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		<title>Media miss: The questions never asked behind the US-Israel war on Iran</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/05/16/media-miss-the-questions-never-asked-behind-the-us-israel-war-on-iran/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 16 May 2026 00:27:42 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[ANALYSIS: By Alison Broinowski of Declassified Australia Most of the Western media refuse to join the dots and explain Israel’s decades-long obsession with defanging Tehran. The war in Iran is what Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has planned for four decades. He has always wanted Israel to extend from Egypt to the Euphrates and in the ... <a title="Media miss: The questions never asked behind the US-Israel war on Iran" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/05/16/media-miss-the-questions-never-asked-behind-the-us-israel-war-on-iran/" aria-label="Read more about Media miss: The questions never asked behind the US-Israel war on Iran">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>ANALYSIS:</strong> <em>By Alison Broinowski of Declassified Australia</em></p>
<p>Most of the Western media refuse to join the dots and explain Israel’s decades-long obsession with defanging Tehran.</p>
<p>The war in Iran is what Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has <a href="https://time.com/7311536/netanyahus-endless-endgame" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">planned</a> for four decades. He has always wanted Israel to extend from Egypt to the Euphrates and in the process have the United States overthrow seven neighbouring countries, the last and latest being Iran.</p>
<p>That was also America’s plot, hatched by the neo-conservative authors at the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_for_the_New_American_Century" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Project for a New American Century</a> (PNAC) in 2000. The list of targeted countries, confirmed by US General Wesley Clark in 2007, was based on a <a href="https://dn720006.ca.archive.org/0/items/yinon-plan/Yinon_Plan.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">proposal</a> published in Israel in 1982.</p>
<p>Ambitious as they were, these long-held intentions have now culminated in the US-Israel war on Iran, which seems sudden but was carefully planned, a former British Ambassador claims.</p>
<p>US President Donald Trump was not “bounced into it” by Israel: it had been in gestation for months, says <a href="https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2026/03/seeing-trump-clearly/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Craig Murray</a>, Britain’s ambassador to Uzbekistan between 2002 and 2004.</p>
<p>Well in advance, Trump had weapons ordered for fast delivery from Lockheed Martin, naval ships and troops were moved to the Gulf, and CIA and Mossad agitators <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/14/iran-accuse-foreign-intelligence-behind-protest-movement" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">reportedly</a> stirred up Iranians in several cities, already exasperated by their theocratic rulers and by US sanctions.</p>
<p>If Murray is right, Trump and Netanyahu must have been planning this in their frequent meetings before and since the “12-day war” against Iran last year. Or for longer: Trump has reminded the world that as far back as 1987 he wanted the US to take over some of <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/trump-reposts-1987-interview-where-he-urged-seizing-irans-oil-11759509" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Iran’s oil</a>, and to go to war for it.</p>
<p><strong>Everything is a ‘deal’</strong><br />But Trump’s shambolic war shows that he regards everything as a “deal’” and while aggrandising himself, he fails to understand that Iranians don’t accept <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transactionalism" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">transactionalism</a> about their country, whoever its leader is.</p>
<p>He appears not to remember that under the Shah, Iran was on good terms with Israel and the US, until the uprising against the Pahlavis in 1979. He doesn’t mention the CIA’s overthrow in 1953 of Prime Minister Mossadegh, who merely wanted to nationalise Iran’s oil.</p>
<p>Instead of understanding Iran and its people, Trump claims to trust his “gut instinct” about the war, and he regularly gets it wrong.</p>
<p>The state of the president’s mental, cognitive and physical <a href="https://www.bmj.com/content/393/bmj.s750" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">health</a> has been raised again lately by his niece Mary Trump, a clinical psychologist. She observes symptoms of Alzheimer’s disease in Trump, and recalls that his father and her grandfather, Fred Trump sr., died with dementia.</p>
<p>Other specialists detect signs of “malignant narcissism”, and note that the President’s repeated threats, exaggerations, and reversals are more likely to be the results of incapacity than of intent.</p>
<p>Still, Trump’s erratic statements keep attention focussed on him, keeping the world guessing and confused, and his narcissistic self on centre stage. For Trump, as for Netanyahu, the personal is paramount. Both of them face coming elections (Trump has to face the mid-terms in November while Netanyahu has a general election before the end of the year); both want to stay alive and out of jail; and the continuing war further <a href="https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/national-international/trump-organization-profits-office-president-conflicts-of-interest/4089861/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">enriches</a> them, their families and friends.</p>
<p><strong>Plans for war<br /></strong> Netanyahu’s project derives from the 1982 Yinon Plan, named after its author, an Israeli diplomat, journalist, and former adviser to Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. Published in the Hebrew journal <em>Kivunim</em> (“Directions”) as “A Strategy for Israel in the 1980s”, it reappeared in a 1996 <a href="https://www.dougfeith.com/docs/Clean_Break.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">policy paper</a> titled “A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm”, prepared for Netanyahu by American neoconservative strategists. They also produced their “Project for the New American Century”, advocating a “catastrophic and catalysing event” that would convince Americans of the need for war.</p>
<p>The “Clean Break” document argued that Israel should abandon land-for-peace diplomacy and instead pursue a strategy that would weaken or remove hostile regimes in the region, particularly Iraq and Syria. The goal was not mere military victory but a geopolitical restructuring of the Middle East in Israel’s favour.</p>
<p>In 1997, some of the same people involved with that report established the Project for the New American Century think tank, which produced several major reports, especially “Rebuilding America’s Defences” in the year 2000. It argued for preserving US military preeminence in the Middle East and two other theatres with a “revolution in military affairs” that might be accelerated by a “catastrophic and catalysing event — like a new Pearl Harbor”.</p>
<p>Just a year later on 9/11, such an event occurred, leading Congress quickly to pass the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Authorization_for_Use_of_Military_Force_of_2001" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Authorisation</a> for Use of Military Force Against Terrorists, and the anti-terrorism PATRIOT Act.</p>
<p>Track the planning process forward to 2001, and a former CIA operator confirms what many conspiracy analysts have suspected for years: that Israel, together with Saudi Arabia, was potentially informed about conspirators in the attacks on the World Trade Centre and the Pentagon on September 11 before they occurred. John Kiriakou, a former CIA bureau chief for Pakistan, points to the involvement of the Saudi royal family in Al-Qaeda’s plan.</p>
<p>As well, Kiriakou says that Mossad was thick on the ground on the US east coast in 2001 and Israel knew what was to <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/30/world/middleeast/israel-hamas-attack-intelligence.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">happen</a>, but did nothing to stop it.</p>
<p><strong>Furious response over Saudis</strong><br />Kiriakou points to the furious response to Riyadh by US agencies on learning of the Saudis’ dominant involvement in 9/11. It produced three sudden <a href="https://isgp-studies.com/misc/death-list/articles/2002_07_deaths" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">deaths</a> in a week in July 2022: Princes Ahmed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz (in hospital after an operation), Sultan bin Faisal bin Turki (in a car accident), and Fahd bin Turki bin Saud al-Kabir (of thirst in the desert).</p>
<p>The latter two were both in their mid-twenties, while Ahmed was 43. Seven months later Mushaf Ali Mir, Pakistan’s Air Marshal, died in a plane crash in clear weather over the unruly Northwest Frontier province, along with his wife and closest confidants.</p>
<p>9/11 researchers have found out a lot more about what two US “allies”, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, knew in advance of 9/11 and did in support of al-Qaeda. US lawyer Gerald Posner’s <a href="https://time.com/archive/6669490/book-review-confessions-of-a-terrorist/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">account</a> is based on al-Qaeda operative Ali Zubaydah’s claims about his capture and interrogation, and his admissions about his work with Saudi and Pakistani officials.</p>
<p>From Guantánamo Bay, where he has been held without charge for more than two decades, he told Posner that both Prince Ahmed and Mushaf Ali Mir, Pakistan’s Air Marshal, “knew that an attack was scheduled for American soil on that day”. Like Israelis, they did <a href="https://d.docs.live.net/8696288aaf690517/Documents/articles/September%2011%20and%20IsraelALedit.docx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">nothing to stop it</a>.</p>
<p>The Report of the 9/11 Commission, which some said was “set up to fail”, read more as a call to arms against al-Qaeda than a forensic criminal <a href="https://d.docs.live.net/8696288aaf690517/Documents/articles/September%2011%20and%20IsraelALedit.docx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">report</a>. The GW Bush, Obama, and Biden administrations prevented the US Congress accessing <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_28_pages" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">28 pages</a> from the Joint Inquiry into Intelligence Community Activities before and after 9/11.</p>
<p>Eventually released by Biden in June 2016, the pages identified Saudi Arabian diplomats, officials, and members of the ruling family as contributors to preparations for the attacks, but not Israelis.</p>
<p>Yet when US President Bush declared a “war on terror” in response to 9/11, he realised Netanyahu’s aim for the US to attack Israel’s neighbours. And war, says Israeli journalist Gideon Levy, “is always the first option, not the last one in <a href="https://www.democracynow.org/2026/3/13/gideon_levy_israel" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Israel</a>“.</p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="moz-reader-block-img" src="https://i0.wp.com/declassifiedaus.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Destroyed_buildings_as_aftermath_of_2025_Israeli_attack_on_some_areas_in_Tehran_23_Tasnim-1.jpg?resize=800%2C528&amp;ssl=1" alt="An Israeli strike on Tehran on 13 June 2025" width="800" height="528" data-recalc-dims="1"/><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">An Israeli strike on Tehran, Iran, on 13 June 2025. Image: Meghdad Madadi/Tasnim News Agency/DA</figcaption></figure>
<p>Heavy insider trading was recorded in New York in advance of September 11, including put options on United Airlines, American Airlines, and other related stocks. A majority of those polled by <em>The New York Times</em> in the five years after the attacks on the Twin Towers and Washington thought the government was lying or was <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2004/8/31/ny-poll-9-11-was-known-in" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">hiding something</a>.  Even some staff, investigators, and members of the 9/11 Commission knew that senior military officials and CIA director George <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2007-08-22/report-critical-of-former-cia-boss-tenet/647664" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Tenet</a> had lied to them, while others’ evidence was suppressed. But their knowledge was excluded from the <a href="https://d.docs.live.net/8696288aaf690517/Documents/articles/September%2011%20and%20IsraelALedit.docx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">final report</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Terrorists, neo-colonialists, tyrants and war criminals<br /></strong> This history reveals the need to be sceptical of Washington’s claims about terrorism from 9/11 to today’s war against Iran. “Terror” is repeatedly used as propaganda to manufacture consent for war and to demonise enemies of the West, while what the US and Israel do is “not terrorism”.</p>
<p>Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 was a war crime, said NATO and its friends: yet the US coalition’s long wars in Afghanistan, Libya, Iraq, Somalia, and Syria were not. Russia’s annexation of Crimea, its former territory, was an outrageous land grab: Israel’s annexations of Syria’s Golan and the Palestinians’ West Bank territory were not. Hamas’ breakout from Gaza on 7 October 2023 was terrorism; Israel’s recurrent attacks on Palestinians since 1948 and its ethnic cleansing of Gaza since 2023 were not.</p>
<p>Hamas and Hezbollah’s retaliation and the Houthis’ attacks are terrorism: Israel’s bombing and occupation of Gaza and southern Lebanon are not. Iran’s leaders are murderous tyrants: Israel’s indicted war criminals Netanyahu and former Defence Minister Yoav Gallant (both wanted by the International Criminal Court on arrest warrants for crimes against humanity).are not. Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran’s IRGC are designated terrorist organisations: the IDF, CIA, and Mossad are not. The US assaults on Venezuela and Iran, to be followed by Cuba, are claimed to be against terrorism or drugs: in fact they are about who controls oil and makes and unmakes governments.</p>
<p>It does not occur to most Americans and Israelis that their own activities are state terror. Instead, they claim a right to defend US hegemony and all Jews’ right to Eretz Israel and greatness as “God’s chosen people”. Palestinians who resist have no such rights and are called subhuman terrorists, and under a new law, Arab Israelis will be executed for terrorism, while Jewish Israelis are not.</p>
<p>In the 1930s and 1940s, the Nazis made similar claims about the superiority of their civilisation to justify the Holocaust. No wonder some now detect a resurgence of fascism in the US, Israel, and elsewhere. Others observe the sudden rise of anti-Semitism since October 2003.</p>
<p>A growing <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/02/politics/cnn-poll-59-of-americans-disapprove-of-iran-strikes-and-most-think-a-long-term-conflict-is-likely" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">number</a> expect the US war to fail, leaving <a href="https://d.docs.live.net/8696288aaf690517/Documents/articles/September%2011%20and%20IsraelALedit.docx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Israel</a> to do its worst in Iran and Lebanon.</p>
<p>Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis have been added to Al-Qaeda on the list of designated terrorists. The wars that followed culminate in <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/releases/2026/04/president-trumps-clear-and-unchanging-objectives-drive-decisive-success-against-iranian-regime/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Iran</a>, labelled by Trump a “terrorist regime”.</p>
<p>Candidate Trump took Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg’s advice to “move fast and break things”. He has done it as president. What ends up broken is now the whole world’s concern.</p>
<p><a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/alisonbroinowski/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><em>Dr Alison Broinowski AM</em></a> <em>is an Australian former diplomat, academic and author. Her books and articles concern Australia’s interactions with the world. She is president of <a href="https://warpowersreform.org.au" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Australians for War Powers Reform</a>. Republished with permission from Declassified Australia.<br /></em></p>
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		<title>Iran war fallout – Trump is going to Beijing on bended knees</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/05/10/iran-war-fallout-trump-is-going-to-beijing-on-bended-knees/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sun, 10 May 2026 11:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Lim Tean Why is US President Donald Trump carrying on with his State visit to Beijing this week on May 14? I wouldn’t if I were him. It also shows that he is surrounded by incompetent officials. Any competent advisor would advise him against undertaking this trip. He goes as the leader of ... <a title="Iran war fallout – Trump is going to Beijing on bended knees" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/05/10/iran-war-fallout-trump-is-going-to-beijing-on-bended-knees/" aria-label="Read more about Iran war fallout – Trump is going to Beijing on bended knees">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Lim Tean</em></p>
<p>Why is US President Donald Trump carrying on with his State visit to Beijing this week on May 14? I wouldn’t if I were him.</p>
<p>It also shows that he is surrounded by incompetent officials. Any competent advisor would advise him against undertaking this trip.</p>
<p>He goes as the leader of a “defeated” nation, against a foe on which the United States has imposed the stiffest sanctions for 47 years. He will be viewed by the Chinese as the President that ended the American empire.</p>
<p>He thinks he is going as a conquering hero and can wow the Chinese with his empty boasts that America won a huge victory and destroyed Iran. He will be met by President Xi and the Chinese leadership with polite smiles and smirks of the greatest disrespect.</p>
<p>If he has any EQ, he will know that his treatment in Beijing is going to be brutal. The Chinese may even gift him the symbolic white flag of surrender. You will see that in this summit, the US will be very much the junior partner.</p>
<p>Iran will never give this defeated President the satisfaction of a peace agreement which he so desperately needs, and is begging for, before his trip to Beijing. They will make sure he goes to Beijing as a defeated man.</p>
<p>Iran is not after a peace deal, but the total and comprehensive defeat of America as the global hegemon. Iran will see to it that the US gets out of the Middle East totally so that Israel is isolated and the Greater Israel project totally destroyed.</p>
<p><strong>Security architecture shifting</strong><br />Even as I write, the security architecture of the Middle East is shifting rapidly. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar and Oman are shifting their allegiances increasingly toward Iran, Russia and China.</p>
<p>Fifty-five years of being America’s poodles are coming to an end. These countries have realised that the US is an unreliable partner and cannot guarantee their security.</p>
<p>The stupid countries are the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain, which still hitch their wagons to the Americans and Israel. They have dug their own graves.</p>
<p>History has never witnessed another event as dramatic as the Iran war, where a global power has lost power and prestige in such a short period of 4 months.</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.facebook.com/PeoplesVoiceSingapore" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Lim Tean</a> is a Singaporean lawyer, politician and commentator. He is the founder of the political party People’s Voice and a co-founder of the political alliance People’s Alliance for Reform.</em></p>
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		<title>As Trump’s narrative on negotiations flails, Iran is setting its own terms for ending the war</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/28/as-trumps-narrative-on-negotiations-flails-iran-is-setting-its-own-terms-for-ending-the-war/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2026 00:15:24 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[ANALYSIS: By Jeremy Scahill Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has been on a strategic tour to prepare for two dramatically different paths that could unfold in the coming days — a return to diplomacy or a resumption of the war with the US and Israel. While President Donald Trump has claimed that the Iranian government ... <a title="As Trump’s narrative on negotiations flails, Iran is setting its own terms for ending the war" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/28/as-trumps-narrative-on-negotiations-flails-iran-is-setting-its-own-terms-for-ending-the-war/" aria-label="Read more about As Trump’s narrative on negotiations flails, Iran is setting its own terms for ending the war">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>ANALYSIS:</strong> <em>By Jeremy Scahill</em></p>
<p>Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has been on a strategic tour to prepare for two dramatically different paths that could unfold in the coming days — a return to diplomacy or a resumption of the war with the US and Israel.</p>
<p>While President Donald Trump has claimed that the Iranian government is in a state of internal chaos and his administration is waiting for Iran to capitulate, a senior Iranian official told Drop Site News that Tehran is establishing the conditions under which a new round of direct talks could take place.</p>
<p>“We’re currently moving forward with our own design, and we feel continuing negotiations doesn’t make sense until the US government lifts the maritime blockade,” said the official who has direct knowledge of internal diplomatic deliberations in Iran.</p>
<p>He requested anonymity because he is not authorised to publicly discuss the negotiations.</p>
<p>“The scope of the conflict has expanded, and naturally the issue is no longer purely nuclear.”</p>
<p>Tehran, the Iranian official said, remained firm in its demand that the US naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz be lifted as a condition to move forward. If that happens, a formal second round of top level direct talks can happen.</p>
<p>“Araghchi is Iran’s top diplomat. So even if there’s a 1 percent chance for a breakthrough, he would embark on it,” said Hassan Ahmadian, a prominent Iranian analyst and associate professor at the University of Tehran.</p>
<p><strong>A multi-phase outline</strong><br />He told Drop Site that Iran has crafted a multi-phase outline for ending the war: A real ceasefire must be imposed on Israel in the region, specifically Lebanon, and a settlement must be reached in the Strait of Hormuz “without harming Iran’s national security and also regional security.”</p>
<p>Once these conditions are met, comprehensive negotiations on Iran’s nuclear programme and a long-term non-aggression agreement could commence.</p>
<p>“The Iranians are saying time is working in our favor for the three Ms: munitions, markets, and the midterms. These three Ms help Iran in its position and weaken US positions,” Ahmadian said.</p>
<p>“Obviously in the US, they want something to say, ‘We squeezed Iran and we got this.’ My perception is that the Iranians are keen to deny the United States that — they wouldn’t give what Trump wants as a victory.”</p>
<p>While White House officials claim Iran presented the US with a “new” proposal over the weekend and pushed this narrative through their <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/04/27/iran-us-hormuz-strait-nuclear-talks-proposal-pakistan" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">preferred</a> media outlets, the Iranian official said the characterisation was false.</p>
<p>Trump claimed Iran softened its stance over the weekend, but not enough for a deal. Ahmadian said there has been a recent Iranian shift, but it is toward a clearer set of conditions for resuming negotiations, not acceding to American demands on its nuclear programme.</p>
<p>“There are changes, as I understand,” he said. “The main change is for Iran to insist on the stop of the war regionally. That’s pivotal in Iran agreeing to discuss other issues.”</p>
<p><strong>Unprecedented challenge<br /></strong> As a practical matter, Tehran is facing an unprecedented challenge in dealing with Trump. Twice in one year, Israel and the US have bombed Iran in the middle of negotiations.</p>
<p>Trump is erratic and frequently contradicts himself — vascillating between expressing optimism for a deal and claiming Iran has surrendered to sweeping US demands only to turn around and threaten to destroy Iranian civilisation and to carpet bomb its civilian infrastructure.</p>
<p>Iran also believes that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been given unprecedented influence over US intelligence estimates and White House decision-making.</p>
<p>“Our country has had negotiations with the Americans at various levels over the past 30 years — formal and informal, public and back-channel,” the senior Iranian official said, referencing previous US-Iran negotiations that involved months — at times years — of diplomacy and technical talks.</p>
<p>“It’s as if they are showing up to a football match with rugby rules.”</p>
<p>Iran has total disdain for Trump’s Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and views him as both oblivious of diplomatic processes and totally ignorant of technical issues. Kushner is viewed by Iran as Israel’s man at the table.</p>
<p>Iran, the senior official said, does not see any reason to deal with these two without a figure like Vice-President JD Vance present.</p>
<p><strong>Flurry of speculation</strong><br />Last week, the Iranian government announced that Araghchi would be visiting Islamabad for bilateral talks with Pakistani leaders. This set off a flurry of media speculation that a new round of negotiations would happen.</p>
<p>Trump announced that Vance was en route to Islamabad and once again characterised Iran as pleading for new negotiations. But Vance, it turned out, was not on a plane, and Iran continued to deny it had any intention of meeting with US officials in Pakistan.</p>
<p>Trump then said he was dispatching Witkoff and Kushner, and the media was flooded with stories about a meeting with Iran. Some news outlets, citing White House sources, claimed that planes were en route to the meetings, and the White House suggested Iran was lying about the forthcoming talks.</p>
<p>“The Iranians want to talk, they want to talk in person,” said White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt on Friday. “Steve and Jared will be heading to Pakistan tomorrow to hear the Iranians out.”</p>
<p>Iran continued to reject suggestions that any talks would happen.</p>
<p>“No meeting is planned to take place between Iran and the US,” Iran’s Foreign Minister spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei <a href="https://x.com/IRIMFA_SPOX/status/2047787169776038085" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">said</a> soon after Araghchi arrived in Pakistan. Iran, he said, discussed a range of issues, including trade.</p>
<p>On Sunday, Islamabad <a href="https://tribune.com.pk/story/2604934/pakistan-allows-transit-of-foreign-goods-to-iran-through-its-territory" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">announced</a> it was expanding the transportation of third-country goods through Pakistan destined for Iran. While the transit routes had been under discussion since 2008, the timing — with Trump claiming his naval blockade was “strangling” Iran — was impossible to ignore.</p>
<p><strong>Scrambled to spin</strong><br />After Araghchi left Islamabad on Saturday and flew to Oman, Trump scrambled to spin the narrative and control the damage, claiming he had actually called off the planned negotiations.</p>
<p>“Too much time wasted on traveling, too much work!,” Trump <a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/116466723361470977" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">wrote</a> on Truth Social. “Besides which, there is tremendous infighting and confusion within their ‘leadership.’ Nobody knows who is in charge, including them. Also, we have all the cards, they have none! If they want to talk, all they have to do is call!!!”</p>
<p>Trump then claimed that as a result of his refusal to send his emissaries, Iran had softened its stance, submitting a new proposal to the US. “They gave us a paper that should have been better. And interestingly, immediately, when I canceled it, within 10 minutes, we got a new paper that was much better,” Trump said.</p>
<p>Trump continues to claim that he extended the initial two-week ceasefire agreed on April 7 because Iran’s leadership was in a state of disarray and infighting. This narrative has been widely parrotted in Western media.</p>
<p>“That’s part of the cognitive warfare on Iran,” said Ahmadian. “It’s targeted at the society, the elites, and the position of the Supreme Leader. It’s not news, it’s not intel that they’re talking about.</p>
<p>“It’s basically an agenda to create what they are calling division. And I think the main aim within Iran is to increase mistrust and decrease trust among elites, which I think the Iranians are now very well aware of.”</p>
<p>Ahmadian said that Iran’s perception is that it is the US leadership that is in deep disarray, as evidenced by Trump’s flip-flops, unrealised threats and the recent chaos over which officials would be heading to Islamabad to negotiate with Iran.</p>
<p><strong>Clear Tehran message</strong><br />During the first round of direct talks held in Islamabad on April 11, the Iranian team arrived with “a clear message coming out of Tehran, with a team that represents all of the system, and it came with a very strong case for showing the unity within the country,” Ahmadian said.</p>
<p>He added that the Iranian side left the talks with the impression that there were stark differences between Vance on the one hand and Witkoff and Kushner on the other.</p>
<p>“The Iranians see Witkoff and Kushner as representatives of the Israeli interests, not those of the United States, as opposed to Mr Vance, who is representing the US interests in those talks,” he said.</p>
<p>“They were divided in their way of approaching the Iranians.”</p>
<p><em><a href="https://substack.com/@jeremyscahill" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Jeremy Scahill</a> is a journalist at Drop Site News, author of the books Blackwater and Dirty Wars. He has reported from Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, Yemen, and other countries.</em></p>
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		<title>Martyn Bradbury: Why Iran is winning and will continue to win</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/28/martyn-bradbury-why-iran-is-winning-and-will-continue-to-win/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Apr 2026 13:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Martyn Bradbury How insane is it that, a Theocracy is winning the propaganda war against a Democracy? How badly has Trump screwed up when religious zealots are beating you in the marketing game? It’s not just the social media meme burns where Iran is winning, they are actually winning the war strategically. Trump’s ... <a title="Martyn Bradbury: Why Iran is winning and will continue to win" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/28/martyn-bradbury-why-iran-is-winning-and-will-continue-to-win/" aria-label="Read more about Martyn Bradbury: Why Iran is winning and will continue to win">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Martyn Bradbury</em></p>
<p>How insane is it that, a Theocracy is winning the propaganda war against a Democracy?</p>
<p>How badly has Trump screwed up when religious zealots are beating you in the marketing game?</p>
<p>It’s not just the social media meme burns where Iran is winning, they are actually winning the war strategically.</p>
<p>Trump’s inane decision to get conned into an illegal war against Iran by Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu has swiftly become the biggest geopolitical blunder since Vietnam.</p>
<p>By shutting down the Strait of Hormuz, Iran finally has a weapon that is forcing Trump to back down.</p>
<p>Here’s the future timeline:</p>
<ul>
<li data-section-id="14h6cba" data-start="3046" data-end="3121"><strong data-start="3048" data-end="3072">Late May – June 2026</strong><br data-start="3072" data-end="3075"/><br />
→ noticeable fuel price increases globally</li>
<li data-section-id="w75i4q" data-start="3123" data-end="3193"><strong data-start="3125" data-end="3150">July – September 2026</strong><br data-start="3150" data-end="3153"/><br />
→ inflation spike, food costs rising</li>
<li data-section-id="96716n" data-start="3195" data-end="3258"><strong data-start="3197" data-end="3210">Late 2026</strong><br data-start="3210" data-end="3213"/><br />
→ real economic slowdown / recession risk</li>
</ul>
<p>Causing global economic pain is the only way the Iranian regime can force Trump to stop the violence.</p>
<p>If this is still blocked come the midterms, Trump and the Republicans are finished and he’ll be swamped with impeachments attempts.</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="YouTube video player" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/fVGSzTFtHTg?si=9c8nTaHGRyqDKSg_" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen">[embedded content]</iframe><br /><em>Iran’s information war at home and abroad  Video: Al Jazeera’s The Listening Post</em></p>
<p>There is NO WAY Iran are giving that leverage up now they have been forced to use it.</p>
<p>For the Theocracy, Trump’s insanity has opened an unexpected door to not only have all the damage rebuilt but the economic sanctions off as well.</p>
<p>Did you read that?</p>
<p>Trump has given the Theocracy the chance to gain legitimacy in the eyes of the people they have repressed.</p>
<p>If the Iranians can force America and Israel to agree not to attack them again, pay for all the damage they caused and lift economic sanctions, they will gain legitimacy with the Iranian population they could never have dreamt of.</p>
<p>There’s no way they are handing over the Strait, so Trump either surrenders or nukes the entire Iranian coastline.</p>
<p><em>Martyn Bradbury is the editor and publisher of New Zealand’s The Daily Blog. Republished with permission.</em></p>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">The choice: Donald Trump either surrenders or nukes the entire Iranian coastline. Image: The Daily Blog</figcaption></figure>
<picture><source type="image/webp" data-srcset="https://thedailyblog.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-24-at-7.27.55-AM.jpg.webp 762w, https://thedailyblog.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-24-at-7.27.55-AM-229x300.jpg 229w"/></picture>
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		<title>Eugene Doyle: Iran demands hundreds of billions in reparations for being attacked. Guess who’ll pay?</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/27/eugene-doyle-iran-demands-hundreds-of-billions-in-reparations-for-being-attacked-guess-wholl-pay/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Apr 2026 10:15:06 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[ANALYSIS: By Eugene Doyle If Iran succeeds in extracting reparations for the damage done to it in the US-Israeli war, it will be a world historic moment. Iran may be bloodied but it remains unbowed and is seeking compensation from the Arab states over “direct involvement” in the US-Israeli war of aggression. Iran sent a ... <a title="Eugene Doyle: Iran demands hundreds of billions in reparations for being attacked. Guess who’ll pay?" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/27/eugene-doyle-iran-demands-hundreds-of-billions-in-reparations-for-being-attacked-guess-wholl-pay/" aria-label="Read more about Eugene Doyle: Iran demands hundreds of billions in reparations for being attacked. Guess who’ll pay?">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>ANALYSIS:</strong> <em>By Eugene Doyle</em></p>
<p>If Iran succeeds in extracting reparations for the damage done to it in the US-Israeli war, it will be a world historic moment.</p>
<p>Iran may be bloodied but it remains unbowed and is <a href="https://en.irna.ir/news/86127330/Iran-demands-compensation-from-five-regional-countries-over-war" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">seeking compensation from the Arab states</a> over “direct involvement” in the US-Israeli war of aggression.</p>
<p>Iran sent a letter to UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres this month outlining its claim against Bahrain, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Jordan. They also intend to apply a transit toll on the Strait of Hormuz as an instrument of restorative justice.</p>
<p>Under international law — if anyone still pays attention to such things — the Iranians have a strong case. What will determine if justice is done, however, is victory over the aggressors.</p>
<p>More than 100 US-based international law experts, professors, and practitioners have released a letter stating that the <a href="https://www.justsecurity.org/135423/professors-letter-international-law-iran-war/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">United States and Israel violated the UN Charter</a> by launching strikes on Iran on February 28. The signatories include leaders of prominent international law associations and former Judge Advocates General — the top legal advisors to the US armed forces. They cite the complete lack of evidence of an imminent Iranian threat that could support a self-defence claim.</p>
<p>Under international law the aggressor is responsible for all the destruction that follows. The white-dominated Western countries like the US, Australia and New Zealand should stop banging on about the illegality of Iran taking control of the Strait and address the root causes of why it did so.</p>
<p><strong>The case against the Arab states<br /></strong> In the early days of the war, radar systems operating from these countries were fully engaged in the war. Thousands of US troops were operating from 14 US bases in their territories.</p>
<p>Attack planes, refuelling planes and aerial surveillance planes all operated from bases like Saudi Arabia’s King Fahd Air Base, as <a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/saudi-arabia-and-uae-inch-closer-to-us-israeli-war-on-iran#:~:text=Earlier%20this%20month%2C%20Elbridge%20Colby,US%2DIsraeli%20war%20on%20Iran." rel="nofollow" target="_blank">reported by <em>Middle East Eye</em></a>. Major Western outlets such as the <em>Wall Street Journal</em> and <em>The New York Times</em> documented missile launches and multiple other ways Jordan and the Gulf States were directly involved in the war despite the mainstream media portraying them as innocent bystanders and victims of Iranian aggression.</p>
<p>Trump and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth have both described the Gulf States as fighting “shoulder to shoulder” with the US and Israel. In filing their letter with the UN the Iranians have also provided satellite and other data to support their claim.</p>
<p>Iran argues that the Arab states, under international law, are co-belligerents. The UN’s International Law Commission (ILC) <a href="https://legal.un.org/ilc/texts/instruments/english/commentaries/9_6_2001.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Articles on State Responsibility (2001)</a> defines the concept of “Aid or Assistance” in the commission of an internationally wrongful act. It is not hard for Iran to prove that these states did not maintain neutrality.</p>
<p>In reality, for Iran to get justice, deterrence and reparations, there is no international body or court to turn to; it must win by making a continuation too painful for the aggressors.</p>
<p>There are signs it might just succeed. Iran has achieved something few on the Western side anticipated: the <a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/us-military-bases-gulf-useless-after-iranian-strikes-experts-say" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">destruction of most of the US bases</a>. Marc Lynch, director of the Project on Middle East Political Science at George Washington University told <a href="https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/us-military-bases-gulf-useless-after-iranian-strikes-experts-say" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><em>Middle East Eye</em>, “The bases around the region are suffering real damage</a>, and I think it’s very unlikely that we’re ever going to go back and put our Fifth Fleet back in Bahrain. It’s too vulnerable.</p>
<p>“This is the physical architecture of American primacy, and Iran has essentially rendered it useless in the span of a month.”</p>
<p>The War on Iran is a long way from finished. Even if the ceasefire holds, the Israelis and Americans will see this only as a stage in their multi-decade project to wreck Iran as a major regional competitor.</p>
<p><strong>The victims are usually the ones who must pay<br /></strong> At the end of imperial wars, the victims are traditionally made to pay.</p>
<p>In the 19th Century, the British fought the Chinese over the latter’s resistance to the British government’s lucrative opium trade into China. The imperialists won and imposed the infamous Unequal Treaties on China, including awarding to Britain the island of Hong Kong.</p>
<p>Queen Victoria even shamelessly named a stolen Pekingese dog “Lootie” after the British sacking of Beijing’s Summer Palace, one of the great cultural crimes of history.</p>
<p>When the genocidal US war on Vietnam ended, decades of harsh US sanctions on their victims began. As the US moved towards accepting it had lost the war, Nixon promised $3.3 billion in reconstruction aid under the Paris Peace Accords (1973). The Americans never paid a cent.</p>
<p>The US also pressured the IMF, World Bank, and UN agencies to block Hanoi’s applications for loans, seriously retarding reconstruction.</p>
<p>When the slave revolt in Hispaniola (present day-Haiti) drove out the French, the Western powers returned in force a few years later and imposed harsh “reparations” for being dispossessed of their “stolen” land and humans. From 1825, Haiti was forced to pay 150 million francs to France to compensate former slaveholders for their “lost property”. This debt was only fully paid off in 1947, permanently crippling the nation.</p>
<p>The US-Israeli war on Iran is something different. Iran, like the Vietnamese, the Algerians and the Indians may have what it takes to prevail over imperial aggression. Iran may also have something different: the power to impose reparations on the aggressor.</p>
<p>Across the West we are subjected to the astonishing chutzpah of Western leaders decrying the “illegality” of Iran’s declaration of sovereignty over the Hormuz Strait in response to the war launched against them. These same leaders stood silent and complicit and lifted no more than an eyebrow as hundreds of Iranian schoolchildren were killed, hundreds of billions of dollars in infrastructure destroyed, and leader after leader were assassinated.</p>
<p>Cowards, all of them, they at best offered whispered rebukes when Trump threatened the destruction of Iranian civilisation in a single night. But tax a barrel of oil and “Oh my god, this is intolerable!”</p>
<p>Iran has every right to insist on reparations but they will only come about if Iran succeeds in imposing its position on the belligerents. The Israelis and Americans are unlikely to face justice at the International Criminal Court (ICC) or International Court of Justice (ICJ), so reparations must be extracted from the other enabling states like the UK, Australia, New Zealand, Germany and France. It is an elegant solution.</p>
<p>One thing the Iranians will hopefully recover soon is their stolen money. Experts estimate more than $100 billion remains blocked in foreign banks (including in the US, Qatar, South Korea, and Iraq).</p>
<p>We should remember that since 1979 the Western world has grievously damaged Iran’s economy via sanctions and the weaponisation of international trading systems, as well as blocking its integration within the community of nations.</p>
<p><strong>A world historic moment is possible<br /></strong> If Iran succeeds in extracting reparations, it will be a world historic moment. It will be an achievement that will benefit countries around the globe which are similarly assailed by major powers. Nuclear powers like the US and Israel should respect the territorial integrity of non-nuclear states. They have done the opposite — and should face consequences.</p>
<p>For these reasons and more, I hope the Iranian government succeeds in its historic mission to preserve the territorial integrity of the sovereign state of Iran and that they can receive just compensation for the terrible crimes committed against them.</p>
<p>I will give the last word to Mohaddeseh Fallahat, a mother who spoke to the UN Human Rights Council this month about <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/27/grieving-iranian-mother-tells-un-about-children-before-school-attack#flips-6391880391112:0" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">losing her daughter to a US airstrike at Minab</a> at the very start of the US-Israeli war on Iran:</p>
<blockquote readability="11">
<p>“As they walked out the door, they simply said, Mum, come pick us up after school. That simple sentence now repeats in my mind a thousand times. Each time my heart burns with pain. No mother ever thinks she will send her child off to school with a smile, only to be met with silence.”</p>
</blockquote>
<p><em><a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/about" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Eugene Doyle</a> is a writer based in Wellington, New Zealand. He has written extensively on the Middle East, as well as peace and security issues in the Asia Pacific region. He is a contributor to Asia Pacific Report and hosts <a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">solidarity.co.nz</a></em></p>
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		<title>No wonder Iran went cold on sham talks, considering the lying US-Israeli track record</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/22/no-wonder-iran-went-cold-on-sham-talks-considering-the-lying-us-israeli-track-record/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2026 00:15:18 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Tim O’Shea I don’t blame Iran for going cold on another sham negotiation session with the US. After all, why would they take the US or Israel seriously? Or even remotely trust either of them when: They both bombed Iran right in the middle of two sets of previous “negotiations”; and Trump lied ... <a title="No wonder Iran went cold on sham talks, considering the lying US-Israeli track record" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/22/no-wonder-iran-went-cold-on-sham-talks-considering-the-lying-us-israeli-track-record/" aria-label="Read more about No wonder Iran went cold on sham talks, considering the lying US-Israeli track record">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Tim O’Shea</em></p>
<p>I don’t blame Iran for going cold on another sham negotiation session with the US.</p>
<p>After all, why would they take the US or Israel seriously? Or even remotely trust either of them when:</p>
<ul>
<li>They both bombed Iran right in the middle of two sets of previous “negotiations”; and</li>
<li>Trump lied about Lebanon being included in the recent ceasefire agreement.</li>
</ul>
<p>That inclusion was acknowledged by the mediators, Pakistan.</p>
<p>As a result, Israel continued to bomb Lebanon; in fact they stepped up their attacks and killed 300+ people in one day.</p>
<p>In the very latest agreement, Iran opened up the Strait of Hormuz as agreed, but the US (incredulously) continued with its blockade.</p>
<p>Yesterday the US escalated things by <a href="https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=1284295463881908" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">attacking and confiscating an Iranian merchant ship</a>.</p>
<p>750+ Palestinians have been murdered by the IDF during Trump’s fake ceasefire in October 2025. They are slaughtering women and kids in Gaza and the West Bank every day.</p>
<p><strong>Thousands of Israeli violations</strong><br />Israel broke their ceasefire agreement signed in November 2014 with Lebanon thousands of times (according to UN peacekeepers in Lebanon).</p>
<p>Both Trump and Netanyahu have made numerous threats to obliterate Iran, to commit genocide and even holocaust.</p>
<p>They have bombed thousands of Iranian civilian targets in contravention of international law — residential buildings, government buildings, historic sites, bridges, police stations, schools, universities, pharmacy companies, factories, public transport, ambulances, medical centres and hospitals.</p>
<p>So WHY the hell would Iran have any confidence that anything that these devious and untrustworthy US and Israeli war criminals agree will ever be adhered to?</p>
<p>Both of these warmongering nations have displayed a total lack of integrity and credibility through their disingenuous words and actions over many decades.</p>
<p>I don’t see any other alternative than for Iran to play hard ball.</p>
<p>Time is Trump’s enemy, not Iran’s.</p>
<p>And now Trump has <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/21/iran-war-live-tehran-shuns-talks-trump-says-us-blockade-to-remain" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">extended the ceasefire</a> at the last moment.</p>
<p><em><span class="html-span xdj266r x14z9mp xat24cr x1lziwak xexx8yu xyri2b x18d9i69 x1c1uobl x1hl2dhg x16tdsg8 x1vvkbs x4k7w5x x1h91t0o x1h9r5lt x1jfb8zj xv2umb2 x1beo9mf xaigb6o x12ejxvf x3igimt xarpa2k xedcshv x1lytzrv x1t2pt76 x7ja8zs x1qrby5j"><span class="x193iq5w xeuugli x13faqbe x1vvkbs xlh3980 xvmahel x1n0sxbx x1lliihq x1s928wv xhkezso x1gmr53x x1cpjm7i x1fgarty x1943h6x xudqn12 x3x7a5m x6prxxf xvq8zen xo1l8bm xzsf02u" dir="auto"><a href="https://www.facebook.com/OSheaTimO" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Tim O’Shea</a> is a New Zealand social, environmental political activist and commentator.</span></span></em></p>
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		<title>Who is breaking international law in the Strait of Hormuz? It’s not Iran, says scholar</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/21/who-is-breaking-international-law-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-its-not-iran-says-scholar/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2026 07:15:12 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Democracy Now! AMY GOODMAN: This is Democracy Now!, I’m Amy Goodman. As we continue to look at the US and Israeli war on Iran, we’re joined now by Dr Maryam Jamshidi. She is an Iranian American associate professor of law at the University of Colorado Law School and a nonresident fellow at the Quincy Institute. ... <a title="Who is breaking international law in the Strait of Hormuz? It’s not Iran, says scholar" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/21/who-is-breaking-international-law-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-its-not-iran-says-scholar/" aria-label="Read more about Who is breaking international law in the Strait of Hormuz? It’s not Iran, says scholar">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.democracynow.org/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><em>Democracy Now!</em></a></p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: This is Democracy Now!, I’m Amy Goodman.</em></p>
<p><em>As we continue to look at the US and Israeli war on Iran, we’re joined now by Dr Maryam Jamshidi. She is an Iranian American associate professor of law at the University of Colorado Law School and a nonresident fellow at the Quincy Institute. She has written a new piece for</em> The Nation <em>magazine headlined <a href="https://www.thenation.com/article/world/iran-strait-of-hormuz-international-law/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">“Only One Side Has Clearly Broken the Law In the Strait of Hormuz: And it isn’t Iran.”</a></em></p>
<p><em>Professor Jamshidi, explain.</em></p>
<p><em>MARYAM JAMSHIDI:</em> Hi, Amy. Thanks for having me.</p>
<p>So, you know, what I was trying to get at in that piece is that, you know, there’s been a lot of international outcry about what Iran has done in the strait, specifically its efforts to regulate passage of ships through the strait and to charge certain ships a fee for going through the strait.</p>
<p>The international rhetoric has been that what Iran is doing is completely and clearly illegal. And from my perspective, that’s not entirely true. This is not a black-and-white issue. Iran does have a reasonable legal argument to regulating the Strait of Hormuz, as well as to charging fees.</p>
<p>By contrast, the criticism of what the United States and Israel has done to Iran, which is an aggressive and illegal war, has been more muted, in particular from Western states, as well as from some of the regional Arab states. And I think this contrast between these two reactions is very telling — on the one hand, total condemnation of Iran on legal issues that are far from clear, and very more muted criticism, more limited criticism of the United States and Israel when it comes to actions they’ve taken that are very clearly unlawful under international law.</p>
<p>I think this says a lot about the ways in which international law is being deployed in this moment as a way of restraining and regulating Iranian behavior, while effectively allowing the United States and Israel a free hand to do what they want against the Iranian government.</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="YouTube video player" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/vtWY1ssyZCg?si=Xhjv3AXw2oQow-wU" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen">[embedded content]</iframe><br /><em>Who is breaking international law in the Strait of Hormuz?   Video: Democracy Now!</em></p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: What do you think this unprovoked war that Israel and the US — this war of choice, as it’s called — have engaged in with Iran has done to international law and people’s perspective view of it around the world, and the consequences when people want to apply international law?</em></p>
<p><em>MARYAM JAMSHIDI:</em> Yeah, I mean, it’s a great question. I mean, you know, over the last few years, we’ve seen the ways in which Israel, in particular, with support from the United States, as well as with support from much of the rest of the West, Western governments, has eroded and violated and scoffed at international law, in its actions towards the Palestinians, its actions in Lebanon, its actions in Syria, its actions in Yemen, its other actions in Iran.</p>
<p>And I think that, you know, these actions that Israel has taken has understandably led many to question the utility and importance of international law, whether or not it still exists or not. And, you know, now with this war against Iran, that, those concerns, those fears that international law is really meaningless, have only increased.</p>
<p>In this moment, though, I think what’s also important to understand is that states like Iran are also at the same time saying, “No, international law matters very much, and we expect to be treated as equals under international law.”</p>
<p>Iran, in this moment, is framing a lot of what it’s doing in international law terms, because it understands that if international law is truly going to be thrown into the dustbin, then it’s going to be far more vulnerable on the international stage.</p>
<p>So, we basically see a battle. We see a battle between, on the one side, states like Israel and the United States, states that are, by and large, Western, you know, basically saying, “International law doesn’t apply to us. We can do what we want,” and then other states, like Iran, states of the Global South, saying, “No, we want international law. We value international law. International law is necessary to ensuring that we are sovereign and equal to other states on the international scale. And so, we are not going to let international law just be taken away from us.”</p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: Can you talk more about the UN Security Council? You’ve noted multiple resolutions have been introduced to condemn Iran’s regulatory actions in the strait. Who is behind these resolutions? Meanwhile, the Iranian Parliament is reportedly considering legislation that would formalise its regulatory system, including the fee system, as part of its domestic law.</em></p>
<p><em>MARYAM JAMSHIDI:</em> Right. So, there were — there have been multiple resolutions brought before the Security Council since the war started. They have mostly been focused on Iran and Iran’s actions in the Strait of Hormuz. The states that have been the real force behind these resolutions appear to be the Arab Gulf states, in particular Bahrain and the UAE, who have also been the subject of the most attacks by Iran.</p>
<p>What’s, again, very interesting and, I think, important to understand about these resolutions is that they very clearly and absolutely condemned Iran for its regulatory actions within the Strait of Hormuz. As I mentioned, even though those actions do have a legal basis, those resolutions presented them as being fully unlawful.</p>
<p>And one of those resolutions, which, thankfully, was vetoed by China and Russia, would have effectively authorised all UN member states — that’s over 190 states — to go to war with Iran in order to open the Strait of Hormuz. I mean, that is a very radical proposition, to basically validate and allow states to engage in armed conflict against another state simply for the purpose of opening a waterway.</p>
<p>So, you know — and again, there were no resolutions that were brought to the Security Council to explicitly condemn the US and Israel for their actions against Iran.</p>
<p>In terms of the domestic legislation inside Iran, you know, that the Iranian Parliament appears to be contemplating, as you mentioned, this legislation would basically make the regulatory scheme within Hormuz, in the Strait of Hormuz, a part of Iranian law.</p>
<p>It’s not entirely clear what the terms of that law are, you know, what the basis for it is, what kind of regulation it will in fact implement. But it does seem to have a fee system as a part of it. So, the Iranians are trying to take this <em>ad hoc</em> fee system that they have developed over the course of the last few weeks and actually institutionalise it within domestic law.</p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: I wanted to end by asking you about [US President Donald] Trump’s comments. On Saturday, he told a reporter at Fox News, “If Iran doesn’t sign this deal, the whole country is getting blown up.” That followed two weeks before, when he warned, “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” Professor Jamshidi?</em></p>
<p><em>MARYAM JAMSHIDI:</em> These comments are absolutely unacceptable. I mean, they are borderline genocidal in their intent and in their implications. To say to the world that you’re going to obliterate an entire civilisation is, in fact, to make very clear that you desire to destroy an entire people.</p>
<p>You know, I don’t know if he thinks that this is an effective negotiating tool, but certainly from a legal perspective, from a moral perspective, it’s beyond the pale.</p>
<p><em>This article is republished from Democracy Now! under a <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States Licence</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>US, Israel ‘forced into two ceasefires’ as regional balance of power shifts</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/19/us-israel-forced-into-two-ceasefires-as-regional-balance-of-power-shifts/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Apr 2026 04:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Democracy Now! AMY GOODMAN: To look more at the latest developments in Lebanon and the Middle East region, we’re joined by Dr Rami Khouri, a Palestinian American journalist and distinguished public policy fellow at the American University of Beirut. He’s also a nonresident senior fellow at the Arab Center Washington DC. Rami, we began talking ... <a title="US, Israel ‘forced into two ceasefires’ as regional balance of power shifts" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/19/us-israel-forced-into-two-ceasefires-as-regional-balance-of-power-shifts/" aria-label="Read more about US, Israel ‘forced into two ceasefires’ as regional balance of power shifts">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.democracynow.org/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><em>Democracy Now!</em></a></p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: To look more at the latest developments in Lebanon and the Middle East region, we’re joined by Dr Rami Khouri, a Palestinian American journalist and distinguished public policy fellow at the American University of Beirut. He’s also a nonresident senior fellow at the Arab Center Washington DC.</em></p>
<p><em>Rami, we began talking about the Iran-US second round of negotiations, went to this news of a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, though Hezbollah wasn’t a party to those talks. Your overall comments on what’s happening right now in the region, where you think it’s all going?</em></p>
<p><em>RAMI KHOURI:</em> Well, there are so many different dynamics going on at the same time within individual countries, among countries in the region and between the region and the global powers, especially the United States, but also China and others, and Israel, of course.</p>
<p>My comments are that one of the striking things about this situation is that we’ve seen now, in the last six weeks, Iran and Hezbollah almost single-handedly checking — not defeating, but checking — the two biggest military powers in the region, which is the US and Israel.</p>
<p>They forced them into two ceasefires: one in Iran and now one in Lebanon. Now, this is not a finished story. This is still going on. This might collapse, and the war may resume.</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="YouTube video player" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/jXZ6D9GV8w4?si=9EFbtlDzZ-KFpjK5" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen">[embedded content]</iframe><br /><em>US and Israel ‘forced into two ceasefires’                 Video: Democracy Now!</em></p>
<p>But the fact that the US and Israel have been forced to enter these ceasefires, I think, is a sign of the evolving balance of power across the region. And you’re going to see this reflected, for instance, in many Arab countries, who are — especially in the energy-producing Gulf region, who are going to recalibrate their relations.</p>
<p>They’ll still be very close friends with the US, buy a lot of weapons and buy a lot of tech stuff, but they’re also going to recalibrate to have more meaningful ties with Iran, with Türkiye, with China, with Russia and other people like that.</p>
<p>So we’re seeing a slow-motion evolution of the entire balance of power in the region, with the background being that the overwhelming majority of people in the Arab region and Islamic Türkiye and Iran, about three-quarters of a billion people, the overwhelming majority of them see Israel and the US as their main security threat.</p>
<p>So, something historic is going on here in slow motion.</p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: And how does, Rami Khouri, these negotiations between Israel, the United States, Iran and Lebanon impact on the current situation in Gaza? Talk also about the role of the other armed groups, like Hamas, the Houthis. If you can talk about what’s happening across the region?</em></p>
<p><em>RAMI KHOURI:</em> Yes. The Palestine-Israel conflict remains the starting point for all of these other conflicts. So, Iran and Israel, Hezbollah’s birth, Israel-Hezbollah, all of these tensions and conflicts ultimately derived from the unresolved battle between Palestinian nationalism and Zionism and the state of Israel.</p>
<p>So, it’s crucial for any attempt to get a permanent peaceful situation across the region, in the Arab countries, Iran and Israel — it’s crucial to address the Palestine issue, which means right now looking at Gaza.</p>
<p>Now, Gaza is in a situation of reconfigured colonial domination by the United States and Israel, with carpetbaggers from around the world, like Tony Blair and others. I call it the joint venture of the carpetbaggers and the carpet bombers. They’ve all come together on this to dominate Palestine, destroy Gaza, and now they’re looking to do the same thing in Lebanon.</p>
<p>But the fact that the Iranians were able to pressure the Americans, to pressure Netanyahu to enter into this ceasefire is a significant sign that the group of movements and countries that have been involved in the so-called Axis of Resistance, which pushes back against Israeli hegemony and American militarism, that group of actors is still effective.</p>
<p>They may not dominate the region, but they’re strong enough to do what they’ve just done, which is force the Americans, to force the Israelis to enter into a ceasefire that the Israelis did not want. The Israelis wanted to keep bombing and attacking and occupying and creating more buffer zones. But they’ve done that.</p>
<p>This is the seventh time, seventh time since the late 1960s, that Israel goes into Lebanon militarily in a big way, occupies land, moves millions of people around. And every time, they’ve had to pull out because of the resistance they’ve met and because they could not achieve their goals, which is an acquiescent, passive Lebanese state that agrees to be a vassal state of Israel.</p>
<p>And they still refuse to do it.</p>
<p>So, finding the negotiated mechanism to arrive at a point where the Lebanese have their sovereign rights and security protected and the Israelis have the same rights, that’s the big challenge that lies ahead. It can only be done if it is accompanied by a serious effort to resolve the Palestine-Israel conflict on a permanent and fair basis.</p>
<p><em>Republished from Democracy now! <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States Licence</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>Trump is blustering as usual but in reality praying for Iran peace deal</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/18/trump-is-blustering-as-usual-but-in-reality-praying-for-iran-peace-deal/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Apr 2026 09:15:05 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Lim Tean Many American apologists cannot see the forest for the trees and think that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz represents a huge win for the United States and that Iran has caved in. Wrong. When the Iran ceasefire was first announced by US President Donald Trump on April 8, it ... <a title="Trump is blustering as usual but in reality praying for Iran peace deal" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/18/trump-is-blustering-as-usual-but-in-reality-praying-for-iran-peace-deal/" aria-label="Read more about Trump is blustering as usual but in reality praying for Iran peace deal">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Lim Tean</em></p>
<p>Many American apologists cannot see the forest for the trees and think that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz represents a huge win for the United States and that Iran has caved in. Wrong.</p>
<p>When the Iran ceasefire was first announced by US President Donald <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran_war_ceasefire" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump on April 8</a>, it was meant to cover Lebanon as well.</p>
<p>Even the Pakistanis, who were the mediators said it covered Lebanon. But that war criminal Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wanted to wreck the peace process and so bombed Lebanon viciously and committed genocide once again, killing hundreds if not thousands of innocent Lebanese.</p>
<p>Trump tried to rein him in but Netanyahu refused to stop the genocide and the two got into a shouting match in the early hours of the morning. The Americans just could not control the Israelis.</p>
<p>So Iran maintained their vice-like closure of the Strait of Hormuz. With each passing day, the world was moving towards an economic precipice and people all over the world were blaming Trump and the Americans for starting the stupid war.</p>
<p>Trump eventually read the riot act to Netanyahu and unilaterally imposed the ceasefire in Lebanon. The Israelis were stunned.</p>
<p>The ceasefire resulted not because of talks between the Lebanese and the Israelis, but because of the leverage Iran has over the Strait of Hormuz. That is why the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that because of the ceasefire in Lebanon, Iran is reopening the Strait — and Trump thanked the Iranians profusely for it.</p>
<p>As for Trump still maintaining the blockade of the Iranian ports, this is pure posturing by him to show that he is strong. It means nothing.</p>
<p>The Iranians have already <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/18/iran-war-live-tehran-says-president-trump-made-false-claims-amid-talks" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">warned him that if he continues with the blockade</a>, they will not only close off the Strait of Hormuz again but also the Bab Al-Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea and also the Gulf of Oman.</p>
<p>That would plunge the entire world economy into a depression and no oil from the Gulf would flow.</p>
<p>Trump as usual is blustering, but in reality he is praying every minute that the Iranians will go back to the negotiating table, and give him the peace deal he so desperately needs to extricate himself from the mess he created in starting this war.</p>
<p>Iran is showing its maturity and displaying the might of a new global power. It will soon control the entire Middle East together with the other great power — Türkiye.</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.facebook.com/PeoplesVoiceSingapore" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Lim Tean</a> is a Singaporean lawyer, politician and commentator. He is the founder of the political party People’s Voice and a co-founder of the political alliance People’s Alliance for Reform.</em></p>
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		<title>Neoliberalism caused two fractures in the world – why Iran’s resistance is so vital</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/neoliberalism-caused-two-fractures-in-the-world-why-irans-resistance-is-so-vital/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 10:15:29 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[ANALYSIS: By Prabhat Patnaik It is the people of the Global South, not governments, who must resist this subversion of the concepts of the “nation’ and of non-alignment. The Indian government’s position on the US-Israeli war against Iran shows an unbelievable degree of pusillanimity. India attended the recent meeting of about 50 countries called by ... <a title="Neoliberalism caused two fractures in the world – why Iran’s resistance is so vital" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/neoliberalism-caused-two-fractures-in-the-world-why-irans-resistance-is-so-vital/" aria-label="Read more about Neoliberalism caused two fractures in the world – why Iran’s resistance is so vital">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>ANALYSIS:</strong> <em>By Prabhat Patnaik</em></p>
<p>It is the people of the Global South, not governments, who must resist this subversion of the concepts of the “nation’ and of non-alignment.</p>
<p>The Indian government’s position on the US-Israeli war against Iran shows an unbelievable degree of pusillanimity.</p>
<p>India attended the recent meeting of about 50 countries called by the United Kingdom where Iran was strongly criticised for closing the Strait of Hormuz, but not a word was uttered against the US-Israeli aggression on Iran.</p>
<p>Likewise, India was one of the sponsors of a resolution at the UN General Assembly which criticised Iran for attacking other countries in the Gulf (though Iran was attacking only the American military bases located in those countries). Yet again, not a word was uttered in that resolution condemning the US-Israeli aggression on Iran.</p>
<p>It is also noteworthy that India took several days before expressing any grief over the assassination Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and several weeks before expressing any shock over the brutal killing of 175 innocent schoolgirls in Minab.</p>
<p>Such pusillanimity, however, is not confined to India: as many as 135 countries were co-sponsors of the dishonest and duplicitous UNGA resolution mentioned above, afraid that they would otherwise offend the Americans.</p>
<p>In fact, apart from a handful of countries in the entire world, none has had the gumption to condemn unambiguously the blatantly illegal and immoral war unleashed by the US-Israeli combine against Iran.</p>
<p><strong>Extreme concern</strong><br />This is a matter for extreme concern, for the attack on Iran abrogates the concept of sovereignty of nations that had been the core concept in the struggle for decolonisation and had underlain the entire post-colonial order. It destroys, in other words, the very rationale for decolonisation.</p>
<p>This pusillanimity on the part of Third World countries is also a matter of great puzzlement. After all, these are countries that have had long and arduous anti-colonial struggles to achieve the status of independent and sovereign states; how can they remain silent when this very sovereignty is being violated in the case of a fellow Third World state by the armed might of US imperialism?</p>
<p>The answer to this question, no doubt complex, must nonetheless incorporate recognition of at least two fractures that neoliberalism has introduced into our world. One is the fracturing of the concept of the “nation” whose coming into being had been accomplished by the anti-colonial struggle.</p>
<p>This concept of the “nation” had differed fundamentally from the European concept that had developed in the wake of the Westphalian Peace Treaties in at least three ways: first, it was inclusive and did not identify any “enemy within”; second, unlike European nationalism it shunned any imperial ambitions of its own, in the sense of having designs over the resources of distant lands; and third, it did not apotheosise the nation as standing above the people whose “duty” supposedly was to serve it.</p>
<p>The coming into being of this inclusive concept of the “nation” was in turn a reflection of the fact that the anti-colonial struggle was a multi-class struggle; and the dirigiste economic regime that was erected after independence, though it promoted capitalist development, also sought to put curbs on rampant capitalism in the name of achieving “national” development.</p>
<p>This was in the interests of preserving its multi-class support base, which even the monopoly capitalists were not averse to at that time, since they had wanted a trajectory of development where the state exercised relative autonomy vis-a-vis imperialism. The existence of a large public sector was a part of this trajectory.</p>
<p>Further, the policy of non-alignment pursued by these dirigiste regimes had complemented this quest for development in relative autonomy from imperialism. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Micha%C5%82_Kalecki" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Michal Kalecki, the Polish Marxist economist,</a> had erred in calling such regimes “intermediate regimes” and suggesting that the middle classes held decisive power in such regimes; but he had been right in identifying state capitalism (public sector) and non-alignment as the two most distinctive features of these regimes.</p>
<p><strong>Monopoly bourgeoisie</strong><br />With globalisation of capital, however, things changed. The domestic monopoly bourgeoisie integrated itself with globalised capital and abandoned its agenda of pursuing a development trajectory that was relatively autonomous of the metropolis.</p>
<p>Sections of the upper professional and bureaucratic segments of society, keen to send their children to study and settle down in the metropolis, joined in as supporters of the neoliberal regime that emerged under the aegis of this globalised capital.</p>
<p>The landed rich too sought their fortunes within this new neoliberal order, which not only promoted rampant unrestrained capitalism, but came down heavily against workers, peasants, agricultural labourers, petty producers and the lower salariat. A schism was effected within the class alliance that had been forged in the course of the anti-colonial struggle.</p>
<p>It was no longer the “nation” against the metropolis that was in focus, but big capital including multinational capital against those social groups which stood in the way of instituting rapid “development” defined exclusively in terms of GDP growth-rates.</p>
<p>The interest of big capital was, by a sleight of hand, identified as “national interest”, and the duty of all classes was to promote it.</p>
<p>This shift in the meaning of the term “nation” meant in effect a fracturing of the “nation” whose coming into being was the desideratum of the anti-colonial struggle. Freedom of the “nation” from imperialist domination, far from being the over-riding objective, was no longer even a desired or a relevant objective for the government within a neoliberal setting.</p>
<p>This is the first instance of “fracturing” referred to above. Because of this fracturing, the criterion on the basis of which the government of a neoliberal regime takes decisions is not whether a particular stance defends national sovereignty, but whether it promotes the material interests of big capital which are considered identical with those of the “nation” in its new meaning.</p>
<p><strong>Deafening silences</strong><br />Siding with the US-Israeli alliance appears, on balance, more advantageous than standing with Iran, the victim of aggression, from the point of view of the interests of big capital in countries of the Global South. This would go some way to explain the deafening silences, mentioned earlier, in the UNGA and other resolutions.</p>
<p>There is also a second “fracture” brought about by the neoliberal regime. While the neoliberal regime is “sold” to the Global South as ushering in export-led growth that would bring about a higher GDP growth-rate for all countries compared with the earlier dirigiste regime, this claim is completely false.</p>
<p>Since the growth rate of aggregate world demand does not increase when more countries pursue an export-led growth strategy, the neoliberal regime that generalises this strategy among all countries is, in effect, forcing them to engage in Darwinian competition against one another, that is, to pursue a “beggar-thy-neighbour” strategy.</p>
<p>Some countries’ higher growth-rate than before under the export-led growth strategy, it follows, must be at the expense of other countries that now experience lower growth-rate than before.</p>
<p>Countries engaged in a race to outdo one another can scarcely be said to be “co-operating” with one another. The effect of a general pursuit of the neoliberal strategy, therefore, is a de facto abandonment of non-alignment, of a trajectory where countries of the Global South stood with one another to face up to imperialism.</p>
<p>Now, countries of the Global South, each obsessed with achieving higher GDP growth and hence, within the neoliberal paradigm, obsessed with drawing in larger metropolitan investment for this purpose, would rather curry favour with imperialism in order to outdo their neighbours.</p>
<p>This leads to a fracturing of the non-aligned movement, which is the second fracturing we mentioned earlier.</p>
<p>The silence of most countries of the Global South in the face of the US-Israeli aggression on Iran, which may appear puzzling at first sight, is not so puzzling after all.</p>
<p><strong>Subverting both ‘nation’, ‘non-alignment’</strong><br />Neoliberalism has been at work for quite some time in subverting both the concept of the nation and the concept of non-alignment, abandoning the anti-imperialist core that characterised these concepts, and substituting in their place alternative concepts that prioritise the task of currying favour with imperialism over everything else.</p>
<p>The outcome of this process is what we see today.</p>
<p>Capitalism is invariably hostile to any collective praxis against it, even if this collective praxis takes the form of just trade union action. It believes in atomising economic agents.</p>
<p>Neoliberal capitalism, which represents a return to unrestrained and uncontrolled capitalism once more, brings to the fore this tendency toward the atomisation of economic agents, through a break-up of the class alliance that had participated in the anti-colonial struggle, and through a subversion of the non-aligned movement that had stood for collective opposition by countries of the Global South to imperialist hegemony.</p>
<p>It is for the people of the Global South, not the governments currently promoting the interests of the ruling big bourgeoisie, to extend solidarity to the people of Iran. The struggle of Iran against the US-Israeli alliance is of crucial importance for recovering the sovereignty of the Global South.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.newsclick.in/author/prabhat-patnaik" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><em>Dr</em> <em>Prabhat Patnaik</em></a> <em>is professor emeritus, Centre for Economic Studies and Planning, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. The views are personal. This article is republished from Newsclick.</em></p>
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		<title>Marshall Islands government shuts down at 3pm daily amid fuel crisis</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/marshall-islands-government-shuts-down-at-3pm-daily-amid-fuel-crisis/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 01:15:19 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[By Giff Johnson, editor, Marshall Islands Journal/RNZ Pacific correspondent Most government offices in the Marshall Islands began enforcing a new policy this week of closing by 3pm daily as a way to conserve fuel given uncertainties of fuel supply globally. The move is to save energy and reduce the strain on the Marshalls Energy Company’s ... <a title="Marshall Islands government shuts down at 3pm daily amid fuel crisis" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/marshall-islands-government-shuts-down-at-3pm-daily-amid-fuel-crisis/" aria-label="Read more about Marshall Islands government shuts down at 3pm daily amid fuel crisis">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>By <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/authors/giff-johnson" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Giff Johnson</a>, editor, Marshall Islands Journal/<a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/pacific_marshall-islands/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">RNZ Pacific</a> correspondent</em></p>
<p>Most government offices in the Marshall Islands began enforcing a new policy this week of closing by 3pm daily as a way to conserve fuel given uncertainties of fuel supply globally.</p>
<p>The move is to save energy and reduce the strain on the Marshalls Energy Company’s diesel fuel resources with both fuel shortages and skyrocketing prices seen on world markets due to the US and Israel’s attacks on Iran and its retaliation by closing the Strait of Hormuz to global shipping.</p>
<p>The 3pm daily closure directive for all non-essential government services was issued by the government’s cabinet on April 10 as an Emergency Electricity Savings Policy.</p>
<p>Aside from the government office closure to reduce energy use, the emergency directive is expected to help the private sector through the mandate of government contracts for air conditioning maintenance and repair.</p>
<p>Government offices are expected to remain open during the lunch hour, allowing workers to operate seven hours daily instead of the usual eight.</p>
<p>A key provision about the shutdown of government offices by 3pm daily is that they are required to shut off air conditioners, lights and any other equipment drawing power. The aim is to reduce energy use by 30 percent over the 90 days of the emergency decree.</p>
<p>The 90-day emergency order mandates the Marshalls Energy Company, the government’s power utility company, to provide detailed monthly electricity bills to every government ministry, state-owned enterprise, and subsidised agency that detail each government offices power consumption compared to the 30-day period immediately prior to the emergency declaration.</p>
<p><strong>Compliance ‘mandatory’</strong><br />“Compliance with the 90-Day Emergency Electricity Savings Policy is mandatory,” the declaration said.</p>
<p>“The National Energy Authority will monitor the monthly MEC baseline reports to verify progress toward the 30 percent reduction goal.”</p>
<p>Various exemptions are made to the requirement of shutting down by 3pm daily. All essential services are exempted from the closure order, including public schools, the College of the Marshall Islands and Majuro and Ebeye hospitals.</p>
<div class="photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col">
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">As an essential service, Majuro Hospital is exempt from a mandatory 3pm government shutdown for the next 90-days. Image: RNZ Pacific/Giff Johnson</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>Secretary of Health Francyne Wase-Jacklick said the ministry was specifically exempted so there would not be disruptions.</p>
<p>“So essential services remain ongoing,” she said. “Outpatient, maternal child health, immunization, public health programs, and rehab services will continue as usual, with only internal adjustments to reduce energy use where possible.”</p>
<p>As a consequence of the 3pm daily closure of all non-essential government/agency/state owned enterprise offices, government workers will be working only 30 hours each week. They will, however, continue to be paid for a full week of work.</p>
<p>The 90-day Emergency Electricity Savings Policy would accomplish two things, Finance Minister David Paul said this week</p>
<p><strong>‘Skyrocketing’ fuel costs</strong><br />It was “an opportunity to cut down on energy usage” (while it) ⁠⁠allows people to maintain their purchasing power,” he said.</p>
<p>Paul said the situation with skyrocketing fuel costs had caused “an affordability crisis — so it will be counterproductive if we are trying to address a problem while creating another one.”</p>
<p>This is why workers will still get their full paychecks, he said.</p>
<p>The new 90-day Emergency Electricity Savings Policy is likely to have a positive impact on the private sector.</p>
<p>The new policy directs the Ministry of Public Works, Infrastructure, and Utilities to implement an “immediate transition” to contracting out air conditioning cleaning and repair services to the private sector.</p>
<p>“Air conditioning constitutes the largest draw on the public power grid,” said the new government emergency policy. Performance and quality of air conditioners, therefore, had a big impact on their cost of power to operate.</p>
<p>Public Works “currently lacks the capacity to service all government units”, the policy said.</p>
<p><strong>Transition maintenance</strong><br />To resolve this, the ministry is directed to coordinate with the Ministry of Finance to immediately transition maintenance responsibilities and facilitate the contracting of air conditioning cleaning and repair services to the private sector.</p>
<p>Further, the policy directs that “every government ministry, state-owned enterprise, and subsidized agency must allocate funds from their current budgets to hire private contractors for air conditioning repairs, maintenance, and cleaning.</p>
<p>While agencies are directed to transition maintenance to the private sector, they are also encouraged to explore all available avenues — including internal staffing or collaborative partnership with other agencies — to ensure units are serviced.”</p>
<p>A part of the emergency order requires that within the 90-day period of the order, “every agency must compile a complete inventory of their air conditioning units”.</p>
<p>They must also secure a maintenance contract and schedule to ensure filters are cleaned every two-to-four weeks. While physical cleaning of all units may extend beyond this 90-day window, the finalised contracts and schedules must be in place.”</p>
<p><span class="credit"><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em><em>.</em></span></p>
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		<title>Gallery: Standing up for the people of Iran . . . and Palestine, Lebanon, Venezuela, Cuba . . .</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/16/gallery-standing-up-for-the-people-of-iran-and-palestine-lebanon-venezuela-cuba/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2026 13:15:05 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report A massive Stop Wars Aotearoa coalition rally and march on the US Consulate took place in Auckland Tāmaki Makaurau last Saturday, 11 April 2026. “We’re going to stand up for the people of Iran, stand up for the people of Palestine, stand up for the people of Lebanon, stand up for the ... <a title="Gallery: Standing up for the people of Iran . . . and Palestine, Lebanon, Venezuela, Cuba . . ." class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/16/gallery-standing-up-for-the-people-of-iran-and-palestine-lebanon-venezuela-cuba/" aria-label="Read more about Gallery: Standing up for the people of Iran . . . and Palestine, Lebanon, Venezuela, Cuba . . .">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Asia Pacific Report</em></p>
<p>A massive Stop Wars Aotearoa coalition rally and march on the US Consulate took place in Auckland Tāmaki Makaurau last Saturday, 11 April 2026.</p>
<p>“We’re going to stand up for the people of Iran, stand up for the people of Palestine, stand up for the people of Lebanon, stand up for the people of Venezuela, stand up for the people of Cuba, stand up for this fight against the American empire,” declared organiser Joe Carolan.</p>
<p>US and Israeli imperialism was strongly denounced by political, civil society, human rights and migrant speakers.</p>
<p>Protesters staged a “die-in” on the street in front of the consulate to mark the targeted <a href="https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2026/03/usa-iran-those-responsible-for-deadly-and-unlawful-us-strike-on-school-that-killed-over-100-children-must-be-held-accountable/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">slaughter of 168 children at the Shajareh Tayyebeh girls’ elementary school</a> in the southeastern Iranian city of Minab by US bombs. This tragedy took place on February 28, the opening day of the illegal and unprovoked US-Israel war on the Islamic Republic.</p>
<p><strong>Photographs: David Robie</strong></p>
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<p>Stop Wars Aotearoa</p>
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		<title>Divide and rule – how UAE is Israel’s ‘Trojan horse’ in the Gulf</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/15/divide-and-rule-how-uae-is-israels-trojan-horse-in-the-gulf/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Apr 2026 10:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Eugene Doyle Without understanding the astonishing network of power exercised by the United Arab Emirates you would have no idea why the UAE was hit particularly hard by Iran in recent weeks. Nor would you know what fuels chaos from Libya to Sudan to Somalia to Yemen. If you understand the UAE’s business-geostrategic ... <a title="Divide and rule – how UAE is Israel’s ‘Trojan horse’ in the Gulf" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/15/divide-and-rule-how-uae-is-israels-trojan-horse-in-the-gulf/" aria-label="Read more about Divide and rule – how UAE is Israel’s ‘Trojan horse’ in the Gulf">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Eugene Doyle</em></p>
<p>Without understanding the astonishing network of power exercised by the United Arab Emirates you would have no idea why the UAE was hit particularly hard by Iran in recent weeks.</p>
<p>Nor would you know what fuels chaos from Libya to Sudan to Somalia to Yemen.</p>
<p>If you understand the UAE’s business-geostrategic model and how it mobilises warlords, gold, oil, regional logistics and finance — you get much closer to seeing the pattern in the seeming madness.</p>
<p>Tiny UAE, 1.4 million citizens, wields so much power that Saudi Arabia sees it as a serious threat. In December, Saudi Arabia bombed UAE surrogates in Yemen and told the emirates to exit the country. They didn’t. If the US and Israel hadn’t attacked Iran, more fireworks were in the offing.</p>
<p>Israel is the UAE’s close ally. They collaborate not just on the War on Iran but in many of these various “civil wars” that are both money-making ventures and a series of heartless state-destruction campaigns that give them greater geopolitical weight in the region.</p>
<p><em>Israel is UAE’s close ally.            Image: Google Earth map<br /></em></p>
<p>We first need to understand what UAE (United Arab Emirates) really is. Comprising seven emirates — Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Sharjah, Ajman, Umm Al-Quwain, Ras Al-Khaimah, and Fujairah — it is now the hub of an empire that both Iran and Saudi Arabia would like to knee-cap.</p>
<p>The powerhouse is actually Abu Dhabi, the oil giant which is the effective boss of the rest, including Dubai.</p>
<p><strong>Family business with six sons</strong><br />Abu Dhabi is a family business, run by The Bani Fatima, the sons of Sheikha Fatima bint Mubarak Al Ketbi who is the most influential of the wives of the late Sheikh. Today, ultimate power resides with MBZ (Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan) the eldest of her six sons.</p>
<p>MBZ was a long-time buddy of MBS (Saudi Arabia’s Mohammed bin Salman) but those days are well behind us. In the words of a senior Saudi figure, Ahmed Altuwaijri, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uiPSPg_PMbo" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Abu Dhabi is Israel’s Trojan horse in the region</a>.</p>
<p>Along with Bahrain, UAE is a signatory to the Abraham Accords which is a US vehicle to bring Israel in from the cold. The other Gulf States oppose this “Israel First” policy and are clear that a resolution of the rights of the Palestinians must come first, although they do little about it.</p>
<p>The Bani Fatimid system works like this: identify a country that is experiencing instability, pick a side (preferably anti-political Islam) and offer not only to finance that militia or warlord of choice but provide the immense logistical support the UAE has, including air freighting weapons, supplies and soldiers, and the complex systems needed to convert, for example, stolen gold into arms or other assets.</p>
<p>Time and again this has resulted in the creation of shadow economies that end up controlling significant resources (gold, oil, agriculture, ports) and creating parallel states. Libya, Somalia, Sudan and Yemen have all been played in this way. It is textbook divide and rule: weakening a state from within to then exert ongoing influence and resource extraction.</p>
<p>Dr Andreas Krieg of the School of Security Studies at King’s College London told The Thinking Muslim channel recently that <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BmCF05sZs4&#038;t=25s" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">UAE is far more advanced than Saudi Arabia</a> in establishing powerful, agile networks across a wide zone of influence.</p>
<p>“It’s not about size. Size doesn’t matter in the networked global order that we’re operating in today. It’s about connectivity and who you can mobilise on your behalf — whether it’s in the information environment or armed non-state actors, such as the STC (in Yemen).</p>
<p>“But it’s also the commodity traders, the financiers, the banks, the insurance companies, the other trading corporations, that you can mobilise to generate what strategy is all about: influence and power,” Krieg says.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/international-stories/is-venezuela-the-next-libya" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Libya’s terrible 15-year civil war</a> has been immensely worsened by outside states, including UAE which turned general Khalifa Belqasim Haftar from a YouTube revolutionary into the head of the massively resourced LNA militia that now controls about a third of the country.</p>
<p>With UAE commanding the centre of a hub-and-spoke system, it can move fighters around the region at will, for example from Libya to Yemen where it sent thousands of LNA fighters to support local client militias. By backing the Southern Transition Council (STC) in Yemen, UAE got control over the vital Port of Aden. Similarly, by partnering with the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan, tons of stolen gold flows into Dubai. You get the picture.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMlxNddGy9Y" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Gold is the prime currency of the Bani Fatima empire</a> (MBZ and his brothers). Dubai is known in the region as The City of Gold, the place where the bulk of Africa’s yellow metal, much of it smuggled, finds its way.</p>
<p>Imagine this: at the very time tens of millions of Sudanese are suffering famine or near-famine conditions, the UAE is facilitating the export to Dubai of tons of gold to fuel the war. This represents billions of dollars that should be held for the benefit of the people but instead is being used for empire building.</p>
<p>In Somalia the UAE has switched sides when economic or strategic advantage could be made. Along with Israel, UAE is backing militias who have declared a break-away state “Somaliland” that borders the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.</p>
<p>The UAE has military bases in “Somaliland” and has poured millions of dollars into the port of Berbera. With hundreds of kilometres of coastline adjacent to vital Red Sea shipping lanes, UAE and Israel will be important players in a contest with Yemen, Saudi Arabia and other powers.</p>
<p>In December last year Israel became the first to recognise Somaliland as a state. UAE is understood to be working on the Trump administration to do the same – further trashing the idea of territorial integrity for the sake of advantage. As an aside: <a href="https://www.arabnews.jp/en/middle-east/article_164358/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Israel hopes to ethnically cleanse Palestinians to Somaliland one day</a>.</p>
<p>All this dovetails with Israel’s strategy of smashing states to control them. For them, an alternative to regime change in Iran is Balkanisation to create several weak statelets thereby enhancing Israeli security and influence.</p>
<p>For those reasons and more, I hope the sovereign state of Iran survives the onslaught. I hope UAE and Israel’s genuinely evil business of fragmenting state after state is defeated. I hope the Western countries look at themselves in the mirror and ask themselves: what kind of moral monsters would be allies of Israel and the UAE?</p>
<p>Eugene Doyle is a writer based in Wellington, New Zealand. He has written extensively on the Middle East, as well as peace and security issues in the Asia Pacific region.</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/about" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Eugene Doyle</a> is a writer based in Wellington, New Zealand. He has written extensively on the Middle East, as well as peace and security issues in the Asia Pacific region, and contributes to Asia Pacific Report. He hosts <a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">solidarity.co.n</a>z</em></p>
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		<title>Why Iran will never break – and Iranians will decide their own future</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/14/why-iran-will-never-break-and-iranians-will-decide-their-own-future/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2026 05:15:09 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Kaveh As an Iranian living in New Zealand, I wake up every morning to the quiet green hills and the calm sea, but my mind is always thousands of kilometres away in Iran. The news from home hits differently when you are far away. You feel helpless, but you sometimes also see things ... <a title="Why Iran will never break – and Iranians will decide their own future" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/14/why-iran-will-never-break-and-iranians-will-decide-their-own-future/" aria-label="Read more about Why Iran will never break – and Iranians will decide their own future">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Kaveh<br /></em></p>
<p>As an Iranian living in New Zealand, I wake up every morning to the quiet green hills and the calm sea, but my mind is always thousands of kilometres away in Iran.</p>
<p>The news from home hits differently when you are far away. You feel helpless, but you sometimes also see things more clearly.</p>
<p>For years, I have watched the same old story from Washington and Tel Aviv: they want to change the regime in Iran. Not because they care about Iranian freedom, but because they want more power in the Middle East, control the oil routes, control the region, control everything.</p>
<p>They tried it openly in the 12-Day War last year. They bombed, they threatened, they hoped the whole system would collapse. It didn’t. And now they are trying again, waiting for the Iranian people to rise up and do their job for them.</p>
<p>But it is not happening, and it will not happen.</p>
<p>From my small house here in New Zealand, I talk to family back home almost every day. They are tired, yes. Life is hard with sanctions, constant threats and bombings.</p>
<p>But Iran isn’t run by stupid people. The authorities in Iran have planned for this for a long time. If top figures are targeted, there is a chain ready to continue. It is not a secret. They have built it step by step.</p>
<p><strong>Americans, Israelis don’t understand</strong><br />The Americans and Israelis don’t seem to understand this because they do not know the religious and cultural soul of Iran. Without that knowledge any plan is blind. You cannot bomb a country and expect surrender when the children in every school learn about resistance from the first grade.</p>
<p>Take Imam Hussein, for example. Most people in New Zealand and other countries have probably never heard the name, so let me explain it simply. Imam Hussein was the grandson of the Prophet Muhammad.</p>
<p>In the year 680, in what is now Iraq, he and just 72 of his loyal companions including women and children stood in the desert of Karbala against an army of tens of thousands sent by a tyrannical ruler. They were cut off from water for days. They knew they would be killed.</p>
<p>Yet Imam Hussein refused to swear loyalty to a corrupt leader. He chose death with dignity over a life of submission. Every year during the month of Muharram, Iranians mourn this event not as a defeat but as the ultimate symbol of resistance.</p>
<p>We cry, we march, we tell the story to our children: standing for justice is worth any price.</p>
<p>That lesson is not ancient history. It is taught in schools today as a living example of how a small group can defy an empire. How do you expect a nation raised on that story to give up when missiles fall?</p>
<p>We have many such examples from the revolution to the war with Iraq to every pressure since. According to many political analysts, this is exactly why the West keeps making the same mistake.</p>
<figure id="attachment_126399" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-126399" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-126399" class="wp-caption-text">The ornate copper dome of the memorial tomb for the 14th-century Persian poet Hafez located in the Musalla Gardens of Shiraz . . . Americans and Israelis “don’t see the culture that turns every attack into fuel for survival”. Image: David Robie/Asia Pacific Report</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>They don’t see the culture</strong><br />They look at Iran through their own eyes. They see maps and weapons and money. They do not see the culture that turns every attack into fuel for survival.</p>
<p>The diaspora is another story. When I first came to New Zealand years ago, the Iranians overseas were split into two main groups. One part supported the Islamic Republic, the other part, mostly louder in the West, wanted the return of the monarchy and backed the king in exile. They argued online, but at least the lines were clear.</p>
<p>Now everything is different. The attacks on Iran have created real splits and even anger among those who used to be against the regime. Some of them trusted Trump and Netanyahu. They said on social media and in interviews that the bombs would bring freedom.</p>
<p>Instead, the bombs are bringing destruction, dead civilians, ruined houses, fear in the streets.</p>
<p>Now you see fights breaking out in the comments, in the Persian TV channels, even in family online group chats. The ones who still wave the old flag blame the Islamic Republic for every death.</p>
<p>But many others who once hated the government are saying, “This isn’t freedom. This is an attack on our country.” They feel betrayed. They realise the “liberators” they cheered for only wanted a weaker Iran they could control.</p>
<p>And the war does not look like it will end soon. I speculate it will drag on in this strange way that gets tighter then loosens a bit, then tightens again. Iran will keep using its asymmetric tools: missiles that reach far, drones that are cheap, friends in the region who act when needed.</p>
<p><strong>The system will not fall</strong><br />The economy will suffer, people will suffer more, but the system will not fall. The Iranian people have closed ranks around the idea of independence. Those in the diaspora who hoped for quick regime change will stay disappointed. The ones who begged for American and Israeli action are now watching their own relatives bury the dead and should be asking themselves what “freedom” really means when it comes with foreign bombs.</p>
<p>Living here in New Zealand, I sometimes feel guilty for the safety I have. I go to work without air-raid sirens. But every time I see the news, I remember why Iran will not break.</p>
<p>It isn’t because the government is perfect. Far from it. It is because the alternative they are being offered is not freedom. Instead, it is humiliation and loss of dignity.</p>
<p>The Americans and Israelis think they are playing chess. They do not realise they are fighting a nation that has turned resistance into a religion, a culture, a memory passed from mother to child for centuries.</p>
<p>I do not know how long this round will last. Maybe months, maybe years of shadow war. But one thing is clear from my quiet corner in New Zealand: regime change from outside will not come.</p>
<p>The Iranian people have decided, consciously or not, that they will decide their own future, even if it is painful. The planners in Washington and Tel Aviv should study Karbala again. They might understand then why their plans keep failing.</p>
<p><em>Kaveh is an Iranian who has been living in New Zealand for many years. Having travelled across many different countries, he takes great pride in contributing to various communities through his professional work and community activities in New Zealand. Republished with permission from <a href="https://www.solidarity.co.nz/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Eugene Doyle’s Solidarity website</a>.</em></p>
<figure id="attachment_126400" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-126400" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-126400" class="wp-caption-text">Newspapers in Tehran . . . the press reflects a nation that has turned resistance into a religion, a culture, a memory passed from mother to child for centuries”. Image: David Robie/Asia Pacific Report</figcaption></figure>
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		<title>Iran threatens retaliation over Gulf ‘piracy’ in Trump’s naval blockade</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/14/iran-threatens-retaliation-over-gulf-piracy-in-trumps-naval-blockade/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2026 00:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Democracy Now! AMY GOODMAN: Ship traffic has halted again in the Strait of Hormuz after President Trump ordered the US military to begin a naval blockade of all Iranian ports and coastal areas starting on Monday. Iran denounced Trump’s move as an illegal act amounting to “piracy”. Iran has threatened to strike Gulf ports in ... <a title="Iran threatens retaliation over Gulf ‘piracy’ in Trump’s naval blockade" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/14/iran-threatens-retaliation-over-gulf-piracy-in-trumps-naval-blockade/" aria-label="Read more about Iran threatens retaliation over Gulf ‘piracy’ in Trump’s naval blockade">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.democracynow.org" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><em>Democracy Now!</em></a></p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: Ship traffic has halted again in the Strait of Hormuz after President Trump ordered the US military to begin a naval blockade of all Iranian ports and coastal areas starting on Monday.</em></p>
<p><em>Iran denounced Trump’s move as an illegal act amounting to “piracy”. Iran has threatened to strike Gulf ports in retaliation.</em><br /><em><br />Trump ordered the blockade after the US and Iran failed to reach a deal to end the war following 21 hours of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan.</em></p>
<p><em>The negotiations marked the highest-level talks between the two countries since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. US Vice-President JD Vance headed the U.S. delegation, which included US envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner.</em></p>
<p><em>Iranian negotiators had flown to Pakistan on a plane they called “Minab 168” as a tribute to the 168 people killed in a US missile strike on an elementary school in the city of Minab on February 28. The plane carried images of the dead schoolchildren, along with blood-stained school bags recovered beneath the rubble.</em></p>
<p><em>Global oil prices jumped after Trump announced the blockade.</em></p>
<p><em>We’re joined now by Ervand Abrahamian, professor emeritus of history at the Graduate Center at the City University of New York, the author of several books, most recently, <a href="https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/oil-crisis-in-iran/DA39D7FF328813BAF75C7698D00F5119" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Oil Crisis in Iran: From Nationalism to Coup d’État</a>. His forthcoming book is <a href="https://www.amazon.co.uk/Iran-1979-Inevitable-Ervand-Abrahamian/dp/1836744536" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">1979: An Inevitable Revolution</a>.</em></p>
<p><em>So, your response to what transpired in Pakistan, the deal that was not reached between Iran and the United States, and what this means, Professor?</em></p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" title="YouTube video player" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/t72zIWHT9TI?si=1vju_LHI0OyOrklf" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen">[embedded content]</iframe><br /><em>Trump orders naval blockade of Iran            Video: Democracy Now!</em></p>
<p><em>ERVAND ABRAHAMIAN:</em> Well, I think both sides actually presented, basically, ultimate demands which the other side couldn’t accept, so it was a false start. But the implications of the failure is going to be actually quite drastic on the United States, because Trump’s main concern has been to actually put a limit, a lid, on the oil prices going up, and they’ve already jumped from $88 a barrel to over $100. They’re going to increase more with the present crisis, with the embargo on the Strait of Hormuz.</p>
<p>And as the crisis escalates, I think the US will start bombing Iranian oil installations. Iran will retaliate by bombing the Gulf’s oil installations, gas installations. The oil prices then could really zoom up.</p>
<p>Some people expect it to reach $200 a barrel. In that case, you know, it will have long-term implications for Wall Street and the whole American economy, not to mention the world economy. So, things that Trump has tried to avoid, he has got, actually, himself into the major crisis, economic crisis.</p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: You have Robert Malley, who had previously been involved with talks with Iran, saying, “Twenty-one hours was 20 hours too many if the goal was to reiterate a demand Iran had already rejected. It was many hours too few if the goal was to negotiate.” Your response?</em></p>
<p><em>ERVAND ABRAHAMIAN:</em> He’s exactly right. And I think, I mean, what Iran sees as the present crisis is an existential one, because although the talk has been regime change, the Israeli policy, clearly, in the last 10 years has been more than regime change. It’s basically been the destruction of the Iranian state, Iranian nation. So Iran sees this as an existential threat.</p>
<p>There was a speech that Trump made when he launched the attack on Iran a couple of weeks ago. It was actually quite an interesting speech. He talked about various ethnic minorities being oppressed in Iran, and they were dying to be liberated from Iranian control. And he listed obvious ethnic groups, but then there was one ethnic group that, really, I’d never heard of.</p>
<p>So I scratched my head. What is this group? And I did what most people do: You google. And lo and behold, this ethnic group actually exists in the other side of the Caucasus Mountains in Dagestan.</p>
<p>So you wonder what reason they had for putting this ethnic group that doesn’t exist in Iran as one of the ethnic groups, unless there’s some sinister idea the Israelis have of a civil war in Iran, where they will recruit, actually, mercenaries from the other side of the Caucasus to bring into Iran.</p>
<p>Of course, this sounds far-fetched, but this is what actually happened in Syria. You had a lot of Chechens actually brought in to fight against Assad. So, the Israelis may be thinking in those terms of actually a long civil war in Iran, where they would be bringing in mercenaries from outside. So, for this reason, I think Iran sees this as a real, serious, existential war. It’s not just a question of a minor sort of fine tuning of relations with the United States.</p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: You’ve written about oil in Iran a great deal. Ghalibaf, the speaker of Iran’s parliament, tweeted on Sunday, “Enjoy the current pump figures. With the so-called ‘blockade’, soon you’ll be nostalgic for $4-$5 [per gallon] gas.”</em></p>
<p><em>ERVAND ABRAHAMIAN:</em> Yeah, yeah. I mean, the price could go up to $200 a barrel, even more than that, if, basically, the Gulf oil — it’s not just Iranian oil, but the whole Gulf oil and gas — is actually cut off from the world market.</p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: So, let’s talk about what Iran wants right now and what the US wants. Ten o’clock am — we’re broadcasting right before that — Eastern time is when the US Navy blockades, apparently, the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.</em></p>
<p><em>What exactly does this mean? How will the Gulf nations be affected? How will Iran be affected? Because it both exports oil, but, of course, it needs oil and makes a great deal of its own oil.</em></p>
<p><em>ERVAND ABRAHAMIAN:</em> Yeah, I mean, it won’t break Iran, because it has — Iran has other ways of actually exporting oil. It’ll obviously be a hardship, but it’ll be a much worse hardship on the Gulf states, if Iran actually dismantles their oil installations.</p>
<p>And that affects directly United States economy, because so much of Gulf oil money, gas money actually goes into high-tech United States. And much of the American, basically, modern technology is funded by subsidies from the various Gulf states. So it would have drastic repercussions on US economy.</p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: What does Trump want? His latest, and what Vance said — right? Vance leaves the Hungarian prime minister, campaigning for him, Orbán, who was soundly defeated, and then goes to Islamabad to lead this negotiation. He says it’s all about nuclear weapons. Vance said, “The simple fact is that we need to see an affirmative commitment that they will not seek a nuclear weapon and they will not seek the tools that would enable them [to quickly] achieve a nuclear weapon.” Your response?</em></p>
<p><em>ERVAND ABRAHAMIAN:</em> Exactly. I mean, that’s exactly what the Obama agreement was.</p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: That Trump pulled out of.</em></p>
<p><em>ERVAND ABRAHAMIAN:</em> Yes, which Trump pulled out of. But if you look at that agreement, basically, it said Iran had the right to enrich, but it had to be supervised to make sure it couldn’t enrich to the level of nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>So, Netanyahu cries it was vague agreement. In fact, it was very precise. Iran could enrich to 3.67 percent of uranium. That’s as precise as you can get. It was limited to 200 grams of enriched uranium. And also, it was — everything was supervised.</p>
<p>There were 140 international monitors, including American monitors. So, this was an incredibly tight procedure to make sure that Iran would actually fulfill its promise not to go into nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>When Trump pulled out of that, he basically unwound the whole system. And the best he can get is going back to that. So, demand that Iran should have no nuclear enrichment is a nonstarter. The best he could get is to go back, permit Iran to have enrichment, but with monitoring that it would not be weapon enrichment.</p>
<p><em>AMY GOODMAN: We just have a minute. In a call with the Russian President Putin, Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian said a deal is, “not out of reach.” So, if you can talk about whether — where you see this all headed?</em></p>
<p><em>ERVAND ABRAHAMIAN:</em> Well, there are people in Iran in the — basically, in the National Security Council, including Pezeshkian, who think that they can make a deal with the United States. And they’ve been there a long time.</p>
<p>But there are also people now, I think, hardliners, who are stronger now than before the war, who are arguing that you can’t make a deal with Trump. Even if Trump makes a deal, he could, the following week, decide he’s going to pull out. So it’s a nonstarter, from their point of view, unless US can actually make full commitments. And I don’t see how they can do that, because Trump is basically untrustworthy.</p>
<p>So, from their point of view, I think the hardliners in Iran could argue, persuasively, the more the pressure they have, the more the prices are going to go up; the more it goes up, sooner or later, the patient will have a heart attack or a stroke. So they have an upper hand at the moment.</p>
<p><em>Republished from Democracy Now! under a <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States Licence</a>.</em></p>
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