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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; The Enigma of the Iranian President</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/27/keith-rankin-analysis-the-enigma-of-the-iranian-president/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 04:01:20 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1108231</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin. One puzzling feature of the present Israel-Iran war is the almost complete absence of reference – in the western media at least – to the Iranian President, Masoud Pezeshkian. The American president claimed that Israel had killed the Iranian President, but he was referring to the Supreme Leader. Killing Ali Khamenei, ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Keith Rankin.</p>
<p>One puzzling feature of the present Israel-Iran war is the almost complete absence of reference – in the western media at least – to the Iranian President, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Masoud_Pezeshkian" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Masoud_Pezeshkian&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438880000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2RgcWBNtPvHB01Z_bHa3F9">Masoud Pezeshkian</a>.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 150px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-thumbnail" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-65x65.jpg 65w" sizes="(max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p>The American president claimed that Israel had killed the Iranian President, but he was referring to the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ali_Khamenei" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ali_Khamenei&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438880000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0bOtGWI69HrjtT9nFFeofm">Supreme Leader</a>. Killing Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Shia Islam – and, when he was alive, the Patriarch of Iran – was comparable to the assassination of Pope Leo or King Charles. (These last two are both &#8216;supreme leaders&#8217;, though neither of these two are anything like the administrative or military leader of a nation state; they are moral and morale leaders.) Iran&#8217;s President, Masoud Pezeshkian, is still very much alive; and would prefer to build bridges than bombs.</p>
<p>Admittedly, the Iranian constitution is somewhat complex – especially to casual western onlookers – having distinct power centres for religious, military, and civilian authority. Do we dismiss Pezeshkian simply because he is neither a &#8216;cleric&#8217; nor a &#8216;revolutionary guard&#8217;? I think there is much more to our dismissal of him than some consideration that he&#8217;s unimportant.</p>
<p>Ali Khamenei was, during the 1980s, the third President of Iran. His two predecessors had fewer religious credentials than Khamanei, reflecting the comparatively secular nature of the role of president. Their presidencies were short-lived however; the first president was impeached in mid-1981, and his successor was assassinated by bombing four weeks later; revolutionary Iran was a tumultuous place.</p>
<p>President Khamenei clearly played a critical role in the 1980s&#8217; Iran-Iraq War, from which Iran survived; unexpectedly to many, and stronger from having been tested through a war in which the western powers supported the other side and its president <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saddam_Hussein" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saddam_Hussein&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1Lx4akMCjsrwf2qkWng7x8">Saddam Hussein</a>.</p>
<p>The Presidency of Iran is clearly a very important political role. Problematically for the West, who wishes to cast Iran as an anti-democracy, it&#8217;s a highly-contested democratically-elected position of power. Indeed the President has featured in most political news stories throughout the history of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamic_Republic_of_Iran" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamic_Republic_of_Iran&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2uX0fzu8lkdlDTiRWv96pO">Islamic Republic</a>, at least until the election of the present president in 2024 (following the death of his predecessor, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebrahim_Raisi" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebrahim_Raisi&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2WunMwoDE5gyiHP-a5X_Xb">Ebrahim Raisi</a>, in a helicopter crash).</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>In <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_presidential_election" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_presidential_election&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw23bCYpi-hxw-f6UA23jG1K">the 2024 election</a>, Pezeshkian, the &#8216;progressive left&#8217; candidate defeated <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohammad_Bagher_Ghalibaf" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mohammad_Bagher_Ghalibaf&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw34XRWUwY2JujHS7Ban6xVV">Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf</a> and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saeed_Jalili" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saeed_Jalili&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw08DeZRymEGZS_SpueMNTP_">Saeed Jalili</a>, the &#8216;conservative right&#8217; candidates. I heard recently that, when Ingrid Hipkiss asked who the Americans might negotiate with, given President Trump&#8217;s claim to have killed several tiers of Iranian leadership, the answer suggested by Simon Marks was Ghalibaf, who was high up in the regime and had even stood for president. Not a single mention of the actual President! (Refer Morning Report, <i>RNZ</i> 24 March 2026, <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/morningreport/audio/2019028154/trump-suspends-strikes-on-iran-s-power-plants" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/morningreport/audio/2019028154/trump-suspends-strikes-on-iran-s-power-plants&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1iTa1gjY1MMgaDpyNxCGUC">Trump suspends strikes on Iran&#8217;s power plants</a>.)</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>I would argue that Pezeshkian&#8217;s success was more reflective of popular preference than the other elections that year, which delivered Donald Trump in the United States and Keir Starmer in the United Kingdom. Both Trump and Starmer were widely disliked by their countries&#8217; electorates (now even more disliked than in 2024), only winning because the only other options for political leadership were deemed by voters to be worse.</p>
<p>Pezeshkian, on the other hand, was a progressive and genuinely popular choice; not a person wanting to align Iran with the West, but a person wanting to build strong relationships. Through, for example, Iran joining the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BRICS" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BRICS&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2FvAaQ-404PxybT0b8HBls">BRICS</a>network of economically powerful countries which favour geopolitical multipolarity rather than Western unipolarity. (See this <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:2024_BRICS_Summit_(1729758535).jpg" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:2024_BRICS_Summit_(1729758535).jpg&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2n6O3JiewHP6xbcF_8IRbU">picture of BRICS 2024</a>, with Pezeshkian very prominent, and neither looking like a Shia cleric – as <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebrahim_Raisi" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ebrahim_Raisi&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2WunMwoDE5gyiHP-a5X_Xb">Raisi</a> had looked – nor conforming with western dress codes.) He comes across as a statesman, certainly not a demagogue.</p>
<p>My take on the Iranian presidential enigma is this. Politics is substantially propaganda – aka &#8216;narrative&#8217; – and geopolitics involves such messaging on a global scale. Much narrative is conducted through images rather than through words, and is largely shaped by which images are missing; propaganda is as much about deamplification of unwanted messages as it is about amplifying regime (and prevalent media) narratives.</p>
<p>President Pezeshkian does not present the imagery of smarminess (being <a href="https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/smarminess" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/smarminess&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2uZwYF_c_SUM_VgIkvt1h3">unpleasantly suave</a>) or of evilness or of rigid fundamentalism; he does not present the images that Israel and the West would like to portray in conveying their story about Iran. Rather, he presents as honest, pragmatic, constructive, and electable. He is quietly spoken. I have heard mention that one of Iran&#8217;s political strategies is the so-called <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Good_cop,_bad_cop" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Good_cop,_bad_cop&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1WawQQKlXoEN7N4OmIVPMg">good cop, bad cop</a> strategy. If so, Pezeshkian is certainly the good cop. I think he is a good cop, period.</p>
<p>Pezeshkian is neither a clerical ideologue nor a shouty military spokesperson. He is not a newsreader with head covered, dressed all in black. Those are the images which western media push about Iran. Too moderate to assassinate; such grotesque (albeit routine) geopolitical violence would increase Pezeshkian&#8217;s profile in the West, which the West seems not to want. Better to just pretend he doesn&#8217;t exist, even though he&#8217;s the President. (Though some – including <i>Al Jazeera&#8217;s</i> Israeli-born political analyst, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marwan_Bishara" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marwan_Bishara&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774662438881000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1ARD8mqY-_EIVFQEhB7gz-">Marwan Bishara</a> – suggest that Israel prefers to assassinate their more moderate opponents, given that such people [when alive and visible] might distract us from consuming Israel&#8217;s dehumanising narratives.)</p>
<p>To glean a semblance of truth in contentious times, you often have to <b><i>hear what is not being said</i></b>, and <b><i>see what is not being shown</i></b>. You have to look out for softly spoken messages; looking past caricatures and scapegoats, and looking past CAPITAL LETTERS and !!!</p>
<p align="center">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-</p>
<p>Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; 1956, 1967, 1973, 1979 and all that: Shipping, Oil, and Inflation</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/20/keith-rankin-analysis-1956-1967-1973-1979-and-all-that-shipping-oil-and-inflation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 03:29:17 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/?p=1107694</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin, 20 March 2026. The human world changed twice during the twentieth century. The first transition lasted from 1914 to 1945. The principal cause of World War Two was World War One. So, to understand the drivers of that long transition, indeed a great levelling event, it is necessary to investigate the ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Keith Rankin, 20 March 2026.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 150px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-thumbnail" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-65x65.jpg 65w" sizes="(max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p>The human world changed twice during the twentieth century. The first transition lasted from 1914 to 1945. The principal cause of World War Two was World War One. So, to understand the drivers of that long transition, indeed a <a href="https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691271842/the-great-leveler" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691271842/the-great-leveler&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2UeZlK9uB0Sf4UwgJjMCbN">great levelling</a> event, it is necessary to investigate the causes of World War One. What happened between those wars was not inevitable, of course. But those inter-war events formed part of a comprehensible transitional sequence.</p>
<p>The next transition began, I would argue, in 1967 and lasted until 1980. Though key pre- and post-transition events took place in 1948, 1953 and 1956; and 1989/1990. The 1967 to 1980 transition significantly involved both Israel and Iran. As a result, the post-war world of cold war and decolonisation gave way to a neoliberal world order in which the new financial and political elites increasingly ruled under the titular covers of &#8216;liberal democracy&#8217;, &#8216;global rules-based-order&#8217;, and the &#8216;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/unipolar_moment" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/unipolar_moment&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3WgsQhnXgF_bVSguHff93u">unipolar moment</a>&#8216;.</p>
<p>Are we today in a new transition, away from neoliberalism; maybe into a bleak zero-sum order (or negative-sum) of right-wing identity politics? An order in which national or cultural identity groups seek to harm other such groups more than they benefit their own group. An ultra-Hobbesian world in which individuals and groups gain pleasure directly from the pain they cause to others? Or will such gratuitous and predatory behaviour be limited to a transition now under way? While such behaviour happened markedly during the last years of the 1914 to 1945 transition, there were also substantial precursors to it in the lead-up to World War One. Not least the Judeophobic pogroms in Ukraine and some of its neighbouring territories.</p>
<p>These remain open questions. My aim here is to outline the 1967 to 1980 transition, noting some parallels between that transition and present times.</p>
<p>Before that, I&#8217;ll just mention that, in 1948, Israel and Palestine were both granted, by the new United Nations, the status of sovereign nation states. The Palestine nation was stillborn, for a number of reasons, one of which was that the eventual borders of Israel split the Palestinian territories. And I&#8217;ll mention that, in 1953, the United States instigated a political and military coup in Iran, converting a developing independent democracy into an absolute monarchy whose role was to acquiesce to Washington&#8217;s stated and unstated interests.</p>
<p><b>Suez Canal: the First Crisis</b></p>
<p>Most wars start with a pretext, an event manufactured or exploited by the true belligerent to justify its aggression.</p>
<p>One country which had been subjugated – indeed occupied – by the United Kingdom for many years was Egypt. That&#8217;s why Egypt came to be so important for the New Zealand military in both WW1 and WW2.</p>
<p>The critical strategic asset in Egypt was the Suez Canal, built by French interests, opened in 1869, and effectively <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anglo-Egyptian_War" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anglo-Egyptian_War&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3e3zARZZTMM3JBxb3xJIlh">wrested by the British</a> from 1882 (though France maintained a strategic interest). For the steamship age, that canal became the critical conduit for the British Empire, connecting London with India (which included modern Pakistan and Bangladesh), East Africa, the &#8216;Middle East&#8217; (meaning the Persian Gulf), the &#8216;Far East&#8217;, and the Australian colonies which became Australia.</p>
<p>The Egyptian Revolution took place in 1952, and Egyptian president Nasser nationalised the Suez Canal in July 1956. The result was a war in the latter part of 1956, in which the British and French persuaded Israel (only created in 1948) to invade Egypt&#8217;s Sinai Peninsula. (These events were covered in an episode of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Crown_(TV_series)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Crown_(TV_series)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1-23fQCeI_MTz0UA_GTfnS">The Crown</a>.) The Israeli attack took place as <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Kadesh" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Kadesh&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw10g-vYasLv_rCIbtEM1__8">Operation Kadesh</a>. Less than two days after this pretext, presented as a threat to Israel&#8217;s security, Britain (and France) started bombing Egypt at Port Said, in an operation to &#8216;secure&#8217; the Canal.</p>
<p>The end result was an ignominious defeat for Britain and France, unsupported by the US, but with no meaningful withdrawal by Israel; the Israel-Egypt border had become permanently militarised, noting that Gaza had been (by agreement) under Egyptian control since 1949.</p>
<p>The Suez Canal was closed for nearly six months, until April 1957.</p>
<p><b>Suez Canal: the Second Crisis</b></p>
<p>Ten years later, in June 1967, Israel went for broke. This was the much bigger <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closure_of_the_Suez_Canal_(1967%E2%80%931975)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closure_of_the_Suez_Canal_(1967%25E2%2580%25931975)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw14zaHTpc5M2OK-m7OYFy8c">second crisis</a> for the Suez Canal. In six days, Israel conquered the entire Sinai Peninsula – therefore including Gaza – meaning that Israel had annexed the eastern side of the Canal. In addition Israel conquered East Jerusalem, which in 1948 was supposed to have become the capital of an independent Palestine, the West Bank (which the State of Tennessee, in an act of appeasement towards Israel, now wants to call <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judea_and_Samaria" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judea_and_Samaria&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1lt4dznje9GW17igCnqzAV">Judea and Samaria</a>; refer <a href="https://fox17.com/newsletter-daily/bill-requiring-tennessee-to-use-judea-and-samaria-instead-of-west-bank-advances" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://fox17.com/newsletter-daily/bill-requiring-tennessee-to-use-judea-and-samaria-instead-of-west-bank-advances&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3IbscVR3pzlbkYiQ46-u_X">Bill requiring Tennessee to use &#8216;Judea and Samaria&#8217; instead of &#8216;West Bank&#8217; advances</a>, Fox17, 6 March 2026), and Syria&#8217;s <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_occupation_of_the_Golan_Heights" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_occupation_of_the_Golan_Heights&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1Uzxvqoeny2OuzYZxJIP1D">Golan Heights</a>.</p>
<p>The principal consequence was that <b><i>the Suez Canal, an even more important waterway than the Gulf of Hormuz, was closed from 1967 to 1975</i></b>.</p>
<p>With hindsight, we can see that the global economic crisis of the 1970s began in 1967. It is understood as a crisis of inflation which morphed after 1973 into a crisis of stagflation; for an overview, biased towards the US and towards the received narrative, refer to <a href="https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw13bfsRPynI5fOF79t56qXE">The Great Inflation</a>, in <i>Federal Reserve History</i>.</p>
<p>The closure of the Suez Canal had little impact on oil prices. But it did lead to a surge in the cost of international transportation, as Asia to Europe trade had to be diverted to the South African and Panama routes. The other two drivers of that inflation-surge in the late 1960s were the escalations of the Vietnam War, and the prevalence of a corporate structure – outlined by <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Kenneth_Galbraith" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Kenneth_Galbraith&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3E8REfaY1dhhJ0Kl1cEKt8">John Kenneth Galbraith</a> in <i>The New Industrial State</i> (1967) and <i>Economics and the Public Purpose</i> (1973) – which made the global marketplace less responsive towards increases in global spending. That last point means that large corporate firms, like today&#8217;s energy companies, became predisposed to respond to increased demand by raising prices rather than by raising the quantities of output supplied.</p>
<p>Wartime is almost always associated with inflation, because it both raises costs and constrains the supply of consumer goods. (American wars since the 1970s can be an exception, because they are financed by instant money and readily-available imports; by US government-deficits and US economy trade deficits. Deficits which the rest of the world is eager to facilitate.)</p>
<p><b>Israel 1967 to 1973</b></p>
<p>With the partial exception of Syria&#8217;s Golan Heights, Israel did not formally incorporate the other conquered territories. This retention of these territories as subjugated territories was partly due to international pressure to not recognise conquests, but was probably more to do with their implications for the demographic balance of Israel. Integration would have led to the possibility of Jews becoming a minority of Israel&#8217;s population, and Arabs a majority.</p>
<p>(We should note that, for the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_secularism" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_secularism&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0O2OayXXW4keYweXHpIlop">secular Jews</a> who run Israel, to be Jewish is understood more as an ethnicity than as a religious faith. Hence, Israelis tend to juxtapose <i>Jews and Arabs</i>, whereas people in the rest of the world juxtapose Israelis (understood to be mostly Jews) and Palestinians. Israelis favour the word &#8216;Arab&#8217; over &#8216;Palestinian&#8217;, because of a popular Israeli narrative that the indigenous population of Palestine is descended from immigrants from Arabia.)</p>
<p>The <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_Arab-Israeli_War" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_Arab-Israeli_War&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw07t-wMQim2DuOmnurqjp4r">1973 Arab-Israeli War</a> happened in October 1973, beginning with a surprise attack by Egypt, during the Yom Kippur holy day (and noting that the 2026 attacks on Iran occurred during Ramadan, Islam&#8217;s holiest period). Basically, Egypt wanted its Sinai Peninsula back, in part so that it could reopen the Canal. Other nearby countries joined-in, especially Syria, but also Jordan and Iraq. Not Iran, which was then under United States hegemony.</p>
<p>Despite Egypt&#8217;s initial advantage of surprise, Israel not only fought back defensively, but counterattacked. The counterattack included an Israeli army contingent crossing the Suez Canal and marching on Cairo; ie approaching the Nile River. Potentially this war could have led to the creation of a Greater Israel; from the Euphrates (in Syria and Iraq) to the Nile. But again, the problem of conquest becomes the problem of having to incorporate supposedly &#8216;inferior&#8217; populations into the expanded nation state.</p>
<p>(We note that surprise attacks often do not bear fruit; noting the American president&#8217;s tasteless and quasi-triumphant comparison between 28 February 2026 with the ultimately unsuccessful attack on Pearl Harbor on 7 December 1941. See <a href="https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/03/20/trump-jokes-about-pearl-harbour-in-meeting-with-japans-pm/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/03/20/trump-jokes-about-pearl-harbour-in-meeting-with-japans-pm/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0DbcTPV84SDKxFgY-6WRUQ">Trump jokes about Pearl Harbour in meeting with Japan&#8217;s PM</a>, <i>TVNZ</i>, 20 March 2026. For a brief moment, I wondered if the President was going to refer to the surprise attack of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_bombings_of_Hiroshima_and_Nagasaki" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_bombings_of_Hiroshima_and_Nagasaki&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1B3ami3W_xMPlPnoBDIkEf">6 August 1945</a>, or that of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Tokyo_(10_March_1945)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Tokyo_(10_March_1945)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1COFpdoG-iPzt3KW-XH-Vt">10 March 1945</a>.)</p>
<p>Further, the international community had interests other than appeasing Israel. The biggest of these concerns was the price of oil. In the end the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camp_David_Accords" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camp_David_Accords&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0yR2gFUwIs-Usu9Nf2pniU">international community got its way</a>, but at a cost of making Israel itself into a significantly more belligerent state than it had been hitherto.</p>
<p><b>Oil Prices</b></p>
<p>The <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0Qj_X-CKPg8eZ7a5ajYIvG">1973 Oil Crisis</a> led to a quadrupling of crude oil prices by 1977, most of that taking place in 1974. Given the general inflation, much of it instigated by the oil price increases, real oil prices <i>only</i> increased by 150 percent in United States&#8217; dollars.</p>
<p>The main reasons for the huge price increases of oil were the roles of the likes of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait – through the Vienna-based OPEC cartel – being able to push back against the encroachment of the Zionist project in their region, by using their effective near-monopoly power. In turn, these high prices led to the further development of the petroleum industries in the Persian Gulf, and of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_Cooperation_Council" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_Cooperation_Council&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3ZGP8IyyTtA4LR0pwnWOCN">Gulf States</a> themselves. Additionally, we should note that oil was underpriced prior to the 1973 war; much as it can be argued that oil was underpriced in January 2026.</p>
<p>This had a much bigger economic impact on countries like New Zealand than anything we&#8217;ve either seen or projected in the present March 2026 crisis. (In my case, it brought forward my OE plans. At the end of 1973, for $400 I bought a ticket to sail to England via Acapulco, Panama, Curaçao and Barbados. By time the ship sailed in April 1974, the fare had been subject to two surcharges and I ended up paying more like $480. It could have been worse if the ship had not had access to cheap Venezuelan fuel in Curaçao.)</p>
<p>The result was a series of massive financial imbalances across the world; between oil-importing and oil-exporting countries, and also within larger oil-producing countries such as the United States. (New York&#8217;s loss was Texas&#8217;s gain.) While those 1970s&#8217; financial challenges were navigated by the world&#8217;s finance ministers and central banks with a large measure of pragmatic success, the turmoil of the times let in a new and simplistic narrative around money and inflation; an unnuanced narrative that harked back to the classical stories about money during World War Zero (that&#8217;s the Napoleonic Wars of 1798 to 1815).</p>
<p>That new narrative was monetarism/neoliberalism, and placed itself perfectly to exploit the economic crisis – the <a href="https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw13bfsRPynI5fOF79t56qXE">Great Inflation</a>– to create the neoliberal anti-intellectual hegemony which has ruled over the western world and hence over the whole world since the early 1980s. The guru of monetarism was a Chicago School economist; <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_Friedman" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_Friedman&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2N_FCXil0xZmc1GH5LaGV2">Milton Friedman</a>. As an academic, Friedman and his acolytes had been plugging away through the 1950s and 1960s; well-placed to take advantage of a good crisis, especially a crisis centred around the word &#8216;inflation&#8217;. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Boys" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Boys&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw08W1gsaRk8c9RTp2efEIDf">Chicago School economists</a> experimented on Chile following its <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_dictatorship_of_Chile" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_dictatorship_of_Chile&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1iQdJ4d_8x1LVoVBVuI6sf">11 September 1973 military coup</a>.</p>
<p>If Israel had simply returned Sinai to Egypt in say 1970 – in circumstances similar to the eventual return of Sinai – allowing the Suez Canal to reopen, then the 1970s and 1980s could have turned out very differently.</p>
<p><b>Revolution, and Oil Prices again</b></p>
<p>One of the consequences of the political crisis in the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middle_East" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middle_East&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2TJjfCcwT2680KoGdIQsv6">Middle East</a> was further crisis in the Middle East. Various latent nationalisms in the region intensified markedly; these intensifications turned for inspiration to the common faith in the region, Islam.</p>
<p>Hence, there was a direct – albeit convoluted – pathway from the 1973 war to the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_Revolution" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_Revolution&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1ZgORFuu-fufvD_n6agUci">1978/1979 Iranian Revolution</a>. In February 1979 the Imperial State of Iran gave way to the Islamic Republic of Iran.</p>
<p>(I could have gained a personal glimpse of revolutionary Iran. Returning from my OE in September 1978, my partner and I were on a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan_Am" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan_Am&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541436000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1tLYVtQKSZKGjEilER52XW">PanAm</a> flight from Rome to Istanbul. The flight originated in New York, and terminated in Tehran, and was running late. Many of the passengers were agitated, because the flight was now projected to arrive in Tehran during the evening curfew. I guess it was always possible that PanAm would take the decision to overfly Istanbul, in order to arrive in Tehran on time. The plane did land in Istanbul, later than scheduled, so I know not about what dramas may have unfolded in Tehran later that evening. I expect that the return flight out of Tehran was fully booked, given the deteriorating situation there for American citizens.)</p>
<p>An important result is that oil from Iran, a founding member of OPEC, came off the world market for a few years. (Although, Aotearoa New Zealand, in its own pragmatic navigation of the crisis, came to do a swap deal with Revolutionary Iran. Despite the fact that, for a few years instances of capital punishment in Iran came to exceed those in the United States, New Zealand negotiated a <a href="https://teara.govt.nz/en/overseas-trade-policy/page-5" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://teara.govt.nz/en/overseas-trade-policy/page-5&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541436000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0_xmm5Fn83eZPJTedct6OL">sheep-meat for oil swap</a>, thereby saving this country&#8217;s critical sheep-farming industry.)</p>
<p>The result of the loss of Iranian oil from the word market led, in 1979, to a further doubling of the world price of crude oil. In the second half of the 1970s, many countries – including New Zealand and United States – cut their speed limits to 80kph (or 50 miles per hour). (I still remember, in October 1976, riding in a Greyhound Bus in Pennsylvania, watching big trucks traveling very slowly along the United States&#8217; interstate motorway system.)</p>
<p>In 1979, the crisis became so difficult that the New Zealand government made the sensible though since-derided decision to ration petrol by requiring motorists to observe carless days each week.</p>
<p>Governments in oil-importing countries made the pragmatic decision to both conserve oil and, for balance of payments&#8217; reasons, to develop their own oil, gas and exportable reserves. New Zealand electrified its North Island Main Trunk Railway, doubled its aluminium production capacity (in order to export renewable energy), substantially expanded its oil-refining capacity, developed the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maui_gas_field" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maui_gas_field&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541436000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1XNwPEXvHGD_WZOv1fATAm">Maui gas field</a>; and developed the Glenbrook steel mill as a means to gain export receipts from the sale of west coast iron-sand.</p>
<p>Eventually, in 1986, the world oil price collapsed, ushering in a new (and environmentally discordant) era of cheap oil. Inflation-adjusted oil prices in 1999 were even lower than in 1972.</p>
<p><b>The Great Deception</b></p>
<p>World price-inflation was on a substantial downward path once the leading economies&#8217; central banks allowed interest rates to fall (through liberalising monetary policies) in the years 1983 to 1985, and once cheap oil resumed. But in some countries high consumer-price-inflation persevered until the end of the 1980s&#8217; decade, especially as they shifted towards goods and services taxes.</p>
<p>New Zealand pioneered a particular form of illiberal monetary policy in 1989, when inflation was already falling back to normal levels; and claimed that the new simple-minded monetary policy was the sole cure. This policy, which was in fact very much associated with the aforementioned monetarist project, became akin to a biblical truth; and was successfully exported to the consolidating globalised political and financial elites, making this new quasi-biblical truth into a bedrock policy-of-faith in the post-1980 world order.</p>
<p>Today, we can easily observe how false this &#8216;truth&#8217; of faith is. By looking at the United Kingdom and Australia, two countries which have minimally reduced interest rates since 2022, we can see how their inflation rates have remained stubbornly higher than those with lower interest rates.</p>
<p><b>The next political and financial world order?</b></p>
<p>Are we in a new transition? Probably yes. Will it take a decade or so? Probably yes. While there are many calamities that could happen – and remembering that the world faced the possibility of global nuclear war early in both the cold war world order and the neoliberal world order – an optimistic take is that the world will move into a multipolar principles-of-engagement world order in which no single polity (or alliance) can dictate terms to the rest of the world with apparent impunity.</p>
<p>A unipolar world order is an illiberal geopolitical monopoly. Present events may either entrench or destroy the forces pushing for geopolitical illiberalism. Multipolarity is geopolitical liberalism.</p>
<p>The next world order should not be reliant on cheap oil nor indefinite economic growth nor the idolatry of money. Money is a means, not an end; it is a technology, not a commodity. Capitalism can become a peaceful private-public partnership. If enough of us want it to be.</p>
<p align="center">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-</p>
<p>Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; Turkmenistan: The Hermit Autocracy in the Centre of Eurasia</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/20/keith-rankin-analysis-turkmenistan-the-hermit-autocracy-in-the-centre-of-eurasia/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 23:30:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Central Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CTF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[History]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MIL Syndication]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MIL-OSI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turkey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turkiye]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Turkmenistan]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin, 17 March 2026. Iran is a crucial country in Southwest Asia. Not only is it strategically placed with respect to maritime transport, it also has land borders with seven countries. Most of these countries have been in the world news in the last decade, generally in relation to some conflict or ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Keith Rankin, 17 March 2026.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 150px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-thumbnail" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-65x65.jpg 65w" sizes="(max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p>Iran is a crucial country in Southwest Asia. Not only is it strategically placed with respect to maritime transport, it also has land borders with seven countries. Most of these countries have been in the world news in the last decade, generally in relation to some conflict or other.</p>
<p>Two of these are currently at war with each other: Afghanistan and Pakistan (refer<a href="https://news.sky.com/video/i-heard-a-huge-blast-afghan-journalist-describes-kabul-rehab-hospital-strikes-13520743" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://news.sky.com/video/i-heard-a-huge-blast-afghan-journalist-describes-kabul-rehab-hospital-strikes-13520743&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465154000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1-iL_RwxRR70nOzGY7XTAa"> &#8216;I heard a huge blast&#8217;: Afghan journalist describes Kabul rehab hospital strikes</a>, <i>Sky News</i>, 16 March 2026). Two others were at war a few years ago: Armenia and Azerbaijan. And Iraq has been in five separate wars, one against Iran itself, and one against Iran&#8217;s near-neighbour Kuwait, two against the wider West, and one against <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISIL" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISIL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465154000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0tzasDiYAyze3XLef21gts">ISIL</a>. Türkiye, by contrast, has been a sea of relative stability, and is indeed the main recipient of Iranian refugees at present.</p>
<p>But what about Turkmenistan, a country which has a 1,000km border with Iran; and important demographic and cultural links with Iran? A country successfully hiding in plain sight.</p>
<p>Korea was dubbed the &#8216;Hermit Kingdom&#8217; in the nineteenth century, and since the Korean War (ceasefire in 1953) North Korea is not uncommonly still called that. But, at least in our awareness, Turkmenistan makes North Korea seem rather gregarious in terms of its relations with the world. I understand that it&#8217;s harder to get a visa to visit Turkmenistan than to visit North Korea.</p>
<p>Google: &#8220;Ashgabat, the capital, was rebuilt [after a big earthquake in 1948] in Soviet style in the mid-20th century and is filled with grand monuments honouring former president <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saparmurat_Niyazov" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saparmurat_Niyazov&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465154000&amp;usg=AOvVaw24sFp8wyXepFZ20SVcdL5N">Saparmurat Niyazov</a>.&#8221; This architectural gigantism is reminiscent of North Korea. <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-37397021" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-37397021&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465154000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2r-MM4IXkUhIMSwfODReoC">BBC</a>, 17 Sep 2016: &#8220;Turkmenistan has unveiled a gleaming new international airport with a roof in the shape of a flying falcon. … Ashgabat [the capital, and close to the Iranian border] boasts several other unique structures, including a publishing house in shape of an open book [and] two giant golden statues of both Mr <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gurbanguly_Berdimuhamedow" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gurbanguly_Berdimuhamedow&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465154000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1tw4K2XVcfvEa1LmsKjjMg">Berdymukhamedov</a> and his late predecessor Saparmyrat Niyazov.&#8221;</p>
<p><b>Economy</b></p>
<p>Turkmenistan, on the southeastern side of the Caspian Sea, has an ancient history in terms of trade along the Silk Road; it was indeed a land of transit in the times of caravans and camels.</p>
<p>In 1881 it was annexed and fully incorporated into the Russian Empire. And, during Soviet Union times, it was a full republic of that Union. Since the Soviet split-up, Turkmenistan, in true Orwellian fashion, has largely denied that it was ever part of the Soviet Union. Its population, believed to be just over six million, is kept in perpetual ignorance of the wider world. There is a relatively large regional diaspora of Turkmen people.</p>
<p>That ignorance is mutual. The West knows as little about Turkmenistan as Turkmen subjects know about The West. Interestingly, I looked up the <i>CIA Factbook</i> – a widely favoured reference resource for political geography – to verify my own knowledge. And I found <a href="https://www.cia.gov/stories/story/spotlighting-the-world-factbook-as-we-bid-a-fond-farewell/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.cia.gov/stories/story/spotlighting-the-world-factbook-as-we-bid-a-fond-farewell/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465154000&amp;usg=AOvVaw006WtU-IvbTDishxCwVF63">this</a>; the <i>Factbook</i> was closed last month (though see the <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20260131095511/https:/www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://web.archive.org/web/20260131095511/https:/www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465154000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1Xs3u6XE4tbngUG0diWg3I">wayback machine</a>). Not widely reported, but note this on CNN: <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2026/02/05/us/cia-world-factbook-countries-cec" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://edition.cnn.com/2026/02/05/us/cia-world-factbook-countries-cec&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465154000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2IYqO91PtvnO0UaaIkYFbg">CIA terminates its World Factbook, overthrowing reference regime</a>, 6 Feb 2026.</p>
<p>I found some maps still on the CIA website: <a href="https://www.cia.gov/resources/map/india/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.cia.gov/resources/map/india/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465154000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2C7l-Is0aq-zEvFc0Tsrcy">https://www.cia.gov/resources/<wbr />map/india/</a> and <a href="https://www.cia.gov/resources/map/turkmenistan/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.cia.gov/resources/map/turkmenistan/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465155000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1JcRTXYOzcQVTRgCg_uDAD">https://www.cia.gov/resources/<wbr />map/turkmenistan/</a>. While the maps on India are reasonably current (2023), this <a href="https://www.cia.gov/static/9d51ade7e1072081f07332c6b50bff2d/turkmenistan-physiog.jpg" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.cia.gov/static/9d51ade7e1072081f07332c6b50bff2d/turkmenistan-physiog.jpg&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465155000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3Nb9JQ7jSJ5rJYKCmeKs3E">map</a> of Turkmenistan dates back to 2008. Not exactly state-of-the-art intelligence.</p>
<p>Turkmenistan is not a poor country. It has substantial oil reserves, and has huge barely tapped natural gas reserves, comparable to those of Qatar. Despite contrived inequality between rulers and subjects, its people are not as poor as North Korea&#8217;s. Its long-distance trade nowadays passes mostly either to The West via the Caspian Sea, then Azerbaijan and Georgia; or to China via just one other country, Kazakhstan. There will also be regional trade with its four land neighbours: Iran, Afghanistan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan.</p>
<p><b>Strategic Matters</b></p>
<p>For reasons fully beyond its control, Turkmenistan finds its most natural neighbour and most natural ally, Iran, in fullscale war with both regional and global hegemons. I suspect that there are very few Iranian citizens seeking refuge in Turkmenistan, even though many living near Turkmenistan – including in bombed nearby cities such as Mashhad (refer Iran&#8217;s <a href="https://caspianpost.com/iran/iran-s-mashhad-airport-targeted-amid-ongoing-israeli-strikes" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://caspianpost.com/iran/iran-s-mashhad-airport-targeted-amid-ongoing-israeli-strikes&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465155000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2_d-COzPUsG0ThJYxYFakq">Mashhad Airport Targeted Amid Ongoing Israeli Strikes</a>, <i>The Caspian Post</i>, 1 March 2016) – are now living in considerable danger.</p>
<p>Wars typically spill over, in one form or another, into neighbouring countries. Further, Turkmenistan might now become coveted for its geopolitically strategic location and resources. War might come in more than a local spill.</p>
<p><b>Airspace</b></p>
<p>Once upon a long time ago, the most strategic spaces in the world were land-spaces, especially central Asian steppes such as those of Turkmenistan. The last incursions from the East into Europe came from these lands: those invasions by Genghis Khan in the twelfth century, and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tamerlane" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tamerlane&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465155000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0_5BJGdIJmB3BqL1AmmBQ1">Tamerlane</a> in the fourteenth.</p>
<p>The last incursion from the East into Western Europe was that of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attila" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Attila&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465155000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0XvQnJNkwIaLFuxfjhqkFt">Attila the Hun</a> in the fifth century. Since those invasions – and since earlier western conquests, eg those of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_the_Great" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_the_Great&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465155000&amp;usg=AOvVaw21yWwhU0klZdxnz-8iRC-t">Alexander the Great</a> – there have been many Western megalomaniacs invading Asia. The main opportunity for the West arose from the strategic development of seaspace trumping landspace.</p>
<p>Nowadays, airspace to a considerable extent trumps both landspace and seaspace. There are two components of this. The first is the military exploitation of airspace, a form of warfare favoured by most modern tyrants. The second is the civilian – and peaceful economic – use of airspace for long-distance transit and trade.</p>
<p>My guess is that, at least up until now, long-haul flights will have avoided overflying Turkmenistan. (Avoidance of countries&#8217; airspace is not uncommon: in 2008 I flew Cathay Pacific from Hong Kong to Seoul return, and the flights avoided Chinese airspace. And I flew from Shenyang in China to Seoul by Korean Airlines, a flight that took a wide circle route to avoid North Korea.)</p>
<p>As it is now, if civil flights want to avoid both Turkmenistan and all countries currently at war, a flight from Singapore to London (say) would have to fly over Nepal, China, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and then over the Black Sea. That&#8217;s a very narrow corridor for two-directional long-haul flying. Turkmenistan airspace would ease this constraint somewhat. But how safe can we expect any of Iran&#8217;s neighbours to be in the future? Certainly, with airspace now being the geopolitically dominant space today, Turkmenistan comes at a premium; potentially a new aerial Silk Road.</p>
<p>Safe national airspaces are important, not only to avoid being shot-down as <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malaysia_Airlines_Flight_17" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malaysia_Airlines_Flight_17&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774040465155000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2g79iXaI3qHXWz7wcvuozS">Malaysia Airlines Flight 17</a> was in 2014, but also as potential emergency landing sites. How will long-distance civilian air travel function during a twenty-first century world war?</p>
<p><b>Conclusion</b></p>
<p>Most of us have some geographical blindspots and many historical blindspots. Some places and historical events are blind to most of us. If democracy is to survive in any form, we need populations – not just &#8216;experts&#8217; – with more knowledge of the world. And, if not unbiased knowledge (very difficult to achieve), then at least knowledge with relatively balanced biases.</p>
<p>Turkmenistan is a strategically placed nation towards which most better-informed people have almost no knowledge. For us in the West, that lack of geographical knowledge is ignorance by choice, or by having priorities determined by our not knowing what we don&#8217;t know, even when those places are in plain sight. For the Turkmen subject people, their ignorance is different; it&#8217;s by design.</p>
<p align="center">*******</p>
<p>Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Minab school massacre – hands off the children of Iran, Donald Trump</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/02/minab-school-massacre-hands-off-the-children-of-iran-donald-trump/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 06:15:15 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Eugene Doyle When I heard the terrible news that the Americans and Israelis had killed more than 165 children this week in an elementary school in Minab in Southern Iran it took me back to a wonderful day I spent in Isfahan in 2018. I met lots of Iranian school children and their ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Eugene Doyle</em></p>
<p>When I heard the terrible news that the Americans and Israelis had killed more than 165 children this week in an elementary school in <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/28/israel-strikes-two-schools-in-iran-killing-more-than-50-people" rel="nofollow">Minab in Southern Iran</a> it took me back to a wonderful day I spent in Isfahan in 2018.</p>
<p>I met lots of Iranian school children and their teachers that day. They were keen to practise their English and ask lots of questions. I want to share that day with you because it was filled with hope, with promise for a better world.</p>
<p>My wife and I were visiting Iran, both for the second time.</p>
<p>Right at the end of our time there we spent a day in Naqsh-e Jahan Square in Isfahan. It is a massive square that could enclose a dozen football fields.</p>
<p>Built by Shah Abbas I in the 17th Century, during the Safavid period, it is a UNESCO World Heritage site with markets, palaces and other cultural sites framing its four sides.  At one end is the magnificent Imam Mosque where a string of memorable moments happened to me.</p>
<p>I even saw a most astonishing one-woman demonstration.</p>
<p>We were just approaching the Imam Mosque when I noticed a young woman removing her head scarf. A mass of black hair fell down to her waist and then she began dancing.</p>
<p><strong>‘Is this a protest?’</strong><br />Rhythmically she swirled her upper body in a circular motion that sent her hair out horizontally around her. I was gob-smacked.</p>
<p>After a minute or two she stopped and started talking to her male companion who had been photographing her. I approached.</p>
<p>“Is this a protest?” I asked, somewhat gormlessly.  Yes, against the clothing restrictions.</p>
<p>Today the courage and determination of such people has, to a degree, paid off. Those restrictions, particularly in the cities, have effectively been lightened.  I have seen lots of footage of Iranian women without any head covering.</p>
<p>I salute their courage and determination and know their struggle will continue.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">“I also salute the courage and determination of the millions of Iranians who have turned out this week to support their government against the violent assault on the sovereignty of Iran.” Image: Eugene Doyle/Solidarity</figcaption></figure>
<p>I also salute the courage and determination of the millions of Iranians who have turned out this week to support their government against the violent assault on the sovereignty of Iran by the racist, fascist genocidal Israeli state and its powerful vassal the USA.</p>
<p>Following the killing of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, I saw remarkable footage of that same vast square in Isfahan filled to the four corners with what must have been <a href="https://www.youtube.com/shorts/1VgZMoOtRLs" rel="nofollow">hundreds of thousands of people</a>. As with millions around the country, they were defying the missiles to protest the violation of their sovereignty.</p>
<p><strong>The inconvenient truth</strong><br />The scale of the pro-government demonstrations is virtually never shown in the Western media but to understand the contested political landscape that is Iran you need to understand that inconvenient truth.</p>
<p>Iranian politics in the Western view has been reduced to a cartoon, to a Manichean world of black and white — which partly explains why Westerners, most particularly the leaders, fail to grasp the fierce nationalism that has seen millions of Iranians rally round their government as their state comes under an existential threat.</p>
<p>That day in 2018 in that square I chatted with pro-government and anti-government people; all incredibly nice and open and welcoming. Everyone was keen to discuss Iran and the wider world.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">“Iranians are remarkably hospitable, cultured and kind. For me, they are the finest people in the Middle East.” Image: Eugene Doyle/Solidarity</figcaption></figure>
<p>There were lots of school parties and both the teachers and their students were keen to speak with us. It was an unalloyed pleasure for us. Iranians are remarkably hospitable, cultured and kind. For me, they are the finest people in the Middle East.</p>
<p>That is partly why I felt sad and bitter when I watched the <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FA2-tpkdyDk" rel="nofollow">footage of the bombed-out Shajareh Tayyebeh girls elementary school</a> (6-12 year-olds) in Minab and heard the screams of mothers calling for children whom they will never walk to school again.</p>
<p>The Western empire has a long history of killing children. I recently referenced Madeleine Albright’s infamous comment on the killing of hundreds of thousands of Iraqi children being “a price worth paying”.</p>
<p>This is just standard modus operandi for the West.</p>
<p><strong>Protected by Mossad</strong><br />Israeli football hooligans travel through Europe chanting “<a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/international-stories/bbc-goes-full-goebbels-in-support-of-israeli-soccer-hooligans?rq=maccabi" rel="nofollow">Why is school out in Gaza?</a> Because there are no kids left!” They are protected by Mossad, local police and politicians like British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.</p>
<p>Australian PM Anthony Albanese recently welcomed Isaac Herzog, the President of Israel, who in October 2023 said: “It is an entire nation out there that is responsible.”</p>
<p>This is as clear a statement of genocidal intent as you could get and Israel made good on it.</p>
<p>Israel, the killer of tens of thousands of school kids, presents itself as a liberator for Iran? You don’t have to be an A-grade student to spot that lie.</p>
<p>Many people around the Western world want to commit the children of Iran into the hands of the President of the United States.</p>
<p>According to US Congressman Ted Lieu (D-CA), Vice-Chair of the House Democratic Caucus: “In the Epstein files, there’s highly disturbing <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-idRy5_b6sk" rel="nofollow">allegations of Donald Trump raping children</a>, of Donald Trump threatening to kill children.”</p>
<p>Lieu, one of the architects of the Epstein Files Transparency Act is also one of those legislators who has had access to some of the files still kept out of the public record.</p>
<p>Iranian children have as much right to grow up in safety as our own children.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">“Iranian children have as much right to grow up in safety as our own children.” Image: Eugene/Doyle</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>infamous bro-talk</strong><br />We should all also recall Trump’s infamous bro-talk with the vile radio host Howard Stern. Stern asked if he could refer to <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/in-2004-trump-agreed-his-daughter-was-a-piece-of-ass/" rel="nofollow">Ivanka Trump as a “piece of ass,”</a> and Donald Trump salivated back at him: “Yeah.”</p>
<p>While they were joking about this “piece of ass”, Trump said he would try to date Ivanka if she wasn’t his daughter. It is a relevant anecdote because we live in the age of American Geopolitical Epsteinism — a world of predators seeking to violate those weaker than them.</p>
<p>You don’t have to like the Iranian government to support the UN Charter and the insistence on the sovereign equality of nations.</p>
<p>Nothing in the Charter says it is okay for powerful white countries to attack other countries.  The West needs to bring its leaders to justice for the crime of genocide not launch yet another war on innocents.</p>
<p>Hands off Iran, Netanyahu. Hands off the children of Iran, Trump.</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/" rel="nofollow">Eugene Doyle</a> is a community organiser based in Wellington, publisher of Solidarity and a contributor to Asia Pacific Report. His first demonstration was at the age of 12 against the Vietnam war. This article was first published by Solidarity on 2 March 2026.<br /></em></p>
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		<title>Roger Fowler, a legend of the Aotearoa solidarity movement, dies at 77</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/02/23/roger-fowler-a-legend-of-the-aotearoa-solidarity-movement-dies-at-77/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Feb 2026 14:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[OBITUARY: By David Robie Roger Norman Fowler: 12 September 1948 – 21 February 2026 Roger Fowler, an activist legend of social justice solidarity movements from Bastion Point to resisting apartheid and racist rugby tours and freedom for Palestine, has died after a long illness. He was 77. Described by some as a “true Tāne Toa”, ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>OBITUARY:</strong> <em>By David Robie</em></p>
<p><strong>Roger Norman Fowler: 12 September 1948 – 21 February 2026</strong></p>
<p>Roger Fowler, an activist legend of social justice solidarity movements from Bastion Point to resisting apartheid and racist rugby tours and freedom for Palestine, has died after a long illness. He was 77.</p>
<p>Described by some as a “true Tāne Toa”, his protest warrior courage and his commitment to a bicultural and cross-cultural vision for Aotearoa New Zealand, was perhaps best represented by his <em>“Songs of Struggle and Solidarity”</em> vinyl album launched last year.</p>
<p>The first of 14 tracks on the album produced by Banana Boat Records, was “We Are All Palestinians”, which has become an anthem for the Gaza solidarity movement for the past 124 weeks of protest against the Israeli genocide.</p>
<figure id="attachment_124084" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-124084" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-124084" class="wp-caption-text">Roger Fowler and his wife, Dr Lyn Doherty, with whānau and friends at a community concert in his honour in November 2025. Image: Hone Fowler</figcaption></figure>
<p>Ironically, this was sung yet again by a group in Te Komititanga Square yesterday within hours of his death.</p>
<p>It was written by Fowler after the Viva Palestina solidarity convoy from London to Gaza in 2010.</p>
<figure id="attachment_124087" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-124087" class="wp-caption alignright"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-124087" class="wp-caption-text">Tigilau Ness and Roger Fowler at the launch of his album last September 2025. Ness recorded his version of <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rsBIU55_oPk" rel="nofollow">“We Are All Palestinians” here</a>. Image: APR</figcaption></figure>
<p>Fowler led the Kia Ora Gaza team of six Kiwis who drove three of 135 aid-packed ambulances – funded by New Zealand donations — into the besieged enclave. This was followed later by two other land convoys and three Gaza Freedom Flotillas.</p>
<p>In April 2026, a massive new siege-breaking Sumud Flotilla to Gaza with 100 boats and carrying some 1000 activists is being planned.</p>
<p><strong>Gaza solidarity rallies</strong><br />In spite of failing health in recent months, Fowler was frequently seen at Gaza rallies, speaking and singing in his rousing voice.</p>
<p>Close comrade and friend, John Minto, co-chair of the Palestine Solidarity Network Aotearoa (PSNA), paid tribute to his contribution in a statement today.</p>
<p>“Roger has been a legend of the solidarity movement for many decades as the founder and co-cordinator of Kia Ora Gaza which delivered aid to the besieged Gaza strip by land and by sea,” he said.</p>
<p>“He was a man of great integrity and character with passion for justice. He will remain a guiding light for the solidarity movement here.”</p>
<figure id="attachment_124086" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-124086" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-124086" class="wp-caption-text">The Palestinian community presenting Roger Fowler an award at the launch of his album last September 2025. Image: APR</figcaption></figure>
<p>Co-chair Maher Nazzal presented Fowler an award for his contribution to Palestinian solidarity last September.</p>
<p>Another comrade, especially during Fowler’s activism in the 1960s and 1970s, Tony Fala, recalls his “dauntless courage, tireless optimism, boundless energy, and vast strategic capacity was profoundly inspiring.”</p>
<p>“Roger was one of the humblest and kindest people I have ever met. He could build coalitions and strengthen community bonds with ease. He sought what brought people together, not what kept them apart.</p>
<p><strong>Belief in ordinary people</strong><br />“He believed in ordinary people and possessed a deep, instinctive understanding of justice. He was strong yet carried no ego.”</p>
<p>Fala praised Fowler’s commitment to Te Tiriti o Waitangi and to Te Ao Māori community life, describing him as a “born oral historian”.</p>
<p>“He gave selflessly to every cause he committed himself to and would move mountains to achieve victory for the struggles he served.”</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="YouTube video player" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/vsnt0iUEwII?si=3UzIOODCPkougKTe&#038;start=132" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen">[embedded content]</iframe><br /><em>“We are all Palestinians.”                              Video: Banana Boat Records</em></p>
<p>In the weeks before his death, he and his whanau were working hard to complete a history of the socialist Ponsonby People’s Union, <em>“Struggle and Solidarity”,</em> due to be published soon. Fowler met his future wife, Dr Lyn Doherty (Ngati Porou and Ngāpuhi), then while they were activists campaigning to stop landlords evicting tenants.</p>
<p>Activist author Dean Parker once described Fowler as “the Great Helmsman of the legendary Ponsonby People’s Union, brave hero of so many struggles”.</p>
<p>Fowler had lived for almost four decades in Mangere East, a multicultural quarter of South Auckland.</p>
<p>He was manager of the Mangere East Community Learning Centre and an executive member of Out of School Care Network.</p>
<figure id="attachment_124085" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-124085" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-124085" class="wp-caption-text">The “Free Palestine” photo on the Roger Fowler album launched in September 2025. Image: Banana Boat Records</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>Impressive community tribute</strong><br />In 1999, he was a recipient of the Queen’s Service Medal for his “services to community” and the people of Mangere East paid an impressive tribute to him with a daytime concert last November.</p>
<p>One of his best remembered local campaigns was the community coalition in 2010 that saved Mangere East’s Postshop.</p>
<p>A one-time bus driver, Fowler strongly campaigned for public transport.</p>
<p>He was also involved with amateur theatre for several decades, including Auckland Light Opera, “The Aunties” children’s theatre and Manukau Performing Arts.</p>
<p>Fowler was a founding member of the Palestine Human Rights Campaign in the 1970s and he was part of the anti-apartheid movement for 15 years.</p>
<p>In 1969, along with a large group of activists — including Alan Robson, Pat Bolster and Graeme Whimp — he opened the first Resistance Bookshop in Queen Street and he was co-director for a time.</p>
<p>During his lifelong protests, he was arrested and jailed four times and with colleagues he set up a free prison visiting service in 1972 for Paremoremo and Waikeria.</p>
<p>The last track on Fowler’s album is titled “The Final Song” but his music will be long remembered as the hallmark of the life of an extraordinary community and political activist.</p>
<p>• <strong>Roger Fowler’s life will be celebrated at Ngā Tapuwae Community Centre, 255 Buckland Road, Mangere, 10-2pm, Wednesday, February 25.</strong></p>
<figure id="attachment_124090" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-124090" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-124090" class="wp-caption-text">Asia Pacific Report’s David Robie and Del Abcede with Roger Fowler in November 2025. Image: Tony Fala</figcaption></figure>
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		<title>Eugene Doyle: Silencing Francesca Albanese – ‘Not in our name’ Gaza reflections</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/02/17/eugene-doyle-silencing-francesca-albanese-not-in-our-name-gaza-reflections/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2026 05:16:41 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[UN Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese is again at the heart of a witch hunt over a speech she made at the Al Jazeera Forum last week that was “doctored” by the pro-Israel and anti-United Nations NGO UN Watch to claim falsely that she described Israel as the “common enemy”. Albanese responded — as shown by ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>UN Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese is again at the <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/16/un-staffers-back-francesca-albanese-condemn-european-ministers-for-attacks" rel="nofollow">heart of a witch hunt over a speech she made at the Al Jazeera Forum</a> last week that was “doctored” by the pro-Israel and anti-United Nations NGO UN Watch to claim falsely that she described Israel as the “common enemy”. Albanese responded — as shown by the original speech recording — that she was referring to “the system that has enabled the genocide in Palestine” as the “common enemy”. Albanese did not make the fabricated statement in the address, but rather criticised Western inaction during the Gaza genocide. This is a flashback to when Asia Pacific Report contributor Eugene Doyle met Albanese in New Zealand in 2023.<br /></em></p>
<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Eugene Doyle</em></p>
<p>It was with a sense of disgust rather than despair that I read in <em>The Jerusalem Post</em> today [February 2024]: “‘Antisemitic’ UN Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese banned from Israel.” We’re being gas-lighted again and this is a chance to push back against the narrative that to support victims of Israel is to somehow be antisemitic.</p>
<p>Back in November 2023 as the Israeli exterminations of Palestinians were ramping up, I had the privilege to hear and speak to Francesca Albanese, the United Nations Special Rapporteur on the Occupied Palestinian Territories.</p>
<p>She visited Wellington as part of a long-scheduled visit to Australia and New Zealand and spoke to government ministers, relief organisations, journalists and packed halls of citizens who shared a sense of horror at what was playing out in Gaza.</p>
<p>Her speeches were filled with knowledge and forensic clarity, only matched by her decency and sense of humanity — which extended to great courtesy shown to a lone and agitated Israeli supporter at a meeting I attended.</p>
<p>In issuing the banning order, two Israeli ministers stated: “The era of Jews being silent is over. If the UN wants to return to being a relevant body, its leaders must publicly disavow the antisemitic words of the special envoy.”</p>
<p>This is of course a vulgar lie told by ministers actively pursuing genocide. These two indeed aren’t silent: the scream, roar and boom of their shells, missiles and snipers’ bullets have shouted to the world how far the Zionist state has descended into the bowels of depravity.</p>
<p>The Jewish diaspora are anything but silent too — I have been immensely impressed by the courage and persistence of Jewish people worldwide who have shunned the fiction that to be anti-Zionist is to be antisemitic. I hear them loud and clear chanting with righteous indignation, “Not in our name!”</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="YouTube video player" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/wmJUNHECBGI?si=UU20m7YrEoKg-_ba" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen">[embedded content]</iframe><br /><em>Francesca Albanese rejects false accusations            Video: Al Jazeera</em></p>
<p><strong>Albanese’s riposte</strong><br />What really steamed the ministers and momentarily deflected their attention from the slaughter of innocents was Albanese’s riposte to a casual lie by French President Emmanuel Macron: “October 7 was the largest antisemitic massacre of our century.”</p>
<p>Albanese responded, quite rightly, surely self-evidently: “The victims of 7/10 were not killed because of their Judaism but in response to Israel’s oppression.” She also stated her respect for the victims of the attack.</p>
<p>When courageous people are attacked by malign and powerful actors, it takes moral clarity and steely determination to walk into a sea of troubles and oppose the true villains. We all need to do that now — and not remain silent.</p>
<p>In the past couple of months Israel has, with the complicity of the white-dominated Western countries, tried to destroy UNRWA, the primary UN organisation providing relief to the Palestinian people, as they endure this genocidal siege.</p>
<p>Because of Israel’s powerful allies, the International Criminal Court (ICC) has kept mum and ignored the vast number of human rights atrocities committed by Israel. (Editor: The ICC subsequently issued <a href="https://www.icc-cpi.int/news/situation-state-palestine-icc-pre-trial-chamber-i-rejects-state-israels-challenges" rel="nofollow">arrest warrants for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defence Minister Yoav Gallant</a> for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity on 21 November 2024).</p>
<p>The Israelis have also hoicked and spat out their contempt for the International Court of Justice. National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir commented, “Hague Smague — The ICJ has only proven what everyone already knew, that it is only seeking to prosecute the Jewish nation”.</p>
<p>Traducing the ICJ in this way is another attempt to gaslight us all. If we can do one decent thing it would be to get our governments to raise their voices in defence of the brutalised and besieged United Nations.</p>
<p><strong>Stuck in settler colonial regime</strong><br />Albanese told audiences on both sides of the Tasman: “When I speak of human rights, I speak of both the Palestinians and the Israelis, who are stuck in a settler colonial regime; this is what we have to solve together.”</p>
<p>She went on to say, “ I will always stand with the victim.”</p>
<p>There is good reason to try to silence Francesca Albanese. She is an authority in the detail of the dehumanisation inflicted on the Palestinians. She has seen the daily lack of proportionality, the discourse of genocide, the military and administrative controls, the deprivation of sanitary services, food and medicine, the surveillance technology, the casual killings, the financial chocking of a people, the way the Israelis are eating up Palestine inch by inch as the West looks the other way.</p>
<p>In short, more than most people she understands the structural system of oppression that is denying the Palestinians the right to exist as a people — culturally, economically, politically. She is a humanist and the exact opposite of an antisemite.</p>
<p>Albanese is one of legions of good people besieged by Israel and its allies. The racist white elites in Europe and the USA are more than happy to adopt a definition that conflates anti-semitism with criticism of Israel, using the recently-minted <a href="https://holocaustremembrance.com/resources/working-definition-antisemitism" rel="nofollow">International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance definition</a> as a tool to silence (that word again) defenders of Palestinian rights.</p>
<p>When the right-wing of UK Labour set to work to oust Jeremy Corbyn, they succeeded, deploying an antisemitic slur. By the time the purge had finished, thousands of Labour progressives had been eliminated from the party membership, including large numbers of Jewish progressives.</p>
<p><em>The Labour Files</em>, a must-see Al Jazeera documentary, based on a data dump of internal Labour files, uncovered the astonishing statistic that if you were a Jewish member of the UK Labour party you were seven times more likely to be expelled for antisemitism than a non-Jew.</p>
<p><strong>Dustbin of dirty tricks</strong><br />It’s high time we kick this ghastly trope, this despicable manoeuvre equating anti-Zionism with antisemitism into the dustbin of dirty tricks. Jewish people have suffered persecution for their faith over the centuries. It does their memory a huge disservice — not least because now it is quite clear that genocide is the highest stage of Zionism.</p>
<p>For the record: I have Jewish friends who I invite to read and critique my articles before publication. They are not self-hating Jews, they are not antisemitic, and nor am I. We stand shoulder to shoulder with Jewish people worldwide who are appalled at what is being done in the name of Judaism.</p>
<p>Francesca Albanese said something else memorable that evening: “History is also made of watershed moments, when things change. Let’s make this one of them.”</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/" rel="nofollow">Eugene Doyle</a> is a community organiser based in Wellington, publisher of Solidarity and a contributor to Asia Pacific Report. His first demonstration was at the age of 12 against the Vietnam war. This article was first <a href="https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2402/S00019/silencing-francesca-albanese.htm" rel="nofollow">published by Scoop</a> on 14 February 2024.<br /></em></p>
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		<title>Saige England: Bearing witness – we are seeing a rise of totalitarian predator injustice from Gaza to NZ</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/02/13/saige-england-bearing-witness-we-are-seeing-a-rise-of-totalitarian-predator-injustice-from-gaza-to-nz/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2026 11:15:30 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Saige England Citizen journalists bring to our attention the truths that we need to know. Being a witness to such truths is different to doom scrolling. It is about awareness. This is about knowing the truths that the people who run this deteriorating world, want to hide. Victims everywhere are begging to be ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Saige England</em></p>
<p>Citizen journalists bring to our attention the truths that we need to know. Being a witness to such truths is different to doom scrolling. It is about awareness.</p>
<p>This is about knowing the truths that the people who run this deteriorating world, want to hide.</p>
<p>Victims everywhere are begging to be heard and seen. And some people are revealing these truths. Some are trained in journalism, some are freelancing because the mainstream is not the clear clean truth stream, and some are self-trained.</p>
<p>The role of filming and reporting the truth is vital in an era when books are banned, when the names of predators are redacted, when the people at the top are part of an oligarchy that supports murder and rape.</p>
<p>A couple of years ago — almost to the day — I was pepper sprayed by a frontline policeman for filming police brutality against peaceful protesters standing on the footpath in Lyttelton Aotearoa New Zealand.</p>
<p>In that situation police seized people and hurled them to the ground. In other instances, as with human rights activist, John Minto, they seized baffled people and hauled them onto the road.</p>
<p>The men and women in blue vests and black gloves, formed a scrum over each seized civilian. They pummelled and beat them viciously, and hauled them into vans. Minto suffered a gash down his forehead.</p>
<p><strong>Nightmares last longer</strong><br />Others had similar wounds and thanks to the direct illegal use of pepper spray, many suffered a sense like glass in their eyes. In my experience, those painful symptoms lasted weeks. The nightmares lasted longer.</p>
<p>Early last year, I was banned from my own Town Hall for witnessing the State of the Nation speech by Winston Peters. One of that leader’s loyal fans complained that I was taking notes. I produced my press card. Made no difference.</p>
<p>I witnessed a leader inciting hatred. Witnessing. The security guards banned me. The police upheld the ban. I am a multi-award winning reporter who has reported from conflict zones around the world. And I see the conflict increasing.</p>
<p>In the United States, in Europe, in Australia, in Aotearoa New Zealand, what are we learning?</p>
<p>The right to support the right of all human beings to live on their land is decreed a crime by our leaders. Why? Because some have more than others and they want to protect their “more” and push others to have less, even nothing.</p>
<p>These are the actions of totalitarian capitalist regimes intent on retaining power over the land, the rivers, and all the waterways.</p>
<p>We see it in the US with ICE killing a woman who was poet and a mother, we see it in the killing of a nurse, and all the disappearances, people — including children — hauled off streets and “disappeared”.</p>
<p><strong>Police kicking 2 women</strong><br />We see it with police kicking and beating two women wearing abayas in the Netherlands. If they are assaulting women in public we can be certain they are also molesting women behind the public gaze.</p>
<p>We see totalitarian push back against human rights in Germany and France, Australia and New Zealand.</p>
<p>Let’s call this flagrant attack on democracy what it is.</p>
<p>It is imperialism. Yes I know, it sounds like I’m recalling Thatcher. But hey she never went away. Her Daddy abused her friends and she loved him. Thatcher was an abuse enabler.</p>
<p>Like Blair. Like Trump. Like other abusers who hold power. It is no surprise that many of these leaders who were raised by power hungry predators, become predators. They exploit others.</p>
<p>Really it is a very simple equation. Democracy is impossible under financial imperialist capitalism.</p>
<p>Imperialism upholds the right of one people to reign supreme over another. We aren’t talking about something that ended over a hundred years ago. We are talking about something that is being perpetuated now.</p>
<p><strong>Shameful exploitation</strong><br />And by now, those of us who are descended by people who usurped and enslaved, are coming to a difficult conclusion — that it is shameful, this history of exploitation.</p>
<p>As one Quaker researcher said: “What I have learned is that if my ancestors were not as radical for human rights as I have hoped, I can at least be different, be radical for human rights now.”</p>
<p>Greed, predatory behaviour is handed down from predator to predator. It used to favour the oldest son. Now it just faces those prepared to sell out to buy in.</p>
<p>Mercenary capitalist entrepreneurs control society and they govern our countries. The brutes who exploit are connected.</p>
<p>So back to the streets. Back to what some reporters saw and reported and what others who aren’t real reporters, failed to report.</p>
<p>Let’s pick apart the claims of incitement. Incitement for what?</p>
<p><strong>Chanting crime</strong><br />The authorities in NSW deem that it should be a crime for any citizen to chant these words.</p>
<p>From.</p>
<p>The.</p>
<p>River.</p>
<p>To.</p>
<p>The.</p>
<p>Sea.</p>
<p>What next? Will Jews be told they can no longer chant in Hebrew: <em>le shana haba b’yerulashaem</em>. See the parallel.</p>
<p>Next.</p>
<p>Year.</p>
<p>In.</p>
<p>Jerusalem.</p>
<p>Every year Jews around the world chant — as they have for decades and decades — the vow that next year they will be in Jerusalem. They lived in Europe. They lived in the US.</p>
<p>And this they chanted.</p>
<p>Perhaps that is why it bothers Zionists and supporters of genocide. But it wasn’t a return.</p>
<p>Jews who recite this are Europeans and Americans, New Zealanders and Australians.</p>
<p>When they talk of exile, they are talking in mythological proportions, invoking the Bible and tribalism, Goliath and David.</p>
<p><strong>Zionist regime supreme</strong><br />But one group is reigning supreme. The Zionist regime has pushed thousands of Palestinians out of their homes, and murdered tens and tens and tens and tens of thousands, and still this genocide continues.</p>
<p>But has New South Wales deemed it a crime for Jews to chant “next year in Jerusalem”?</p>
<p>No.</p>
<p>Nor should it. People have the right to chant.</p>
<p>But let’s understand the real history, rather than the propaganda pumped out by a multi million dollar US-Israeli think thank.</p>
<p>Thanks to very real anti-semitism, Europe did not want to rehome Jewish refugees from the Holocaust. Britain helped out with an imperialist Zionist strategy that pushed Palestinians out of their homes.</p>
<p>Some Jews fled, refused to do what had been done to them. Good on those Jews. And good on those Jews around the world who stand for societies that care and share, that don’t steal and kill.</p>
<p>I am worried about the implications of any law that bans a chant by exiled people. Will it become a crime for any group of people to chant about their desire to return to lands from which they were exiled?</p>
<p>Governments around the world are leaning that way. They stomp down on Indigenous people, on refugees, on immigrants. They protect their excessive power and privilege.</p>
<p><strong>Blaming immigrants</strong><br />It’s very popular among these regimes to blame immigrants who come from land that was raped and raided by imperialism. Just tune into our ageing playboy Winston Peters.</p>
<p>Make no mistake under regimes such as this, no one is safe. No one.</p>
<p>It is clearly a crime for others to stand alongside those who have been oppressed and exiled, so will it one day be deemed a crime to talk about ALL the stolen children? Like the stolen indigenous children? The children born in a certain place, on certain land, near a river, near the sea.</p>
<p>Will it be a crime to talk about those abused in state homes?</p>
<figure id="attachment_123697" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-123697" class="wp-caption alignright"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-123697" class="wp-caption-text">“No peace without justice, no justice without return.” Image: SE</figcaption></figure>
<p>Will the imperialist histories be redacted? Oh they are. The narrative is changed. The victims can barely survive.</p>
<p>I witnessed some of this so I can remind myself and I can remind you.</p>
<p>When I first went to Israel in 1982 the Begin regime invaded Lebanon. Desecrated people dreaming under cypress trees.</p>
<p>The Israeli Offence Force assisted then, in the genocide, of around 3000 children, women, and men — Palestinians — in refugee camps.</p>
<p><strong>Evil massacre</strong><br />It was a bloodbath, an evil massacre carried out under stealth, at night. The victims did not have a chance. They had no one to defend them. They were murdered by mercenary Israeli soldiers.</p>
<p>One Israeli soldier, Ari Folman, later made a film, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waltz_with_Bashir" rel="nofollow"><em>Waltz with Bashir</em></a> which depicts how he came to realise he was among the soldiers who surrounded the camps and fired flares to illuminate the area for the Lebanese Christian Philangist militia.</p>
<p>Like most soldiers, he was only “following orders”. It haunted him.</p>
<p>The ghosts of every massacre carried out by every totalitarian state like Israel haunt the world. And every regime that supports it is responsibile.</p>
<p>Imperialism is the bloodstain that won’t wash out until the notion of super and special entitlement due to race or class or religion is extinguished.</p>
<p>It is racist and classist and it is wrong.</p>
<p>I wrote my novel <a href="https://aotearoabooks.co.nz/the-seasonwife/" rel="nofollow"><em>The Seasonwife</em></a> because I wanted to show the truth — that people down the bottom rungs of the class system were exploited by those at the top to exploit indigenous people.</p>
<p><strong>Criminalised the poor</strong><br />We need to know these truths. And they can be proved. Settler colonialism is not a pretty policy, it was dreamed up by a country that created poverty and criminalised the poor. It sent them out to do its dirty work. Oh some rode on those waves but others were submerged. And Indigenous people lost their rights.</p>
<p>Here in Aotearoa a Treaty was forged, a treaty which clearly gives Indigenous people the right to rangatiratanga. And successive legal acts pushed indigenous people down, breached the principles of that partnership.</p>
<p>When one partner is the abuser the partnership is not equal.</p>
<p>We must remember the crimes of imperialism. We must. Because the past is now.</p>
<p>The massacres of Palestinians is an extension of every colonial crime. The crimes are connected: slavery; forced servitude; exile due to poverty; apartheid, assimilation, extermination.</p>
<p>It is a thread from this ocean to that river to that ocean. From here to there. From Europe to the Levant and the Middle East. All the greed-mongers benefit.</p>
<p>The crimes against Palestinians have been going on for more than seven decades. Research <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nakba" rel="nofollow">the Nakba</a>. Before the British aided and mounted a violent rape-and-kill takeover, Muslims and Jews and Christians worshipped alongside each other in Palestine. It is easy enough to find documentary evidence of this pleasant land on YouTube.</p>
<p>Look at it now. Look at the difference between Haifa or Tel Aviv and Gaza.</p>
<p><strong>Standing against supremacy</strong><br />Any Jew who has a soul, who has a conscience, will not stand for the slaughter of innocents or for the creation of a white apartheid supremely state. In the US most Jews are against this, and increasingly so are Jews in Australia and New Zealand, standing up against the supremacy of Zionism.</p>
<p>And Christians need to stand too. It is KKK fundamentalist to support the extermination of people. There is nothing holy in supporting theft and expulsion and the gunning down of women, children, and men.</p>
<p>When we invoke laws that support genocide we create a soul-less compassionless society.</p>
<p>A truly Humanist, Animist, any Values-based system will create a society with laws that uphold rather than extinguish, human rights.</p>
<p>It was a white Australian male who used his inheritance to kill 51 people praying at two mosques in Christchurch New Zealand. The Iman who greeted him at the door welcomed him as “a brother”.</p>
<p>It was a Muslim man who risked his life and suffered terrible injuries while tackling two ISIS-inspired extremist gunmen at Bondi Beach in Sydney. That Muslim man stepped in front of a gun to defend Jewish children, women, and men.</p>
<p>I met many such kind, brave, peace-loving men when I lived in the Middle East and I experienced the utmost hospitality from Muslims.</p>
<p>I differentiate between all people and their regimes.</p>
<p><strong>Greed in common</strong><br />The regimes that uphold human rights violations are all connected. They all have one thing in common: greed.</p>
<p>Their rulers are predators.</p>
<p>Israel is a US-supported state responsible for mass murder, for genocide, for apartheid, for stealing children decade after decade.</p>
<p>Every government that has failed to denounce that State of Hate is acting against the right of people — all people — to real and precious freedom.</p>
<p>Once again, I call down my Jewish ancestors who experienced, as I have, anti-semitism — in standing against the supremacism that is Zionism.</p>
<p>I stand with Jews Against Zionism. I stand with Jews for Peace. I stand with Jews Against Genocide.</p>
<p>I stand with Jews who support the right of Palestinians to return. Yes to the land, yes to that beautiful river, and to that precious sea. I stand with their right to live where they want to live.</p>
<p><strong>Right to protest</strong><br />And I stand with the right of all citizens to protest. I stand with the right of citizen journalists to film and report human rights violations.</p>
<p>In my social media posts I continually put aggressive impulsive patriarchal police on notice. I let them know that violence by people who are supposed to protect, is unacceptable.<br />Their actions could lead to them being incarcerated.</p>
<p>Maybe not now, not yet, but one day. Their violent actions could certainly lead to them being jobless.</p>
<p>Their violent actions will be seen over and over again. The truth won’t be erased.</p>
<p>And I say this to mainstream reporters, please do your job. Join a union and oppose the patriarchy that presents propaganda as truth. Some reporters on the ground in Sydney who said they saw violence by the police and no violence from protesters, but the BBC and RNZ changed that narrative.</p>
<p>News presenters who were not present at the scene presented a skewed version provided by their government. They became a mouthpiece for propaganda. And in doing so they supported totalitarianism.</p>
<p>Reporters must not be mouthpieces for what one commentator so aptly described as the Broligarchy. Predators.</p>
<p><strong>Out of police</strong><br />The policeman who pepper sprayed me, two years ago, when I took footage of assaults against peaceful civilians by violent police, is no longer in the force. Perhaps he has joined the great raft of unemployed.</p>
<p>I would like to think he can be educated into compassion, that he can learn, that the hard look in his eye will one day be softened when he holds a brown grandchild in his arms.</p>
<p>Think twice police. Think twice reporters. Think twice every one who reads this.</p>
<p>Would you want your children to support all human rights? Do you think words like river and sea and return should be banned? Do you think the colour of the grass and the colour of a rose should be denounced as evil?</p>
<p>Do you think people should have the right to live on their land unmolested? Do you think the land and the waterways should be respected or bombed to dust, drained for its minerals?</p>
<p>Do you believe in freedom? If you do, then know that those who are upholding the right of one people to strip the rights of others, will not leave it there.</p>
<p>These totalitarian leaders are united. As one commentator put it, they are the broligarchy. They are connected. They are predators. And they will use force to shut you up and shut you down.</p>
<p>But I hold hope.</p>
<p><strong>Moral weapon — the truth</strong><br />Every citizen journalist who films human rights crimes being carried out by the arm of the government is armed with a valuable moral weapon: the truth.</p>
<p>Every citizen journalist reporting these truths is a hero.</p>
<p>The truth might be redacted, those who speak it or shout it might become victims, but in calling it out, they fall on the side of freedom and they will be remembered.</p>
<p>Freedom will come. Because it must. The greed mongers who rule must not prevail.</p>
<p>When the truths of victims is heard, the predators lose the narrative, and then they lose their power.</p>
<p>We are all connected in the lifestream of this tiny, precious blue planet. A spark is born and that spark is creativity, it is the spark that rises from destruction and despair.</p>
<p><strong>Never stop witnessing</strong><br />Harmony. Peace, and Tranquility is possible if our goal is cooperative living.</p>
<p>So be a witness, and never stop witnessing. Raise your voice, raise your heart and your soul. We are all connected and related because we are all brothers and sisters and cousins, spinning on this spinning orb, sparks in the eye of the universe.</p>
<p>Sparks of creativity are born in societies where nurturers are valued rather than predators and exploiters.</p>
<p>In such a world, peace will prevail.</p>
<p>One fine day.</p>
<p><em>Saige England is an award-winning journalist and author of</em> <a href="https://aotearoabooks.co.nz/the-seasonwife/" rel="nofollow">The Seasonwife</a><em>, a novel exploring the brutal impacts of colonisation. She is also a contributor to Asia Pacific Report.</em></p>
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		<title>Lessons in decolonisation – Minto draws parallels between NZ and Gaza injustices</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/02/08/lessons-in-decolonisation-minto-draws-parallels-between-nz-and-gaza-injustices/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Feb 2026 14:15:49 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report Speakers contrasted and condemned settler colonialism strategies in Aotearoa New Zealand and Israel’s illegal occupation and genocide in Palestine at a feisty solidarity rally in Auckland Tāmaki Makaurau today — a day after Waitangi Day, the national holiday marking the 1840 signing of Te Tititi o Waitangi between 46 chiefs and the ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Asia Pacific Report</em></p>
<p>Speakers contrasted and condemned settler colonialism strategies in Aotearoa New Zealand and Israel’s illegal occupation and genocide in Palestine at a feisty solidarity rally in Auckland Tāmaki Makaurau today — a day after <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/?s=Waitangi+Day" rel="nofollow">Waitangi Day</a>, the national holiday marking the 1840 signing of <a href="https://www.waitangitribunal.govt.nz/en/about/the-treaty/about-the-treaty" rel="nofollow">Te Tititi o Waitangi</a> between 46 chiefs and the British crown.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.psna.nz/" rel="nofollow">Palestine Solidarity Network Aotearoa (PSNA)</a> co-chair John Minto was one of the speakers after attending an earlier rally at Kerikeri and then driving 240 km with four fellow activists to join the Auckland protest.</p>
<p>“Colonisation in the present resonates with every Māori family. So here we are in that process of decolonisation, a slow process — it’s happening within Māoridom, and it’s happening in the Pākehā world,” Minto told the crowd.</p>
<p>“I was so delighted that when the <a href="https://e-tangata.co.nz/comment-and-analysis/why-the-treaty-principles-bill-had-to-go-down/" rel="nofollow">Treaty Principles Bill</a> came in we had that huge hikoī in Wellington,” he said.</p>
<p>“For those of you who know Wellington, we were in Manners Street towards the end of the march.</p>
<p>“And we got word that the rally had started in Parliament. We still had a kilometre to go. The streets were jammed with people, Pākehā, Māori, migrant people — Indigenous people from all over the world, all saying ‘no’.</p>
<p>“New Zealand is not a European country. We have an Indigenous people here and we want to work in partnership through the Treaty of Waitangi.</p>
<p><strong>‘Weak prime minister’</strong><br />“And what we have now, again, we’ve got a government that is — we have a weak prime minister, and we have got leaders of strong rightwing parties, that’s Winston Peters from New Zealand First, and that other guy from ACT . . .</p>
<p>“You know, whatever his name is . . .” Minto said jokingly. The crowd reeled of David Seymour’s name with a mocking tone and cries of “one term government” with a <a href="https://e-tangata.co.nz/comment-and-analysis/why-the-treaty-principles-bill-had-to-go-down/" rel="nofollow">general election due on November 7</a>.</p>
<figure id="attachment_123570" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-123570" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-123570" class="wp-caption-text">Janfrie Wakim at today’s pro-Palestine rally . . . “All settler-colonial states seek more territory and fewer Indigenous people by ‘ethnic-cleansing’.” Image: Asia Pacific Report</figcaption></figure>
<p>Among other speakers was Janfrie Wakim, a longtime advocate for Palestine and one of the founders of the Auckland-based Palestine Human Rights Campaign founded in the 1970s, which later evolved into the PSNA in 2013.</p>
<p>She gave a “high fives” message of praise for protesters supporting the cause of Palestine justice and self-determination in this 122th week of demonstrations since October 2023.</p>
<p>Wakim also lauded the “kaimahi” — the workers who turned up each week to set up and pack up.</p>
<p>She said the colonisation of Aotearoa and Palestine had similarities — “but also some differences and decolonising is our task here in Aotearoa and in Palestine.”</p>
<p>Wakim paid tribute to Annette Sykes — “a wahine toa and heroic lawyer” advocate for Māori iwi — who wrote recently “decolonising is not erasing history but rewriting who controls the narrative”.</p>
<figure id="attachment_123571" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-123571" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-123571" class="wp-caption-text">Protester Craig Tynan holds up his “The beast must be stopped” placard at today’s pro-Palestinian rally in Auckland. Image: Asia Pacific Report</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>‘Enriching empires’</strong><br />“Classic colonialists set out to exploit resources and enrich their empires,” Wakim said.</p>
<p>“European imperial powers dominated the past 500 years and they exited when their empires collapsed,” she said, naming Britain, France, Germany, Belgium, Portugal and Spain.</p>
<p>However, she added, “settler colonialism is different — it remains and is ongoing. All settler-colonial states seek more territory and fewer Indigenous people by ‘ethnic-cleansing’.”</p>
<p>“Settler colonialists sought to recreate Europe in the lands they invaded and they needed to eliminate the local native populations living there — think Australia.</p>
<p>“That is the story of Palestine.</p>
<p>“Settler colonialism is a structure not an event. And Zionists built their structure on that platform.”</p>
<p>Wakim said early Zionists knew well that Palestine was populated. They knew that the land had to be “emptied” to allow European Jews to establish their settler-colonial project.</p>
<p><strong>Nakba refugees</strong><br />She referred to the 1948 Nakba — “the catastrophe” — when 750,000 Palestinians were expelled by Israeli militias. They became refugees in Gaza, Jordan, Lebanon and Syria but with a UN-backed right to return.</p>
<p>More than 500 Palestinian villages were destroyed and their land stolen by the Israelis.</p>
<p>Wakim also told of the Zionists’ racist narrative dehumanising the Palestinians and their relationship to the land”.</p>
<p>“But nothing compares with what Israel is doing today — the brutal, ongoing genocide and ethnic cleansing we have been witnessing and continue to witness.”</p>
<p>Wakim said the Zionist structure was built on a weak foundation that was crumbling — “not fast enough but the cracks are widening as is Israel’s reliance on one superpower which itself is in decline”.</p>
<p>She said Palestine and Palestinians remained steadfast and resisting the injustices.</p>
<p>“As here in Aotearoa, they are actively working across the world in solidarity with others to expose the lies and change the narrative and unite people of all nations, ethnicities and religions.</p>
<p><strong>BDS movement growing</strong><br />“BDS — [the Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions movement] is growing slowly but surely.”</p>
<p>She said Israel was imploding and she called on New Zealand to renew its “lead on social justice issues”.</p>
<p>“We may be small, but we can be powerful,” she added.</p>
<p>Another speaker, kaiāwhina Kerry Sorensen-Tyrer, spoke of her encounter that day at Te Komititanga Square with three IDF soldiers from Israel “holidaying” in New Zealand. After a brief exchange, she photographed them and reminded the crowd to be vigilant and to <a href="https://www.psna.nz/idf-soldiers" rel="nofollow">report information to the PSNA’s IDF hotline</a>.</p>
<p>“We do not want you in Aotearoa,” she said of the soldiers and their role in a genocidal war on Gaza to loud cheers from the crowd.</p>
<figure id="attachment_123533" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-123533" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-123533" class="wp-caption-text">A “NZ government – your silence is complicity with Israeli genocide” placard at today’s protest in Auckland. Image: Asia Pacific Report</figcaption></figure>
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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; A Black Sheep to Rule them All</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/02/03/keith-rankin-analysis-a-black-sheep-to-rule-them-all/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Feb 2026 21:45:38 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin. It&#8217;s great that there is a new season (Season 9) of William Ray&#8217;s podcast series Black Sheep, which looks at contributors to New Zealander history, many little known, who were of dubious or ambiguous character. Here I draw attention to a black sheep who I think trumps them all, Edward Arthur ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Keith Rankin.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 230px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-medium" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg" alt="" width="230" height="300" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-230x300.jpg 230w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-783x1024.jpg 783w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-768x1004.jpg 768w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1175x1536.jpg 1175w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-696x910.jpg 696w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-1068x1396.jpg 1068w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-321x420.jpg 321w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg 1426w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 230px) 100vw, 230px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p>It&#8217;s great that there is a new season (Season 9) of William Ray&#8217;s podcast series <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/podcast/black-sheep" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.rnz.co.nz/podcast/black-sheep&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695356000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3zhRA0CaRaailsImX2iprx">Black Sheep</a>, which looks at contributors to New Zealander history, many little known, who were of dubious or ambiguous character.</p>
<p>Here I draw attention to a black sheep who I think trumps them all, Edward Arthur Wilson; though he doesn&#8217;t really qualify for William Ray&#8217;s series, because his black sheepishness only happened after he left New Zealand.</p>
<p>Edward Arthur Wilson, born in Birmingham England in 1878, arrived in New Zealand in 1901. He married Margery Clark in 1902; she was a recent immigrant from Queensland, though her mother had been born in Wellington in 1852. Both the Wilson and Clark families were members of the somewhat messianic Catholic Apostolic Church (not to be confused with the Roman Catholic church), founded originally by Edward Irving in the 1820s.</p>
<p>Wilson&#8217;s employment in England (1901 census) had been as a telephone inspector. In Wellington in 1902, he&#8217;s listed as a &#8216;stenographer&#8217;. Edward and Margery had two children, in 1904 and 1906.</p>
<p>In 1911 the family sailed to Canada. Margery and the two children were on the <i>Mārama</i>, arriving in May 1911; presumably Edward was already there. In the 1911 census of Canada, Edward is living with his family in Sunnyside, Calgary, Alberta; listed again as a stenographer. His story gets murky after that.</p>
<p>Apparently, he abandoned his family in 1912. He never returned to New Zealand, though his family did. I understand that he has living descendants in New Zealand. Margery identified herself as a &#8216;widow&#8217; in the 1920s (in Auckland), and was listed as &#8216;next of kin&#8217; to her co-resident brother during World War One.</p>
<p>Wilson appears to have worked as a shipping clerk for the &#8216;merchant navy&#8217; for around ten years from 1912; work that seems to have involved lots of travel, much of it no doubt in dangerous waters. He apparently had a major prophetic vision while in France, in the early 1920s. (His apostolic upbringing will have primed him for this.)</p>
<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nostradamus" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nostradamus&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695356000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1_2G2imihSx85EJWHUuEd8"><b>Nostradamus</b></a><b> meets </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grigori_Rasputin" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grigori_Rasputin&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2Z102GgeK3c_VdY_k9o62Q"><b>Rasputin</b></a><b> meets </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Manson" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Manson&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3YCbecOENHiKyC78y0YDKX"><b>Charles Manson</b></a><b> meets </b><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centrepoint_(commune)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centrepoint_(commune)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1YozVKd7AY1QVuj1rujzZX"><b>Bert Potter</b></a><b></b></p>
<p>Edward Arthur Wilson restyled himself as Brother XII. He created the Aquarian Foundation in 1927, in the context of radical <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theosophy" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theosophy&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3fHUmd-fd7jXlP82LTsdbd">theosophy</a>. In that time in the early-mid-1920s, he wrote many prognostations about the fate of the world. At that time – in the problematic remission phase of the 1914-1945 Great World War, albeit before modern social media – there was a substantial audience for alternative narratives, given the perilous reality of the then world order.</p>
<p>The story of Wilson&#8217;s aquarian cult – based at <a href="https://mapcarta.com/35338922" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://mapcarta.com/35338922&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0mz5e1M7l2LGCdEMMd8tB0">Cedar-by-the-Sea</a>, just out of Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada – is well summarised in <a href="https://abtech.edu/obscura-mary-connally-part-2" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://abtech.edu/obscura-mary-connally-part-2&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw12m6VRsc-lE1izQJIa4QwE">Fear, Distrust, and Black Magic</a>, written in 2024 by Kristin D&#8217;Agostino for A-B Tech (Asheville-Buncombe Technical Community College) in North Carolina, United States. (Follow the link to part one first: <i>How a 1920&#8217;s Socialite Fell Under a False Prophet&#8217;s Spell</i>; the focus here is on Mary Connally, Brother XII&#8217;s principal patron.) While Mary Connally was an heiress, most of her fellow aquarians were also from prosperous families, and many not young &#8211; contrast most of the 1960s&#8217; aquarians) searching for some missing insights as to where the seemingly bankrupt world went wrong.</p>
<p>The Aquarian Foundation community existed in two phases, from 1927 to 1928, and 1928 to 1933. In 1928 there was an important court case in which the prosecutors, judge, chief witness and court gallery appear to have been mesmerised by Wilson. The case collapsed when chief witness Mary Connally gave Wilson a glowing testimony instead of the damning evidence anticipated.</p>
<p>In the second phase of the community, Mary Connally became a slave to Wilson and his new paramour and enforcer, Madame Z, aka Mabel Scottowe; aka Edith Mabel Rowbotham, a former schoolteacher. And the cult became increasingly obsessed with hoarding money.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not for me to say much more – others have done that – other than to note that Wilson&#8217;s &#8216;death&#8217; in Switzerland in 1934 was possibly faked, signed-off by a member of the Aquarian Foundation. (Though it would have been hard for a narcissist sociopath like him, if still alive, to have rendered himself completely invisible.) Madame Z later married a man called Edric John Douglas Agate in 1943. In the United States&#8217; 1950 census they were living together in – Eugene, Oregon – as Murray D and Edith M Agate.</p>
<p><b>Other Material about Brother XII</b></p>
<p><a href="https://www.timescolonist.com/local-news/de-courcy-island-farm-of-notorious-cult-leader-up-for-sale-4689224?" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.timescolonist.com/local-news/de-courcy-island-farm-of-notorious-cult-leader-up-for-sale-4689224?&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw24h6YZLd7XY8q3Ei89p0yl">De Courcy Island farm of notorious cult leader up for sale</a>, 7 May 2021, <i>Times and Colonist</i>.</p>
<p><a href="https://montecristomagazine.com/highlights/for-sale-the-former-home-of-b-c-s-notorious-apocalypse-cult" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://montecristomagazine.com/highlights/for-sale-the-former-home-of-b-c-s-notorious-apocalypse-cult&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0jh-P5jEHrm18o8K9QfHII">For Sale: The Former Home of B.C.’s Notorious Apocalypse Cult</a>, 8 June 2021, Montecristo Magazine.</p>
<p><a href="https://bcbooklook.com/178-edward-arthur-wilson/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://bcbooklook.com/178-edward-arthur-wilson/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0iOt7DuaMq6e0Y5F93rPh8">#177 Edward Arthur Wilson</a>, 9 March 2026, <i>BC Booklook</i>.</p>
<p><a href="https://abcbookworld.com/writer/xii-brother/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://abcbookworld.com/writer/xii-brother/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2Y2uTD-0TYmu1LeCJZViUS">XII Brother</a>, <i>ABC Bookworld</i>.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.vancouverisawesome.com/history/5-things-you-probably-didnt-know-about-the-gulf-islands-11725356" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.vancouverisawesome.com/history/5-things-you-probably-didnt-know-about-the-gulf-islands-11725356&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3Ds6E1NzettmpYpO9aFigL">5 things you probably didn&#8217;t know about the Gulf Islands</a>, 11 Jan 2026, <i>Vancouver is Awesome</i>.</p>
<p>entry in <a href="https://www.biographi.ca/en/bio/wilson_edward_arthur_16F.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.biographi.ca/en/bio/wilson_edward_arthur_16F.html&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0DTZejYp5XPOqLLj7iX6oB">Dictionary of Canadian Biography</a></p>
<p><a href="https://www.theosophyforward.com/pdf/The_Aquarian_Foundation-5.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.theosophyforward.com/pdf/The_Aquarian_Foundation-5.pdf&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3IExcjZ_dK_lT8Ox7pL2sL">The Aquarian Foundation</a> (about 1990), by James A. Santucci, professor of Comparative Religion at California State University; and <a href="https://wrldrels.org/2024/02/17/22410/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://wrldrels.org/2024/02/17/22410/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2Ldkm3L2KUF4JKLiTfG9a3">The Aquarian Foundation</a>, 18 February 2024.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7946036/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7946036/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1J7qTt_OvloL7H27VE0VVI">Secrets of Brother XII</a>, episode of Expedition Unknown (S.4, Ep.10) Josh Gates, 28 Feb 2018</p>
<p><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/radio/ideas/the-dream-of-brother-xii-1.3500955" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.cbc.ca/radio/ideas/the-dream-of-brother-xii-1.3500955&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1EvYKj0vVPwbpusmUIL7tp">The Dream of Brother XII</a>, CBC podcast by Moss, Jennifer, 22 March 2016</p>
<p><a href="https://www.cbc.ca/radio/docproject/encore-searching-for-brother-xii-the-story-of-nanaimo-s-infamous-cult-leader-1.3389041" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.cbc.ca/radio/docproject/encore-searching-for-brother-xii-the-story-of-nanaimo-s-infamous-cult-leader-1.3389041&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3o3CuuedBmQjn5NxPm5QTS">ENCORE: Searching for Brother XII—the story of Nanaimo&#8217;s infamous cult leader</a>, CBC podcast by Moss, Jennifer, 29 August 2016</p>
<p><a href="https://thehub.ca/2025/12/31/the-collapsing-birth-rate-becomes-front-page-news-and-a-long-foretold-financial-crash-the-hub-predicts-2026/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://thehub.ca/2025/12/31/the-collapsing-birth-rate-becomes-front-page-news-and-a-long-foretold-financial-crash-the-hub-predicts-2026/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1770154695357000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1Z4HQsKGvLHPs5BGY5Yvtk">The collapsing birth rate becomes front-page news, and a long-foretold financial crash? The Hub predicts 2026</a>, Howard Anglin, a doctoral student at Oxford University</p>
<p>Works by John Oliphant, including <i>Brother XII: The Strange Odyssey of a 20th-century Prophet and His Quest for a New World</i>, 2006, Twelfth House Press</p>
<p align="center">*******</p>
<p>Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Eugene Doyle: Look where appeasing a bully has led the West – Greenland, and then?</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/01/21/eugene-doyle-look-where-appeasing-a-bully-has-led-the-west-greenland-and-then/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Jan 2026 11:15:39 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Eugene Doyle Donald Trump is a classic example of why you don’t let bullies prosper. “Trump is cutting the last threads of the tattered cloth of ‘the rules-based international order’  — the self-serving system that touted international law as long as it didn’t apply to the US and its allies. The Canadians, the ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Eugene Doyle</em></p>
<p><em>Donald Trump is a classic example of why you don’t let bullies prosper. “Trump is cutting the last threads of the tattered cloth of ‘the rules-based international order’  — the self-serving system that touted international law as long as it didn’t apply to the US and its allies.</em></p>
<p><em>The Canadians, the Danes, the Panamanians and the rest of us should wake up to reality and see we are objects, we are mere “things” to the Americans, not allies with some deeply shared “values”. </em></p>
<p><em>I wrote that in January 2025 in this article that I reproduce today. It provides a useful backgrounder, including historical precendents, to help us navigate through the times we are living through right now.</em></p>
<p>What do Panama, Canada and Greenland have in common? Could Trump be getting the US back to brass tacks, to a core strategy of dominating the Western hemisphere? Possibly, and he may be blowing away the fraudulent rhetoric about rules-based international order, territorial integrity, international law and the crusade to expand democracies.</p>
<p>Trump said this week that the US is prepared to use military force to assert control over Panama and Greenland.</p>
<p>“We need Greenland for national security purposes.  People don’t even know if Denmark has any legal right to it but even if they do they should give it up because I’m talking about protecting the free world,” Trump said.</p>
<p>The world’s largest island is bigger than France, Germany, Spain, the United Kingdom, Italy, Greece, Switzerland, and Belgium combined. It’s literally bigger than Texas (300 percent bigger) — and the US wants it.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignright"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">“The US may pose a greater risk to the territorial integrity of the European Union than the Russians do. If they get antsy with the US, Trump will ‘tariff them’. Image: www.solidarity.co.nz</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>A greater risk</strong><br />Think about that.  The US may pose a greater risk to the territorial integrity of the European Union than the Russians do. If they get antsy with the US, Trump will “tariff them”.</p>
<p>The Danes, like the rest of Europe, are frightened of the US. In response to Trump’s Greenland gambit, Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen timidly said this week that Denmark was “open to a dialogue with the Americans on how we can cooperate, possibly even more closely than we already do, to ensure that American ambitions are fulfilled”.</p>
<p><em>To ensure American ambitions are fulfilled.</em> And this was the country that gave us the Vikings. If Ragnar Lodbrok, Eric Bloodaxe or Bjorn Ironside had been around when Donald Trump Junior swooped into Nuuk for his photo op, his skull would have been used as a drinking tankard for a <em>blót sumbl</em> feast that same evening.</p>
<p>Top independent strategists have for years despaired of the strategic brainlessness of US foreign policy — the Midas Touch in reverse, as Professor Mearsheimer calls it.  Wherever they went — from Vietnam to Iraq, Afghanistan, Ukraine and Gaza — Americans embroiled themselves in conflicts of little strategic worth and left behind piles of bodies, millions of implacable enemies and a litany of failures.</p>
<figure id="attachment_113719" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-113719" class="wp-caption alignright"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-113719" class="wp-caption-text">President Trump . . . His rough woo-ing of Canada to become the 51st state, and his threat to use military force to seize both Greenland and the Canal, speak to a back-to-basics focus for American imperialism. Image: RSF</figcaption></figure>
<p>Trump’s rough woo-ing of Canada to become the 51st state, and his threat to use military force to seize both Greenland and the Canal, speak to a back-to-basics focus for American imperialism — a shift in US policy that will bring it closer to its core strategic interests.</p>
<p>That’s quite appropriate for a man who counts President Teddy Roosevelt (1901-09) as a role model. There is a whiff of the Rough Rider (Roosevelt’s cavalry which kicked over the Spaniards in Cuba in 1898) about Trump’s recent utterances.</p>
<p>Outside the American Museum of Natural History in New York you could see a magnificent statue of Teddy Roosevelt, cowboy kerchief around his neck, six-shooter hanging off his hip, astride a proud steed with two bare-chested Noble Savages — an African and an American Indian — walking on either side of the Great White Man.</p>
<p><strong>Punkish metal spikes<br /></strong> I particularly like the slightly punkish metal spikes sticking out of his hair to stop birds crapping on his head.  After 82 years, the City finally woke up to the fact that this was a racist, colonialist trope and took the statue down in 2021.</p>
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<p>It is ironic that just four years after doing so an even bigger monument to Roosevelt is going up: Trump redux is lifting entire passages out of the Roosevelt playbook.</p>
<p>Roosevelt greatly increased the influence and interests of the United States, building on the recent seizures of the Philippines, Puerto Rico, Hawai’i, Cuba and Guam.  He wanted to Make America Great and to do so he would,”speak softly and carry a big stick”.</p>
<p>Big stick diplomacy – the willingness to use the military – was increasingly unleashed to assert US hegemony and business interests.</p>
<p>General Smedley D Butler, author of <em>War is a Racket</em>, spent his entire 33-year career (1898-1931) enforcing the rules as defined by Theodore Roosevelt and his successors. Smedley eventually realised he was fighting as “a high-class muscle man for Big Business, for Wall Street and the bankers. In short, I was a racketeer, a gangster for capitalism.”</p>
<p>Like thousands of Marines he fought for the US in countries up and down the Americas, Caribbean and Asia, including Cuba (1898), Venezuela, Panama, Dominican Republic, Mexico, the Philippines, Haiti, Honduras, Nicaragua and China.</p>
<p>President Roosevelt’s greatest legacy was the building of the Panama Canal. The US intervened militarily in Panama to drive out the Colombians and “liberate” Panama so the US could build the Canal.</p>
<p><strong>‘Literally as one man’</strong><br />He said that the people of Panama rebelled against Colombia “literally as one man” — to which a senator retorted, “Yes, and the one man was Roosevelt!”</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignright"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Is history repeating itself – as tragedy or comedy? Image: www.solidarity.co.nz</figcaption></figure>
<p>Is history repeating itself — as tragedy or comedy?  If Trump’s threats all sound either nuts or 19th century it’s because it is both those things — which doesn’t mean they won’t happen.</p>
<p>Here’s where it gets interesting.  I think Trump has a very good point for a number of reasons (clue: none of them relate to international law or respect for the sovereignty of nations).</p>
<p>Greenland has a ton of energy, fishing and mineral resources the Americans would love to lay their hands on. The Arctic maritime routes are slowly opening and if you look at a map of the Arctic you’ll realise the USA has very little real estate, to use Trumpspeak, up there and Russia has a vast amount.</p>
<p>The third reason is equally important: incorporating Canada and Greenland into the US would give the country an enormous boost at a time when it is slipping behind China in all critical areas.</p>
<p>According to the IMF, the Chinese have already overtaken the US in share of global GDP based on purchasing power parity (19-15 percent).  By 2035 this gap will likely explode out to 25 percent to 14 percent in Beijing’s favour.</p>
<p>How should the US respond?  Its current China containment strategy of sanctions, tariffs and threats are failing as China’s manufacturing and tech sectors greatly outperform the US.</p>
<p><strong>Losing its proxy war</strong><br />Military planners say the US would almost certainly lose a conventional war against China over Taiwan; the US is already losing its proxy war in Ukraine. A course correction seems inevitable.</p>
<p>Trump is cutting the last threads of the tattered cloth of “the rules-based international order” — the self-serving system that touted international law as long as it didn’t apply to the US and its allies.</p>
<p>The Canadians, the Danes, the Panamanians and the rest of us should wake up to reality and see we are “objects”, we are mere things to the Americans, not allies with some deeply shared “values”.</p>
<p>Trump is refreshingly candid: he wants stuff and he’s prepared to dispense with the preachy posturing that we got with Blinken and Biden.  America is not your friend.</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/about" rel="nofollow">Eugene Doyle</a> is a writer based in Wellington. He has written extensively on the Middle East, as well as peace and security issues in the Asia Pacific region, and he contributes to Asia Pacific Report. He hosts the public policy platform <a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/" rel="nofollow">solidarity.co.nz</a></em></p>
<p><em>This article was first published at Solidarity on 11 January 2025 under the title “A man, a plan, a canal:  Trump might be on to something”.</em></p>
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		<title>‘An extraordinary, charismatic man’: Sir Tim Shadbolt dies at 78</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/01/08/an-extraordinary-charismatic-man-sir-tim-shadbolt-dies-at-78/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2026 10:19:48 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[New Zealand former Invercargill and Waitematā mayor Sir Tim Shadbolt died today. He was 78. Sir Tim, who was awarded the Knight Companion of New Zealand Order of Merit in the 2019 New Year’s Honours List, served eight terms as Invercargill Mayor between 1993 and 1995, and again between 1998-2022, and two terms as Waitematā ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>New Zealand former Invercargill and Waitematā mayor Sir Tim Shadbolt died today. He was 78.</p>
<p>Sir Tim, who was awarded the Knight Companion of New Zealand Order of Merit in the 2019 New Year’s Honours List, served eight terms as Invercargill Mayor between 1993 and 1995, and again between 1998-2022, and two terms as Waitematā (Auckland) Mayor, between 1983 and 1989, making him one of the longest-serving mayors in New Zealand.</p>
<p>“Today we lost the cornerstone of our family and the man who has devoted himself to promoting the City of Invercargill for almost 30 years,” the mayor’s partner of many decades, Asha Dutt, said in a statement on behalf of the family.</p>
<p>“Tim was a kind-hearted man who cared deeply about the people around him. He was a champion for the underdog and an active political campaigner from his student days of anti-war protest, his activism for Māori rights, and his fight to keep the Southern Institute of Technology and Zero Fees autonomous.</p>
<p>“Tim will be remembered with gratitude, respect, and affection for his commitment to the south and his passion for life. The citizens of Invercargill can be proud of the enormous legacy he leaves.”</p>
<p>Invercargill Mayor Tom Campbell told RNZ he was saddened by the news of Sir Tim’s passing.</p>
<p>“He was an extraordinary, charismatic man. On the surface he was a bit of a joker and a bit of a showman. But also a profoundly capable person.</p>
<p><strong>‘Beloved by Invercargill’</strong><br />“He is beloved by the people of Invercargill and they’re going to be deeply affected by his death.”</p>
<p>The longstanding local leader was responsible for amplifying the city’s profile, not just around New Zealand, but offshore, Campbell said.</p>
<p>“You went anywhere in this country, you go into a taxi, the taxi driver says: ‘where do you come from?’ you say: ‘Invercargill’. They say ‘Sir Tim Shadbolt’.</p>
<p>“You could go to London and the same thing happened. You could go to Melbourne and the same thing happened.</p>
<p>“He was extraordinarily well known.”</p>
<p>Campbell, who <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/575661/delighted-campbell-on-track-to-win-invercargill" rel="nofollow">won the city’s mayoralty last year</a>, said aside from Sir Tim’s longevity, his advocacy for both the Southern Institute of Technology and Invercargill Airport were some of his greatest achievements in office.</p>
<p>“I think the city is much stronger as a consequence of having Sir Tim as mayor for as long as it did,” he said.</p>
<p><strong>‘Everybody smiled’</strong><br />“There’s a lot of good that comes from continuity. Just having the same person, pushing the same programmes, being well-known, being popular, everybody smiled when they saw him.</p>
<p>“I think he raised the spirits of Invercargill, he certainly raised the profile of Invercargill, and that’s what he’s going to be remembered for.”</p>
<p>Prime Minister Christopher Luxon paid tribute to Shadbolt, writing on social media that “few New Zealanders have given such devoted public service as Sir Tim.”</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" readability="12.419642857143">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en" xml:lang="en">I’m saddened to hear of the passing of Sir Tim Shadbolt.</p>
<p>Few New Zealanders have given such devoted public service as Sir Tim. He served Southlanders and Aucklanders for decades – with a smile on his face and a distinctive charm.</p>
<p>He devoted his career to making his community…</p>
<p>— Christopher Luxon (@chrisluxonmp) <a href="https://twitter.com/chrisluxonmp/status/2009116135078416562?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow">January 8, 2026</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Labour party leader Chris Hipkins also expressed his condolences.</p>
<p>“From all of the Labour Party, we are very sad to hear of the passing of Sir Tim Shadbolt,” he said.</p>
<p>“Sir Tim gave decades of service to the people of Invercargill. He was a passionate advocate for his community, a tireless public servant, and a voice for those often unheard.</p>
<p>“He believed deeply in the power of people and his leadership helped transform Invercargill.”</p>
<p>Sir Tim’s family has requested privacy during this time and said funeral service details will be announced once confirmed.</p>
<p>The Invercargill City Council said flowers could be left at the Blade of Grass sculpture outside the council’s Esk Street offices.</p>
<p><strong>Politician needs communicating “in all ways”</strong><br />When he was tapped for New Year Honours in 2018, he told RNZ that being a good politician required people to “communicate in all ways”.</p>
<p>“You’ve got to be an excellent and confident public speaker, you’ve got to be a good writer — you’re always writing reports or newspaper columns. You’ve got to be able to communicate via the radio, the internet, and all the changes in technology that we live in.”</p>
<p>“I like to think I am a good politician,” he said then.</p>
<p>“I guess it’s the old cliché that the proof is in the pudding and we’ve had a golden run, really, in Invercargill.</p>
<p>“When I arrived there we were the fastest declining city in New Zealand or Australia, and we’ve turned that around, mainly with the zero fees schemes (at the Southern Institute of Technology) where we went from a thousand students to 5000 students, so it’s good to actually be able to see changes that are significant.”</p>
<p>He said the zero fees scheme changed Invercargill.</p>
<p>“Instead of being sort of a rural backwater, we were suddenly on the cutting edge of innovation and change and that to me is the project I feel most strongly about.</p>
<p><strong>‘Gritty, honest people’</strong><br />“The people of Invercargill are gritty, honest, hard working and prepared to take risks, and I was a risk.”</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col" readability="10">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Tim Shadbolt with a group of protesters outside the Auckland Town Hall in 1973. Image: Te Ara/Public Domain/RNZ</figcaption></figure>
<p class="photo-captioned__information"><strong>An iconic personality<br /></strong> Shadbolt, with his trademark cheesy grin, became one of New Zealand’s most readily identifiable personalities.</p>
</div>
<p>Born in Auckland in 1947, he attended Rutherford High and Auckland University.</p>
<p>He first came to national prominence in the 1960s as a student activist on issues like the Vietnam war and apartheid.</p>
<p>A talented public speaker and debater, he worked as a concrete contractor and was a member of the Auckland Regional Council.</p>
<p>In 1983, Shadbolt was elected mayor of Waitematā — and spent a colourful, and at times controversial, six years in the job.</p>
<p>In 1997, he sued Independent News for articles on the disappearance of the mayoral chain and robes eight years earlier, and was awarded $50,000 in damages.</p>
<p>In 1992, he stood for mayor in Auckland, Waitakere and Dunedin, finishing third in each poll.</p>
<p><strong>Elected mayor again</strong><br />But the following year, Shadbolt was a mayor again, easily beating 13 rivals for the job in a byelection in Invercargill.</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">In 1993, Shadbolt was elected mayor again, easily beating 13 rivals for the job in a byelection in Invercargill. Image: LDR/Otago Daily Times/Stephen Jaquiery/RNZ</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>Voted out after only two years, he was re-elected in a landslide in 1998.</p>
<p>He lost his <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/476338/nobby-clark-steps-into-tim-shadbolt-s-shoes-as-mayor-of-invercargill" rel="nofollow">last bid for re-election in 2022</a>.</p>
<p>He also showed an interest in national politics — he was the New Zealand First candidate for the Selwyn byelection in 1994, less than 24 hours after joining the party.</p>
<p>And in 1996, he was on the party list for the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party.</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Prince Harry (front, right) meets Invercargill Mayor Tim Shadbolt. Image: Twitter/NZ Governor-General/RNZ</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>Always prepared to make fun of himself, he appeared in a famous cheese ad featuring the line: “I don’t care where, as long as I’m Mayor”.</p>
<p>The Invercargill City Council paid tribute to him, saying “he was a huge advocate for Invercargill and tirelessly championed for its people. His impact and legacy will be remembered for generations to come.”</p>
<p>“The former mayor was known for ‘putting Invercargill on the map’ and to honour this legacy, the Invercargill Airport terminal building was officially named to the Sir Tim Shadbolt Terminal last year.</p>
<p>“While Southland was not originally the place he called home, Invercargill will always be proud to claim him as one of its own.”</p>
<p><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em>.</p>
<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>
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		<title>Malcolm Evans: What have we become that we accept such brigandry?</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/01/07/malcolm-evans-what-have-we-become-that-we-accept-such-brigandry/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 08:20:28 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Malcolm Evans What have we become if to survive in our so-called “free world” we must turn a blind eye to cold-blooded genocide, must arm ourselves to oppose our major trading partner, must support a contrived war to defeat an adversary that no longer exists, (lest its new form otherwise achieves its potential) ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Malcolm Evans</em></p>
<p>What have we become if to survive in our so-called “free world” we must turn a blind eye to cold-blooded genocide, must arm ourselves to oppose our major trading partner, must support a contrived war to defeat an adversary that no longer exists, (lest its new form otherwise achieves its potential) must sanction some and not others, trade with some and not others — and now must, yet again, be silent as another sovereign nation is brazenly plundered for its wealth.</p>
<p>US President Donald Trump’s attack on Venezuela is not a “police operation” against a criminal “fugitive,” nor is it part of an “escalating pressure campaign” against a hostile regime.</p>
<p>It’s none of the things that the White House and our media claims, faithfully copying and pasting stories supplied by <em>The New York Times,</em> CNN and <em>The Washington Post</em>.</p>
<p>Blithely asserting the right to “run” Venezuela and “take” the country’s vast oil reserves, in a textbook example of the 19th century colonialism, Trump’s actions brazenly violate international law and numerous entrenched conventions. And all of it whitewashed by our media in euphemistic pseudo-legalese, to impress those gullible enough.</p>
<p>With Trump not only flouting the US Constitution but no longer even pretending that this is about anything other than the theft of another country’s resources, bragging that US oil companies will begin “taking a tremendous amount of wealth out of the ground,” what does it say about us that we accept such brigandry?</p>
<p>How, in God’s name, have we allowed ourselves to be swayed by the dribblings of a scurrilous misogynist, the associate of a convicted paedophile and a creature so altogether odious that, in any other context, we wouldn’t be seen dead with him?</p>
<p>Brandishing his big black marker, Trump, the unabashed narcissist, has changed the US Constitution from; “We the People . . . ” to now read: “ME the People”!</p>
<p>When can we expect those we have entrusted to defend the principles we claim to represent, to stand up and say something?</p>
<p>Or is it simply a matter of us being too gutless ourselves, too intimidated, too craven, to break ranks, step forward and say: “The Emperor has no clothes!”</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.evanscartoons.com/" rel="nofollow">Malcolm Evans</a> is an independent New Zealand award-winning cartoonist and commentator.</em></p>
<figure id="attachment_122014" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-122014" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-122014" class="wp-caption-text">“Why must we turn a blind eye to cold-blooded genocide?” Cartoon: © Malcolm Evans</figcaption></figure>
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		<title>A ‘forgotten hero’ against Imperial Japan, but the legacy of ‘Bintao’ Vinzons is being revived</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2025/12/02/a-forgotten-hero-against-imperial-japan-but-the-legacy-of-bintao-vinzons-is-being-revived/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Dec 2025 14:19:55 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By David Robie Vinzons is a quiet coastal town in the eastern Philippines province of Camarines Norte in Bicol. With a spread out population of about 45,000. it is known for its rice production, crabs and surfing beaches in the Calaguas Islands. But the town is really famous for one of its sons — ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By David Robie</em></p>
<p>Vinzons is a quiet coastal town in the eastern Philippines province of Camarines Norte in Bicol. With a spread out population of about 45,000. it is known for its rice production, crabs and surfing beaches in the Calaguas Islands.</p>
<p>But the town is really famous for one of its sons — Wenceslao “Bintao” Vinzons, the youngest lawmaker in the Philippines before the Japanese invasion during the Second World War who then took up armed resistance.</p>
<p>He was captured and executed along with his family in 1942.</p>
<p>One of the most interesting assets of the municipality of Vinzons — named after the hero in 1946, the town previously being known as Indan — is his traditional family home, which has recently been refurbished as a local museum to tell his story of courage and inspiration.</p>
<p>“He is something of a forgotten hero, student leader, resistance fighter, former journalist — a true hero,” says acting curator Roniel Espina.</p>
<p>As well as a war hero, Vinzons is revered for his progressive politics and was known as the “father of student activism” in the Philippines. His political career began at the University of Philippines in the capital Manila where he co-founded the Young Philippines Party.</p>
<p>The Vinzons Hall at UP-Diliman was named after him to honour his student leadership exploits.</p>
<p><strong>Student newspaper editor</strong><br />He was the editor-in-chief of the <em>Philippine Collegian,</em> the student newspaper founded in 1922.</p>
<p>At 24, Vinzons became the youngest delegate to the 1935 Constitutional Convention and six years later at the age of 30 he was elected Governor of Camarine Norte in 1941 — the same year that Japan invaded.</p>
<p>In fact, the invasion of the Philippines began on 8 December 1941 just 10 hours after the bombing of Pearl Harbour in Hawai’i.</p>
<p>The invading forces tried to pressure Governor Vinzons in his provincial capital of Daet to collaborate. He absolutely refused. Instead, he took to the countryside and led one of the first Filipino guerilla resistance forces to rise up against the Japanese.</p>
<p>His initial resistance was successful with the guerrilla forces carrying out sudden raids before liberating Daet. He was eventually captured and executed by the Japanese.</p>
<figure id="attachment_121850" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-121850" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-121850" class="wp-caption-text">The bust of “Bintao” outside the Vinzons Town Hall. Image: Asia Pacific Report</figcaption></figure>
<p>The exact circumstances are still uncertain as his body was never recovered, but the museum does an incredible job in piecing together his life along with his family and their tragic sacrifice for the country.</p>
<p>One plaque shows an image of Vinzons along with his father Gabino, wife Liwayway, sister Milagros, daughter Aurora and son Alexander (no photo of him was actually recovered).</p>
<figure id="attachment_121854" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-121854" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-121854" class="wp-caption-text">A family of Second World War martyrs . . . their bodies were never recovered. Image: Asia Pacific Report</figcaption></figure>
<p>According to the legend on the plaque:</p>
<blockquote readability="15">
<p><em>“Wenceslao Vinzons with his father disappeared mysteriously – and were never see again. The Japanese sent out posters in Camarines Norte expressing regret that on the way to Siain, Quezon, Vinzons was shot while attempting to escape. ‘So sorry please.’</em></p>
<p><em>“The remains of the body of Vinzons, his father, wife, two chidren and sister have never been found.”</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p><em>The Japanese Empire as portrayed in the Vinzons Museum. Video: APR</em></p>
<p><strong>Imperial Japan showcase</strong><br />One room of the museum is dedicated as a showcase to Imperial Japan and its brutal invasion across a great swathe of Southeast Asia and the brave Filipino resistance in response.</p>
<p>A special feature of the museum is how well it portrays typical Filipino lifestyle and social mores in a home of the political class in the 1930s.</p>
<figure id="attachment_121856" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-121856" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-121856" class="wp-caption-text">The tourist author, Dr David Robie (red t-shirt) with acting curator Roniel Espina (left), Tourism Officer Florence G Mago (second from right) and two museum guides. Image: Asia Pacific Report</figcaption></figure>
<p>When I visited the museum and talked to staff and watched documentaries about “Bintao” Vinzons’ life, one question in particular intrigued me: “Why was he thought of as a ‘forgotten hero’?”</p>
<p>According to acting curator Espina, “It’s partly because Camarines Norte is not as popular and well known as some other provinces. So some of the notable achievements of Vinzons do not have a high profile around in other parts of the country.”</p>
<p>Based at the museum is the town’s principal Tourism Officer Florence G Mago. She is optimistic about how the Vinzons Museum can attract more visitors to the town.</p>
<p>“We have put a lot of effort into developing this museum and we are proud of it. It is a jewel in the town.”</p>
<figure id="attachment_121857" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-121857" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-121857" class="wp-caption-text">The Vinzons family home . . . now refurbished as the town museum under the National Historical Institute umbrella. Image: Asia Pacific Report</figcaption></figure>
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		<title>West Papuan liberation fighters risk ‘extermination’ by Indonesia’s high-tech forces</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2025/12/01/west-papuan-liberation-fighters-risk-extermination-by-indonesias-high-tech-forces/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Dec 2025 08:19:38 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[As activist groups around the world observe December 1 — flag-raising “independence” day for West Papua today marking when the Morning Star flag was flown in 1961 for the first time — Kristo Langker reports from the Highlands about how the Indonesian military is raising the stakes. SPECIAL REPORT: By Kristo Langker in Kiwirok, West ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>As activist groups around the world observe December 1 — flag-raising “independence” day for West Papua today marking when the Morning Star flag was flown in 1961 for the first time — Kristo Langker reports from the Highlands about how the Indonesian military is raising the stakes.</em></p>
<p><strong>SPECIAL REPORT:</strong> <em>By Kristo Langker in Kiwirok, West Papua<br /></em></p>
<p><em>While DropSite News usually reports on, and from, parts of the world where the US war machine operates, in this story, the weaponry in question is made by a multinational French weapons manufacturer and Chinese manufacturer.</em></p>
<p><em>However, you will see the structure is the same — the Indonesian government using drones and helicopters to terrorise and displace the people of West Papua, while the historical reason imperial interests loom over the region stems from a US mining project in the 1960s.</em></p>
<p><em>The videos in this story are well worth watching — exclusive interviews with the guerilla group fighting off the drones and airplanes with bows and arrows.</em></p>
<div readability="87.343373493976"><picture><source type="image/webp"/></picture>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">A still from a video of Embraer EMB 314 Super Tucano bombing and strafing the mountains of Kiwirok on October 6, 2025. Video: Lamek Taplo and Ngalum Kupel, TPNPB</figcaption></figure>
<p>On 25 September 2025, Lamek Taplo, the guerilla leader of a wing of the West Papua National Liberation Army (Tentara Pembebasan Nasional Papua Barat, or TPNPB), left the jungle with his command to launch a series of raids on Indonesian military posts.</p>
<p>Indonesia had established three new military posts in the Star Mountains region in the past year, according to NGO <a href="https://humanrightsmonitor.org/news/growing-human-rights-concerns-amidst-significant-expansion-of-military-presence-across-the-west-papuan-central-highlands/" rel="" rel="nofollow">Human Rights Monitor</a>, with sources on the ground telling Drop Site News that nearby civilian houses and facilities — including a church, schools, and a health clinic — had been forcibly occupied in support of the military build-up.</p>
<p><strong>5 Indonesian soldiers shot</strong><br />Despite being severely outgunned, the command shot five Indonesian soldiers, killing one, while suffering no casualties themselves, according to Taplo and other members of his group.</p>
<p>The raids continued for three more days. The command shot the fuselage of a helicopter and burned five buildings that Taplo’s group claimed were occupied by Indonesian security forces.</p>
<p>Taplo was killed less than three weeks later by an apparent drone strike. During an October 13 interview a week before his death, Taplo, a former teacher himself, told Drop Site why TPNPB targeted a school:</p>
<blockquote readability="10">
<p><em>“It’s because they (Indonesian military) used it as their base. There’s no teacher — only Indonesians. I know, because I was the teacher there, too . . .  Indonesia sent ‘teachers’. However, they’re actually military intelligence.”</em></p>
</blockquote>
<div><picture><source type="image/webp"/></picture>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">School building set on fire by the TPNPB on September 27, 2025. Image: Ngalum Kupel/TPNPB</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>Indonesia has laid claim to the western half of New Guinea island since the 1960s with the backing of the US. For the past year, the Indonesian military has ramped up its indiscriminate attacks on subsistence farming villages, especially those that deny Indonesian rule.</p>
<p>The military presence has been growing exponentially after the October 2024 inauguration of President Prabowo Subianto, who is implicated in historic massacres in Papua from his time as commander of Indonesia’s special forces — called Komando Pasukan Khusus or “Kopassus”.</p>
<p>According to witnesses <a href="https://macmillan.yale.edu/sites/default/files/final_report_4_august_2023_ba00172994.pdf" rel="" rel="nofollow">interviewed</a> in Kiwirok and its surrounding hamlets, and documented in <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?si=8Xd_vDKRpEsDp4n8&#038;v=65_DgLwjePA&#038;feature=youtu.be" rel="" rel="nofollow">videos</a>, there are now snipers stationed along walking tracks, and civilians have been shot and killed attempting to retrieve their pigs.</p>
<p><strong>Indonesian retaliated</strong><br />Indonesia immediately retaliated against TPNPB’s September attacks by sending two consumer-grade DJI Mavic drones, rigged with servo motors, to drop Pindad-manufactured hand grenades.</p>
<p>One drone targeted a hut that Taplo claimed did not house TPNPB but belonged to civilians.</p>
<p>No one was killed as the grenade bounced off the sheet metal roof and exploded a few meters away. The other drone flew over a group of TPNPB raising the <em>Morning Star</em> flag of West Papua but was taken down by the guerrillas before a grenade could be dropped.</p>
<p><em>Ngalum Kupel TPNPB celebrating the capture of a drone. September 28, 2025.</em></p>
<p>Holding the downed drone and grenade, Taplo likened the ordeal to Moses parting the Red Sea for the escaping Israelites: “It’s like Firaun and Moses . . .  It was a miracle.”</p>
<p>Then joking: “The bomb (grenade) was caught since it’s like the cucumber we eat.”</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Lamek Taplo holding a downed DJI Mavic drone and Pindad grenade on 28 September 2025. Image: Ngalum Kupel/TPNPB</figcaption></figure>
<p>Over the next few weeks, a series of heavier aerial bombardments followed.</p>
<p><strong>Video evidence</strong><br />Videos taken by Taplo show two Embraer EMB 314 Super Tucano turboprop aircraft darting through the air, followed by the thunderous sound of ordnance hitting the mountains.</p>
</div>
<p>Despite the fact that thousands of West Papuans have been killed in bombings like these since the 1970s, Taplo’s videos are the first to ever capture an aerial bombardment from the ground in West Papua, owing to the extreme isolation of the interior.</p>
<p>In fact, many highland West Papuans’ first contact with the outside world was with Indonesian military campaigns.</p>
<p>Ostensibly a counter-insurgency operation against a guerrilla independence movement, these bombings are primarily hitting civilians — tribal communities of subsistence farmers.</p>
<p>The few fighters Indonesia is targeting are poorly armed lacking bullets, let alone bombs — and live on ancestral land with their families. The most ubiquitous weapon among these groups remains the bow and arrow.</p>
<p>Taplo told Drop Site the bombings began on Monday, October 6.</p>
<p>“Firstly they (Indonesia) did an unorganised attack: they dropped the bomb randomly . . .  they just dropped it everywhere. You can see where the smoke was coming from.</p>
<p>“Even though it was an Indonesian military house, they just dropped it on there anyway. That was the first one; then they came back. The first place bombed after was a civilian house; the second was our base.”</p>
<p><em>Embraer EMB 314 Super Tucano bombing and strafing the mountains. October 6, 2025</em></p>
<p>Former Dutch colony<br />West Papua was a Dutch colony until 1962, when Indonesia, after a bitter dispute with the Netherlands, secured Washington’s backing to take over the territory.</p>
<p>Just three years after Washington tipped the scales in favour of Indonesia in their dispute with the Netherlands, the nationalist Indonesian President Sukarno was ousted in a US-backed military coup in 1965.</p>
<p>Hundreds of thousands of Indonesian leftists (or suspected leftists) were killed in just a few months by the new regime led by General Suharto.</p>
<p>Indonesia’s acquisition of West Papua is often treated as an event peripheral to this coup, yet both events held a symbiotic relationship that would become the impetus for many of the mass killings perpetrated by Indonesia in West Papua.</p>
<p>Forbes Wilson, the former vice-president of US mining giant Freeport, visited Indonesia in June 1966, and in his book, <em>The Conquest of Copper Mountain</em>, he boasts that he and several other Freeport executives were among the first foreigners to visit Indonesia after the events of 1965.</p>
<p>Wilson was there to negotiate with the new business friendly Suharto regime, particularly regarding the terms of Freeport’s Ertsberg mine, which was set to be located under Puncak Jaya — the tallest mountain in Oceania.</p>
<p>This mine eventually became the world’s largest gold and copper mine and <a href="https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/how-government-failing-people-papua" rel="" rel="nofollow">Indonesia’s largest single taxpayer</a>. The mine’s existence was one of the primary reasons Indonesia gained international backing to launch a vicious Malanesian frontier war against the native and then-largely uncontacted Papuan highlanders.</p>
<p>The “war” continues to this day, though it is largely unlike other modern conflicts.</p>
<p><strong>Like frontier ‘wars’</strong><br />Instead, the concerted Indonesian attacks are most comparable to the US and Australian frontier wars. Indonesia, one of the world’s largest and most well-armed militaries, is steadily wiping out some of the world’s last pre-industrial indigenous cultures and people.</p>
<p>West Papuans have fought back, forming the Free Papua Movement (Organisasi Papua Merdeka, or OPM) and its various splinter armed wings, whose most prominent one is the TPNPB.</p>
<p>Due to the impenetrable terrain of the mountain highlands, the Indonesian military has difficulty fighting the TPNPB on the ground, often instead resorting to indiscriminate aerial bombardments.</p>
<p>The TPNPB’s fight is as much about West Papuan independence as it is an effort by localised tribal communities and landowners using whatever means to prevent Indonesian massacres and land theft.</p>
<p>“No army has ever come to protect the people. I live with the people, because there’s no military to protect my people,” Taplo said in a video sent just before his death.</p>
<p>“From 2021 until this year 2025, I have not left my land; I have not left the land of my birth.”</p>
<p>In October 2021, the Indonesian military launched one of these bombing campaigns in the remote Kiwirok district and its surrounding hamlets in the Star Mountains — deep in the heart of the island of New Guinea.</p>
<p><strong>Little information</strong><br />Because of this isolation, very little information about these bombings trickled out of the mountains — save for a few images of unexploded mortars and burning huts.</p>
<p>Only a handful journalists, including the author of this article, have been able to visit the area, and it took years and multiple visits to the Star Mountains for the full scale of the 2021 attacks to be reported.</p>
<p>It was eventually revealed that the Indonesian assaults included the use of most likely Airbus helicopters that shoot FZ-68 2.75-inch rockets, designed by French multinational defence contractor Thales, and reinforced by Blowfish A3 drones manufactured by the Chinese company Ziyan.</p>
<p>These drones boast an artificial intelligence driven swarm function by which they litter villagers’ subsistence farms and huts with mortars improvised with proximity fuzes manufactured by the Serbian company Krušik.</p>
<p>A largely remote, open-source investigation by German NGO Human Rights Monitor revealed that hundreds of huts and buildings were destroyed in this attack. More than 2000 villagers were displaced, and they still hide in makeshift jungle camps.</p>
<p>“The systematic nature of these attacks prompts questions of crimes against humanity under the Rome Statute,” the <a href="https://humanrightsmonitor.org/reports/kiwirok-report-2023/#:~:text=The%2049%2Dpage%20research%20report,Download%20Report%20(PDF%20English)" rel="" rel="nofollow">report</a> noted. Additionally, witnesses interviewed by this author gave the names of hundreds who died of starvation and illness after the bombings.</p>
<p>With little food, shelter, weapons, or even internet to connect them to the outside world, many of the thousands of Ngalum-Kupel people displaced since 2021 are displaced again — likely to die without anyone knowing — mirroring countless Indonesian campaigns to depopulate the mountains to make way for resource projects.</p>
<p><strong>Long-term effects</strong><br />The impact of the latest wave of attacks in October 2025 is likely to be felt for years, as the bombs destroyed food gardens and shelters and displaced people who were already living in nothing more than crowded tarpaulins held up by branches, while having already been forced to hide in the jungle after the 2021 bombings.</p>
<p>“It is the same situation with Palestine and Israel — people are now living without their home,” said Taplo.</p>
<div><picture><source type="image/webp"/></picture>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Lamek Taplo (standing) in jungle camp on 15 October 2025. Image: Ngalum Kupel/TPNPB</figcaption></figure>
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<p>On 6 October 2025, Indonesia retaliated further, deploying two aircraft that aviation sources confirmed to be Brazilian-made Embraer EMB 314 Super Tucano turboprops. These planes were filmed bombing and strafing the mountains.</p>
<p>Drop Site confirmed that some of the shrapnel collected after these attacks is from Thales’s FZ 2.75-inch rockets — the same rockets used in the 2021 attacks.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Shrapnel from Thales FZ rockets on 6 October 2025. Image: Ngalum Kupel/TPNPB</figcaption></figure>
<p>In January this year, Thales’s Belgium and state-owned defence company, Indonesian Aerospace, put out a press release titled: “Indonesian Aerospace and Thales Belgium Reactivate Rocket Production Partnership,” which boasted the integration of Thales designed FZ 2.75-inch rockets with the Embraer Supertucano aircraft.</p>
<p>Though these were not the only ordnance deployed, some of the impact zones measured over 20m, and the shrapnel found in these craters was far heavier and larger than that from the Thales rockets.</p>
<p><strong>Shrapnel ‘no joke’</strong><br />“It’s no joke. It was long and big. It could destroy a village . . . ” said Taplo before picking up a piece of shrapnel around 20cm long.</p>
<p>“This is five kilograms,” he said, weighing the remnants.</p>
<p><em>Inspecting Impact zone from bombings on 6 October 2025.</em></p>
<p>A former Australian Defence Force air-to-ground specialist told Drop Site that the large size of the shrapnel and nature of the scarring and cratering indicate that the bomb was not a modern style munition. It was most likely an MK-81 RI Live, a variant of the 110kg MK-81 developed and manufactured by Indonesian state-owned defence contractor Pindad.</p>
<p>“This weapon system is unguided, and given the steep terrain, it is unlikely that a dive attack could easily be used, providing the enhanced risk of collateral damage or indiscriminate targeting given the weapons envelope,” the specialist said. Pindad did not respond to Drop Site’s request for comment.</p>
<div readability="75.14950062422"><picture><source type="image/webp"/></picture>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Shrapnel from MK-81 bombs on 12 October 2025. Image: Ngalum Kupel/TPNPB</figcaption></figure>
<p>Photos from a February Pindad press release about the development of the MK-81 RI Live show these bombs loaded on an Indonesian Embraer Supertucano.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">An Indonesian Embraer EMB 314 Super Tucano loaded with the Pindad MK-81 RI Live in February, 2025. Image: PT Pindad Public Relations Doc</figcaption></figure>
<p>A week later, Indonesia hit again. At around 3am, on October 12, a reconnaissance aircraft flew over the camp where Taplo’s command and their families were sleeping, waking them just in time to evacuate before another round of bombs were dropped == again, most likely the MK-81 RI Live.</p>
<p><strong>Bomb strike on video</strong><br />Taplo captured the bomb’s strike and aftermath on video. Clearly shaken, he makes an appeal for help, saying “UN peacekeeping forces quickly come to Kiwirok to give us freedom, because our life is traumatic . . .</p>
<p>“Even the kids are traumatised; they live in the forest, and seek help from their parents, ‘Dad help me. Indonesia dropped the bomb on the place I lived in.’”</p>
<p>On the morning of October 19, a drone dropped a bomb on a hut near where Taplo was staying. Initially, the bomb didn’t detonate, leaving enough time for civilians to evacuate the area.</p>
<p>After the evacuation, Taplo and three men returned to remove the ordnance, which then detonated and instantly killed Lamek Taplo and three others — Nalson Uopmabin, 17; Benim Kalakmabin, 20; and Ike Taplo, 22.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">The bodies of slain TPNPB members on October 19, 2025. Image: Ngalum Kupel/TPNPB</figcaption></figure>
<p>Speaking to Drop Site just hours after Taplo was killed, eyewitnesses say the drone was larger than the DJI Mavics deployed earlier and were similar in size to the Ziyan drones from 2021.</p>
<p>Photos taken of the remnants of the bomb show the tail of what was most likely an 81mm mortar.</p>
<p>“The presence of drones — similar to that of DJI quadcopters and [with] improvised fins for aerial guidance — have been employed [just as] ISIS used those weapons systems in Syria,” the former Australian Defence Force air-to-ground specialist told Drop Site.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">The mortar piece that killed Commander Lamek Taplo and three others. October 20, 2025. Image: Ngalum Kupel/TPNPB</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>Plea to Pacific nations</strong><br />On October 26, civilians in Kiwirok sent an appeal to the government of Papua New Guinea and other Pacific Island nations. So far, there has been no response, despite these bombings occurring on Papua New Guinea’s border.</p>
<p>The last communication Drop Site received from Kiwirok indicated that the bombings were continuing and the mountains still swarmed with drones — limiting any chance of escape.</p>
<p>Pictures posted on social media in November by members of Indonesian security forces, those stationed in Kiwirok, give some insight into the level of zeal with which Indonesia is fighting this campaign.</p>
<p>An Indonesian soldier can be seen wearing a T-shirt emblazoned with a skull wearing night vision goggles, a gun, and a lightning bolt forming a cross behind it. The caption reads “Black Zone Kiwirok.”</p>
<div><picture><source type="image/webp"/></picture>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">A “Black Zone Kiwirok” T-shirt on 19 November 2025. Souurce: Instagram post by Indonesian soldier</figcaption></figure>
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<p>Another photo shows soldiers sitting in front of a banner which reads “Kompi Tempur Rajawali 431 Pemburu” — a reference to the elite <a href="https://www.hrw.org/reports/1997/indtimor/Indtimor-01.htm" rel="" rel="nofollow">“Eagle Hunter” units</a> set up in the mid 1990s by then-General Prabowo Subianto to hunt down Falantil guerillas in Timor Leste.</p>
<p>As there has been no record of these units being deployed in Papua — nor of an “Eagle Hunter” unit made up of soldiers from the 431st Infantry Battalion — it is unclear whether these banners are just Suharto-era nationalism on display, or if they signify that these units have been revived.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">A “Kompi Tempur Rajawali 431 Pemburu” regimental banner on 19 November 2025. Source: An Instagram post by Indonesian soldie<em>r</em></figcaption></figure>
<p>On his final phone call with the outside world, just before the signal cut out, Taplo vowed to continue the TPNPB’s fight: “We will fight for hundreds of days . . .</p>
<p>“We will fight . . .  This war is by God. We have asked for power; we have prayed for nature’s power. This is our culture.”</p>
<p><em>Republished from DropSite News.</em></p>
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		<title>David Robie’s Eyes of Fire rekindles the legacy of the Rainbow Warrior 40 years on</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2025/12/01/david-robies-eyes-of-fire-rekindles-the-legacy-of-the-rainbow-warrior-40-years-on/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Nov 2025 13:19:36 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2025/12/01/david-robies-eyes-of-fire-rekindles-the-legacy-of-the-rainbow-warrior-40-years-on/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A transition in global emphasis from “nuclear to climate crisis survivors”, plus new geopolitical exposés. REVIEW: By Amit Sarwal of The Australia Today Forty years after the bombing of the Greenpeace flagship Rainbow Warrior in Auckland Harbour, award-winning journalist and author David Robie has revisited the ship’s fateful last mission — a journey that became ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>A transition in global emphasis from “nuclear to climate crisis survivors”, plus new geopolitical exposés.</em></p>
<p><strong>REVIEW:</strong> <em>By Amit Sarwal of <a href="https://www.theaustraliatoday.com.au/" rel="nofollow">The Australia Today</a></em></p>
<p>Forty years after the bombing of the Greenpeace flagship <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> in Auckland Harbour, award-winning journalist and author David Robie has revisited the ship’s fateful last mission — a journey that became a defining chapter in New Zealand’s identity as a nuclear-free nation.</p>
<p>Robie’s newly updated book, <em><a href="https://eyes-of-fire.littleisland.co.nz/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Eyes of Fire: The Last Voyage and Legacy of the Rainbow Warrior</a></em>, is both a historical record and a contemporary warning.</p>
<p>It captures the courage of those who stood up to nuclear colonialism in the Pacific and draws striking parallels with the existential challenges the region now faces — from climate change to renewed geopolitical tensions.</p>
<p>“The new edition has a completely new 40-page section covering the last decade and the transition in global emphasis from ‘nuclear to climate crisis survivors’, plus new exposés about the French spy ‘blunderwatergate’. Ironically, the nuclear risks have also returned to the fore again,” Robie told <em>The Australia Today</em>.</p>
<blockquote readability="7">
<p>“The book deals with a lot of critical issues impacting on the Pacific, and is expanded a lot and quite different from the last edition in 2015.”</p>
</blockquote>
<p>In May 1985, the <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> embarked on a humanitarian mission unlike any before it. The crew helped 320 Rongelap Islanders relocate to a safer island after decades of radioactive contamination from US nuclear testing at Bikini and Enewetak atolls.</p>
<p>Robie, who joined the ship in Hawai’i as a journalist, recalls the deep humanity of that voyage.</p>
<picture><source type="image/webp" data-srcset="https://www.theaustraliatoday.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/EOF-LOOP-44-Henk-David-Davey-1024x692-1.jpg.webp 1024w, https://www.theaustraliatoday.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/EOF-LOOP-44-Henk-David-Davey-1024x692-1-300x203.jpg.webp 300w, https://www.theaustraliatoday.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/EOF-LOOP-44-Henk-David-Davey-1024x692-1-768x519.jpg.webp 768w, https://www.theaustraliatoday.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/EOF-LOOP-44-Henk-David-Davey-1024x692-1-150x101.jpg.webp 150w, https://www.theaustraliatoday.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/EOF-LOOP-44-Henk-David-Davey-1024x692-1-600x405.jpg.webp 600w, https://www.theaustraliatoday.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/EOF-LOOP-44-Henk-David-Davey-1024x692-1-696x470.jpg.webp 696w, https://www.theaustraliatoday.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/EOF-LOOP-44-Henk-David-Davey-1024x692-1-622x420.jpg.webp 622w"/></picture>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Back in 1985: Journalist David Robie (centre) pictured with two Rainbow Warrior crew members, Henk Haazen (left) and the late Davey Edward, the chief engineer. Robie spent 11 weeks on the ship, covering the evacuation of the Rongelap Islanders. Image: Inner City News</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>Humanitarian voyage</strong><br />“The fact that this was a humanitarian voyage . . .  helping the people of Rongelap in the Marshall Islands, it was going to be quite momentous,” he <a href="https://pmn.co.nz/read/environment/40-years-on-reflecting-on-rainbow-warrior-s-legacy-fight-against-nuclear-colonialism" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">told Pacific Media Network News</a>.</p>
<p>“It’s incredible for an island community where the land is so much part of their existence, their spirituality and their ethos.”</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">The Rainbow Warrior sailing in the Marshall Islands in May 1985 before the Rongelap relocation mission. Image: David Robie/Café Pacific Media</figcaption></figure>
<p>The relocation was both heartbreaking and historic. Islanders dismantled their homes over three days, leaving behind everything except their white-stone church.</p>
<p>“I remember one older woman sitting on the deck among the remnants of their homes,” Robie recalls.</p>
<p>“That image has never left me.”</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">A Rongelap islander with her entire home and belongings on board the Rainbow Warrior in May 1985. Image: © David Robie/Eyes Of Fire</figcaption></figure>
<p>Their ship’s banner, <em>Nuclear Free Pacific</em>, fluttered as both a declaration and a demand. The <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> became a symbol of Pacific solidarity, linking environmentalism with human rights in a region scarred by the atomic age.</p>
<p>On 10 July 1985, the <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> was docked at Auckland’s Marsden Wharf when two underwater bombs tore through its hull. The explosions, planted by French secret agents, sank the vessel and killed Portuguese-Dutch photographer Fernando Pereira.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">The front page of The New Zealand Herald on 12 July 1985 — two days after the bombing. Image: NZH screenshot</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>Bombing shockwaves<br /></strong> The bombing sent shockwaves through New Zealand and the world. When French Prime Minister Laurent Fabius finally admitted that his country’s intelligence service had carried out the attack, outrage turned to defiance. New Zealand’s resolve to remain nuclear-free only strengthened.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignright"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Former New Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark. Image: Kate Flanagan /www.helenclarknz.com</figcaption></figure>
<p>Former New Zealand Prime Minister <a href="https://thespinoff.co.nz/books/10-07-2025/storm-clouds-are-gathering-40-years-on-from-the-bombing-of-the-rainbow-warrior" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Helen Clark contributes a new prologue</a> to the 40th anniversary edition, reflecting on the meaning of the bombing and the enduring relevance of the country’s nuclear-free stance.</p>
<p>“The bombing of the <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> and the death of Fernando Pereira was both a tragic and a seminal moment in the long campaign for a nuclear-free Pacific,” she writes.</p>
<p>“It was so startling that many of us still remember where we were when the news came through.”</p>
<p>Clark warns that history’s lessons are being forgotten. “Australia’s decision to enter a nuclear submarine purchase programme with the United States is one of those storm clouds gathering,” she writes.</p>
<blockquote readability="7">
<p>“New Zealand should be a voice for de-escalation, not for enthusiastic expansion of nuclear submarine fleets in the Pacific.”</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Clark’s message in the prologue is clear: the values that shaped New Zealand’s independent foreign policy in the 1980s — diplomacy, peace and disarmament — must not be abandoned in the face of modern power politics.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Author David Robie and the Rainbow Warrior III. Image: Facebook/David Robie</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>Geopolitical threats</strong><br />Robie adds that the book also explores “the geopolitical threats to the region with unresolved independence issues, such as the West Papuan self-determination struggle in Melanesia.”</p>
<p>Clark’s call to action, Robie told <em>The Australia Today</em>, resonates with the Pacific’s broader fight for justice.</p>
<p>“She warns against AUKUS and calls for the country to ‘link with the many small and middle powers across regions who have a vision for a world characterised by solidarity and peace, which can rise to the occasion to combat the existential challenges it faces — including of nuclear weapons, climate change, and artificial intelligence.’”</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Author David Robie with a copy of Eyes of Fire during a recent interview with RNZ Pacific. Image: Facebook/David Robie</figcaption></figure>
<p>When <em>Eyes of Fire</em> was first published, it instantly became a rallying point for young activists and journalists across the Pacific. Robie’s reporting — which earned him New Zealand’s Media Peace Prize 40 years ago — revealed the human toll of nuclear testing and state-sponsored secrecy.</p>
<p>Today, his new edition reframes that struggle within the context of climate change, which he describes as “the new existential crisis for Pacific peoples.” He sees the same forces of denial, delay, and power imbalance at play.</p>
<p>“This whole renewal of climate denialism, refusal by major states to realise that the solutions are incredibly urgent, and the United States up until recently was an important part of that whole process about facing up to the climate crisis,” Robie says.</p>
<p>“It’s even more important now for activism, and also for the smaller countries that are reasonably progressive, to take the lead.”</p>
<p>For Robie, <em>Eyes of Fire</em> is not just a history book — it’s a call to conscience.</p>
<p>“I hope it helps to inspire others, especially younger people, to get out there and really take action,” he says.</p>
<p>“The future is in your hands.”</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">“You can’t sink a rainbow” slogan on board the Rainbow Warrior III. Image: David Robie 2025</figcaption></figure>
<p>The <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> returned to Aotearoa in July to mark the 40th anniversary of the bombing. Forty years on, the story of the <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> continues to burn — not as a relic of the past, but as a beacon for the Pacific’s future through Robie’s <em>Eyes of Fire</em>.</p>
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