking place in other countries; countries either sandwiched between Israel and Iran or coveted by Israel as part of its Greater Israel project.</p>
<p>What is now connecting these two wars – both being fought in parts of central Eurasia – the war in Europe and the war in the &#8216;Middle East&#8217;? First is that Ukraine became involved, earlier this year, as a military ally of Israel. Second is that Nato, one of the combatants in the Ukraine War, is now trying to join in the Middle East War as a formal ally of Israel and its subservient Goliath. And little New Zealand is showing all the signs that it is trying to become a formal ally of Nato, a willing participant of both regional wars; awestruck by Goliath and his band of merry orcs.</p>
<p>When two globally significant regional wars combine today to become a single war, we have World War Three. Why, on Earth, would New Zealand want to be a part of that? Why would we want to be a party to both ecocide and economic suicide? And why would we want to become a target in a nuclear war? Is that egregiously stupid?</p>
<p align="center">*******</p>
<p>Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; UAE, Israel, and The Hexagon Alliance</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/11/keith-rankin-analysis-uae-israel-and-the-hexagon-alliance/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2026 03:28:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1106979</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin, 10 March 2026. There is a widespread perception in Aotearoa New Zealand that the &#8216;Gulf States&#8217; are similar, and closely aligned to each other. The States most familiar to New Zealanders are United Arab Emirates (&#8216;Dubai&#8217; to the many New Zealanders who do not appreciate that Dubai is just one of ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Keith Rankin, 10 March 2026.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 230px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-medium" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg" alt="" width="230" height="300" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg 230w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-783x1024.jpg 783w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-768x1004.jpg 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1175x1536.jpg 1175w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-696x910.jpg 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1068x1396.jpg 1068w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-321x420.jpg 321w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg 1426w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 230px) 100vw, 230px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>There is a widespread perception in Aotearoa New Zealand that the &#8216;Gulf States&#8217; are similar, and closely aligned to each other.</strong> The States most familiar to New Zealanders are United Arab Emirates (&#8216;Dubai&#8217; to the many New Zealanders who do not appreciate that Dubai is just one of six Emirates) and Qatar.</p>
<p>Further we&#8217;ve long-forgotten the dispute which, not-so-long-ago, led to Qatar being isolated by the Saudi Arabia, UAE, and other Sunni Arab countries (noting Egypt in particular). This started with the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar%E2%80%93Saudi_Arabia_diplomatic_conflict" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar%25E2%2580%2593Saudi_Arabia_diplomatic_conflict&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0s78CCvZajYVSBNVVhce2Q">Qatar–Saudi Arabia diplomatic conflict</a>, which in 2017 escalated into the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar_diplomatic_crisis" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar_diplomatic_crisis&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2dl-SaiSczK7lS_MlRfgvS">Qatar diplomatic crisis</a>. This conflict related to allegations of inappropriate financial connections between Qatar and Hamas. While apparent <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar_diplomatic_crisis#Resolution" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar_diplomatic_crisis%23Resolution&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1AFykMC1k_HFV10q-5_Z4h">resolution</a> took place in 2021, there is now a new division; a division even more opaque to casual western observers, and noting that western observations of other parts of the world are rarely anything other than casual.</p>
<p>In October 2021, the popular government of Sudan (the result of a popular revolution in 2019) was overthrown by the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_Armed_Forces" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_Armed_Forces&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw32BX1QYxw7bLNCQY5ULio4">Sudanese Armed Forces</a>. On the eve of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Sudanese_coup_d%27%C3%A9tat" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Sudanese_coup_d%2527%25C3%25A9tat&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2O48bm2X2VSYc0BSyC8XOM">coup</a>, &#8216;Protestors held signs stating, &#8220;the Emirates will not govern us, nor the implementation of Sisi&#8221;.&#8217; For Sisi, read Egypt.</p>
<p>Essentially the anti-Qatar nations were developing their interests in the military and economic exploitation of Sudan. Then, in April 2023, the two parties to the 2021 coup – the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_Support_Forces" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_Support_Forces&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2IIm8J9j-z0ENswuYfJQE5">Rapid Support Forces</a> – split in spectacular fashion, creating the present <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_civil_war_(2023%E2%80%93present)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_civil_war_(2023%25E2%2580%2593present)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1MVsJSukOa2kK8_6kZgfdw">Sudanese Civil War</a>. The UAE backed the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), while Egypt and Saudi Arabia backed the SAF. This is a hideous civil war (see my <a href="https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2505/S00043/war-in-sudan.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2505/S00043/war-in-sudan.htm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1spe4dsBm524WMvlqiQwx8">War in Sudan</a>), with most of the reported atrocities allegedly being committed by the RSF.</p>
<p>This present division of civil-war-sponsorship is <b><i>compounded by the diverging relationships of these three Arab states – Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE – with Israel</i></b>. The Trump-sponsored 2020 <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abraham_Accords" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abraham_Accords&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3d41g3qDTdMVvlKIW_WP_l">Abraham Accords</a> brought Saudi Arabia and UAE (and Bahrain) into line with Egypt as an ally-of-sorts with Israel. According to this Wikipedia account:</p>
<p>&#8220;On August 14, 2021, the Associated Press reported that <b><i>a secret oil deal between Israel and the Emirates, struck in 2020 as part of the Abraham Accords</i></b>, had turned the Israeli resort town of Eilat into a waypoint for Emirati oil headed for Western markets. It was expected to endanger the Red Sea reefs, which host some of the greatest coral diversity on the planet. As Jordan, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia also share the gulf&#8217;s waters, an ecological disaster was likely to impact their ecosystems.&#8221;</p>
<p><b><i>Since then, relations between UAE (and Bahrain) and Israel became particularly close</i></b>. Relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia (and Egypt), on the other hand have soured since the outbreak of the present Sudan war. At the same time, as revealed by Sudan, relations between UAE and these two large Red Sea nations have substantially deteriorated.</p>
<p>That is the backdrop to Iran&#8217;s greater hostility, at present, towards the UAE than towards Qatar. Western reports of the present conflict tend to equate Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait as &#8216;peas in a pod&#8217;. The reality is that UAE is a substantial – albeit understated – ally of Israel. (There has been suspicion that UAE has provided substantial secret support for Israel in its recent wars, especially Israel&#8217;s genocidal war against Hamas in Gaza. Iran will be well aware of the extent of this UAE-Israel alliance.)</p>
<p><b><i>UAE is now in an antagonist relationship with Egypt and Saudi Arabia</i></b>. (Indeed, it&#8217;s now UAE rather than Qatar which is the isolate on the Arabian Peninsula.) In Sudan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia back the SAF. The RSF, on the other hand, is funded and supplied through an opaque deal with UAE; which means that Israel – through its UAE proxy – may in fact be the most important backer of the RSF. And we should note that Israel is, formally, the most important global proxy of the United States; though it may now be that the United States has become Israel&#8217;s most important proxy.</p>
<p>(For security reasons, and as a protest against the UAE&#8217;s geopolitical cynicism, I decided that I would never again fly to London via the Emirates. Tip for Air New Zealand: put on more flights to Vancouver, and publicise the route to London via Canada.)</p>
<p><b>Qatar, Hamas, and Israel</b></p>
<p>The matter of Qatar&#8217;s financial connections with Hamas are distinctly murky. I quote here from the ABC (Australian) <b><i>60 Minutes</i></b> documentary <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-11/the-forever-war/103574742" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-11/the-forever-war/103574742&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1EmEjyGPl4VjKtzlv1SH0H">Gaza, the Forever War</a> (11 March 2024). The programme features interviews with former senior Israeli political and military personnel.</p>
<p>Excerpt from <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-11/the-forever-war/103574742" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-03-11/the-forever-war/103574742&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1EmEjyGPl4VjKtzlv1SH0H">transcript</a>:</p>
<p>JOHN LYONS, REPORTER: It now appears that Netanyahu wanted to sow seeds of division between the hardliners who ruled Gaza and the more conciliatory Palestinian Authority, running the West Bank.</p>
<p>AMI AYALON, FMR HEAD OF <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shin_Bet" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shin_Bet&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1BG13y3Jf1GsMtWIVcQLpT">SHIN BET</a>: We did something very, very simple. We did everything in order to make sure that Hamas will go on controlling Gaza and Palestinian Authority will control the West Bank so they will fight each other.</p>
<p>JOHN LYONS, REPORTER: Netanyahu allowed Qatar to give massive amounts of cash to Hamas in Gaza.</p>
<p>AMI AYALON, FMR HEAD OF SHIN BET: So what we did with the permission of our prime Minister is to let Qatar to transfer a huge amount of money in cash, probably more than $1.4 billion, and to make sure that they will be able to send people to work in Israel and to achieve or to get intelligence if they need. By doing it, we increase the power of Hamas.</p>
<p>EHUD BARAK, FMR PRIME MINISTER OF ISRAEL: That served Netanyahu who wanted to avoid any discussion of two state solution.</p>
<p>JOHN LYONS, REPORTER: So, are you saying Benjamin Netanyahu deliberately boosted Hamas to try to prevent a Palestinian state?</p>
<p>EHUD BARAK, FMR PRIME MINISTER OF ISRAEL: Yeah, sure. He deliberately and systematically even told on record, whoever wants to avoid the threat of a two-state solution has to support my policy of paying protection money to the Hamas.</p>
<p>JOHN LYONS, REPORTER: Netanyahu maintains the Qatar money was to avoid a humanitarian catastrophe. Having helped build up Hamas, Netanyahu has vowed to destroy it.</p>
<p>YEHUDA SHAUL, FMR ISRAELI ARMY COMMANDER: He fed the beast and it exploded in our face.</p>
<p><b>The Hexagon Alliance</b></p>
<p>From <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/22/netanyahu-says-israel-will-forge-regional-alliance-to-rival-radical-axis" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/22/netanyahu-says-israel-will-forge-regional-alliance-to-rival-radical-axis&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1k_4u-K4_n7L_YRl5pRq1e">Netanyahu says Israel will forge regional alliance to rival &#8216;radical axes&#8217;</a> (<i>Al Jazeera</i>, 22 Feb 2026) we have: &#8216;Netanyahu, who is wanted by the International Criminal Court on war crimes charges, also referred to Greece, Cyprus and other unnamed Arab, African and Asian countries. &#8220;In the vision I see before me, we will create an entire system, essentially a <i>hexagon</i> of alliances around or within the Middle East,&#8221; Netanyahu said, according to the <i>Times of Israel</i>. &#8220;The intention here is to create an axis of nations that see eye to eye on the reality, challenges, and goals against the radical axes, both the radical Shia axis, which we have struck very hard, and the emerging radical Sunni axis&#8221;.&#8217;</p>
<p>In <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/will-ethiopia-be-part-of-israels-hexagon-alliance-rivalling-its-enemies" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/will-ethiopia-be-part-of-israels-hexagon-alliance-rivalling-its-enemies&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1aex1KftqL1fsHRneidhmx">Will Ethiopia be part of Israel&#8217;s &#8216;hexagon&#8217; alliance rivalling its enemies?</a> (<i>Al Jazeera</i>, 25 Feb 2026): &#8220;In December, Israel recognised Somaliland&#8217;s statehood, becoming the first country to do so. Months before, there were unconfirmed talks about plans to move displaced Palestinians to Somaliland or to South Sudan, another key Israeli ally in the region. Analysts speculate that countries like South Sudan and the United Arab Emirates, another close friend of Israel, may also recognise Somaliland.&#8221;</p>
<p>So the hexagon would appear to be Greece, Cyprus, India, UAE, Somaliland, and Ethiopia. Ethiopia has a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Religion_in_Ethiopia" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Religion_in_Ethiopia&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3zoPNHSIGl0Ym4UB8eKwq2">Judeo-Christian heritage</a>, in sharp contract to most of its regional neighbours. (See my reference to <i>Judeo-Christian techno-supremacism</i> in <a href="https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2603/S00005/the-greater-evil.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2603/S00005/the-greater-evil.htm&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw21x73bNNVv3Ap7iSQ1WSZk">The Greater Evil</a>, <i>Scoop</i>, 2 March 2026.)</p>
<p>Re the &#8220;emerging radical Sunni axis&#8221;, this article from India – <a href="https://chakranewz.com/insights/the-hexagon-alliance" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://chakranewz.com/insights/the-hexagon-alliance&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0ARUsWTIdQc5kyBgFyUAjf">The Hexagon Alliance</a>, by Ayaan Ahmad and Arjun Dev Singh, 26 Feb 2026 – suggests &#8220;Sunni-majority states such as Türkiye, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, alongside Jordan and Iraq&#8221;. You would have to add Egypt to that.</p>
<p>In this context, we should note that Israeli politicians have already been talking up Türkiye as the next &#8220;threat&#8221;. See <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/23/turkish-threat-talked-up-israel-netanyahu-focuses-new-alliances" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/23/turkish-threat-talked-up-israel-netanyahu-focuses-new-alliances&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0zZ8TnmoPsyQmDggF7h5y_">Turkish &#8216;threat&#8217; talked up in Israel as Netanyahu focuses on new alliances</a>, <i>Al Jazeera</i>, 23 Feb 2026. And, noting a joint expression of Islamophobia, <a href="https://www.trtworld.com/article/b3859ed76f89" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.trtworld.com/article/b3859ed76f89&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2fqW_6XlzWnfj1P0frVco1">Modi in Israel: ‘Hexagon&#8217; alliance and the ideological convergence of Hindutva and Zionism</a>, <i>TRT World</i>, 2 Mar 2026.</p>
<p>And from <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2025/9/21/is-turkiye-israel-next-target-middle-east" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2025/9/21/is-turkiye-israel-next-target-middle-east&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw146YO4jtgUV9KOwcg7vL0D">Is Türkiye Israel’s next target in the Middle East?</a> (<i>Al Jazeera</i>, 21 Sep 2025): &#8220;In Washington, Michael Rubin, a senior fellow at the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute, suggested that Türkiye could be Israel’s next target and warned that it should not rely on its NATO membership for protection.&#8221;</p>
<p>This reflects the significance of Greece and Cyprus within the hexagon. It also points to the United Kingdom, indirectly. Part of the island of Cyprus is British sovereign territory; ie not at all a &#8216;foreign airbase&#8217;. And another part of the island of Cyprus has been a Turkish realm state, albeit unrecognised by the international community (as Somaliland – formally British Somaliland – is also unrecognised).</p>
<p>We may note that the tension between UAE and Saudi Arabia is revealed in Google Maps. Despite there being a long border between the two countries, there is only one road crossing, to the far west of Abu Dhabi. Indeed, Doha in Qatar is closer to that border crossing than is either Dubai or the city of Abu Dhabi. 95% of UAE&#8217;s population lives in that country&#8217;s northeast corner. Along most of the border, there are parallel roads, but no crossing points. In Saudi Arabia that road is Highway 95. In UAE, its road is labelled &#8216;Boarder [sic] Patrol Road CIVILIAN VEHICLE PROHIBITED&#8217;.</p>
<p><b>The Yemen and Somaliland affairs</b></p>
<p>As noted by <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/will-ethiopia-be-part-of-israels-hexagon-alliance-rivalling-its-enemies" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/will-ethiopia-be-part-of-israels-hexagon-alliance-rivalling-its-enemies&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1aex1KftqL1fsHRneidhmx">Al Jazeera</a>: &#8216;Saudi Arabia is embroiled in an ongoing rift with the United Arab Emirates over how to deal with the conflict in Yemen.&#8217;</p>
<p>Yemen is one of those many places that are geopolitically important, but completely off New Zealand&#8217;s media radar. Historically Yemen was host to an important Jewish population (<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yemenite_Jews" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yemenite_Jews&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1E0gKotELKB0TwEeseE4YN">Yemenite Jews</a>). Southern Yemen – especially Aden – was, for a century, a critical cog in the British Empire. Post-colonially, Southern Yemen became a &#8216;radical&#8217; country in the world order, whereas Northern Yemen was a religiously conservative society, the Shia <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaydism" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zaydism&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0Fx-9q2OBbIg-jgFbTAwTj">Zaydi Imamate</a> until 1962 and then the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yemen_Arab_Republic" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yemen_Arab_Republic&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw09Z5SFnwsoNWvB6CDZj2Rd">Yemen Arab Republic</a>.</p>
<p>In more recent years, that conservative north has become a Shia &#8216;Iranian proxy&#8217;, the &#8216;Houthis&#8217;. And the internationally recognised government of Yemen – operative in the south – has become, in that same sense, a Saudi Arabian proxy regime.</p>
<p>On 2 December 2025, the failed <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025%E2%80%932026_Southern_Yemen_campaign" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025%25E2%2580%25932026_Southern_Yemen_campaign&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3IibcnukMhQy76fCfRLW9H">2025–2026 Southern Yemen campaign</a> began, essentially an attempt by the UAE-backed <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_Transitional_Council" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_Transitional_Council&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0tzwcB0DdKwV66SHRTPUNU">Southern Transitional Council</a> (STC) to overthrow the Saudi-backed government. It was in the midst of this Israeli-backed campaign that Israel became the first country to recognise Somaliland – close to the geographical Horn of Africa&#8217;, and juxtaposed to Aden – as a sovereign state.</p>
<p>This has to be understood in the context of Israel&#8217;s Hexagon Alliance; indeed, an attempt to impose UAE/Israeli control over the geopolitically sensitive southern coastline of the Arabian peninsula. From <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/1/16/why-israels-recognition-of-somaliland-backfired" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/1/16/why-israels-recognition-of-somaliland-backfired&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3TNDiUy32Rb-VUQyruV1sL">Why Israel&#8217;s recognition of Somaliland backfired</a>, (16 Jun 2026) by Abdi Aynte, former minister of planning and international cooperation of Somalia: &#8220;By empowering breakaway regions, Israel, with the backing of key regional partners, especially the United Arab Emirates, has sought to reshape the regional order.&#8221;</p>
<p>Aynte: &#8220;What some experts describe as an &#8216;Axis of Secession&#8217; is already visible in Libya, Yemen, Sudan, Somalia and Syria. Led by Israel and supported by a network of regional partners, this axis targets countries whose central governments, hollowed out by conflict, exercise only partial control over their territory. The logic is simple: weaken central authority, bolster breakaway regions, and cultivate dependent entities willing to align with Israel and sign onto the Abraham Accords.&#8221; Aynte calls these nations &#8220;emerging client polities&#8221; of Israel, though resistance remains strong in Somalia, Yemen and Sudan.</p>
<p>Beyond these smaller fractured nation states, there are several large nation states in the region which Israel is trying to fracture. While these attempts in Iran are all too visible, a literal smokescreen, quietly Israel is adding Ethiopia – a country with 100,000 people – to its client list. We note that Ethiopia is hosting RSF training camps, further undermining Sudan&#8217;s sovereignty. See Reuters: <a href="https://www.reuters.com/investigations/ethiopia-builds-secret-camp-train-sudan-rsf-fighters-sources-say-2026-02-10/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.reuters.com/investigations/ethiopia-builds-secret-camp-train-sudan-rsf-fighters-sources-say-2026-02-10/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1WFZWzb3g8jvuJqGGpX-ZX">Ethiopia builds secret camp to train Sudan RSF fighters, sources say</a>, 10 Feb 2026.</p>
<p>This is not regional geopolitics which New Zealand can naively pretend-away. Aynte adds: &#8220;Somaliland&#8217;s decision to cultivate ties with Taiwan inevitably drew Beijing&#8217;s attention&#8221;. &#8220;The result [of Israel&#8217;s meddling through client third parties] is an increasingly crowded and volatile theatre, where global power rivalries intersect with unresolved local aspirations.&#8221; &#8220;Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, once close partners, are now increasingly at odds, while Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Egypt have begun coordinating to counter what they view as a destabilising &#8216;Axis of Secession&#8217;.&#8221;</p>
<p>And we note &#8220;widespread claims that Israel is exploring resettlement of Palestinian refugees from Gaza in Somaliland&#8221;. (An echo of Britain&#8217;s <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Uganda_Programme" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Uganda_Programme&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw25v9Z66tDyHssjEbqiL7nV">former plan</a> to settle European Jews in Uganda!)</p>
<p>If we look at a map of the so-called &#8216;Middle East&#8217; (nobody refers to Near East or Far East anymore!) and paint the hexagon countries in &#8216;Star-of-David&#8217; blue – including Israel itself and its occupied territories, and including the RSF-controlled parts of Sudan – the obvious missing links are Egypt, Türkiye, and Iran. Hence the present war in Iran, and the concerns already noted re Türkiye. But what about Egypt?</p>
<p><b>Egypt, Iran and the Bible</b></p>
<p>Even today, Israel&#8217;s reference point is the Old Testament of The Bible. Note Al Jazeera&#8217;s Inside Story episode of 2 March 2026, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/2/what-dangers-does-the-iran-war-pose-for-israel" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/2/what-dangers-does-the-iran-war-pose-for-israel&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3u1JwNovGUFNnypRZHPhDm">What dangers does the Iran war pose for Israel?</a>, featuring Mitchell Barak, &#8220;former speech writer for Israeli PM Ariel Sharon&#8221;, noting that Sharon was nicknamed <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butcher_of_Beirut" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butcher_of_Beirut&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0SZIPX12G9lpZZQKQt0cdQ">Butcher of Beirut</a> on account of his responsibility for the 1982 <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabra_and_Shatila_massacre" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sabra_and_Shatila_massacre&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1sQq9DVI3P9ZxreR7xM33P">Sabra and Shatila massacre</a>.</p>
<p>Interviewer: &#8220;Mitchell, I&#8217;m going to start things off with you. Please give us a broad brushstroke of how you see things unfolding.&#8221;</p>
<p>Barak: &#8220;First of all, I&#8217;d like to wish a Ramadan Kareem to all of the people watching who are celebrating and commemorating this holiday. It is also a fast day in Israel, the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fast_of_Esther" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fast_of_Esther&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2HKCQTTiVKMaD8EC7QI65h">Fast of Esther</a>, which commemorates ironically and interestingly enough the victory of the Jewish people over an evil Persian empire 2,500 years ago.&#8221;</p>
<p>He is referring to the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Purim" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Purim&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3tzW2_3Pqlln2dy2drfTKr">Purim</a> holiday. Note, in these Wikipedia references, the references to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amalek" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amalek&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2WI9VGfvb4H39owS8Pqh9e">Amalek</a>, the word that Benjamin Netanyahu invoked to justify the subsequent genocide of Gaza. Refer <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/religionandethicsreport/what-s-the-biblical-story-of-amalek-evoked-by-netanyahu/103380802" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/religionandethicsreport/what-s-the-biblical-story-of-amalek-evoked-by-netanyahu/103380802&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0Mjb8Xh7_aqn40mmETp7NI">The Biblical story of Amalek evoked by Netanyahu</a>, <i>ABC</i>24 Jan 2024.</p>
<p>Barak did not go on to answer the &#8220;broad brushstroke&#8221; question.</p>
<p>Two polities which feature strongly in that biblical narrative are Egypt and (in the guise of Babylon) Persia aka Iran. To fully understand Israel&#8217;s agenda today, we really need to see that regime and its cultural acolytes as playing a long game; a very long game. Israel is trying to reverse the wrongs that it believed it suffered, around 2½ to 3 thousand years ago, at the hands of those two ancient civilisations. (The irony is that Israel denied that there was any historical context – not even a day&#8217;s historical context – to the &#8216;blue-sky&#8217; shock events of 7 October 2023.)</p>
<p>Seen in this context, it is credible that the principal target of the Hexagon Alliance is Egypt, not Türkiye.</p>
<p>And, re the current role of the United Arab Emirates in that fraught region, Australia should not provide military support to Israel&#8217;s secret ally and proxy. (See <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-10/australia-to-provide-military-support-to-gulf-states/106435248" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-10/australia-to-provide-military-support-to-gulf-states/106435248&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1773271746313000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2g0fTmGk7leouqvqSHGLjB">Australia to provide military support to Gulf states attacked by Iran</a>, ABC 10 March 2026.)</p>
<p align="center">*******</p>
<p>Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>EDITORIAL: When Mediocrity Fails National Interest</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/03/editorial-when-mediocrity-fails-national-interest/</link>
					<comments>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/03/editorial-when-mediocrity-fails-national-interest/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Mar 2026 08:38:09 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1106384</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Editorial by Selwyn Manning. The New Zealand Government’s response to Israel-US attacks on Iran has revealed a chasm. On one side are those who argue; that New Zealand must stay aligned with its 20th century allies right or wrong. On the other side are those who insist; that the long fought for reputation, of a ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="p2">Editorial by Selwyn Manning.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1106385" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1106385" style="width: 300px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Selwyn-Manning-2.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="size-medium wp-image-1106385" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Selwyn-Manning-2-300x169.png" alt="" width="300" height="169" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Selwyn-Manning-2-300x169.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Selwyn-Manning-2.png 634w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1106385" class="wp-caption-text">Selwyn Manning, editor of EveningReport.nz and founder of Multimedia Investments Ltd (see: milnz.co.nz)</figcaption></figure>
<p class="p2"><strong>The New Zealand Government’s response to Israel-US attacks on Iran has revealed a chasm. On one side are those who argue; that New Zealand must stay aligned with its 20th century allies right or wrong.</strong></p>
<p class="p2">On the other side are those who insist; that the long fought for reputation, of a nation that stood for an international order based on law, justice and multilateralism, should be the guiding principles in good times and bad.</p>
<p class="p3">New Zealand has inched toward such societal rifts before; the Springbok Rugby tour of New Zealand in 1981; shortly followed by a generational shift and geo-political quake that came in the form of New Zealand’s anti-nuclear movement and subsequent enduring legislation. The United Nations security council endorsed response in Afghanistan to attacks on the United States shook the foundations of the Labour-Alliance coalition Government in 2001-02. And the fraudulently justified US-led invasion of Iraq triggered hundreds of thousands of New Zealanders to protest in the streets.<em> (The Helen Clark Labour-led Government of the time refused to officially be included among the US-led coalition forces that invaded Iraq.)</em></p>
<p class="p3">In recent times, old loyalties and biases have been challenged with the genocidal disproportional response by Israel against Hamas and generally Palestinian woman, children, and the elderly whose only offence was to exist in the path of the military machine.</p>
<p class="p3">And now, the US Donald Trump Administration’s alliance with Israel has unilaterally justified its attacks on Iran &#8211; the murder of its supreme leader and the assassination of over 40 individuals in its operational chain of command &#8211; as a legal pre-emptive response to a perceived first-strike-plan by Iran. This, while negotiations were underway to address regional security concerns.</p>
<p class="p3">This is the backdrop to New Zealand Government’s response where Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Foreign Minister Winston Peters wrote on Sunday March 1:</p>
<p class="p3" style="padding-left: 40px;">“In this context, we acknowledge that the actions taken overnight by the US and Israel were designed to prevent Iran from continuing to threaten international peace and security.</p>
<p class="p3" style="padding-left: 40px;">“We condemn in the strongest terms Iran’s indiscriminate retaliatory attacks on Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Jordan. We cannot risk further regional escalation, and civilian life must be protected.” <i>(Ref. </i><a href="https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/nz-government-statement-iran"><span class="s1"><i>https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/nz-government-statement-iran</i></span></a><i> )</i><i></i></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">*******</p>
<p class="p2"><strong>LISTEN:</strong> To<a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/thepanel/audio/2019025368/the-panel-with-sue-bradford-and-phil-o-reilly-part-1" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Radio New Zealand’s The Panel</a>, where host Wallace Chapman is joined by panellists <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sue_Bradford" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sue Bradford</a> and <a href="https://nz.linkedin.com/in/phil-o-reilly-onzm-51700810" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Phil O&#8217;Reilly</a>. First up, is an extended conversation on the US and Israel attack on Iran. Columnist and Iranian New Zealander, Donna Miles-Mojab, delivers her take on the conflict and what it means for the regime. Then, I (Selwyn Manning) give an analysis on New Zealand&#8217;s stance and the legality of the attack.</p>
<audio class="wp-audio-shortcode" id="audio-1106384-2" preload="none" style="width: 100%;" controls="controls"><source type="audio/mpeg" src="https://podcast.radionz.co.nz/downloads/panel/panel-20260303-1800-the_panel_with_sue_bradford_and_phil_oreilly_part_1-128.mp3?_=2" /><a href="https://podcast.radionz.co.nz/downloads/panel/panel-20260303-1800-the_panel_with_sue_bradford_and_phil_oreilly_part_1-128.mp3">https://podcast.radionz.co.nz/downloads/panel/panel-20260303-1800-the_panel_with_sue_bradford_and_phil_oreilly_part_1-128.mp3</a></audio>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p2">It’s well worth a listen, as the fault line of New Zealand debate is clear.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">*******</p>
<p class="p2">For those who are prepared to abandon the process of law and justice on international affairs, the New Zealand Government&#8217;s statement offered clarity; that their government would stand at the side of traditional security ‘friends’ as they commit to fight against another ‘evil’ empire.</p>
<p class="p2">For others, the statement was another example of mediocrity from a coalition that lacks a morality within its own argument &#8211; an apparent abandonment of principles such as international law and multilateralism &#8211; frameworks that have served small significant nations like New Zealand well.</p>
<p class="p2">The argument follows; that New Zealand’s coalition government has jeopardised the national interest, the hard won identity respected by those nations that still hold true to multilateralism and principle.</p>
<p class="p2"><strong>Here&#8217;s a please explain moment:</strong></p>
<p class="p2">New Zealand is a small nation, but it is a significant actor in international affairs. Once, it could be relied upon &#8211; especially on matters of principle &#8211; to articulate a strong position on breaches of international law and justice. We have held positions at the United Nations security council, have been a driven advocate among general assembly nations and a persuasive arbiter among multilateral groups such as CANZ (Canada, Australia, New Zealand) that tag-team diplomacy at the United Nations and elsewhere.</p>
<p class="p2">New Zealand was once a staunch advocate (and remains a member state) of the International Criminal Court. And, in matters of trade, New Zealand sought to develop common ground rather than difference &#8211; tools that have been beneficial to others in times past when conflict has raged and red-mist would otherwise have dominated attempts at a diplomatic solution.</p>
<p class="p2">Today’s New Zealand is a myriad of conflicting arguments; its current coalition government argues that Iran’s regime is evil so therefore the powerful must bomb it to peace.</p>
<p class="p2">But the fact that the Iran regime is not a paragon of virtue &#8211; either domestically or regionally &#8211; does not diminish the fact that the United States’ and Israel’s governments decided to attack &#8211; decisions that allegedly and arguably breach international law.</p>
<p class="p2">International law: In a rudimentary sense; it comes down to whether Israel in the first instance was legally obliged to commit a preemptive strike on Iran, murdering its supreme leader and taking out over 40 of those who were in its chain of command.</p>
<p class="p2">Was there an imminent threat to Israel? At this juncture, it appears not.</p>
<p class="p2">Were diplomatic efforts underway to address regional security concerns, through US diplomatic efforts? Yes… up until Thursday February 26.</p>
<p class="p2"><strong>When Opposition Is Beyond Political</strong></p>
<p class="p2">Back to New Zealand: New Zealand’s Prime Minister Christopher Luxon, on matters of geopolitics and global security, often appears to operate more like a CEO rather than the chair of a nation’s cabinet.</p>
<p class="p2">Widespread reports of the Prime Minister’s lack of coherency on this matter is reasonably consistent with a manager waiting to be guided by a governor, or board chair by way of policy, on the required pathway ahead.</p>
<p class="p2">The problem for Christopher Luxon is; he has no such external nor internal guidance. In geopolitics and matters of global security, policy alone does not help. Natural leadership qualities do.</p>
<p class="p2">Throughout his prime ministership, Luxon has displayed a tendency to outsource foreign affairs leadership responsibilities to his junior coalition partner, New Zealand First leader Winston Peters. Or, when that doesn’t work, he leans toward Australia and/or the United States to provide direction on big picture issues.</p>
<p class="p2">But for many New Zealanders, New Zealand can’t have it both ways; either it (the coalition government) sides with the ‘might-is-right’ Trump-led approach to chaotic global affairs, or it sides with the multitude of countries that still hold on to principles of justice and international law.</p>
<p class="p2">Where will New Zealand as a society tilt? It will likely be up to New Zealand voters, later in 2026, to finally decide which way this country tracks over the next few years.</p>
<p class="p2">US President Trump’s vanity and sense of global imperialism has become more expansive and performative this year.</p>
<p class="p2">These are times when countries like New Zealand, lacking persuasive moral leadership, can easily lose their souls, and, in the process of being risk averse, risk abandoning their own sovereignty, national interest, and identity.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">*******</p>
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		<title>Selwyn Manning Analysis: Israel clearly saw an opportunity to strike Iran. Here’s the trip-wire&#8230;</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2025/06/13/selwyn-manning-analysis-israel-clearly-saw-an-opportunity-to-strike-iran-heres-the-trip-wire/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2025 06:54:08 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1094710</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analysis and Notes by Selwyn Manning: Prep for Radio New Zealand &#8211; Israel Strikes Against Iran &#8211; June 13, 2025. Listen to the audio from 3:00 minutes in. Over the last 24 hours, the atomic control agency IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) formed a view at its UN Geneva meeting, that there was so-called evidence ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="p2">Analysis and Notes by Selwyn Manning: Prep for Radio New Zealand &#8211; Israel Strikes Against Iran &#8211; June 13, 2025.</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://embeds.rnz.co.nz/audio/2018991362" width="100%" height="100px" frameborder="0"></iframe></p>
<p>Listen to the audio from 3:00 minutes in.</p>
<figure id="attachment_34809" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-34809" style="width: 260px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Selwyn-Manning-Media3.png"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="size-full wp-image-34809" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Selwyn-Manning-Media3.png" alt="" width="260" height="194" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Selwyn-Manning-Media3.png 260w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Selwyn-Manning-Media3-80x60.png 80w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 260px) 100vw, 260px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-34809" class="wp-caption-text">Selwyn Manning, editor of EveningReport.nz.</figcaption></figure>
<p class="p2"><strong>Over the last 24 hours, the atomic control agency IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) formed a view at its UN Geneva meeting, that there was <span class="s1">so-called evidence</span> that Iran had <span class="s1">‘undisclosed sites’</span> where uranium was identified.</strong></p>
<p class="p2">Iran disputes this, and suggested today that the IAEA members were wrong.</p>
<p class="p2">It appears Israel identified a <span class="s1">window of opportunity</span> where it can strike Iran’s nuclear power generation infrastructure, assassinate its nuclear scientists, and destroy other sites <span class="s1">that it insists</span> are covert nuclear-development-sites.</p>
<p class="p2">But let’s be clear at this moment, <span class="s1">it is not proven</span> that Iran <span class="s1">has or had</span> a covert uranium enrichment operation in play.</p>
<p class="p2">ISRAEL CLAIMS:</p>
<p class="p2">Israel claims its attacks on Iran are justified as preemptive defence operations &#8211; but we need to understand here… preemptive defence in itself is not legal.</p>
<p class="p2">The problem on this aspect is Israel has arguably, long ago, <span class="s1">crossed the Rubicon regarding International Law</span> &#8211; especially in Gaza and the West Bank. So it’s reasonable to suggest; Israel is not deterred by the possibility of <span class="s1">any future recourse</span> being brought upon it by the international community.</p>
<p class="p2">CONTEXT:</p>
<p class="p2">Iran is believed to be <span class="s1">not war-ready</span>. But, Iran will respond. Its Supreme Leader stated it will respond. It remains to be seen how it will respond.</p>
<p class="p2" style="padding-left: 40px;">At this moment, there are reports in Israel that over 100 missiles are incoming from Iran to Israel.</p>
<p class="p2">We also know, Israel has weakened Hezbollah, especially within Lebanon. The strikes on Beirut earlier this month and prior were designed to weaken Hezbollah.</p>
<p class="p2">Further, Syria is in a state of transition.</p>
<p>This is the backdrop to Israel&#8217;s window of opportunity.</p>
<p class="p2">THE UNITED STATES:</p>
<p class="p2">The United States obviously knew a strike was imminent. It pulled non-essential personnel out of neighbouring Iraq and from the general region.</p>
<p class="p2">United States President Donald Trump has confirmed that there was communication on this offensive between Israel and the US, in the context of no-surprises.</p>
<p class="p2">Trump added that the US would help defend Israel, but it’s unclear what ‘defend’ actually means. The US appears to be waiting to see exactly how Iran responds.</p>
<p class="p2">The Trump Administration insists Israel’s decision to strike Iran was unilateral. United States Secretary of State Marco Rubio said today: “We are not involved in strikes against Iran, and our top priority is protecting American forces in the region.”</p>
<p class="p2">IRAN’S POSITION:</p>
<p class="p5">Last Sunday, the Iranian President said Iran was “ready for inspections” but added it is “unacceptable to deprive peoples of access to knowledge, technology and scientific achievements”.</p>
<p class="p5">*** <span class="s1">Only yesterday</span> Iran’s foreign minister stated that Iran and the US were close to a deal on its nuclear energy ambitions. In a statement he said: “Trump took office saying that Iran <span class="s1">should not have nuclear weapons</span>. In fact, <span class="s1">this is in line with our own doctrine</span> and could be the main basis for the deal.”</p>
<p>Perhaps Israel saw its window of opportunity narrowing.</p>
<p class="p5">Iran insists its nuclear energy programme has been transparent.</p>
<p class="p5">BACK-STORY:</p>
<p>In negotiations with United States envoys, Iran has been insisting that it has the right to enrich its uranium but insists this is for efficient energy generation.</p>
<p class="p5">Back in May Iran’s foreign minister said: To claim that any country that wants to enrich uranium has <span class="s1">non-peaceful purposes is a “deliberate misconception”</span></p>
<p class="p5">He stressed. “There are states that enrich uranium but do not possess nuclear weapons.”</p>
<p class="p5">LEAKS ISRAEL GOVERNMENT INTELLIGENCE:</p>
<p class="p5">On June 7, Iran’s Intelligence Minister claimed Iran had acquired trove of Israel Government documents that detailed <span class="s1">Israel’s nuclear program</span>.</p>
<p class="p5">Iran described the intelligence as <span class="s1">“sensitive and strategic”</span> and one of the most <span class="s1">significant intelligence leaks</span> in Israel’s history.</p>
<p class="p5">The intelligence documents also detailed communications between Israel and the United States, Europe and other countries.</p>
<p class="p2">OTHER CONTEXT:</p>
<p class="p2">The Russian Federation announced this week that it was willing to assist Iran with its nuclear energy ambitions.</p>
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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; Using Cuba 1962 to explain Trump&#8217;s brinkmanship</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2025/05/27/keith-rankin-analysis-using-cuba-1962-to-explain-trumps-brinkmanship/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 May 2025 06:10:53 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1094338</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin. People of a certain age will be aware that the 1962 Cuba Missile Crisis was, for the world as a whole, the most dangerous moment of the Cold War. The 1962 &#8216;Battle of Cuba&#8217; was a &#8216;cold battle&#8217; in the same sense that the Cold War was a &#8216;cold war&#8217;. (Only ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="font-weight: 400;">Analysis by Keith Rankin.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 230px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-medium" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg" alt="" width="230" height="300" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg 230w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-783x1024.jpg 783w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-768x1004.jpg 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1175x1536.jpg 1175w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-696x910.jpg 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1068x1396.jpg 1068w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-321x420.jpg 321w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg 1426w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 230px) 100vw, 230px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>People of a certain age will be aware that the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuban_Missile_Crisis" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuban_Missile_Crisis&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1748405633210000&amp;usg=AOvVaw05i9V_VCfLjvzJU99nsw-y">1962 Cuba Missile Crisis</a> was, for the world as a whole, the most dangerous moment of the Cold War.</strong> The 1962 &#8216;Battle of Cuba&#8217; was a &#8216;cold battle&#8217; in the same sense that the Cold War was a &#8216;cold war&#8217;. (Only one actual shot was fired, by Cuba.) Nevertheless, it is appropriate to ask, &#8220;who won&#8221;?</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In military events hot or cold – it is surprisingly difficult to answer such a question. But it&#8217;s actually quite easy in this case.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The cold Battle of Cuba was about three countries, and three charismatic leaders: Nikita Khrushchev (Soviet Union), John F Kennedy (United States), and Fidel Castro (Cuba). Following the disastrous American invasion of Cuba in 1961, Cuba had taken on the role of a Soviet Union &#8216;client state&#8217; – hence a military proxy – of the Soviet Union. (Prior to the Bay of Pigs assault, Cuba, while a revolutionary country, was not a communist country; though at least one prominent revolutionary, the Argentinian doctor Che Guevara, was certainly of the communist faith and took every opportunity to convert Cuba into a polity that followed the Book of Marx. The actions of the United States facilitated Castro&#8217;s eventual conversion.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The situation that Khrushchev faced in late 1961 was that NATO had an installation of American nuclear-armed missiles in Turkey (now Türkiye). While Turkey had a common border with the Soviet Union – Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia – the missiles were essentially facing north across the Black Sea, into Ukraine and Russia. This was a clear and open – though not widely publicised in &#8216;the west&#8217; – security threat to the Soviet Union.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Taking advantage of the political fallout between Cuba and the United States, Khrushchev – in an act of bravado, indeed brinkmanship – negotiated with Castro to install nuclear-capable missiles in Cuba, one of the few genuine security threats that the United States has ever faced.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The world trembled at the prospect of imminent (and possibly all-out) nuclear war. Castro looked forward to a hot battle which he was sure Khrushchev and Castro would together win. But Castro was doomed to disappointment. Khrushchev dismantled his missiles in Cuba, and Kennedy dismantled his missiles in Turkey.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">So, compare, say, October 1963 with October 1961. The only real difference was that in 1961 there were American missiles in Turkey pointing in the direction of Moscow, and in 1963 there were not. Game, set, and match to Khrushchev. (And of course, the whole world was the winner, in that not a nuclear missile was fired in anger. Though the Cubans did shoot down an American reconnaissance aircraft.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">That&#8217;s not the narrative which the western world has taken on board though. In the West, it&#8217;s interpreted as a Soviet Union backdown, in the face of relentless diplomatic pressure from the Kennedy brothers (with Robert Kennedy playing a key negotiating role). Certainly, the world was on tenterhooks; brinkmanship can go disastrously wrong.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">There are some analogies with the current Ukraine crisis. Though the Ukraine War is certainly a hot war.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Brinkmanship failed in 2021 and 2022. Nevertheless, Volodymyr Zelenskyy does pose as a good analogue to Fidel Castro (though not as an incipient communist!).</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Donald Trump&#8217;s brinkmanship re China and the European Union</strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Trump&#8217;s war is a &#8216;trade war&#8217;, Winston Peters&#8217; rejection of the &#8216;war analogy&#8217; notwithstanding. This is a war that uses the language of war. Two longstanding mercantilist economic nations (China, European Union) and one mercantilist leader are slugging it out to see who can export more goods and services to the world; the prize being a mix of gold and virtual-gold, the proceeds of unbalanced trade.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">(Historically the United States has also been a mercantilist nation, going right back to its origins as a &#8216;victim&#8217; of British mercantilism in the eighteenth century. The United States has always been uneasy about its post World-War-Two role as global consumer-of-last-resort and its historical instincts towards mercantilism; an instinct that contributed substantially to the global Great Depression of 1930 to 1935. &#8216;Mercantilism&#8217; is often confused by economists with &#8216;protectionism&#8217;, and indeed the American Smoot-Hawley tariffs of 1930 were a mix of both.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">My reading of Donald Trump is that he is a mercantilist, but not a protectionist; that he&#8217;s not really a tariff-lover, just as Khrushchev was not really a missile lover. Instinctively, China and especially the European Union are protectionist as a way of supporting their ingrained mercantilism. But a country that is &#8216;great again&#8217; – in this &#8216;making money&#8217; context – can prevail in a trade war without tariffs. Indeed, that&#8217;s exactly why the United Kingdom moved sharply towards tree trade in the 1840s and 1850s. England had not lost its mercantilist spots. But at the heart of an English Empire within a British Empire, London had the power to win a &#8216;free trade&#8217; trade war. It was the other would-be powers – the new kids on the global block; the USA, Germany&#8217;s Second Reich, and later Japan and Russia – which turned to tariff protection in order to stymie the United Kingdom.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Trump&#8217;s super-tariffs against China and the European Union – trade weapons, economic &#8216;missiles&#8217; – are designed to get those two economic nations to remove their various trade barriers that existed in 2024. Once they do that, then Trump may remove his tariff threats.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Trump is playing brinkmanship in the way of Khrushchev. Xi Jinping is Kennedy; so, in a way, is Ursula von der Leyen. Canada, in a sense, is Cuba. (Though Mark Carney may not like to think of himself as Castro!)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">If Trump gets his way, the United States&#8217; economy in 2026 will be as free as it was in 2024. The Chinese and European Union economies will have significantly fewer tariff and non-tariff import barriers than in 2024. Significantly fewer &#8216;trade weapons&#8217; poised to &#8216;rip off&#8217; the United States! Canada will be much the same in 2026 as in 2024, albeit with a newfound sense of national identity.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Implications for the Wider World, and the Global Monetary System</strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The wider world will probably not be better off with a mercantilist war, albeit a free-trade war. When hippopotamuses start dancing …!</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">We already see how free trade in &#8216;big guns&#8217; is creating military instability in Africa and South Asia. And we must expect to see the United States&#8217; special role as the fulcrum of the world&#8217;s monetary system dissipate if the United States significantly reduces its trade deficits; requiring some other deficit countries to take up that challenge. Canada? Australia? India? United Kingdom? A new anti-mercantilist British Empire? I don&#8217;t think so. Türkiye? Saudi Arabia? Brazil? Maybe not. Japan? Maybe. Russia? If the Ukraine war ends, Russia will struggle to import more than it exports; though I am sure that Donald Trump would like to see the United States exporting lots of stuff to Russia.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The International Monetary Fund? Maybe, but only if it changes some of its narratives. The challenge here will be for it to reform itself in line with John Maynard Keynes&#8217; proposals at and after Bretton Woods, the 1944 conference which set itself the task of establishing the post-war global monetary order. Keynes envisaged a World Reserve Bank; though he didn&#8217;t envisage monetary policy – with New Zealand in 1989 acknowledged as the world&#8217;s lead &#8216;reformer&#8217; – falling into the hands of the &#8216;monetarists&#8217; and their false narratives about inflation.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400; text-align: center;">*******</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Keith Rankin on the War in Sudan</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2025/05/22/keith-rankin-on-the-war-in-sudan/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 May 2025 05:36:35 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CTF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MIL Syndication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MIL-OSI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military Forces]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sudan]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1094234</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin. On 11 April 2025, AP noted that the two-year-old Civil War in Sudan is regarded by the United Nations as &#8220;the world’s worst humanitarian crisis&#8221;, though it is grossly underreported (see Wake up: The Worst Humanitarian Crisis on Earth is in Sudan, by Shirley Martey Hargis and Mike Sexton, Third Way ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="font-weight: 400;">Analysis by Keith Rankin.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 230px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-medium" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg" alt="" width="230" height="300" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg 230w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-783x1024.jpg 783w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-768x1004.jpg 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1175x1536.jpg 1175w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-696x910.jpg 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1068x1396.jpg 1068w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-321x420.jpg 321w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg 1426w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 230px) 100vw, 230px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">On 11 April 2025, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/sudan-un-famine-humanitarian-conflict-government-paramilitary-79ad7023ae90b582b877e5dd5acb18e0" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://apnews.com/article/sudan-un-famine-humanitarian-conflict-government-paramilitary-79ad7023ae90b582b877e5dd5acb18e0&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw18DT_oAIwr70s050WPKgtN">AP noted</a> that the two-year-old Civil War in Sudan is regarded by the United Nations as &#8220;the world’s worst humanitarian crisis&#8221;, though it is grossly underreported (see <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep61321" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep61321&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2alQ9CdKD7qv8lFe7SzST-">Wake up: The Worst Humanitarian Crisis on Earth is in Sudan</a>, by Shirley Martey Hargis and Mike Sexton, <em>Third Way</em> [2024]).</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Even Pope Leo XIV failed to mention &#8216;Sudan&#8217; on Sunday when he denounced the conflicts in Gaza, Ukraine, and Myanmar (refer <a href="https://www.africanews.com/2025/05/18/pope-leo-calls-for-peace-in-gaza-myanmar-and-ukraine-at-the-end-of-his-inaugural-mass/" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.africanews.com/2025/05/18/pope-leo-calls-for-peace-in-gaza-myanmar-and-ukraine-at-the-end-of-his-inaugural-mass/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw04wCRurTqIiQDzkZeUuO7P">Pope Leo calls for peace in Gaza, Myanmar and Ukraine at the end of his inaugural mass</a>, <em>Africa News</em> 18 May 2025).</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><em>Al Jazeera&#8217;s</em> <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/program/the-stream/2025/5/20/why-isnt-the-world-paying-attention-to-sudan" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/program/the-stream/2025/5/20/why-isnt-the-world-paying-attention-to-sudan&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2mkuakUUBA_QAQnd5EYbJM">The Stream</a> (20 May) posed this social media post: &#8220;Trying to raise awareness about Sudan is like talking into a void. Nobody seems to care about the starving children or the innocent people being brutally executed by the RSF on a daily basis&#8221;.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The young man, Elbashir Idris, political analyst, speaking from Cardiff, claimed: &#8220;There&#8217;s an international conspiracy done by the global order that seems to be working together against the Sudanese people&#8221;.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>What Sudan means to me, and that the conflict should mean to New Zealand</strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">I have not been to Israel, Gaza, Ukraine, or Myanmar; though I have been close to Gaza; Port Said (and other places in Egypt, during the week in September 1978 when Pope Jean-Paul I mysteriously died). And I enjoyed two days in Khartoum and Omdurman the following week.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Sudan represents a special memory to me. It&#8217;s an assertive place. Khartoum, on the confluence of the Blue Nile and the White Nile, was the site of one of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siege_of_Khartoum" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siege_of_Khartoum&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0SrUqLERxsorc-To0A89ZG">most spectacular defeats of the British Empire</a>, in 1884/85. I still remember the epic 1966 movie <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khartoum_(1966_film)" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khartoum_(1966_film)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw20BqlYdvrAqsLMXQRbA54S">Khartoum</a>, starring Charlton Heston and Lawrence Olivier.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">That 1880s&#8217; stoush – reminiscent of the 2021 defeat of the United States by the Taliban – could have been New Zealand&#8217;s first involvement in a foreign imperial war. The conservative government in New Zealand – headed by Harry Atkinson – refused the request from the United Kingdom for military support; contrast the subsequent adventure into South Africa in 1899 under the Liberal Government of Richard Seddon.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><em>Al Jazeera</em> <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/5/20/sudans-army-declares-khartoum-state-completely-free-of-paramilitary-rsf" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/5/20/sudans-army-declares-khartoum-state-completely-free-of-paramilitary-rsf&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw107SjDbQhmGjLoZC86o9x_">reported just today</a> (20 May 2025, Sudan time) that the new <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Khartoum_(2023%E2%80%932025)" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Khartoum_(2023%25E2%2580%25932025)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0SNOiUGOOyVOIHRjr1vbxE">Battle of Khartoum (2023–2025)</a> has resolved with a victory to the Sudanese Armed Forces over the rebel Rapid Support Forces. (The Wikipedia article is premature, calling the present Battle of Khartoum over on 26 March 2025.) The Sudan Civil War remains far from over, however.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">One reason why the west has paid so little attention to this conflict is almost certainly a racism-tainted view; that it&#8217;s just a civil war in &#8216;black Africa&#8217;, that the rest of the world can leave well-alone. But this view is not true, because the present Sudan Civil War is an international &#8216;proxy war&#8217;; fuelled by extra-national powers – regional if not global.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Before the Civil War started, there was a successful military coup, in October 2021. Sudanese politics have always been convoluted, as is true in reality for most countries. Sudan had struggled for decades with a humanitarian crisis in its west – Darfur – with attacks on civilian communities by the mysterious <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Janjaweed" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Janjaweed&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3kRdK3kCpN6E1n-DCsynE1">Janjaweed</a> which had links to Libya in the time of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muammar_Gaddafi" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muammar_Gaddafi&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3APeVIhpz_6HJIACCNdy5c">Muammar Gaddafi</a>. The Janjaweed has now largely morphed into the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_Support_Forces" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapid_Support_Forces&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw17wiKUnFl8K6pBUlQF5uVE">Rapid Support Forces</a>, and <strong><em>it&#8217;s an open contention that they are heavily backed by the United Arab Emirates</em></strong>; that is, the RSF – the force which appears to be mainly responsible for the humanitarian disaster – is an alleged proxy of the UAE. And the RSF have a lot of very sophisticated military kit; armaments which are clearly foreign-sourced and foreign-funded.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Where is the journalism examining the role of the United Arab Emirates in this most brutal of wars; this war happening in front of our eyes but which we do not see? This is an important question for New Zealand, because <strong><em>the UAE is a particularly important commercial ally of New Zealand</em></strong>.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><em>Al Jazeera&#8217;s</em> <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2025/4/15/what-is-the-regional-impact-of-the-war-in-sudan" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2025/4/15/what-is-the-regional-impact-of-the-war-in-sudan&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1E8RnimV1-zSz2WLMbAnB4">Inside Story</a> (15 April 2025) noted: &#8220;In March, the army-led government filed a case in the International Criminal Court against the United Arab Emirates&#8221;. Conspiracy or not, there is certainly a massive missing narrative. Is this cognitive void simple racism on the part of The West (and maybe some others)? Or is it part of a wider problem of geopolitical <a href="https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/smoke-and-mirrors" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/smoke-and-mirrors&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2UfLocYohi5xC0sdaAOARD">smoke and mirrors</a>? Or are New Zealand and its associates mesmerised, like a <a href="https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/someone-is-like-a-rabbit-caught-in-the-headlights" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/someone-is-like-a-rabbit-caught-in-the-headlights&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1vVb4YbBDC0RBLCTyjKh7Q">possum (or rabbit) in the headlights</a> or an ostrich with its <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ostrich_effect" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ostrich_effect&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2B39Y0Yxbed2rN4ZkCAcRD">head firmly buried in the sand</a>?</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">(Chris Hipkins, New Zealand&#8217;s Leader of the Opposition, deployed a little casual racism in Parliament yesterday [20 May 2025] – twice in the one speech – referring to &#8220;<a href="https://www.parliament.nz/en/pb/hansard-debates/rhr/document/HansS_20250520_051420000/hipkins-chris-brownlee-gerry" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.parliament.nz/en/pb/hansard-debates/rhr/document/HansS_20250520_051420000/hipkins-chris-brownlee-gerry&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1747951748260000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2-uvorIg1Cfozw8UY11eqS">tinpot dictatorships and banana republics</a>&#8220;. Is the United Arab Emirates a &#8216;tinpot dictatorship&#8217;? Would he call the President of the Philippines a &#8216;banana republican&#8217;?)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400; text-align: center;">*******</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Keith Rankin Essay &#8211; Judaism, Antisemitism, and Israel</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/12/19/keith-rankin-essay-judaism-antisemitism-and-israel/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 Dec 2024 23:41:19 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin. To understand antisemitism, we need a meaning for &#8216;semitism&#8217;, and another -ism to contextualise semitism. Literally, semitism means the promotion of the Semitic people, whoever they might be. The most appropriate comparator for &#8216;semitism&#8217; is &#8216;hamitism&#8217;, relating to the &#8216;hamites&#8217; or &#8216;Hamitic people&#8217;; analogous to the &#8216;Semitic people&#8217;. These are archaic ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="font-weight: 400;">Analysis by Keith Rankin.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>To understand antisemitism, we need a meaning for &#8216;semitism&#8217;, and another -ism to contextualise semitism.</strong></p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 230px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-medium" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg" alt="" width="230" height="300" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg 230w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-783x1024.jpg 783w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-768x1004.jpg 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1175x1536.jpg 1175w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-696x910.jpg 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1068x1396.jpg 1068w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-321x420.jpg 321w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg 1426w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 230px) 100vw, 230px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Literally, semitism means the promotion of the Semitic people, whoever they might be. The most appropriate comparator for &#8216;semitism&#8217; is &#8216;hamitism&#8217;, relating to the &#8216;hamites&#8217; or &#8216;Hamitic people&#8217;; analogous to the &#8216;Semitic people&#8217;. These are archaic terms, befitting the nineteenth century pseudo-sciences of eugenics, physiognomy and phrenology; semitism is a bible-derived concept of a preferred race, and of racism.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Our particular interest in 2024 is in two subsets: a racial subset of the Semitic people known as the &#8216;Jewish People&#8217;, or the Jewish <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethnos" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethnos&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0GpZK4Y4cNSMdC8pO0RdgW">ethnos</a> or &#8216;nation&#8217; (ie where a nation is a &#8216;people&#8217; rather than a sovereign territory; and a racial subset of the Hamitic people, known today as &#8216;Palestinians&#8217;. Semite is named after Noah&#8217;s son &#8216;Shem&#8217;; hamite is named after Hoah&#8217;s son &#8216;Ham&#8217;. The biblical &#8216;curse of Ham&#8217; was invoked in particular with regard to Ham&#8217;s youngest son <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canaan_(son_of_Ham)" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canaan_(son_of_Ham)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1XHGeg7uZKv-q_11jyjvQQ">Canaan</a>, the putative father of the Canaanites, especially including today&#8217;s Palestinians.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">While the Palestinian Arabs have been deemed by some Christians and Jews to belong to a cursed ethnicity, the mythistorical Jewish ethic line – descended from Shem – came to be known as a (or &#8216;the&#8217;) chosen people. Hence semitism (or <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philosemitism" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philosemitism&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3h40MK6wmTOuY4MAk8wObd">philosemitism</a>) is the presumption of the exceptionalism of the Jewish ethnicity. Antisemitism, then, can be regarded as a dislike or disapproval of the Jewish &#8216;race&#8217;. (For a few though, antisemitism seems to mean a denial of this presumption of exception.) Likewise, antihamitism, while it could be understood as a denial of the curse, is probably best understood as an analogue of antisemitism; as a dislike of or disapproval of the Palestinian &#8216;race&#8217;. In their most extreme forms, antisemitism and antihamitism are both presumptions in favour of the expulsion or genocide of an ethnic people. Both forms of discriminatory hatred need to be equally condemned.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">While there is no scientific evidence that there was ever such a thing as a Jewish race or a Palestinian race, there are Jewish <em>ethnicities</em> (plural). Many people who have taken DNA tests will have some of their ancestry defined as Sephardic Jewish or Ashkenazi Jewish; but never simply &#8216;Jewish&#8217;. (Nobody will have Christian or Muslim as an &#8216;ethnicity&#8217;.) These Jewish ethnicities show in these tests because of widespread historical exclusions, within Jewish communities, of non-Jews as marriage partners; thus these initially religious communities may be classified as ancestral endogamies and, on that basis, as ethnicities. We should not be distracted; Judaism is the foremost (ie progenitor) of the monotheistic religions. Jewishness is a meme, not a gene. A &#8216;secular Jew&#8217; – or a &#8216;secular Muslim&#8217; – is an oxymoron; a non-religious adherent to a religion.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Endogamy cultures can be problematic, not so much because of inbreeding within a limited gene pool, but mainly because of the antipathies caused by self-segregation. In some places there has been widespread and mutual self-segregation; the West Russian &#8216;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pale_of_Settlement" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pale_of_Settlement&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2ohSFZeVnPGuc4YdFnDrb5">Pale of (Jewish) Settlement</a>&#8216; which lasted formally for over a century (until World War 1; and informally for much longer) was one such territory in which endogamy bred hatred and hatred bred endogamy. Reciprocal apartheid. Further, the lands of that former Pale were particularly coveted in the 1930s by the German National Socialists for the realisation of their <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lebensraum" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lebensraum&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0m36i7RoerBfVOJgVEcxjC">Lebensraum</a> policy.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong><em>Antisemitism as a panoply of Christian Judeophobias</em></strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Orthodox Antisemitism</strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In the years between 300 BCE and 300 CE, the Eastern Mediterranean was politically and then culturally, a &#8216;Hellenic&#8217; (ie Greek) empire; a cultural empire which gained two unofficial capital cities, Byzantium and Alexandria. That empire was Romanised from the first century BCE; ie subject to the political (but not cultural) hegemony of Rome.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Judaism, as the vanguard for monotheism – a novel religio-cultural phenomenon – became a successful proselytising religion, especially within the Hellenic cultural sphere. In say 200 CE, by far the majority of Jews in the world were converts. Judaism&#8217;s spiritual home city was Jerusalem, the principal city of Judah/Judea. There were also many Jewish converts in the territories to the north and east of Jerusalem; and there were still rabbinical Jews in Babylon (in modern Iraq), which is where early Jewish intellectuals decamped to after the fall of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solomon%27s_Temple" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solomon%2527s_Temple&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3t_5qy20AJ0wZ6bb5gxqTA">First Temple</a> in the sixth century BCE.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">With the rise of Christianity in the Eastern Mediterranean in the fourth century CE, this new aggressive monotheism largely displaced Judaism in the Roman empire; many Eastern Mediterranean Jews either converted to Christianity, or emigrated. Many of the emigrants travelled west; with many migrating Jews converting many of the &#8216;pagans&#8217; (especially Berbers) of the Western Mediterranean to monotheism. These people, initially mostly in the African &#8216;Maghreb&#8217;, became the Sephardic Jews.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Just as in the Christian Reformation in the sixteenth century, the new aggressive faith used the rhetoric of cultural-racism against Judaism, the hitherto established faith. Thus Orthodox archbishops such as <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Chrysostom" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Chrysostom&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1b90qRCDjTfOprB4S810LP">John Chrysostom</a> of Constantinople waged a vicious <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adversus_Judaeos" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adversus_Judaeos&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3z03vMVMUOc8D1orDV06dH">rhetorical war</a> against the Jews. (Refer Simon Schama, <em>Story of the Jews</em>, episode 2.) Central themes of this rhetoric were the alleged complicity of the Jewish priesthood in the execution of Jesus Christ (by Christians deifying Jesus, his crucifiers therefore became guilty of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deicide" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deicide&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0ay7GM9sLys1wuxBQBPqTF">deicide</a>); and a greater tolerance for the practice of moneylending, in particular the usurious practice of &#8216;making money from money&#8217;.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In turn, those loyal to Judaism saw the Christian concept of the Holy Trinity as a &#8216;slippery slope&#8217; away from monotheism; ie, away from the First Commandment of Moses.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Schisms</strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Christianity may be understood as the first of the great schisms. Islam later became the second schism from the Jewish branch, and Roman Catholicism the second schism of the Christian branch. After that, Protestantism became the great schism from the Catholic branch, during the Reformation of the sixteenth century.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Just as Calvinism became the most anti-Catholic form of Protestant Christianity around the year 1550, 1,200 years earlier the emerging Greek Christian Orthodoxy (based in Byzantium renamed Constantinople, now Istanbul) became the most virulently anti-Jewish form of Christianity. In contrast, the Islamic schism from Judaism did not promote a hatred of the parent religion. Islam was never antisemitic in the way that Orthodox Christianity was.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The Islamic – or Koranic – variant of &#8216;Abrahamic&#8217; monotheism rapidly proselytised in North Africa and Southwest Asia; this process – both cultural and military – was known as &#8216;Jihad&#8217;. While Islam proved popular, in part because of its tax advantages in Islamised territories, it was tolerant towards monotheistic non-converts; Jews with Muslim overlords generally prospered. (Muslims became known as Ishmaelites, in reference to Ishmael, the eldest son of Abraham, the mythical father of the Islamised – largely &#8216;Hamitic&#8217; – races.) Christianity was the least tolerant of the three monotheist branches of biblical Judaism.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>The Russian Jews</strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In the second half of the first millennium, all three monotheisms were seeking converts among bordering polytheist populations. Judaism continued to make progress in two main areas, in addition to the Western Mediterranean. These were Yemen (and subsequently Ethiopia), and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khazars" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khazars&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2oyazQItx7FZh4vMG0C4C6">Khazaria</a>.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Khazaria (the Khazar Khaganate; <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Chasaren.jpg" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Chasaren.jpg&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2aC2Bg5XXJR8cUwiVDMPxA">see map</a>) was a mixed European and Turkic territory to the north of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caucasus_Mountains" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caucasus_Mountains&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3TeiOzNW-anBuzOEYD378i">Caucasus Mountains</a>, in modern-day southwestern Russia; mountains which include Europe&#8217;s highest, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mount_Elbrus" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mount_Elbrus&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1MxtSHunJljPLeekC8UMdP">Mt Elbrus</a>.) It is this region that gave to people of European ethnicity the label &#8216;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caucasian_race" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caucasian_race&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1LftDmcr-8oe_XETSzt684">Caucasian</a>&#8216;.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The Khazar Khaganate dates from 650 CE, and lasted in some form until the early 13th century.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In the eighth century, the Khazarian people – especially the ruling class, realising that it was not a matter of whether to convert to monotheism but to choose which faith to adopt – had three to choose from. Realising that they would have less socio-political autonomy if they adopted either of the two religions on their doorstep, they chose Judaism. As converted Jews, they were deemed subsequently to be descended from <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashkenaz" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashkenaz&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw06jD25M1RdVs50KJG1BP31">Ashkenaz</a>, a son of Noah&#8217;s other son Japheth. The Khazarites became  the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashkenazi_Jews" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashkenazi_Jews&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1Nylx4ZsXIYB_w_nMheEYV">Ashkenazi Jews</a> (albeit <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khazar_hypothesis_of_Ashkenazi_ancestry" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khazar_hypothesis_of_Ashkenazi_ancestry&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw336ZXgrjZXjY6qQbqGp9_8">not a popular view</a> within the twentyfirst-century Israeli secular priesthood; refer Shlomo Sand, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Invention_of_the_Jewish_People" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Invention_of_the_Jewish_People&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw23yk1zeRhBUCWo4v0pfXZJ">The Invention of the Jewish People</a>). In the year 1000 CE, for example, this was the most populous Jewish community in the world.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Around the year 1220, the Christian, Muslim, and Jewish polities in those steppe-lands were erased by the Mongol invaders. The predominantly Jewish population of Khazaria fled into the emerging Russian territories; Slavic lands whose people were then consolidating their faith as Orthodox Christians. (Religious &#8216;water&#8217; and &#8216;oil&#8217; didn&#8217;t really mix; there would be minimal assimilation between these two populations.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In later centuries, these Ashkenazi Jews almost certainly mixed with other Jewish groups who had moved east, especially from the Central Europe. (In <a href="https://academic.oup.com/gbe/article/5/1/61/728117?" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://academic.oup.com/gbe/article/5/1/61/728117?&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw17xzp1KQ7e9zNGJnC6cZRy">The Missing Link of Jewish European Ancestry: Contrasting the Rhineland and the Khazarian Hypotheses</a>, Eran Elhaik, using DNA analysis, establishes the ethnic predominance of the Khazarites within those Jewish communities of the Pale.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Catholic Antisemitism</strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The schism between the (Greek) Orthodox and (Roman) Catholic churches was a slow-moving affair, which covered most of the second half of the first millennium CE. By and large, Catholicism acquired the same antisemitism, though developed a greater degree of pragmatism towards Judaism.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Orthodox Christianity and Islam emerged as much bigger geopolitical threats than Judaism to Catholic western Europe. Judaism receded to the periphery of monotheistic <em>West Eurasia</em> (to use the sensible name adopted by James Belich in his 2022 book <a href="https://books.google.co.nz/books/about/The_World_the_Plague_Made.html?id=FStaEAAAQBAJ" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://books.google.co.nz/books/about/The_World_the_Plague_Made.html?id%3DFStaEAAAQBAJ&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2ypgnem3e0oWZZyBoEwpGp">The World the Plague Made</a>, noting that North and Northeast Africa also belonged to this geopolity).</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The basics of the European geopolitical fracture that still stands today were established during the reign of the Frankish emperor, Charlemagne. By the early ninth century, Catholicism prevailed across the entirety of Western and Central Europe. (There were still &#8216;pagan&#8217; pockets – eg, in Scandinavia; otherwise, the border established by Charlemagne is that of today&#8217;s European Union. We note that the Catholic parts of the former Yugoslavia are in the European Union, and the Orthodox and Muslim parts of that former union are not. We also may note that Romania, Bulgaria, Greece and Cyprus are exceptions; they are more Orthodox than Catholic. And we note that the post-Catholic Protestantisation of northern Europe occurred many centuries after Charlemagne.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Simon Schama (in his <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Story_of_the_Jews_(TV_series)" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Story_of_the_Jews_(TV_series)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0dEhctRBFqOvvB7m-YpD9F">Story</a>) notes that Judaism came to England with William the Conqueror in 1066; this suggests that the Frankish kingdoms (which became France) had been a significant recipient of the racially diverse Jewish refugees from the Eastern Mediterranean. And it suggests that the (still relatively small) Rhineland (western German) population of Jews in Medieval Europe also arrived via that French route.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">In the centuries either side of 1000 CE, the fusion of Jewish, Muslim and Christian cultures seems to have created a synergy, creating a cultural high tide of tolerance and intellectual osmosis. An interesting consequence may have been the emergence of modern banking. Pure banking developed in a Mediterranean world in which money-lending (usuary; charging interest) was prohibited by Christian and Muslims, though was pragmatically tolerated when the money-lenders were Jews. (Early banking was a side-hustle of rich Italian and Spanish merchants, who made written promises – promissory notes – and &#8216;cleared&#8217; them among each other. They invested the money in their possession – their mercantile profits – to finance ventures; as financier shareholders of each venture, they would take a share of the profits or losses.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">It was Christian Kings and Princes who did much of the borrowing from Jewish moneylenders; these entitled overlords had a propensity to turn to antisemitism when they become insolvent. The Catholic world became especially prickly towards its cultural rivals, including Judaism, in the later decades of the 12th century.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Antisemitism in western Europe seems to have emerged around the same time that Catholic Crusader groups had conquered much of the &#8216;Holy Lands&#8217; (the Levant; modern Syria/Lebanon and Israel/Palestine) from both Muslim and Orthodox overlords. Tolerance and pragmatism towards Jews largely fell apart in Spain, England and France in the twelfth century, leading to expulsions of Jews from those countries; and the boosting of the Rhineland population of Jews. Shama mentions the problem of antisemitism emerging in England during the reign of the Crusader King (Richard &#8216;Lionheart&#8217;; 1189-1199); indeed, Richard&#8217;s mother Eleanor had been responsible for expelling Jews from her ancestral territory of Aquitaine. Jews were expelled from Spain in stages from the 12th to the 14th centuries; and from England during the 13th century.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">This is about the same time (early twelfth century) as when the Khazarite Jews had to flee (northwest into West Russia) from the Golden Horde established by the Mongol emperor Genghis Khan.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Neither Shlomo Sand nor Simon Shama mentioned the terrible atrocities committed upon Jews – especially in western Germany and Switzerland – during the first and biggest round of the Black Death (1348 to 1352; the &#8216;Plague&#8217;). But it&#8217;s true. Many Jews were scapegoated and grotesquely murdered; accused of having poisoned the wells in many central European towns.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Christian Poland, which was less affected by the Black Death than Western Europe, gained a reputation for relative tolerance towards Jews. So, it is likely that Eastern and Western Europeans converged in the territories we today call Poland, creating a relatively cosmopolitan population of Jews; Jews who practiced their faith while also mixing more easily with their Catholic (and later Protestant) neighbours; that is, more easily than the larger populations of Jews further east were able to integrate with their Orthodox neighbours.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Protestant Antisemitism (including Christian Zionist Antisemitism)</strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">While the Bible (Old Testament) became more important for Jewish populations in recent centuries, the newer Talmud was a substantially more important text in the practice of Judaism in the medieval period.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">It was the Protestant Christians during and after the Reformation who first took to the Bible – both Testaments – as literal statements of history and prophecy. Jews suddenly played an affirmative role as the spiritual and biological ancestors of Christians; of particular importance, they played an important role in Christian prophecy (including <a href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/12/06/keith-rankin-analysis-israel-syria-and-the-map-of-the-millennium/" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://eveningreport.nz/2024/12/06/keith-rankin-analysis-israel-syria-and-the-map-of-the-millennium/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3RozcyGuutcQ1PilcmUteN">apocalyptic prophecy</a>), especially in the momentum to re-establish an ethnoreligious state called &#8216;Israel&#8217;.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Further, Protestantism – especially the more Evangelical forms (eg Calvinism) – was attractive to the expanding Plague-recovery mercantile communities of Northwest Europe. Under the auspices of the reformed Church, the sanctions against usury – sanctions against making money from money – were increasingly downplayed. Christians could do business with Jews again; soon enough though, these two mercantile-religious communities became rivals. While Jews were no longer proselytisers, the mercantile Protestants (especially the Dutch) were eager expansionists, expanding their new capitalist domains throughout the much of the world; although only encroaching on the coastal communities of the Islamic World of the Indian Ocean rim, and of the &#8216;Far East&#8217;.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Protestant antisemitism was born out of capitalist rivalry; and out of the new Christian racial tropes, which facilitated the acceptance of intensely racist forms of slavery. In the nineteenth century – in the era of emerging ethno-nationalism within Europe, and emerging racial supremacism – the Jewish &#8216;nation&#8217; became a rivalrous irritant to increasingly nationalist Christianity. Further, as Shlomo Sand observed, in Eastern Europe, a more dangerous form of ethno-nationalism emerged; one which built on the original Orthodox tradition of antisemitism. This eastern rivalry had morphed from being mainly religious to mainly ethnic; especially Slavs versus Jews.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">To the west of Europe, in the now geopolitically dominant United Kingdom, Christian Zionism became a thing. While (Protestant) Christian Zionism had its roots in the Puritan era of Oliver Cromwell in the 1640s and 1650s, by the 1830s the upper crust of even Anglican society wanted Jews to be &#8216;over there&#8217; rather than &#8216;over here&#8217;. Although the United Kingdom elected a Jewish Prime Minister – <a href="http://Benjamin%20Disraeli" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=http://Benjamin%2520Disraeli&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3eyB_Y4tN0ndCCG92v8_jr">Benjamin Disraeli</a> – in the 1860s, this only reinforced latent antisemitism amongst his dour political rivals. (Queen Victoria found Disraeli to be more personable than his political opponents.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Anyway, through that century, there was increasing (mainly Christian) talk in the United Kingdom and Western Europe about re-establishing a Jewish homeland, though not necessarily in Jewish biblical home-lands in the Eastern Mediterranean. The possibility of an expansion of Jewish settlement in Palestine emerged, however, as the then overlords of the Levant – the Turkish Ottomans – appeared to be presiding over of a dying empire. The European &#8216;great powers&#8217; were lining up to divide the &#8216;Middle East&#8217; – an annoyingly Britocentric term – between them.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">This possibility didn&#8217;t stop the British ruling-class antisemites from concocting (just after 1900) a plan to establish a Jewish &#8216;homeland&#8217; in <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uganda_Scheme" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uganda_Scheme&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw36LL3bXuXTI3FKUjtzHjNH">Uganda</a>. While Uganda is a pleasant and fertile territory in Africa, this resettlement proposal tells much about the irredeemable racism of West Europeans towards the presumed &#8216;inferior&#8217; races; especially but not only Africans. And it shows zero sensitivity to Jewish sensibilities regarding their biblical homeland.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Meanwhile the antisemitic pogroms in Eastern Europe – mainly in the then Russian Empire – continued as Slavic nationalisms were gaining pace. In the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, many Ashkenazi Jews emigrated to their destinations of choice: United States and United Kingdom.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">For European Jews, the interwar crisis began in 1924 when the United States closed down their immigration from Europe; and the United Kingdom pretty much did the same thing. The United States&#8217; near-prohibition of Jewish immigration lasted until the mid-1950s. It was only after 1924 that large numbers of Eastern European Jews looked to emigrate to (British Mandatory) Palestine; that&#8217;s where British and American immigration policy deflected them to.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Then, in the 1930s, the German National Socialists (Nazis) started both scapegoating their Jewish residents (effectively blaming them for the Great Depression, on account of apparent Jewish overrepresentation in the finance industry) and coveting their lands in Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, the newly independent Baltic States, and especially Soviet Russia.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">The new Jewish residents in British Palestine recreated the segregated lifestyles they had known in Russia, creating much animosity between them and their new Palestinian neighbours. Pretty much by definition, these settlers were Zionists, because they were recreating the biblical promised land of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zion" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zion&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw30CXS0pSZW59FkTar-g6iZ">Zion</a>, even though they would rather have gone to the United States. The indigenous Palestinian population resented the new settlers; not because of their ethnicity, but because of their insensitivity and exclusiveness; an insensitivity comparable with many prior experiences of other indigenous peoples in the face of settler-colonisation.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Many immigrants from the west Russian territories were Socialist Zionists; indeed, it was that leftish faction which largely ruled modern Israel from its formalisation in 1948 until the mid-1970s. Other interwar settlers included the fascist Zionists of the Lehi, also known as the Stern Gang. Still others – including the Irgun, which became Benjamin Netanyahu&#8217;s Likud Party – were on the less-extreme political right. All of these settler-Zionist factions formed resistance militias that became anti-British (ie anti- the new post-Ottoman overlord of the southern Levant) and (<a href="https://eveningreport.nz/2024/12/10/keith-rankin-essay-al-aqsa-provocation-and-the-media-game-israel-says/" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://eveningreport.nz/2024/12/10/keith-rankin-essay-al-aqsa-provocation-and-the-media-game-israel-says/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454189000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3eJfkO093fk6UwTuI3issb">after the 1929 uprising</a>) anti-Palestinian. (Just as Hamas is a resistance militia today.) The anti-Palestinian aspect of this settler militancy became, over time, increasingly racist; it became antihamitic, a racial prejudice as problematic as antisemitism.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Around 1940, the Lehi fascists tried to do a deal with Adolf Hitler. Both the Nazis and the Lehi wanted the European Jews to leave Europe. The Lehi wanted a mass transfer of that population to their new Zion in the Levant. Great Britain, in particular, was in the way. From the British point-of-view, the time to create an exclusively Jewish homeland had passed; the logistics of a mass resettlement programme during World War Two were impossible, and racism had passed its peak in the United Kingdom.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">For Hitler, those logistics of a mass transfer to Jews to Palestine were always going to be problematic; exponentially more so once Germany was at war with Britain. Instead, Hitler reconsidered the British antisemitic plan to transfer the European Jews to Africa. After May 1940 there was a pro-Nazi puppet government installed in Southern France – the Vichy regime – which had control over France&#8217;s imperial territories. Hitler formulated a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madagascar_Plan" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madagascar_Plan&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454190000&amp;usg=AOvVaw12C0pOeZWLDfmL0uoIbbwA">plan to settle the Eastern European Jews to Madagascar</a>! While never practical, Winston Churchill certainly made such a transfer quite impossible. The United Kingdom <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Madagascar" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Madagascar&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1734640454190000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3YyayzXhl6j_suDh77MK2y">invaded and conquered</a> the Vichy French territory of Madagascar in 1942. (Who said the British military was overstretched in 1942? In that year, Winston Churchill argued that Australian troops should stay in Europe. John Curtin, the new Australian Prime Minister, wanted those soldiers to return home to defend Australia.)</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Hitler&#8217;s options for the Jews substantially narrowed. His antisemitism and desire for <em>lebensraum</em> had left him committed to the removal of this population, but with no destination to remove them to, and few resources to do the removing. The rest became tragic history – from 1942 to 1945 – of the worst possible kind.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Still – even after the Holocaust – the pro-Israel antisemitic United States denied immigration entry to Jews, except that is for a few handpicked ones. Most holocaust survivors of World War Two were left with only one option; to migrate to British Palestine or (after 1948) to Israel. The Lehi (who fought the British during WW2), the Irgun, and the socialistic Haganah all served as &#8216;freedom fighters&#8217; from 1946 to 1948. This was a successful militant insurgency. The British departed as soon as the United Nations was formed; they couldn&#8217;t wait to leave. The United Kingdom supported the creation of an ethnocratic sovereign state as the eventual solution to its longstanding antisemitic project of resettlement, indeed hoping that large numbers of British-resident Jews would join the refugee Jews in the new state of Israel.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Israel had been a longstanding antisemitic project, with the object of both cleansing Europe of Jews and creating a Europe-ish sovereign state in the &#8216;Middle East&#8217;, a state that would help to project a European-style foreign policy in a region which was set to undergo full decolonisation.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Conclusion</strong></p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Israel today has arisen as a consequence of two millenniums of antisemitism in its various Christian forms. Israel is a nation-state, which – if it wishes not to be a pariah state – must abide by the same rules as any other nation state. It is not exceptional – the rules do not allow for exceptionalism – and the rules do not allow for the new nation to promote an alternative form of racism that&#8217;s as bad as antisemitism.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Jews are an ethnically diverse people with a shared cultural heritage; Judaism is a culture rather than a nation. A significant number – though not a majority – of the Jewish people live in the nation-state of Israel, a nation state that&#8217;s 76 years-old and counting. It&#8217;s a nation which presently pursues a relatively soft form of antihamitic Apartheid within its internationally accepted boundaries, and a much harsher form of antihamitism within its occupied territories. There is a clear analogy between the occupied territories of Palestine today and the occupied (and client) territories of Europe&#8217;s belligerent powers in the 1940s.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">All nation states&#8217; governments are equally able to be criticised; by those countries&#8217; citizens, by residents and by non-residents. Criticism of Israel is not antisemitism; it&#8217;s criticism of the way that nation-state projects itself across the wider world, and about how it racially and culturally discriminates (sometimes with extreme violence) against people or peoples over which the Israeli authorities have a duty of care.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Past victims of racism have more reason than most to avoid being present perpetrators of racism.</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-</p>
<p style="font-weight: 400;">Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>PODCAST: Conflict Expansion and Opportunism Within a Lame-Duck Window</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/12/02/podcast-conflict-expansion-and-opportunism-within-a-lame-duck-window/</link>
					<comments>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/12/02/podcast-conflict-expansion-and-opportunism-within-a-lame-duck-window/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Dec 2024 04:31:23 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1091205</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Regional Conflicts - Political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning analyse how conflicts are expanding, arguably with warring sides taking an opportunity to take as much territory, while a 'Lame-Duck Window' exists in the United States.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In this episode of A View From Afar political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning analyse how conflicts are expanding, arguably with warring sides taking an opportunity to take as much territory, while a &#8216;Lame-Duck Window&#8217; exists in the United States.</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="Conflict Expansion and Opportunism Within a Lame-Duck Window" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/uIj7s28cdz8?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<audio class="wp-audio-shortcode" id="audio-1091205-3" preload="none" style="width: 100%;" controls="controls"><source type="audio/mpeg" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/AVFA_S05_E13.m4a?_=3" /><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/AVFA_S05_E13.m4a">https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/AVFA_S05_E13.m4a</a></audio>
<p>For example;</p>
<p>In Syria, opposition-baked forces have taken Aleppo city and other strategic centres in an attempt to remove Syria&#8217;s authoritarian leader Assad. Assad&#8217;s forces are resisting on the ground while Russian air forces attacked the opposition force&#8217;s positions. Israel announced it may strike Syria government munitions sites in a move to ensure opposition forces do not take possession of such weaponry.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, fighting has intensified on the Ukraine-Russia frontlines after:</p>
<ul>
<li>North Korea deployed a 10,000-strong assistance force to the Kursk region;</li>
<li>Outgoing US President Joe Biden authorised Ukraine to fire ATTACM missiles deep into Russia;</li>
<li>Ukraine indeed fired ATTACMs into the Russian motherland and has increased its drone attacks on military targets in cities once regarded as safe from attack.</li>
<li>Also, and significantly, Russia fired into Dnipro City in Ukraine a hypersonic &#8220;experimental&#8221; Medium-Range-Ballistic-Missile &#8211; and followed up with the biggest barrage of drone and missile strikes on Ukraine&#8217;s energy infrastructure since the conflict began.</li>
</ul>
<p>So-called &#8220;red-lines&#8221; have been crossed and all sides appear determined to take as much territory as possible before US President-Elect Donald Trump is sworn into office in January.</p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn assess what we can expect to witness in the next two months, how other state actors are being drawn into conflict, and what objectives are driving warring sides at flashpoints around the world.</p>
<p><strong>INTERACTION WHILE LIVE:</strong></p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn encourage their live audience to interact while they are live with questions and comments.</p>
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<p>Remember to subscribe to the channel.</p>
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<p>RECOGNITION: The MIL Network’s podcast A View from Afar was Nominated as a Top Defence Security Podcast by Threat.Technology – a London-based cyber security news publication. Threat.Technology placed A View from Afar at 9th in its 20 Best Defence Security Podcasts of 2021 category.</p>
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		<title>LIVE@12:45pm – Conflict Expansion and Opportunism Within a Lame-Duck Window</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/12/02/live1245pm-conflict-expansion-and-opportunism-within-a-lame-duck-window/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Dec 2024 21:33:19 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1091190</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The LIVE Recording of A View from Afar podcast will begin today, Monday at 12:45pm December 2, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 6:45pm (USEST). In this episode of A View From Afar political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning will analyse how conflicts are expanding, arguably with warring sides taking an opportunity to take ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The LIVE Recording of <strong>A View from Afar</strong> podcast will begin today, Monday at 12:45pm December 2, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 6:45pm (USEST).</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="Conflict Expansion and Opportunism Within a Lame-Duck Window" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/uIj7s28cdz8?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>In this episode of A View From Afar political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning will analyse how conflicts are expanding, arguably with warring sides taking an opportunity to take as much territory, while a &#8216;Lame-Duck Window&#8217; exists in the United States.</p>
<p>For example;</p>
<p>In Syria, opposition-baked forces have taken Aleppo city and other strategic centres in an attempt to remove Syria&#8217;s authoritarian leader Assad. Assad&#8217;s forces are resisting on the ground while Russian air forces attacked the opposition force&#8217;s positions. Israel announced it may strike Syria government munitions sites in a move to ensure opposition forces do not take possession of such weaponry.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, fighting has intensified on the Ukraine-Russia frontlines after:</p>
<ul>
<li>North Korea deployed a 10,000-strong assistance force to the Kursk region;</li>
<li>Outgoing US President Joe Biden authorised Ukraine to fire ATTACM missiles deep into Russia;</li>
<li>Ukraine indeed fired ATTACMs into the Russian motherland and has increased its drone attacks on military targets in cities once regarded as safe from attack.</li>
<li>Also, and significantly, Russia fired into Dnipro City in Ukraine a hypersonic &#8220;experimental&#8221; Medium-Range-Ballistic-Missile &#8211; and followed up with the biggest barrage of drone and missile strikes on Ukraine&#8217;s energy infrastructure since the conflict began.</li>
</ul>
<p>So-called &#8220;red-lines&#8221; have been crossed and all sides appear determined to take as much territory as possible before US President-Elect Donald Trump is sworn into office in January.</p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn will assess what we can expect to witness in the next two months, how other state actors are being drawn into conflict, and what objectives are driving warring sides at flashpoints around the world.</p>
<p><strong>Live Audience:</strong> Remember, if you are joining us live via the social media platforms, feel free to comment as we can include your comments and questions in this programme.</p>
<p><strong>INTERACTION WHILE LIVE:</strong></p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn encourage their live audience to interact while they are live with questions and comments.</p>
<p>To interact during the live recording of this podcast, go to <a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></p>
<p>Remember to subscribe to the channel.</p>
<p>For the on-demand audience, you can also keep the conversation going on this debate by clicking on one of the social media channels below:</p>
<ul>
<li><a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></li>
<li>Facebook.com/selwyn.manning</li>
<li>Twitter.com/Selwyn_Manning</li>
</ul>
<p>RECOGNITION: The MIL Network’s podcast A View from Afar was Nominated as a Top Defence Security Podcast by Threat.Technology – a London-based cyber security news publication. Threat.Technology placed A View from Afar at 9th in its 20 Best Defence Security Podcasts of 2021 category.</p>
<p>You can follow A View from Afar via our affiliate syndicators.</p>
<p><center><a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/evening-report/id1542433334?itsct=podcast_box&amp;itscg=30200"><img decoding="async" class="td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://tools.applemediaservices.com/api/badges/listen-on-apple-podcasts/badge/en-US?size=250x83&amp;releaseDate=1606352220&amp;h=79ac0fbf02ad5db86494e28360c5d19f" alt="Listen on Apple Podcasts" /></a></center><center><a href="https://open.spotify.com/show/102eox6FyOzfp48pPTv8nX" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-871386 size-full td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 330px) 100vw, 330px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png 330w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-324x80.png 324w" alt="" width="330" height="80" /></a></center><center><a href="https://music.amazon.com.au/podcasts/3cc7eef8-5fb7-4ab9-ac68-1264839d82f0/EVENING-REPORT"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1068847 td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-768x186.png 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-696x169.png 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X.png 825w" alt="" width="300" height="73" /></a></center><center><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-evening-report-75161304/?embed=true" width="350" height="300" frameborder="0" data-mce-fragment="1" data-gtm-yt-inspected-7="true" data-gtm-yt-inspected-8="true"></iframe></center><center>***</center></p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>PODCAST: State of Israel Goes Rogue – Attacks UN Peacekeepers</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/10/14/podcast-state-of-israel-goes-rogue-attacks-un-peacekeepers/</link>
					<comments>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/10/14/podcast-state-of-israel-goes-rogue-attacks-un-peacekeepers/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Oct 2024 05:03:54 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[A View from Afar]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Paul G Buchanan]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1090323</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In this episode of A View From Afar political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning analyse how the state of Israel has gone rogue, attacking United Nations peacekeepers in southern Lebanon. At this juncture it is clear this is an intentional attack.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="Podcast: State of Israel Goes Rogue – Attacks UN Peacekeepers" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/3feU3ZedRlA?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p><strong>A View from Afar</strong> &#8211; In this episode of A View From Afar political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning analyse how the state of Israel has gone rogue, attacking United Nations peacekeepers in southern Lebanon. At this juncture it is clear this is an intentional attack.</p>
<audio class="wp-audio-shortcode" id="audio-1090323-4" preload="none" style="width: 100%;" controls="controls"><source type="audio/mpeg" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/AVFA_S05_E10.m4a?_=4" /><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/AVFA_S05_E10.m4a">https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/AVFA_S05_E10.m4a</a></audio>
<p>Over the past week Israel Defense Force troops have repeatedly attacked UN peacekeepers who were authorised and deployed to the region by the United Nations Security Council.</p>
<p>Also last week; the Government of Israel issued a statement notifying the United Nations Secretary General that he was now banned from Israel and was persona non grata. Within a day of that statement, IDF troops had fired on UN peacekeeping positions in Southern Lebanon.</p>
<p>Since then, the IDF has continued operations that threaten the UN’s presence. And Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has now issued a directive to the UN peacekeeping force to withdraw from the area north of its borders in Southern Lebanon.</p>
<p>Also, despite the United States Biden Administration cautioning Israel on its attacks on UN personnel, overnight New Zealand time, the United States has deployed 100 US troops on the ground in Israel to operate missile defence systems.</p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn consider:</p>
<ul>
<li>Why Israel has begun to attack United Nations peacekeepers in the region?</li>
<li>Why has the United States deepened its involvement in Israel’s so-called defence?</li>
<li>What of Hezbollah, Hamas; are their attacks on Israel a defence or an attacking offensive?</li>
<li>What of Iran, what is its position and will it engage in a full-scale war with Israel and what are the consequences should it do so?</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>INTERACTION WHILE LIVE:</strong></p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn encourage their live audience to interact while they are live with questions and comments.</p>
<p>To interact during the live recording of this podcast, go to <a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></p>
<p>Remember to subscribe to the channel.</p>
<p>For the on-demand audience, you can also keep the conversation going on this debate by clicking on one of the social media channels below:</p>
<ul>
<li><a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></li>
<li>Facebook.com/selwyn.manning</li>
<li>Twitter.com/Selwyn_Manning</li>
</ul>
<p>RECOGNITION: The MIL Network’s podcast A View from Afar was Nominated as a Top Defence Security Podcast by Threat.Technology – a London-based cyber security news publication. Threat.Technology placed A View from Afar at 9th in its 20 Best Defence Security Podcasts of 2021 category.</p>
<p>You can follow A View from Afar via our affiliate syndicators.</p>
<p><center><a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/evening-report/id1542433334?itsct=podcast_box&amp;itscg=30200"><img decoding="async" class="td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://tools.applemediaservices.com/api/badges/listen-on-apple-podcasts/badge/en-US?size=250x83&amp;releaseDate=1606352220&amp;h=79ac0fbf02ad5db86494e28360c5d19f" alt="Listen on Apple Podcasts" /></a></center><center><a href="https://open.spotify.com/show/102eox6FyOzfp48pPTv8nX" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-871386 size-full td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 330px) 100vw, 330px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png 330w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-324x80.png 324w" alt="" width="330" height="80" /></a></center><center><a href="https://music.amazon.com.au/podcasts/3cc7eef8-5fb7-4ab9-ac68-1264839d82f0/EVENING-REPORT"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1068847 td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-768x186.png 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-696x169.png 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X.png 825w" alt="" width="300" height="73" /></a></center><center><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-evening-report-75161304/?embed=true" width="350" height="300" frameborder="0" data-mce-fragment="1" data-gtm-yt-inspected-7="true" data-gtm-yt-inspected-8="true"></iframe></center><center>***</center></p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>LIVE@12:45pm &#8211; State of Israel Goes Rogue &#8211; Attacks UN Peacekeepers</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/10/14/live1245pm-state-of-israel-goes-rogue-attacks-un-peacekeepers/</link>
					<comments>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/10/14/live1245pm-state-of-israel-goes-rogue-attacks-un-peacekeepers/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Oct 2024 22:38:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[A View from Afar]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security and Defense]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UN Security Council]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Nations]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[United States of America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1090315</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The LIVE Recording of A View from Afar podcast will begin today, Monday at 12:45pm October 14, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 7:45pm (USEST). In this episode of A View From Afar political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning I will analyse how the state of Israel has gone rogue, attacking United Nations ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The LIVE Recording of <strong>A View from Afar</strong> podcast will begin today, Monday at 12:45pm October 14, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 7:45pm (USEST).</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="LIVE@12:45pm – State of Israel Goes Rogue – Attacks UN Peacekeepers" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/3feU3ZedRlA?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">In this episode of A View From Afar political scientist Paul Buchanan and host Selwyn Manning I will analyse how the state of Israel has gone rogue, attacking United Nations peacekeepers in southern Lebanon.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">At this juncture it is clear this is an intentional attack. Over the past week Israel Defense Force troops have repeatedly attacked UN peacekeepers who were authorised and deployed to the region by the United Nations Security Council.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Also last week; the Government of Israel issued a statement notifying the United Nations Secretary General that he was now banned from Israel and was persona non grata.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Within a day of that statement, IDF troops had fired on UN peacekeeping positions in Southern Lebanon. Since then, the IDF has continued operations that threaten the UN&#8217;s presence.</span></p>
<p><span class="s1">And Israel&#8217;s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has now issued a directive to the UN peacekeeping force to withdraw from the area north of its borders in Southern Lebanon.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Also, despite the United States Biden Administration cautioning Israel on its attacks on UN personnel, overnight New Zealand time, the United States has deployed 100 US troops on the ground in Israel to operate missile defence systems.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">It would appear the Biden Administration has allowed Israel’s Government to draw it further into a war justified on defence but is factually a conflict that is clearly disproportional to Israel’s threat.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Atrocities against Palestinian civilians in Gaza continue; and, IDF hostilities continue in the occupied West Bank; missile attacks against civilian areas in Lebanon; and missiles have been fired into Syria over the weekend.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Today, Paul and Selwyn will consider: </span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">* Why Israel has begun to attack United Nations peacekeepers in the region?</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">* Why has the United Nations deepened its involvement in Israel’s so-called defence?</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">* What of Hezbollah, Hamas; are their attacks on Israel a defence or an attacking offensive?</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">* What of Iran, what is its position and will it engage in a full-scale war with Israel and what are the consequences should it do so?</span></p>
<p><strong>Live Audience:</strong> Remember, if you are joining us live via the social media platforms, feel free to comment as we can include your comments and questions in this programme.</p>
<p><strong>INTERACTION WHILE LIVE:</strong></p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn encourage their live audience to interact while they are live with questions and comments.</p>
<p>To interact during the live recording of this podcast, go to <a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></p>
<p>Remember to subscribe to the channel.</p>
<p>For the on-demand audience, you can also keep the conversation going on this debate by clicking on one of the social media channels below:</p>
<ul>
<li><a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></li>
<li>Facebook.com/selwyn.manning</li>
<li>Twitter.com/Selwyn_Manning</li>
</ul>
<p>RECOGNITION: The MIL Network’s podcast A View from Afar was Nominated as a Top Defence Security Podcast by Threat.Technology – a London-based cyber security news publication. Threat.Technology placed A View from Afar at 9th in its 20 Best Defence Security Podcasts of 2021 category.</p>
<p>You can follow A View from Afar via our affiliate syndicators.</p>
<p><center><a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/evening-report/id1542433334?itsct=podcast_box&amp;itscg=30200"><img decoding="async" class="td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://tools.applemediaservices.com/api/badges/listen-on-apple-podcasts/badge/en-US?size=250x83&amp;releaseDate=1606352220&amp;h=79ac0fbf02ad5db86494e28360c5d19f" alt="Listen on Apple Podcasts" /></a></center><center><a href="https://open.spotify.com/show/102eox6FyOzfp48pPTv8nX" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-871386 size-full td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 330px) 100vw, 330px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png 330w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-324x80.png 324w" alt="" width="330" height="80" /></a></center><center><a href="https://music.amazon.com.au/podcasts/3cc7eef8-5fb7-4ab9-ac68-1264839d82f0/EVENING-REPORT"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1068847 td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-768x186.png 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-696x169.png 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X.png 825w" alt="" width="300" height="73" /></a></center><center><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-evening-report-75161304/?embed=true" width="350" height="300" frameborder="0" data-mce-fragment="1" data-gtm-yt-inspected-7="true" data-gtm-yt-inspected-8="true"></iframe></center><center>***</center></p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>PODCAST &#8211; The Murky World of Israel’s Booby-Trapped Pagers and Walkie-Talkies</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/23/podcast-the-murky-world-of-israels-booby-trapped-pagers-and-walkie-talkies/</link>
					<comments>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/23/podcast-the-murky-world-of-israels-booby-trapped-pagers-and-walkie-talkies/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Sep 2024 06:33:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[A View from Afar]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1089993</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In this episode of A View from Afar political scientist and former Pentagon Analyst, Paul G. Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning discuss: The Murky World of Israel’s Booby-Trapped Pagers and Walkie-Talkies.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Podcast: A View From Afar with Paul G. Buchanan and Selwyn Manning.</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="LIVE@12:45pm - The Murky World of Israel’s Booby-Trapped Pagers and Walkie-Talkies" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/HurTfV_J8Bc?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>In this episode of A View from Afar <span class="s1">political scientist and former Pentagon Analyst, Paul G. Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning </span><span class="s1">discuss</span>: The Murky World of Israel’s Booby-Trapped Pagers and Walkie-Talkies.</p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn reveal Israel’s long-form planning that led to it sabotaging hand-held communication devices that Hezbollah used to communicate with.</p>
<p>This episode&#8217;s questions include:</p>
<ul>
<li>Who was behind the manufacturing of the booby-trapped devices?</li>
<li>How long has Israel been planning last week’s attack &#8211; an attack that saw thousands injured and many killed in Lebanon after Israel remotely pulled the virtual-pin and exploded the devices indiscriminantly?</li>
<li>And why now? Presumably the devices were also programmed to be tracked. So why did Israel decide to abandon tracking Hezbollah and to attack?</li>
<li>Was it to cause chaos among its enemies in a preemptive move immediately prior to its widespread bombing and targeting of communities in Lebanon?</li>
<li>And what of international law? Has Israel gone so far beyond the Rubicon with Gaza that it senses international law no longer applies to Israel?</li>
<li>And, finally, has the United Nations abandoned its right to protect principles, its peacemaking and peacekeeping responsibilities in favour of aid, development and an overly bureaucratic institution?</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>INTERACTION WHILE LIVE:</strong></p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn encourage their live audience to interact while they are live with questions and comments.</p>
<p>To interact during the live recording of this podcast, go to <a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></p>
<p>Remember to subscribe to the channel.</p>
<p>For the on-demand audience, you can also keep the conversation going on this debate by clicking on one of the social media channels below:</p>
<ul>
<li><a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></li>
<li>Facebook.com/selwyn.manning</li>
<li>Twitter.com/Selwyn_Manning</li>
</ul>
<p>RECOGNITION: The MIL Network’s podcast A View from Afar was Nominated as a Top Defence Security Podcast by Threat.Technology – a London-based cyber security news publication. Threat.Technology placed A View from Afar at 9th in its 20 Best Defence Security Podcasts of 2021 category.</p>
<p>You can follow A View from Afar via our affiliate syndicators.</p>
<p><center><a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/evening-report/id1542433334?itsct=podcast_box&amp;itscg=30200"><img decoding="async" class="td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://tools.applemediaservices.com/api/badges/listen-on-apple-podcasts/badge/en-US?size=250x83&amp;releaseDate=1606352220&amp;h=79ac0fbf02ad5db86494e28360c5d19f" alt="Listen on Apple Podcasts" /></a></center><center><a href="https://open.spotify.com/show/102eox6FyOzfp48pPTv8nX" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-871386 size-full td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 330px) 100vw, 330px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png 330w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-324x80.png 324w" alt="" width="330" height="80" /></a></center><center><a href="https://music.amazon.com.au/podcasts/3cc7eef8-5fb7-4ab9-ac68-1264839d82f0/EVENING-REPORT"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1068847 td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-768x186.png 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-696x169.png 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X.png 825w" alt="" width="300" height="73" /></a></center><center><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-evening-report-75161304/?embed=true" width="350" height="300" frameborder="0" data-mce-fragment="1" data-gtm-yt-inspected-7="true" data-gtm-yt-inspected-8="true"></iframe></center><center>***</center></p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
					<wfw:commentRss>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/23/podcast-the-murky-world-of-israels-booby-trapped-pagers-and-walkie-talkies/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>76</slash:comments>
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Coming Up LIVE &#8211; The Murky World of Israel’s Booby-Trapped Pagers and Walkie-Talkies</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/23/coming-up-live-the-murky-world-of-israels-booby-trapped-pagers-and-walkie-talkies/</link>
					<comments>https://eveningreport.nz/2024/09/23/coming-up-live-the-murky-world-of-israels-booby-trapped-pagers-and-walkie-talkies/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Sep 2024 22:48:08 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[A View from Afar]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1089977</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Podcast: In this episode of A View from Afar political scientist and former Pentagon Analyst, Paul G. Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning will discuss: The Murky World of Israel’s Booby-Trapped Pagers and Walkie-Talkies.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The LIVE Recording of A View from Afar podcast will begin today at 12:45pm September 23, 2024 (NZST) which is Sunday evening, 8:45pm (USEDT).</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="LIVE@12:45pm - The Murky World of Israel’s Booby-Trapped Pagers and Walkie-Talkies" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/HurTfV_J8Bc?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>In this episode of A View from Afar <span class="s1">political scientist and former Pentagon Analyst, Paul G. Buchanan and journalist Selwyn Manning </span><span class="s1">will discuss</span>: The Murky World of Israel’s Booby-Trapped Pagers and Walkie-Talkies.</p>
<p>Today, Paul and Selwyn will reveal Israel’s long-form planning that led to it sabotaging hand-held communication devices that Hezbollah used to communicate with.</p>
<p>This episode&#8217;s questions will include:</p>
<ul>
<li>Who was behind the manufacturing of the booby-trapped devices?</li>
<li>How long has Israel been planning last week’s attack &#8211; an attack that saw thousands injured and many killed in Lebanon after Israel remotely pulled the virtual-pin and exploded the devices indiscriminantly?</li>
<li>And why now? Presumably the devices were also programmed to be tracked. So why did Israel decide to abandon tracking Hezbollah and to attack?</li>
<li>Was it to cause chaos among its enemies in a preemptive move immediately prior to its widespread bombing and targeting of communities in Lebanon?</li>
<li>And what of international law? Has Israel gone so far beyond the Rubicon with Gaza that it senses international law no longer applies to Israel?</li>
<li>And, finally, has the United Nations abandoned its right to protect principles, its peacemaking and peacekeeping responsibilities in favour of aid, development and an overly bureaucratic institution?</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Live Audience:</strong> Remember, if you are joining us live via the social media platforms, feel free to comment as we can include your comments and questions in this programme.</p>
<p><strong>INTERACTION WHILE LIVE:</strong></p>
<p>Paul and Selwyn encourage their live audience to interact while they are live with questions and comments.</p>
<p>To interact during the live recording of this podcast, go to <a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></p>
<p>Remember to subscribe to the channel.</p>
<p>For the on-demand audience, you can also keep the conversation going on this debate by clicking on one of the social media channels below:</p>
<ul>
<li><a class="yt-core-attributed-string__link yt-core-attributed-string__link--display-type yt-core-attributed-string__link--call-to-action-color" tabindex="0" href="https://youtube.com/c/EveningReport/" target="" rel="nofollow noopener">Youtube.com/c/EveningReport/</a></li>
<li>Facebook.com/selwyn.manning</li>
<li>Twitter.com/Selwyn_Manning</li>
</ul>
<p>RECOGNITION: The MIL Network’s podcast A View from Afar was Nominated as a Top Defence Security Podcast by Threat.Technology – a London-based cyber security news publication. Threat.Technology placed A View from Afar at 9th in its 20 Best Defence Security Podcasts of 2021 category.</p>
<p>You can follow A View from Afar via our affiliate syndicators.</p>
<p><center><a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/evening-report/id1542433334?itsct=podcast_box&amp;itscg=30200"><img decoding="async" class="td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://tools.applemediaservices.com/api/badges/listen-on-apple-podcasts/badge/en-US?size=250x83&amp;releaseDate=1606352220&amp;h=79ac0fbf02ad5db86494e28360c5d19f" alt="Listen on Apple Podcasts" /></a></center><center><a href="https://open.spotify.com/show/102eox6FyOzfp48pPTv8nX" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-871386 size-full td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 330px) 100vw, 330px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1.png 330w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/spotify-podcast-badge-blk-grn-330x80-1-324x80.png 324w" alt="" width="330" height="80" /></a></center><center><a href="https://music.amazon.com.au/podcasts/3cc7eef8-5fb7-4ab9-ac68-1264839d82f0/EVENING-REPORT"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1068847 td-animation-stack-type0-2 td-animation-stack-type0-1" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png" sizes="auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-300x73.png 300w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-768x186.png 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X-696x169.png 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/US_ListenOn_AmazonMusic_button_black_RGB_5X.png 825w" alt="" width="300" height="73" /></a></center><center><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-evening-report-75161304/?embed=true" width="350" height="300" frameborder="0" data-mce-fragment="1" data-gtm-yt-inspected-7="true" data-gtm-yt-inspected-8="true"></iframe></center><center>***</center></p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
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