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		<title>Keith Rankin Analysis &#8211; 1956, 1967, 1973, 1979 and all that: Shipping, Oil, and Inflation</title>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Keith Rankin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 03:29:17 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Analysis by Keith Rankin, 20 March 2026. The human world changed twice during the twentieth century. The first transition lasted from 1914 to 1945. The principal cause of World War Two was World War One. So, to understand the drivers of that long transition, indeed a great levelling event, it is necessary to investigate the ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Analysis by Keith Rankin, 20 March 2026.</p>
<figure id="attachment_1075787" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1075787" style="width: 150px" class="wp-caption alignleft"><a href="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin.jpg"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-1075787 size-thumbnail" src="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" srcset="https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-150x150.jpg 150w, https://eveningreport.nz/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20201212_KeithRankin-65x65.jpg 65w" sizes="(max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px" /></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-1075787" class="wp-caption-text">Keith Rankin, trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</figcaption></figure>
<p>The human world changed twice during the twentieth century. The first transition lasted from 1914 to 1945. The principal cause of World War Two was World War One. So, to understand the drivers of that long transition, indeed a <a href="https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691271842/the-great-leveler" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691271842/the-great-leveler&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2UeZlK9uB0Sf4UwgJjMCbN">great levelling</a> event, it is necessary to investigate the causes of World War One. What happened between those wars was not inevitable, of course. But those inter-war events formed part of a comprehensible transitional sequence.</p>
<p>The next transition began, I would argue, in 1967 and lasted until 1980. Though key pre- and post-transition events took place in 1948, 1953 and 1956; and 1989/1990. The 1967 to 1980 transition significantly involved both Israel and Iran. As a result, the post-war world of cold war and decolonisation gave way to a neoliberal world order in which the new financial and political elites increasingly ruled under the titular covers of &#8216;liberal democracy&#8217;, &#8216;global rules-based-order&#8217;, and the &#8216;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/unipolar_moment" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/unipolar_moment&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3WgsQhnXgF_bVSguHff93u">unipolar moment</a>&#8216;.</p>
<p>Are we today in a new transition, away from neoliberalism; maybe into a bleak zero-sum order (or negative-sum) of right-wing identity politics? An order in which national or cultural identity groups seek to harm other such groups more than they benefit their own group. An ultra-Hobbesian world in which individuals and groups gain pleasure directly from the pain they cause to others? Or will such gratuitous and predatory behaviour be limited to a transition now under way? While such behaviour happened markedly during the last years of the 1914 to 1945 transition, there were also substantial precursors to it in the lead-up to World War One. Not least the Judeophobic pogroms in Ukraine and some of its neighbouring territories.</p>
<p>These remain open questions. My aim here is to outline the 1967 to 1980 transition, noting some parallels between that transition and present times.</p>
<p>Before that, I&#8217;ll just mention that, in 1948, Israel and Palestine were both granted, by the new United Nations, the status of sovereign nation states. The Palestine nation was stillborn, for a number of reasons, one of which was that the eventual borders of Israel split the Palestinian territories. And I&#8217;ll mention that, in 1953, the United States instigated a political and military coup in Iran, converting a developing independent democracy into an absolute monarchy whose role was to acquiesce to Washington&#8217;s stated and unstated interests.</p>
<p><b>Suez Canal: the First Crisis</b></p>
<p>Most wars start with a pretext, an event manufactured or exploited by the true belligerent to justify its aggression.</p>
<p>One country which had been subjugated – indeed occupied – by the United Kingdom for many years was Egypt. That&#8217;s why Egypt came to be so important for the New Zealand military in both WW1 and WW2.</p>
<p>The critical strategic asset in Egypt was the Suez Canal, built by French interests, opened in 1869, and effectively <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anglo-Egyptian_War" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anglo-Egyptian_War&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3e3zARZZTMM3JBxb3xJIlh">wrested by the British</a> from 1882 (though France maintained a strategic interest). For the steamship age, that canal became the critical conduit for the British Empire, connecting London with India (which included modern Pakistan and Bangladesh), East Africa, the &#8216;Middle East&#8217; (meaning the Persian Gulf), the &#8216;Far East&#8217;, and the Australian colonies which became Australia.</p>
<p>The Egyptian Revolution took place in 1952, and Egyptian president Nasser nationalised the Suez Canal in July 1956. The result was a war in the latter part of 1956, in which the British and French persuaded Israel (only created in 1948) to invade Egypt&#8217;s Sinai Peninsula. (These events were covered in an episode of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Crown_(TV_series)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Crown_(TV_series)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1-23fQCeI_MTz0UA_GTfnS">The Crown</a>.) The Israeli attack took place as <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Kadesh" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Kadesh&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw10g-vYasLv_rCIbtEM1__8">Operation Kadesh</a>. Less than two days after this pretext, presented as a threat to Israel&#8217;s security, Britain (and France) started bombing Egypt at Port Said, in an operation to &#8216;secure&#8217; the Canal.</p>
<p>The end result was an ignominious defeat for Britain and France, unsupported by the US, but with no meaningful withdrawal by Israel; the Israel-Egypt border had become permanently militarised, noting that Gaza had been (by agreement) under Egyptian control since 1949.</p>
<p>The Suez Canal was closed for nearly six months, until April 1957.</p>
<p><b>Suez Canal: the Second Crisis</b></p>
<p>Ten years later, in June 1967, Israel went for broke. This was the much bigger <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closure_of_the_Suez_Canal_(1967%E2%80%931975)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closure_of_the_Suez_Canal_(1967%25E2%2580%25931975)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw14zaHTpc5M2OK-m7OYFy8c">second crisis</a> for the Suez Canal. In six days, Israel conquered the entire Sinai Peninsula – therefore including Gaza – meaning that Israel had annexed the eastern side of the Canal. In addition Israel conquered East Jerusalem, which in 1948 was supposed to have become the capital of an independent Palestine, the West Bank (which the State of Tennessee, in an act of appeasement towards Israel, now wants to call <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judea_and_Samaria" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judea_and_Samaria&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1lt4dznje9GW17igCnqzAV">Judea and Samaria</a>; refer <a href="https://fox17.com/newsletter-daily/bill-requiring-tennessee-to-use-judea-and-samaria-instead-of-west-bank-advances" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://fox17.com/newsletter-daily/bill-requiring-tennessee-to-use-judea-and-samaria-instead-of-west-bank-advances&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3IbscVR3pzlbkYiQ46-u_X">Bill requiring Tennessee to use &#8216;Judea and Samaria&#8217; instead of &#8216;West Bank&#8217; advances</a>, Fox17, 6 March 2026), and Syria&#8217;s <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_occupation_of_the_Golan_Heights" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_occupation_of_the_Golan_Heights&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1Uzxvqoeny2OuzYZxJIP1D">Golan Heights</a>.</p>
<p>The principal consequence was that <b><i>the Suez Canal, an even more important waterway than the Gulf of Hormuz, was closed from 1967 to 1975</i></b>.</p>
<p>With hindsight, we can see that the global economic crisis of the 1970s began in 1967. It is understood as a crisis of inflation which morphed after 1973 into a crisis of stagflation; for an overview, biased towards the US and towards the received narrative, refer to <a href="https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw13bfsRPynI5fOF79t56qXE">The Great Inflation</a>, in <i>Federal Reserve History</i>.</p>
<p>The closure of the Suez Canal had little impact on oil prices. But it did lead to a surge in the cost of international transportation, as Asia to Europe trade had to be diverted to the South African and Panama routes. The other two drivers of that inflation-surge in the late 1960s were the escalations of the Vietnam War, and the prevalence of a corporate structure – outlined by <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Kenneth_Galbraith" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Kenneth_Galbraith&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3E8REfaY1dhhJ0Kl1cEKt8">John Kenneth Galbraith</a> in <i>The New Industrial State</i> (1967) and <i>Economics and the Public Purpose</i> (1973) – which made the global marketplace less responsive towards increases in global spending. That last point means that large corporate firms, like today&#8217;s energy companies, became predisposed to respond to increased demand by raising prices rather than by raising the quantities of output supplied.</p>
<p>Wartime is almost always associated with inflation, because it both raises costs and constrains the supply of consumer goods. (American wars since the 1970s can be an exception, because they are financed by instant money and readily-available imports; by US government-deficits and US economy trade deficits. Deficits which the rest of the world is eager to facilitate.)</p>
<p><b>Israel 1967 to 1973</b></p>
<p>With the partial exception of Syria&#8217;s Golan Heights, Israel did not formally incorporate the other conquered territories. This retention of these territories as subjugated territories was partly due to international pressure to not recognise conquests, but was probably more to do with their implications for the demographic balance of Israel. Integration would have led to the possibility of Jews becoming a minority of Israel&#8217;s population, and Arabs a majority.</p>
<p>(We should note that, for the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_secularism" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_secularism&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0O2OayXXW4keYweXHpIlop">secular Jews</a> who run Israel, to be Jewish is understood more as an ethnicity than as a religious faith. Hence, Israelis tend to juxtapose <i>Jews and Arabs</i>, whereas people in the rest of the world juxtapose Israelis (understood to be mostly Jews) and Palestinians. Israelis favour the word &#8216;Arab&#8217; over &#8216;Palestinian&#8217;, because of a popular Israeli narrative that the indigenous population of Palestine is descended from immigrants from Arabia.)</p>
<p>The <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_Arab-Israeli_War" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_Arab-Israeli_War&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw07t-wMQim2DuOmnurqjp4r">1973 Arab-Israeli War</a> happened in October 1973, beginning with a surprise attack by Egypt, during the Yom Kippur holy day (and noting that the 2026 attacks on Iran occurred during Ramadan, Islam&#8217;s holiest period). Basically, Egypt wanted its Sinai Peninsula back, in part so that it could reopen the Canal. Other nearby countries joined-in, especially Syria, but also Jordan and Iraq. Not Iran, which was then under United States hegemony.</p>
<p>Despite Egypt&#8217;s initial advantage of surprise, Israel not only fought back defensively, but counterattacked. The counterattack included an Israeli army contingent crossing the Suez Canal and marching on Cairo; ie approaching the Nile River. Potentially this war could have led to the creation of a Greater Israel; from the Euphrates (in Syria and Iraq) to the Nile. But again, the problem of conquest becomes the problem of having to incorporate supposedly &#8216;inferior&#8217; populations into the expanded nation state.</p>
<p>(We note that surprise attacks often do not bear fruit; noting the American president&#8217;s tasteless and quasi-triumphant comparison between 28 February 2026 with the ultimately unsuccessful attack on Pearl Harbor on 7 December 1941. See <a href="https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/03/20/trump-jokes-about-pearl-harbour-in-meeting-with-japans-pm/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.1news.co.nz/2026/03/20/trump-jokes-about-pearl-harbour-in-meeting-with-japans-pm/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0DbcTPV84SDKxFgY-6WRUQ">Trump jokes about Pearl Harbour in meeting with Japan&#8217;s PM</a>, <i>TVNZ</i>, 20 March 2026. For a brief moment, I wondered if the President was going to refer to the surprise attack of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_bombings_of_Hiroshima_and_Nagasaki" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_bombings_of_Hiroshima_and_Nagasaki&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1B3ami3W_xMPlPnoBDIkEf">6 August 1945</a>, or that of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Tokyo_(10_March_1945)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Tokyo_(10_March_1945)&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1COFpdoG-iPzt3KW-XH-Vt">10 March 1945</a>.)</p>
<p>Further, the international community had interests other than appeasing Israel. The biggest of these concerns was the price of oil. In the end the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camp_David_Accords" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camp_David_Accords&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0yR2gFUwIs-Usu9Nf2pniU">international community got its way</a>, but at a cost of making Israel itself into a significantly more belligerent state than it had been hitherto.</p>
<p><b>Oil Prices</b></p>
<p>The <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0Qj_X-CKPg8eZ7a5ajYIvG">1973 Oil Crisis</a> led to a quadrupling of crude oil prices by 1977, most of that taking place in 1974. Given the general inflation, much of it instigated by the oil price increases, real oil prices <i>only</i> increased by 150 percent in United States&#8217; dollars.</p>
<p>The main reasons for the huge price increases of oil were the roles of the likes of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait – through the Vienna-based OPEC cartel – being able to push back against the encroachment of the Zionist project in their region, by using their effective near-monopoly power. In turn, these high prices led to the further development of the petroleum industries in the Persian Gulf, and of the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_Cooperation_Council" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_Cooperation_Council&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3ZGP8IyyTtA4LR0pwnWOCN">Gulf States</a> themselves. Additionally, we should note that oil was underpriced prior to the 1973 war; much as it can be argued that oil was underpriced in January 2026.</p>
<p>This had a much bigger economic impact on countries like New Zealand than anything we&#8217;ve either seen or projected in the present March 2026 crisis. (In my case, it brought forward my OE plans. At the end of 1973, for $400 I bought a ticket to sail to England via Acapulco, Panama, Curaçao and Barbados. By time the ship sailed in April 1974, the fare had been subject to two surcharges and I ended up paying more like $480. It could have been worse if the ship had not had access to cheap Venezuelan fuel in Curaçao.)</p>
<p>The result was a series of massive financial imbalances across the world; between oil-importing and oil-exporting countries, and also within larger oil-producing countries such as the United States. (New York&#8217;s loss was Texas&#8217;s gain.) While those 1970s&#8217; financial challenges were navigated by the world&#8217;s finance ministers and central banks with a large measure of pragmatic success, the turmoil of the times let in a new and simplistic narrative around money and inflation; an unnuanced narrative that harked back to the classical stories about money during World War Zero (that&#8217;s the Napoleonic Wars of 1798 to 1815).</p>
<p>That new narrative was monetarism/neoliberalism, and placed itself perfectly to exploit the economic crisis – the <a href="https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/great-inflation&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw13bfsRPynI5fOF79t56qXE">Great Inflation</a>– to create the neoliberal anti-intellectual hegemony which has ruled over the western world and hence over the whole world since the early 1980s. The guru of monetarism was a Chicago School economist; <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_Friedman" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milton_Friedman&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2N_FCXil0xZmc1GH5LaGV2">Milton Friedman</a>. As an academic, Friedman and his acolytes had been plugging away through the 1950s and 1960s; well-placed to take advantage of a good crisis, especially a crisis centred around the word &#8216;inflation&#8217;. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Boys" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_Boys&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw08W1gsaRk8c9RTp2efEIDf">Chicago School economists</a> experimented on Chile following its <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_dictatorship_of_Chile" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_dictatorship_of_Chile&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1iQdJ4d_8x1LVoVBVuI6sf">11 September 1973 military coup</a>.</p>
<p>If Israel had simply returned Sinai to Egypt in say 1970 – in circumstances similar to the eventual return of Sinai – allowing the Suez Canal to reopen, then the 1970s and 1980s could have turned out very differently.</p>
<p><b>Revolution, and Oil Prices again</b></p>
<p>One of the consequences of the political crisis in the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middle_East" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middle_East&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2TJjfCcwT2680KoGdIQsv6">Middle East</a> was further crisis in the Middle East. Various latent nationalisms in the region intensified markedly; these intensifications turned for inspiration to the common faith in the region, Islam.</p>
<p>Hence, there was a direct – albeit convoluted – pathway from the 1973 war to the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_Revolution" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_Revolution&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541435000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1ZgORFuu-fufvD_n6agUci">1978/1979 Iranian Revolution</a>. In February 1979 the Imperial State of Iran gave way to the Islamic Republic of Iran.</p>
<p>(I could have gained a personal glimpse of revolutionary Iran. Returning from my OE in September 1978, my partner and I were on a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan_Am" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pan_Am&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541436000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1tLYVtQKSZKGjEilER52XW">PanAm</a> flight from Rome to Istanbul. The flight originated in New York, and terminated in Tehran, and was running late. Many of the passengers were agitated, because the flight was now projected to arrive in Tehran during the evening curfew. I guess it was always possible that PanAm would take the decision to overfly Istanbul, in order to arrive in Tehran on time. The plane did land in Istanbul, later than scheduled, so I know not about what dramas may have unfolded in Tehran later that evening. I expect that the return flight out of Tehran was fully booked, given the deteriorating situation there for American citizens.)</p>
<p>An important result is that oil from Iran, a founding member of OPEC, came off the world market for a few years. (Although, Aotearoa New Zealand, in its own pragmatic navigation of the crisis, came to do a swap deal with Revolutionary Iran. Despite the fact that, for a few years instances of capital punishment in Iran came to exceed those in the United States, New Zealand negotiated a <a href="https://teara.govt.nz/en/overseas-trade-policy/page-5" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://teara.govt.nz/en/overseas-trade-policy/page-5&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541436000&amp;usg=AOvVaw0_xmm5Fn83eZPJTedct6OL">sheep-meat for oil swap</a>, thereby saving this country&#8217;s critical sheep-farming industry.)</p>
<p>The result of the loss of Iranian oil from the word market led, in 1979, to a further doubling of the world price of crude oil. In the second half of the 1970s, many countries – including New Zealand and United States – cut their speed limits to 80kph (or 50 miles per hour). (I still remember, in October 1976, riding in a Greyhound Bus in Pennsylvania, watching big trucks traveling very slowly along the United States&#8217; interstate motorway system.)</p>
<p>In 1979, the crisis became so difficult that the New Zealand government made the sensible though since-derided decision to ration petrol by requiring motorists to observe carless days each week.</p>
<p>Governments in oil-importing countries made the pragmatic decision to both conserve oil and, for balance of payments&#8217; reasons, to develop their own oil, gas and exportable reserves. New Zealand electrified its North Island Main Trunk Railway, doubled its aluminium production capacity (in order to export renewable energy), substantially expanded its oil-refining capacity, developed the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maui_gas_field" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maui_gas_field&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1774061541436000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1XNwPEXvHGD_WZOv1fATAm">Maui gas field</a>; and developed the Glenbrook steel mill as a means to gain export receipts from the sale of west coast iron-sand.</p>
<p>Eventually, in 1986, the world oil price collapsed, ushering in a new (and environmentally discordant) era of cheap oil. Inflation-adjusted oil prices in 1999 were even lower than in 1972.</p>
<p><b>The Great Deception</b></p>
<p>World price-inflation was on a substantial downward path once the leading economies&#8217; central banks allowed interest rates to fall (through liberalising monetary policies) in the years 1983 to 1985, and once cheap oil resumed. But in some countries high consumer-price-inflation persevered until the end of the 1980s&#8217; decade, especially as they shifted towards goods and services taxes.</p>
<p>New Zealand pioneered a particular form of illiberal monetary policy in 1989, when inflation was already falling back to normal levels; and claimed that the new simple-minded monetary policy was the sole cure. This policy, which was in fact very much associated with the aforementioned monetarist project, became akin to a biblical truth; and was successfully exported to the consolidating globalised political and financial elites, making this new quasi-biblical truth into a bedrock policy-of-faith in the post-1980 world order.</p>
<p>Today, we can easily observe how false this &#8216;truth&#8217; of faith is. By looking at the United Kingdom and Australia, two countries which have minimally reduced interest rates since 2022, we can see how their inflation rates have remained stubbornly higher than those with lower interest rates.</p>
<p><b>The next political and financial world order?</b></p>
<p>Are we in a new transition? Probably yes. Will it take a decade or so? Probably yes. While there are many calamities that could happen – and remembering that the world faced the possibility of global nuclear war early in both the cold war world order and the neoliberal world order – an optimistic take is that the world will move into a multipolar principles-of-engagement world order in which no single polity (or alliance) can dictate terms to the rest of the world with apparent impunity.</p>
<p>A unipolar world order is an illiberal geopolitical monopoly. Present events may either entrench or destroy the forces pushing for geopolitical illiberalism. Multipolarity is geopolitical liberalism.</p>
<p>The next world order should not be reliant on cheap oil nor indefinite economic growth nor the idolatry of money. Money is a means, not an end; it is a technology, not a commodity. Capitalism can become a peaceful private-public partnership. If enough of us want it to be.</p>
<p align="center">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-</p>
<p>Keith Rankin (keith at rankin dot nz), trained as an economic historian, is a retired lecturer in Economics and Statistics. He lives in Auckland, New Zealand.</p>
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		<title>Ramzy Baroud: Israel’s greatest weapon was fear – and it’s now failing</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/12/ramzy-baroud-israels-greatest-weapon-was-fear-and-its-now-failing/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2026 12:15:09 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Israel’s war on Iran reveals a deeper crisis: the collapse of a psychological doctrine built on fear and invincibility. The Palestine Chronicle reports. ANALYSIS: By Ramzy Baroud Israel’s military strategy has long relied on psychological dominance and deterrence built on overwhelming violence. Massacres during the Nakba helped establish fear as a strategic tool to weaken ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Israel’s war on Iran reveals a deeper crisis: the collapse of a psychological doctrine built on fear and invincibility. <strong>The Palestine Chronicle</strong> reports.<br /></em></p>
<p><strong>ANALYSIS:</strong> <em>By Ramzy Baroud</em></p>
<ul>
<li>Israel’s military strategy has long relied on psychological dominance and deterrence built on overwhelming violence.</li>
<li>Massacres during the Nakba helped establish fear as a strategic tool to weaken Palestinian resistance.</li>
<li>Doctrines such as the Dahiya Doctrine and “mowing the grass” reinforced Israel’s image of invincibility.</li>
<li>The Gaza genocide and regional escalation have severely weakened Israel’s psychological deterrence.</li>
<li>The war on Iran may accelerate the collapse of Israel’s most important strategic asset: fear.</li>
</ul>
<p><a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/11/iran-war-live-tehran-says-us-israel-hit-nearly-10000-civilian-sites" rel="nofollow"><strong>READ MORE:</strong> Hormuz fears spike; Israel kills 19 in Lebanon; Gulf states face Iran raids</a></p>
<p>Wars are rarely fought only on battlefields. They are also fought in the minds of societies, in the perception of power and vulnerability, and in the political imagination of entire regions.</p>
<p>Israel understood this principle early in its history, and psychological dominance became a central component of its military doctrine.</p>
<p>From the earliest years of the Zionist project, the idea that power must appear overwhelming was openly articulated. In 1923, the Revisionist Zionist leader Ze’ev Jabotinsky wrote in his famous essay <em>The Iron Wall</em> that Zionism would only succeed once the indigenous population became convinced that resistance was hopeless.</p>
<p>Only when Palestinians realised they could not defeat the Zionist project, he argued, would they accept its permanence.</p>
<p><strong>The Nakba reflected the logic</strong><br />The events surrounding the Nakba of 1947–48 reflected this logic. Between 800,000 and 900,000 Palestinians were expelled or forced to flee their homes, as hundreds of villages were destroyed or depopulated.</p>
<p>The expulsions occurred through a combination of direct military assault, forced displacement, and the collapse of Palestinian society under war.</p>
<p>Massacres played a crucial role in spreading fear. The killings at Deir Yassin in April 1948, in which more than 100 civilians were killed by Zionist militias, quickly reverberated across Palestine. But Deir Yassin was only one among many massacres that occurred during that period.</p>
<p>Killings in places such as Lydda, Tantura, Safsaf, and numerous other villages contributed to a climate of terror that accelerated the depopulation of Palestinian communities.</p>
<p>The psychological impact of these events was enormous. News of massacres spread from village to village, convincing many Palestinians that remaining in their homes meant risking annihilation.</p>
<p>The lesson was clear: war could function not only as a tool of conquest but as an instrument of psychological domination.</p>
<p><strong>The Doctrine of Fear</strong><br />Over time, this approach evolved into a broader strategic culture that emphasised deterrence through overwhelming violence. Israel’s wars were designed not only to defeat enemies militarily but to reinforce a perception that resistance against Israel would always end in devastating consequences.</p>
<p>Israeli leaders have frequently expressed this philosophy openly. In the early years of the state, Moshe Dayan, one of Israel’s most influential military figures, famously declared that Israelis must be prepared to live by the sword.</p>
<p>The remark captured the belief that Israel’s survival depended on constant readiness to use force and on maintaining a reputation for military ruthlessness.</p>
<p>Decades later, Israeli leaders continued to frame the country’s identity in similar terms. In the mid-2000s, former Prime Minister Ehud Barak described Israel as a “villa in the jungle,” a phrase that reflected a worldview in which Israel saw itself as a fortified island of civilisation surrounded by hostile and supposedly barbaric surroundings.</p>
<p>This perception reinforced the idea that Israel must always project overwhelming strength. Any sign of weakness, according to this logic, would invite attack.</p>
<p>The doctrine took more concrete form in the early 21st century. During the 2006 war in Lebanon, Israeli strategists articulated what later became known as the Dahiya Doctrine, named after the Beirut suburb that was heavily bombed during the conflict.</p>
<p>The doctrine advocated massive and disproportionate force against civilian infrastructure associated with resistance movements.</p>
<p>The purpose was not only to destroy military targets but to inflict such devastation that entire societies would be deterred from supporting resistance groups.</p>
<p>A similar philosophy guided Israel’s repeated wars on Gaza. Israeli strategists began referring to these periodic campaigns as “mowing the grass.” The phrase suggested that Palestinian resistance could never be permanently eliminated but could be periodically weakened through short and devastating military operations designed to restore Israeli deterrence.</p>
<p>For decades, this strategy appeared to work. Israel’s military superiority, combined with unwavering American support, reinforced an image of invincibility that shaped political calculations across the Middle East.</p>
<p>But psychological dominance depends on belief, and belief can erode.</p>
<p><strong>Gaza and the crisis of deterrence</strong><br />The first major rupture in Israel’s aura of invincibility occurred in May 2000, when Israel withdrew from southern Lebanon after years of occupation and sustained resistance from Hezbollah. Across the Arab world, the withdrawal was widely interpreted as the first time Israel had been forced to retreat under military pressure.</p>
<p>Israel attempted to restore its dominance in the 2006 Lebanon war, but the outcome again challenged the image of decisive Israeli military superiority. Despite massive bombardment and ground operations, Hezbollah remained intact and continued to launch rockets until the final days of the conflict.</p>
<p>Yet the most profound blow to Israel’s psychological doctrine occurred decades later with the events surrounding October 7 and the war that followed.</p>
<p>Israel’s response to October 7 was the devastating Gaza genocide. Hundreds of thousands of Palestinians were killed or wounded, and nearly the entire Strip was destroyed,</p>
<p>The scale of violence was unprecedented even by the standards of previous Israeli wars on Gaza. Yet the objective was not merely military retaliation or collective punishment. It was also an attempt to restore the psychological balance that Israel believed had been shattered.</p>
<p>This logic had been expressed years earlier by Israeli leaders. During Israel’s earlier war on Gaza in 2008–09, then-Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni openly suggested that Israel must respond in a way that demonstrates overwhelming force: When Israel is attacked, “it responds by going wild — and this is a good thing”.</p>
<p>In other words, war itself functioned as psychological theatre. But the Gaza genocide produced a very different outcome.</p>
<p><strong>The myth begins to collapse</strong><br />Modern wars unfold not only through military operations but through images that circulate instantly across the world. During the Gaza genocide, countless videos spread across social media showing Israeli armoured vehicles — including the once-feared Merkava tanks — being struck by relatively simple Palestinian anti-tank weapons.</p>
<p>For generations, Israel’s military power had been associated with technological invincibility. Suddenly, millions of viewers were witnessing something entirely different: a powerful army struggling against resistance fighters operating under siege conditions.</p>
<p>The war on Iran has intensified this psychological transformation.</p>
<p>For decades, Israeli society — and much of the region — believed that Israel’s territory was protected by an almost impenetrable defensive shield. The sight of waves of Iranian missiles striking targets inside Israel has therefore carried enormous symbolic weight.</p>
<p>These images challenge one of the most deeply embedded assumptions in Middle Eastern politics: that Israel is militarily untouchable.</p>
<p>At the same time, other actors are exploiting this shift in perception. Hezbollah continues to maintain significant military capabilities despite repeated Israeli attacks. Palestinian resistance groups remain active despite the devastation of Gaza.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Ansarallah in Yemen has disrupted shipping routes in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, demonstrating how even non-state actors can reshape strategic realities.</p>
<p><strong>Existential frame</strong><br />Israeli leaders themselves increasingly frame the current confrontation as existential. Benjamin Netanyahu has repeatedly described the war as a struggle for Israel’s survival, echoing earlier language about living by the sword.</p>
<p>Yet the deeper crisis may not be purely military. Israel remains one of the most heavily armed states in the world. But the aura of invincibility that once magnified that power is fading.</p>
<p>Once fear begins to disappear, restoring it becomes extraordinarily difficult.</p>
<p>And that may be the most important consequence of the war on Iran — not the destruction it produces, but the collapse of the psychological doctrine that sustained Israeli power for decades.</p>
<p><em><a href="https://www.palestinechronicle.com/writers/ramzy-baroud/" rel="nofollow">Dr Ramzy Baroud</a> is a journalist, author and the editor of The Palestine Chronicle. He is the author of eight books. His latest book, Before the Flood, was published by Seven Stories Press. His other books include Our Vision for Liberation, My Father was a Freedom Fighter and The Last Earth. Dr Baroud is a non-resident senior research fellow at the Center for Islam and Global Affairs (CIGA). This article was first published by The Palestine Chronicle and is republished here with permission. His website is <a href="http://www.ramzybaroud.net" rel="nofollow">www.ramzybaroud.net</a></em></p>
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		<title>Thousands of protesters in London demand end to US, Israeli war on Iran</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/08/thousands-of-protesters-in-london-demand-end-to-us-israeli-war-on-iran/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 06:15:05 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Thousands of British anti-war demonstrators yesterday marched through central London, calling for an immediate halt to US and Israeli military operations against Iran and an end to arms sales to Israel, Anadolu Ajansi reports. According to the Manchester Evening News, the protest drew between 5000 and 6000 participants, based on estimates from the Metropolitan Police. ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thousands of British anti-war demonstrators yesterday marched through central London, calling for an immediate halt to US and Israeli military operations against Iran and an end to arms sales to Israel, <a href="https://www.aa.com.tr/en" rel="nofollow">Anadolu Ajansi reports</a><em>.</em></p>
<p>According to the <em>Manchester Evening News</em>, the protest drew between 5000 and 6000 participants, based on estimates from the Metropolitan Police.</p>
<p>The rally began at Millbank near Victoria Tower Gardens at noon and was organised by a coalition of activist groups, including the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament (CND), Stop the War Coalition and the Palestine Solidarity Campaign.</p>
<p>Protesters marched toward the US Embassy carrying placards reading “Stop Trump’s Wars” and “No War on Iran,” while others waved Iranian and Palestinian flags.</p>
<p>Some demonstrators also carried portraits of Iran’s late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.</p>
<p>Organisers described the military strikes as “illegal” and warned that escalating conflict could place millions of civilians at risk across the Middle East.</p>
<p>Chris Nineham, vice-chair of the Stop the War Coalition, said the situation represented one of “the most dangerous global moments in decades.”</p>
<p><strong>‘Murder and mayhem’</strong><br />“[US President Donald] Trump and [Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu are creating murder and mayhem across the Middle East,” Nineham said in a video posted on social media from the protest.</p>
<p>“They are risking spreading war across the Middle East, and they are creating the conditions of volatility and instability around the world, and what is disgraceful is that our government is allowing British bases to be used to promote this mayhem.”</p>
<p>He added that many people in Britain opposed the war and called for a broad and vocal movement to mobilise against the conflict and advocate for peace.</p>
<p>Tensions in the Middle East have escalated since the US and Israel launched a large-scale attack on Iran on February 28, killing more than 1300 people, including Khamenei and more than 165 schoolgirls, and senior military officials.</p>
<p>Iran has retaliated with sweeping barrages of its own that have targeted US bases, diplomatic facilities, and military personnel across the region, as well as multiple Israeli cities. At least 11 Israelis have been killed.</p>
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		<title>After a sports hall in Iran was bombed, witnesses describe chaos and ‘continuous screaming’</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/02/after-a-sports-hall-in-iran-was-bombed-witnesses-describe-chaos-and-continuous-screaming/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 01:15:12 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[By Mahmoud Aslan in Lamerd, southern Iran Dozens of teenage girls were attending their regular training sessions of volleyball, basketball, and gymnastics in the main sports hall in Lamerd, a city near the Persian coast, when a missile slammed into the building at 5pm on Saturday. Additional strikes hit two nearby residential areas and a ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>By Mahmoud Aslan in Lamerd, southern Iran</em></p>
<p>Dozens of teenage girls were attending their regular training sessions of volleyball, basketball, and gymnastics in the main sports hall in Lamerd, a city near the Persian coast, when a missile slammed into the building at 5pm on Saturday.</p>
<p>Additional strikes hit two nearby residential areas and a hall adjacent to a school, as the US and Israel pounded targets across Iran on the first day of what President Donald Trump declared as a “regime change” war.</p>
<p>According to local officials cited in Iranian state media, the strikes on Lamerd killed at least 18 civilians and wounded scores more.</p>
<p>“Within seconds of the missile strike, the windows shattered into thousands of fragments. Sports equipment, balls, tables, barriers flew through the air. Black smoke filled the space,” Mohammed Saed Khorshedy, a 29-year-old worker at the gym who witnessed the attack, told Drop Site News.</p>
<p>“The smell of gunpowder made breathing almost impossible. The screaming began immediately, layered with the sound of debris collapsing and concrete falling from the ceiling.”</p>
<p>The facility sits on the outskirts of Lamerd, a quiet city in Fars province, near the surrounding Zagros mountain range, giving the natural landscape an uneven, rugged character.</p>
<p><strong>Gym building at crossroads</strong><br />The rectangular building is at a crossroads connecting the city center to Bandar Assaluyeh, an industrial port and energy hub on the Persian Gulf.</p>
<p>The sports hall was poorly maintained, with deteriorating walls surrounded by a low perimeter fence. A high arched metal roof sat atop a reinforced concrete frame and a rubber floor for volleyball and other sports.</p>
<p>The missile struck the middle of the roof, destroying a large part of the building. The main court, small spectator stands, changing rooms, and coach’s office were all reduced to rubble.</p>
<p>Hossein Gholami, a 50-year-old elementary school teacher, was returning from work when he heard the blast. His 16-year-old daughter, Zahra, was training in the hall.</p>
<p>“I noticed a strange gathering of people at the corner of the street leading to the sports hall,” Gholami told Drop Site.</p>
<p>“The screaming was rising from a distance. A colleague ran toward me, waving his arm, and said in a shaken voice: ‘Zahra, the hall, there has been an explosion.’</p>
<p>“I felt as though the ground had split beneath my feet. Everything around me became hazy,” he said. “I ran immediately, and with every step the columns of black smoke rose higher, while the smell of fire and flames entered my nose with force.”</p>
<p><strong>Scene of horror</strong><br />When he reached the site, he came upon a scene of horror.</p>
<p>“The continuous screaming of the injured mixed with the sounds of secondary explosions. The ground was covered in debris and shattered glass. It was difficult to move with all the rubble. Ambulances arrived after about twenty minutes, but most of the injured were in critical condition,” he said.</p>
<p>“The smell of blood and burns covered everything…the survivors were injured with fractures and burns from the shrapnel.”</p>
<p>Later, he learned that Zahra was among the dead.</p>
<p>“Every time I close my eyes I see her face, her smile, and I hear the sound of the explosion,” Gholami said.</p>
<p>There has been no public statement by the US or Israeli on the Lamerd strikes.</p>
<p>CENTCOM and the Israeli military did not immediately respond to a request for comment.</p>
<p><strong>165 killed – many schoolgirls</strong><br />The bombing of the sports hall in Lamerd came hours after a strike on a <a href="https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/iran-minab-elementary-girls-school-bombing-schoolgirls-killed-us-israel-war" rel="" rel="nofollow">girls’ elementary school</a> in Minab, another small city on the Persian Gulf, further east near the Strait of Hormuz, that, according to the state-run IRNA news agency, killed 165 people, many of them schoolgirls.</p>
<p>Neither the US nor Israel claimed that strike. The Israeli military said it was not aware of strikes in the area of Minab; CENTCOM’s spokesperson said they were “looking into” reports.</p>
<p>Another strike hit an adjacent IRGC naval base and the USS <em>Abraham Lincoln</em> is stationed nearby.</p>
<p>The governor of Lamerd said “The United States and the Zionist regime fired missiles at the sports hall while female students were playing inside,” according to the Fars news agency.</p>
<p>As of Sunday morning, the Iranian Red Crescent and state-linked media have reported preliminary casualty figures of more than 200 people killed and more than 740 injured across Iran, though the actual toll is expected to be significantly higher.</p>
<p>Iran launched retaliatory strikes across nine countries in the region: Israel, Bahrain, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, with a total of 18 killed, including three US servicemen, according to a tally by Al Jazeera.</p>
<p>Mir Dehdasht, an administrative officer at Azad university whose 15-year-old daughter Rabab Dehdasht was training at the sports hall, was at home when a neighbour knocked on his door to tell him the facility had been attacked.</p>
<p><strong>‘Their voices were deafening’</strong><br />“I ran immediately toward the place, and when I arrived, I found burning cars and rubble scattered everywhere,” Dehdasht told Drop Site. “The injured were bleeding heavily, some had lost consciousness on the ground, others were screaming without stopping.</p>
<p>“Their voices were deafening.”</p>
<p>He continued: “Blood and dust covered everything, and the rubble blocked quick access to the building. Rescue teams were working with extreme care to bring out the injured athletes and the bodies of the victims.</p>
<p>“The screaming filled everything,” he said. “Robab did not survive the force of the explosion, while others survived but with life-threatening injuries. I felt complete helplessness.”</p>
<p>Farhad Za’eri, a retired Ministry of Health employee, received the news of the strike by phone. His 16-year-old daughter Elahe, was also there.</p>
<p>“I left immediately with some neighbors. The roads were unusually congested and there was a sense of anxiety throughout the neighborhood,” Za’eri told Drop Site. “When we arrived, the rescue teams were already there and they had begun bringing out the bodies one by one.”</p>
<p>“I did not know what I would see,” he continued, “but when I got close to the place where they were bringing out the victims, I felt a heaviness in my chest.</p>
<p><strong>‘Mark of pain’</strong><br />“Every body that was lifted carried the mark of pain, and the rescue effort was trying to distinguish between those who could still be saved and those whose lives had ended,” he said.</p>
<p>“There were voices from every direction, everyone was trying to understand what had happened. In that moment, everything inside me was silent, and I was waiting for them to tell me about my daughter Elahe.”</p>
<p>Elahe’s body was eventually brought out. “My daughter’s body was completely destroyed. It appears she was directly hit by the strike. The lower part of her body was completely destroyed,” Za’eri said.</p>
<p>“How can a father describe what he feels when he sees his child like this? All my memories of her, her laugh, her training, her dreams, collapsed before my eyes in a single moment.”</p>
<p><em>This articles was published first by Drop Site News in collaboration with <a href="https://www.egab.co/" rel="" rel="nofollow">Egab</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>Fiji, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu issue advisories amid US-Israeli strikes on Iran</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/02/fiji-solomon-islands-vanuatu-issue-advisories-amid-us-israeli-strikes-on-iran/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 00:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/02/fiji-solomon-islands-vanuatu-issue-advisories-amid-us-israeli-strikes-on-iran/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[RNZ Pacific The governments of Fiji, Solomon Islands and Vanuatu have issued advisories for their nationals in the Middle East to remain calm and take the necessary precautions due to US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Fiji’s Embassy in Abu Dhabi said Fijian nationals who were not residents of the United Arab Emirates should register with the ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/" rel="nofollow"><em>RNZ Pacific</em></a></p>
<p>The governments of Fiji, Solomon Islands and Vanuatu have issued advisories for their nationals in the Middle East to remain calm and take the necessary precautions due to <a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/world/588324/live-israel-says-its-airforce-strikes-iran-again-iran-continues-to-retaliate" rel="nofollow">US-Israeli airstrikes on Iran</a>.</p>
<p>Fiji’s Embassy in Abu Dhabi said Fijian nationals who were not residents of the United Arab Emirates should register with the embassy as soon as possible amid airspace closures in the Gulf Cooperation Council region.</p>
<p>The embassy said registration would allow them to offer necessary consular support and maintain situational awareness of Fijian nationals in-country.</p>
<p>The Solomon Islands Foreign Affairs Ministry has advised all its nationals not to travel to the region until further notice.</p>
<p>“Solomon Islanders residing in the Gulf Region and Israel are urged to take necessary precautions, remain calm, follow host country authorities, and monitor reliable updates,” the ministry said in a statement.</p>
<p>While the Vanuatu government is advising its nationals and passport holders that the situation “is extremely volatile and unpredictable” and those caught in affected areas should “make immediate arrangements to depart if possible”.</p>
<p>“Stay informed about local conditions and register with the Vanuatu Ministry of Foreign Affairs if you’re planning to travel to affected areas,” the Vanuatu Foreign Ministry said.</p>
<p><span class="credit"><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em>.</span></p>
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		<title>Luxon defends NZ’s position on Iran attacks – same as Australia</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/03/02/luxon-defends-nzs-position-on-iran-attacks-same-as-australia/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2026 22:15:57 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[RNZ News Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says New Zealand’s stance on the United States and Israeli bombing of Iran mirrors that of Australia. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said the government supported the United States acting to stop Iran acquiring nuclear weapons. A statement by Luxon and Foreign Minister Winston Peters yesterday “acknowledges” the strikes. ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/" rel="nofollow"><em>RNZ News</em></a></p>
<p>Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says New Zealand’s stance on the United States and Israeli bombing of Iran mirrors that of Australia.</p>
<p>Australian Prime Minister <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-02-28/australian-government-responds-to-united-states-attack-on-iran/106401108" rel="nofollow">Anthony Albanese said</a> the government supported the United States acting to stop Iran acquiring nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>A statement by Luxon and Foreign Minister Winston Peters yesterday “acknowledges” the strikes.</p>
<p>Asked on RNZ’s <em>Morning Report</em> whether New Zealand supported the attacks, Luxon repeatedly refused to say the word, but said it condemned the Iranian regime as evil and as having claimed countless lives.</p>
<p>“We think Iran has been repressing its own people. We think it’s been arming proxies and terrorist organisations. We think it has been developing its ballistic and nuclear programmes and years of diplomacy hasn’t actually paid any fruits,” he said.</p>
<p>“We understand fully why the Americans and Israelis have undertaken the independent action that they have taken to make sure Iran can’t threaten people.”</p>
<p>Pressed on whether the strikes were legally right, Luxon said it would be up to the US and Israel to explain the legal basis for their attacks.</p>
<p><strong>NZ should back international rules</strong><br />Former Prime Minister Helen Cark has <a href="https://asiapacificreport.nz/2026/03/01/critics-say-weak-nz-response-over-us-israel-attacks-on-iran-a-disgrace/" rel="nofollow">called the government’s stance a “disgrace”</a> and says New Zealand should support a rules-based international order.</p>
<p>Luxon said what was disgraceful was the repressive Iranian regime which had killed thousands of its own people who had taken to the streets calling for freedoms.</p>
<p>“Iran has been a destabilising force. It has supported armed proxies throughout the region. It has seen tens of thousands of people murdered by own government, who were asking for freedom and rights.”</p>
<p><a href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/world-leaders-react-cautiously-to-u-s-and-israeli-strikes-on-iran" rel="nofollow">Australia and Canada have openly supported the strikes on Iran</a>.</p>
<p>In a statement on Sunday, Luxon and Foreign Affairs Minister and Winston Peters said New Zealand had consistently condemned Iran’s nuclear programme and its “destabilising activities” in the region and “acknowledged” the strikes.</p>
<p>“Iran has, for decades, defied the will and expectations of the international community. The legitimacy of a government rests on the support of its people. The Iranian regime has long since lost that support,” they said.</p>
<div>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Former NZ prime minister Helen Clark at opposition Labour Party leader Chris Hipkins’ state of the nation speech last week. Image: RNZ/Marika Khabazi</figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>“In this context, we acknowledge that the actions taken overnight by the US and Israel were designed to prevent Iran from continuing to threaten international peace and security.”</p>
<p>Luxon and Peters condemned in the “strongest terms Iran’s indiscriminate retaliatory attacks” on neighbouring states.</p>
<p>The statement also said “we call for a resumption of negotiations and adherence to international law.”</p>
<p><strong>Call out illegal strike</strong><br />Clark told <em>Morning Report</em> said the statement was a disgrace.</p>
<p>“What was wrong with it was it didn’t call out the illegal strike against Iran in the middle of diplomatic negotiations “which were going quite well and further talks were scheduled,” she said.</p>
<p>“The whole point of international law is to put rules around when force is legitimate.”</p>
<p>“A strike is justified if there is an imminent threat of attack, which clearly there was not.”</p>
<p>She said the initial strikes by the US and Israel violated international law.</p>
<p>“The New Zealand government seems only interested in the Iranian retaliation and not looking at the reason for the retaliation, which was the attack by the United States and Israel,” she said.</p>
<p>“I think it’s consistent with a steady drift in New Zealand foreign policy to realign strongly with the United States, which at this particular time seems even more questionable as a strategy.”</p>
<p>“We’re not putting a stake in the ground in defence of the international rule of law.”</p>
<p><span class="credit"><em>This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ</em>.</span></p>
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		<title>Open letter: Seven warning signals to the global warmongers who are claiming to lead</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/01/30/open-letter-seven-warning-signals-to-the-global-warmongers-who-are-claiming-to-lead/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2026 10:16:10 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Richard David Hames Dear warmongers: You are sleepwalking towards a war in the Middle East that could set the whole world ablaze. Do not pretend you don’t know this. Your generals know it. Your intelligence agencies know it. Financial markets know it. Every citizen with a memory longer than a news cycle can ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Richard David Hames</em></p>
<p><em>Dear warmongers:</em></p>
<p>You are sleepwalking towards a war in the Middle East that could set the whole world ablaze. Do not pretend you don’t know this.</p>
<p>Your generals know it. Your intelligence agencies know it. Financial markets know it. Every citizen with a memory longer than a news cycle can feel it in their bones.</p>
<p>This is an open <em>letter</em> from a species that wishes to survive. I will be blunt.</p>
<p><strong>1. Halt all preparations for a war of choice against Iran or any other state in the region.</strong> Freeze strike planning. Pull back offensive deployments. If you really have evidence of an imminent threat, present it to independent, technically competent, international scrutiny. If you will not do that, the world is entitled to assume this is a manufactured crisis.</p>
<p><strong>2. Put in place binding, monitored arrangements to stop accidents turning into cataclysms:</strong> naval and air incident protocols, hotlines that actually work, rules of engagement that favour restraint, not bravado. If you cannot even agree to that, you are not avoiding war — you are courting it.</p>
<p><strong>3. Stop playing God with other people’s governments.</strong> Regime‑change schemes — whether by bombing, sanctions that strangle civilians, or covert destabilisation — have left a trail of wrecked societies across the Middle East and beyond. You know the record. You just refuse to learn from it.</p>
<p><strong>4. If you possess nuclear weapons, stop using them as toys for your vanity.</strong> Commit — publicly, in law — to never being the first to use them. Make it clear that any nuclear use by anyone, anywhere, will be treated as an unforgivable crime. If you cannot do even that, your talk of “values” is a sick joke.</p>
<p><strong>5. Choke off the money pipeline that keeps this war machine humming:</strong> end the revolving door between government and arms manufacturers, subject major arms sales to real global oversight, and stop treating conflict as a business model. As long as war pays, someone will always be lobbying for it.</p>
<p><strong>6. Admit that your own house is not in order.</strong> Societies riven by inequality, corruption and polarisation are more prone to lash out abroad. Fix the rot at home instead of reaching for foreign enemies to distract your populations.</p>
<p><strong>7. Above all, drop the delusion that domination is leadership.</strong> Real leadership today is the courage to restrain your own power when using it would shatter the fragile systems that keep all of us alive.</p>
<p>You are not emperors. You are temporary stewards of a civilisation perched on the edge of multiple tipping points, and you’re not any good at that either.</p>
<p>If you drag us into yet another avoidable war, with nuclear forces in the background, you are gambling with everything that breathes.</p>
<p>So here it is, without poetry or excuse:</p>
<p>Step back from your stupidity. Submit your claims to scrutiny. Rein in your war machines. Protect those who speak truth. Treat nuclear weapons as the abomination they are. Stop feeding the economy of perpetual conflict.</p>
<p>If you cannot do that, then you only have the right to call yourselves fools.<br /><em><br /><a href="https://substack.com/@richarddavidhames" rel="nofollow">Richard David Hames</a> is an Australian philosopher-activist, strategic adviser, entrepreneur and futurist, and he publishes The Hames Report on Substack.</em></p>
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		<title>Why manufacturing consent for war with Iran failed this time</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2025/06/29/why-manufacturing-consent-for-war-with-iran-failed-this-time/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Jun 2025 04:20:48 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[COMMENTARY: By Ahmad Ibsais On June 22, American warplanes crossed into Iranian airspace and dropped 14 massive bombs. The attack was not in response to a provocation; it came on the heels of illegal Israeli aggression that took the lives of more than 600 Iranians. This was a return to something familiar and well-practised: an ]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Ahmad Ibsais</em></p>
<p>On June 22, American warplanes crossed into Iranian airspace and dropped 14 massive bombs.</p>
<p>The attack was not in response to a provocation; it came on the heels of illegal Israeli aggression that took the lives of more than 600 Iranians.</p>
<p>This was a return to something familiar and well-practised: an empire bombing innocents across the orientalist abstraction called “the Middle East”.</p>
<p>That night, US President Donald Trump, flanked by his vice-president and two state secretaries, told the world: “Iran, the bully of the Middle East, must now make peace”.</p>
<p>There is something chilling about how bombs are baptised with the language of diplomacy and how destruction is dressed in the garments of stability. To call that peace is not merely a misnomer; it is a criminal distortion.</p>
<p>But what is peace in this world, if not submission to the West? And what is diplomacy, if not the insistence that the attacked plead with their attackers?</p>
<p>In the 12 days that Israel’s illegal assault on Iran lasted, images of Iranian children pulled from the wreckage remained absent from the front pages of Western media. In their place were lengthy features about Israelis hiding in fortified bunkers.</p>
<p><strong>Victimhood serving narrative</strong><br />Western media, fluent in the language of erasure, broadcasts only the victimhood that serves the war narrative.</p>
<p>And that is not just in its coverage of Iran. For 20 months now, the people of Gaza have been starved and incinerated. By the official count, more than 55,000 lives have been taken; realistic estimates put the number at hundreds of thousands.</p>
<p>Every hospital in Gaza has been bombed. Most schools have been attacked and destroyed.</p>
<p>Leading human rights groups like Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch have already declared that Israel is committing genocide, and yet, most Western media would not utter that word and would add elaborate caveats when someone does dare say it live on TV.</p>
<p>Presenters and editors would do anything but recognise Israel’s unending violence in an active voice.</p>
<p>Despite detailed evidence of war crimes, the Israeli military has faced no media censure, no criticism or scrutiny. Its generals hold war meetings near civilian buildings, and yet, there are no media cries of Israelis being used as “human shields”.</p>
<p>Israeli army and government officials are regularly caught lying or making genocidal statements, and yet, their words are still reported as “the truth”.</p>
<p><strong>Bias over Palestinian deaths</strong><br />A recent study found that on the BBC, Israeli deaths received 33 times more coverage per fatality than Palestinian deaths, despite Palestinians dying at a rate of 34 to 1 compared with Israelis. Such bias is no exception, it is the rule for Western media.</p>
<p>Like Palestine, Iran is described in carefully chosen language. Iran is never framed as a nation, only as a regime. Iran is not a government, but a threat — not a people, but a problem.</p>
<p>The word “Islamic” is affixed to it like a slur in every report. This is instrumental in quietly signalling that Muslim resistance to Western domination must be extinguished.</p>
<p>Iran does not possess nuclear weapons; Israel and the United States do. And yet only Iran is cast as an existential threat to world order.</p>
<p>Because the problem is not what Iran holds, but what it refuses to surrender. It has survived coups, sanctions, assassinations, and sabotage. It has outlived every attempt to starve, coerce, or isolate it into submission.</p>
<p>It is a state that, despite the violence hurled at it, has not yet been broken.</p>
<p>And so the myth of the threat of weapons of mass destruction becomes indispensable. It is the same myth that was used to justify the illegal invasion of Iraq. For three decades, American headlines have whispered that Iran is just “weeks away” from the bomb, three decades of deadlines that never arrive, of predictions that never materialise.</p>
<p><strong>Fear over false ‘nuclear threat’</strong><br />But fear, even when unfounded, is useful. If you can keep people afraid, you can keep them quiet. Say “nuclear threat” often enough, and no one will think to ask about the children killed in the name of “keeping the world safe”.</p>
<p>This is the modus operandi of Western media: a media architecture not built to illuminate truth, but to manufacture permission for violence, to dress state aggression in technical language and animated graphics, to anaesthetise the public with euphemisms.</p>
<p><em>Time Magazine</em> does not write about the crushed bones of innocents under the rubble in Tehran or Rafah, it writes about “The New Middle East” with a cover strikingly similar to the one it used to propagandise regime change in Iraq 22 years ago.</p>
<p>But this is not 2003. After decades of war, and livestreamed genocide, most Americans no longer buy into the old slogans and distortions. When Israel attacked Iran, a poll showed that only 16 percent of US respondents supported the US joining the war.</p>
<p>After Trump ordered the air strikes, another poll confirmed this resistance to manufactured consent: only 36 percent of respondents supported the move, and only 32 percent supported continuing the bombardment</p>
<p>The failure to manufacture consent for war with Iran reveals a profound shift in the American consciousness. Americans remember the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq that left hundreds of thousands of Afghans and Iraqis dead and an entire region in flames. They remember the lies about weapons of mass destruction and democracy and the result: the thousands of American soldiers dead and the tens of thousands maimed.</p>
<p>They remember the humiliating retreat from Afghanistan after 20 years of war and the never-ending bloody entanglement in Iraq.</p>
<p><strong>Low social justice spending</strong><br />At home, Americans are told there is no money for housing, healthcare, or education, but there is always money for bombs, for foreign occupations, for further militarisation. More than 700,000 Americans are homeless, more than 40 million live under the official poverty line and more than 27 million have no health insurance.</p>
<p>And yet, the US government maintains by far the highest defence budget in the world.</p>
<p>Americans know the precarity they face at home, but they are also increasingly aware of the impact US imperial adventurism has abroad. For 20 months now, they have watched a US-sponsored genocide broadcast live.</p>
<p>They have seen countless times on their phones bloodied Palestinian children pulled from rubble while mainstream media insists, this is Israeli “self-defence”.</p>
<p>The old alchemy of dehumanising victims to excuse their murder has lost its power. The digital age has shattered the monopoly on narrative that once made distant wars feel abstract and necessary. Americans are now increasingly refusing to be moved by the familiar war drumbeat.</p>
<p>The growing fractures in public consent have not gone unnoticed in Washington. Trump, ever the opportunist, understands that the American public has no appetite for another war.</p>
<p><strong>‘Don’t drop bombs’</strong><br />And so, on June 24, he took to social media to announce, “the ceasefire is in effect”, telling Israel to “DO NOT DROP THOSE BOMBS,” after the Israeli army continued to attack Iran.</p>
<p>Trump, like so many in the US and Israeli political elites, wants to call himself a peacemaker while waging war. To leaders like him, peace has come to mean something altogether different: the unimpeded freedom to commit genocide and other atrocities while the world watches on.</p>
<p>But they have failed to manufacture our consent. We know what peace is, and it does not come dressed in war. It is not dropped from the sky.</p>
<p>Peace can only be achieved where there is freedom. And no matter how many times they strike, the people remain, from Palestine to Iran — unbroken, unbought, and unwilling to kneel to terror.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/author/ahmad_ibsais_190919183810495" rel="nofollow"><em>Ahmad Ibsais</em></a> <em>is a first-generation Palestinian American and law student who writes the newsletter State of Siege.</em></p>
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<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>
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