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		<title>Nuclear – now climate change: New book on how great powers have plagued the Pacific</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/22/nuclear-now-climate-change-new-book-on-how-great-powers-have-plagued-the-pacific/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2026 08:15:19 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Updated research has shown up lingering headaches over the impacts of decades-long nuclear testing in the Pacific islands and interventions of outside powers, amid growing threats from climate change, writes Dr Lee Duffield. REVIEW: By Lee Duffield The journalist, professor and peace activist Dr David Robie, was one of a media party on the ill-fated ... <a title="Nuclear – now climate change: New book on how great powers have plagued the Pacific" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/22/nuclear-now-climate-change-new-book-on-how-great-powers-have-plagued-the-pacific/" aria-label="Read more about Nuclear – now climate change: New book on how great powers have plagued the Pacific">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Updated research has shown up lingering headaches over the impacts of decades-long nuclear testing in the Pacific islands and interventions of outside powers, amid growing threats from climate change, writes <a href="https://independentaustralia.net/profile-on/lee-duffield,694" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Dr Lee Duffield</a>.</em></p>
<p><strong>REVIEW:</strong> <em>By Lee Duffield</em></p>
<p>The journalist, professor and peace activist Dr <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Robie" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">David Robie</a>, was one of a media party on the ill-fated voyage of the Greenpeace ship <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rainbow_Warrior_(1955)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow"><em>Rainbow Warrior</em></a> in 1985, before its sinking by French security operatives in Auckland Harbour.</p>
<p>He wrote a definitive book about the lead-up in the region to the fatal sinking of the ship with limpet mines; unmasking of the plot made in Paris; attempts to obtain justice and a long aftermath with demands for empowerment by former “colonial” people to prevent such outrages in their island homelands.</p>
<p>The book is <a href="https://eyes-of-fire.littleisland.co.nz/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow"><em>Eyes of Fire</em></a>, first published in 1986, then successively updated as the story unfolded, with new facts and consequences of the outrage coming to light.</p>
<p>It ran to three revised editions, the latest out now to commemorate 40 years since the attack took place. It therefore marked 40 years since the death of the Greenpeace photographer <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fernando_Pereira" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Fernando Pereira</a>, a Portuguese-born Dutch national, aged 35, father of two children, Marelle and Paul, drowned on board after the second of two blasts that hit the ship.</p>
<p><em>Eyes of Fire</em> is a highly professional work of journalism, built out of investigation and documentation of facts, then fashioned into an accessible read; illustrated also with easy-to-comprehend maps and diagrams, showing where the ship travelled and where the bombs were planted against its hull, plus photographs from a copious accumulation built up as the Greenpeace movement generated publicity for its actions worldwide.</p>
<figure id="attachment_121812" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-121812" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-121812" class="wp-caption-text">New Zealand author David Robie . . . “a call to conscience . . . I hope it helps inspire others, especially younger people, to get out there and really take action.” Image: The Australia Today montage</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>Voyage of the Rainbow Warrior<br /></strong> One section describes the <em>Rainbow Warrior</em>, appreciatively and affectionately: a former fisheries research vessel, a trawler type, 50-metres in length, with some difficulty converted for sail as well as power, made into a <em>“proud campaign ship”</em>, painted a strong green with a long rainbow-emblem along the sides.</p>
<blockquote readability="7">
<p><em>‘The wheelhouse was rather lumpy and unattractive but the rest of the ship was appealing. She had a high North Sea prow, graceful sheerline and round-the-corner stern.’</em></p>
</blockquote>
<h5><strong>For the record…<br /></strong> The <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> sailed from Hawai’i on the Pacific Voyage — taking on board seven journalists and some leading figures from the Pacific communities, to the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marshall_Islands" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Marshall Islands</a> — where it evacuated the inhabitants of a nuclear afflicted island, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rongelap_Atoll" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Rongelap</a>, to an uninhabited island <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rongelap_Atoll" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Mejatto</a> on Kwajalein Atoll.</h5>
<h5>Pacific distances are great. They transported 350 people — with house lumber and belongings — in four trips, 250 km there and back.</h5>
<h5>The islanders were suffering from contamination by the infamous upwind explosion of the experimental thermonuclear weapon, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Castle_Bravo" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Castle Bravo</a>, in 1954 — causing thyroid disorders, cancers and constant miscarriages and birthing disorders.</h5>
<h5>Dissatisfied that health officials sent by the United States administration were more interested in research than care, they decided to leave. The key instigator was the late Marshall Islands legislator <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeton_Anjain" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Senator Jeton Anjain</a>. He was one of two Pacific Islands leaders with prominent roles in Robie’s narrative.</h5>
<p>The other was <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oscar_Temaru" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Oscar Temaru</a>, a nuclear-free town mayor in Tahiti, also elected as the territory’s President on five occasions.</p>
<p>Temaru, now 81, spoke for many when he said:</p>
<blockquote readability="5">
<p><em>“The sad truth is that the only ones who tried to help us are the Greenpeace ecologists…”</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>According to folklore among Greenpeace founders, a native American woman named “Eyes of Fire” told of a legend that where there was dispossession and despoilation of the land and culture, in time mythical warriors — deliverers — would come, who would mend and restore both. So the peaceship offering aid would be a “Rainbow Warrior”.</p>
<p>The author, Robie, in his news despatches for Radio New Zealand and other media (for which he was awarded the <a href="https://www.earthisland.org/journal/index.php/articles/entry/thirty_years_later_the_bombing_of_the_rainbow_warrior/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">1985 NZ Media Peace Prize</a>, judged the evacuation project a change for Greenpeace towards humanitarian work connected with environmental destruction:</p>
<blockquote readability="6">
<p><em>“This isn’t a game or the sort of action publicity stunt that Greenpeace would do so successfully.”</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>But the next part of the journey was another dramatic action, in Marshall Islands, at the US missile testing base on <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kwajalein_Atoll" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Kwajalein Atoll</a>. A party from the ship went ashore, got through perimeter wires and hoisted a banner inscribed “Stop Star Wars” onto a space tracking dome, escaping before the arrival of security guards.</p>
<p>The banner was a reference to the American <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strategic_Defense_Initiative" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Strategic Defence Initiative</a>, “Star Wars”, testing for which had increased the heavy traffic of missiles of different levels at the Kwajalein range (dubbed by the empire as the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ronald_Reagan_Ballistic_Missile_Defense_Test_Site" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Ronald Reagan Ballistic Missile Defense Site</a>).</p>
<p>The scene was then being set for the tragedy as the vessel made its way 5000 km to Auckland through friendly territory, calling in at <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kiribati" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Kiribati</a>, the country hosting the former <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christmas_Island" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Christmas Island</a> base for <a href="https://www.arpansa.gov.au/understanding-radiation/sources-radiation/more-radiation-sources/british-nuclear-weapons-testing" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">British nuclear tests</a> (1957-58), and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vanuatu" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Vanuatu</a>, where the leader of the then five year-old Republic, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Walter_Lini" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Father Walter Lini</a>, a champion for a nuclear free Pacific, organised a big public welcome.</p>
<p><strong>The strike<br /></strong> Celebration fitted the mood of the “Warrior” crew a lot of the time, in this account; a group of 11 skilled and idealistic younger people, sharing a mission they considered important to the world, and enjoying it as an adventure. They wanted to protect nature and promote peace, never violent, but charismatic, given to direct action, often enough dangerous.</p>
<p>They had others on board — in the case of David Robie, for an extended time, 11 days, time enough to get to know the characters and introduce them to readers in his book.</p>
<p>A further leg of the voyage was intended, to take them to <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moruroa" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Moruroa Atoll</a> — where France was continuing with underground nuclear testing — as flagship for a flotilla of protest boats. In the event, the flotilla sailed, led by another Greepeace ship, <em>Greenpeace III</em>. One boat was arrested penetrating the 12-kilometre territorial limit around the atoll, where a series of tests was about to begin.</p>
<p>The planned disruption of activities on Moruroa may have been the death warrant for <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> — a solution to the riddle of what purposes its destruction was supposed to serve.</p>
<p>As the ship made its way towards Auckland, two French infiltrators got to work in that City, penetrating the Greenpeace operation. A group of military divers from a training base in Corsica was <em>en route</em> to New Zealand on a charter boat and two officers of France’s security service, DGSE, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dominique_Prieur" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Dominique Prieur</a> and <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alain_Mafart" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Alain Mafart</a>, flew in under cover as a honeymoon couple.</p>
<p><em>Rainbow Warrior</em> came in on Sunday, 7 July 1985, surrounded by an escort of small boats and was sunk at the dock in shallow water just before midnight on 10 July.</p>
<p>Divers using an inflatable boat set off the two explosions. Prieur and Mafart were spotted picking up one of the divers on a beach by men doing night watch at their boat club, who got the number of their vehicle, enabling the police to apprehend them, and begin a tortured process to try and secure justice.</p>
<figure id="attachment_60541" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-60541" class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-60541" class="wp-caption-text">Photographer Fernando Pereira pictured at Rongelap Atoll  … killed in the 1985 attack on the Greenpeace ship Rainbow Warrior by French secret agents. Image: © David Robie</figcaption></figure>
<p><strong>Aftermath<br /></strong> Updating of the book takes in the negotiations over holding Prieur and Mafart, their eventual transfer to France and subsequent early release; the fate of other conspirators spirited home, promoted, decorated, “looked after” in early retirement; intensive and large scale work by the New Zealand police to find out about the charter boat carrying some of the divers, said to have transferred them onto a submarine, the <em>Rubis</em>; and investigative work by the French press to sheet home responsibility for the attack.</p>
<p>Very soon after <em>Rainbow Warrior</em> was sunk, the Defence Minister, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Hernu" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Charles Hernu</a>, was sacked and the head of the DGSE <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierre_Lacoste" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Admiral Pierre Lacoste</a> resigned. The book has a positive impression of the replacement Minister, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Quil%C3%A8s" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Paul Quiles</a> and the Prime Minister, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurent_Fabius" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Laurent Fabius</a>, who admitted the obvious — that it had been done by French agents and was apologetic.</p>
<p>Subsequent negotiations between New Zealand and France, under United Nations auspices were made very difficult; a formal apology was avoided for some time; eventually both New Zealand and Greenpeace received financial packages in compensation and exemplary damages.</p>
<p>After the 1996 death of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fran%C3%A7ois_Mitterrand" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">François Mitterrand</a>, French President at the time, an investigation by <em>Le Monde</em> turned up circumstantial evidence that he knew of the attack in advance and a statement by Lacoste that he had approved it. Fabius evidently had not known.</p>
<p>Mitterrand’s motive was said to have been <em>realpolitik —</em> to support nuclear deterrence against the Soviet Union in tandem with the US, which supplied France with highly strategic computer technology.</p>
<p><strong>Reviewer intercession…<br /></strong> Mitterrand, as a highly equivocal and manipulative politician, walked a tightrope, always watching his soft electoral margins — in this case knowing there was 60 percent support for nuclear testing in France.</p>
<p>In office for four years in 1985, it may have been a new government still failing to face down entrenched security identities, undisciplined, considering themselves to be “deep state”, attached to violent solutions, with potential to go rogue.</p>
<p>Most of Robie’s work here is a narrative, a strong true story, but it has space for analysis, and in particular registers the correlation between devastation brought by the nuclear testing, and colonial management and manipulation of islands affairs.</p>
<p>The post-war wave of independence had come to the Pacific, though not to French Polynesia nor New Caledonia. In addition, the United States still held its Micronesian dependencies in trust or, for Sovereign states, via signed compacts of free association, accompanied by substantial aid payments.</p>
<p>France’s position against independence is incentivised by maintaining colonies of more than 200,000 settlers; and in New Caledonia, the nickel deposits, around 15 percent of world resources, as well as the 200 kilometre territorial zone off the long coast of <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grande_Terre_(New_Caledonia)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Grande Terre</a> island, opening onto as yet unsurveyed undersea resources.</p>
<p>For the Americans, the priority has been both weapons testing and maintaining a strategic barrier against Russia, then China.</p>
<p><strong>Old problems, future challenges<br /></strong> These considerations help to address the always unanswered question of what the plotters thought they had to gain. The book suggests a clumsy and excessive attempt to stop the ship leading a flotilla to Moruroa Atoll as most likely.</p>
<p>It goes on to identify same-old patterns of resistance in latter-day moves, successful, to get better recognition of the impacts of nuclear contamination and in the moves through international forums — such as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, South Pacific Forum, United Nations agencies, the international courts — to get recognition and action on the impacts of climate change.</p>
<p>Pacific communities mindful of the rising seas, and other problems like impacts on sea-life, have struggled to get a hearing, finding, again, that “great powers” outside the region which hold resources that can help hold off the crisis, hold back their response.</p>
<p>Nuclear testing in the atmosphere was made to stop in 1974; tests underground on the atolls continued to 1996, leaving a very brief interregnum before global warming reared its head.</p>
<p>The current edition of <em>Eyes of Fire</em> has a prologue by <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Helen_Clark" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Helen Clark</a>, New Zealand Prime Minister from 1999-2008, a staunch keeper of the faith in a nuclear-free Pacific. Saying, <em>“storm clouds are gathering”</em>, she warns against renewed militarisation especially with Australia and perhaps other Pacific states acquiring nuclear submarines under the 2021 AUKUS agreement.</p>
<p>It is time for <em>“de-escalation, not for enthusiastic expansion of nuclear submarine fleets in the Pacific”</em>, writes Clark in her contribution to the new edition. With its peace policy, New Zealand wanted to be <em>“a force for diplomacy and for dialogue, not for warmongering”</em>.</p>
<p>Clark warns withdrawal of funding from the United Nations, led by the US, is a new threat: <em>“Its humanitarian, development, health, human rights, political and peacekeeping, scientific and cultural arms all face fiscal crises.”</em></p>
<p>David Robie reports on the 40th anniversary commemoration of the 1985 events by Greenpeace, sending the new purpose-built ship, the new <em>Rainbow Warrior</em>, sometimes known as <em><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rainbow_Warrior_(2011)" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Rainbow Warrior III</a></em>, to carry out independent radiation research. He follows up the lives and careers of the crew members and the islanders they worked with, several of whom have passed away.</p>
<p>While the writer’s own message, as in much good journalism, emerges from true handling of the facts, Robie does privilege a quotation from the executive director of Greenpeace Aotearoa, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russel_Norman" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Russel Norman</a>, on the crew of <em>Rainbow Warrior,</em> to close the story:</p>
<blockquote readability="8">
<p><em>“They faced down a nuclear threat to the habitability of the Pacific. Do we have the courage and wits to face down the biodiversity and climate crises facing humanity, crises that threaten the habitability of planet Earth?”</em></p>
</blockquote>
<figure class="wp-caption alignnone"><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">Dr Lee Duffield on board the Rainbow Warrior in Fremantle, WA. Image: Independent Australia</figcaption></figure>
<p><em>Dr Lee Duffield reported on Australia’s dispute with France over atmospheric testing for ABC News in Sydney and then from Paris as the ABC European Correspondent. His work entailed monitoring police actions against Kanak activists in New Caledonia, including the killings on <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ouv%C3%A9a_Island" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Ouvéa Island</a>; confrontations with French Ministers over the test programme; and negotiations between France and New Zealand, in Paris, on Rainbow Warrior, especially the jailing then early release of Dominique Prieur and Alain Mafart. He later taught Journalism at QUT in Brisbane and was a contributor to Pacific Journalism Review. Dr Duffield is also one of the co-owners of Independent Australia, and the chair of its editorial board. This review is republished from the Independent Australia with permission.</em></p>
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		<title>Manipulated media: The weapon of the Right</title>
		<link>https://eveningreport.nz/2025/02/27/manipulated-media-the-weapon-of-the-right/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Asia Pacific Report]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Feb 2025 23:17:15 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[The re-election of Donald Trump is proof that the Right’s most powerful weapon is media manipulation, ensuring the public sphere is not engaged in rational debate, reports the Independent Australia. COMMENTARY: By Victoria Fielding I once heard someone say that when the Left and the Right became polarised — when they divorced from each other ... <a title="Manipulated media: The weapon of the Right" class="read-more" href="https://eveningreport.nz/2025/02/27/manipulated-media-the-weapon-of-the-right/" aria-label="Read more about Manipulated media: The weapon of the Right">Read more</a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>The re-election of Donald Trump is proof that the Right’s most powerful weapon is media manipulation, ensuring the public sphere is not engaged in rational debate, reports the <a href="https://independentaustralia.net/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Independent Australia</a>.<br /></em></p>
<p><strong>COMMENTARY:</strong> <em>By Victoria Fielding</em></p>
<p>I once heard someone say that when the Left and the Right became polarised — when they divorced from each other — the Left got all the institutions of truth including science, education, justice and democratic government.</p>
<p>The Right got the institution of manipulation: the media. This statement hit me for six at the time because it seemed so clearly true.</p>
<p>What was also immediately clear is that there was an obvious reason why the Left sided with the institutions of truth and the Right resorted to manipulation. It is because truth does not suit right-wing arguments.</p>
<p>The existence of climate change does not suit fossil fuel billionaires. Evidence that wealth does not trickle down does not suit the capitalist class. The idea that diversity, equity and inclusion (yes, I put those words in that order on purpose) is better for everyone, rather than a discriminatory, hateful, destructive, divided unequal world is dangerous for the Right to admit.</p>
<p>The Right’s embrace of the media institution also makes sense when you consider that the institutions of truth are difficult to buy, whereas billionaires can easily own manipulative media.</p>
<p>Just ask Elon Musk, who bought Twitter and turned it into a political manipulation machine. Just ask Rupert Murdoch, who is currently <a href="https://www.yahoo.com/news/rupert-murdoch-battle-against-children-003253541.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">engaged</a> in a bitter family war to stop three of his children opposing him and his son Lachlan from using their “news” organisations as a form of political manipulation for right-wing interests.</p>
<p>Right-wingers also know that truthful institutions only have one way of communicating their truths to the public: via the media. Once the media environment is manipulated, we enter a post-truth world.</p>
<p><strong>Experts derided as untrustworthy ‘elitists’</strong><br />This is the world where billionaire fossil fuel interests undermine climate action. It is where scientists create vaccines to save lives but the manipulated public refuses to take them. Where experts are derided as untrustworthy “elitists”.</p>
<p>And it is where the whole idea of democratic government in the US has been overthrown to install an autocratic billionaire-enriching oligarchy led by an incompetent fool who calls himself the King.</p>
<p>Once you recognise this manipulated media environment, you also understand that there is not — and never has been — such as thing as a rational public debate. Those engaged in the institutions of the Left — in science, education, justice and democratic government — seem mostly unwilling to accept this fact.</p>
<p>Instead, they continue to believe if they just keep telling people the truth and communicating what they see as entirely rational arguments, the public will accept what they have to say.</p>
<p>I think part of the reason that the Left refuses to accept that public debate is not rational and rather, is a manipulated bin fire of misleading information, including mis/disinformation and propaganda, is because they are not equipped to compete in this reality. What do those on the Left do with “post-truth”?</p>
<p>They seem to just want to ignore it and hope it goes away.</p>
<p>A perfect example of this misunderstanding of the post-truth world and the manipulated media environment’s impact on the public is <a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10361146.2024.2409093" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">this paper, </a>by political science professors at the Australian National University <a href="https://researchportalplus.anu.edu.au/en/persons/ian-mcallister" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Ian McAllister</a> and <a href="https://researchportalplus.anu.edu.au/en/persons/nicholas-biddle" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Nicholas Biddle</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Stunningly absolutist claim</strong><br />Their research sought to understand why polling at the start of the <em>2023 Indigenous Voice to Parliament <a href="https://www.aec.gov.au/Elections/referendums/2023.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Referendum</a></em> showed widespread public support for the Voice but over the course of the campaign, this support dropped to the point where the Voice was defeated with 60 per cent voting “No” and 40 per cent, “Yes”.</p>
<p>In presenting their study’s findings, the authors make the stunningly absolutist claim that:</p>
<blockquote readability="6">
<p><em>‘…the public’s exposure to all forms of mass media – as we have measured it here – had no impact on the result’.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>A note is then attached to this finding with the caveat:</p>
<blockquote readability="8">
<p><em>‘As noted earlier, given the data at hand we are unable to test the possibility that the content of the media being consumed resulted in a reinforcement of existing beliefs and partisanship rather than a conversion.’</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>This caveat leaves a gaping hole in the finding by failing to account for how media reinforcing existing beliefs is an important media effect – <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1369148118799260" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">as argued by Neil Gavin here</a>. Since it was not measured, how can they possibly say there was no effect?</p>
<p>Furthermore, the very premise of the author’s sweeping statement that media exposure had no impact on the result of the Referendum is based on two naive assumptions:</p>
<ul>
<li>that voters were rational in their deliberations over the Referendum question; and</li>
<li>that the information environment voters were presented with was rational.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Dual assumption of rationality</strong><br />This dual assumption of rationality – one that the authors interestingly admit is an assumption – is evidenced in their hypothesis which states:</p>
<blockquote readability="6">
<p><em>‘Voters who did not follow the campaign in the mass media were more likely to move from a yes to a no vote compared to voters who did follow the campaign in the mass media.’</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>This hypothesis, the authors explain, is premised on the assumption <em>‘that those with less information are more likely to opt for the status quo and cast a no vote’,</em> and therefore that less exposure to media would change a vote from “Yes” to “No”.<a href="https://independentaustralia.net/article-display/how-the-media-failed-australia-in-the-referendum-campaign,17993" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"> </a>What this hypothesis assumes is that if a voter received more rational information in the media about the Referendum, that information would rationally drive their vote in the “Yes” direction. When their data disproved this hypothesis, the authors used this finding to claim that the media had no effect.</p>
<p>To understand the reality of what happened in the Referendum debate, the word “rational” needs to be taken out of the equation and the word “manipulated” put in.</p>
<p>We know, of course, that the Referendum was awash with manipulative information, which all supported the “No” campaign. For example, <a href="https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/news-corp-using-content-for-conservative-political-advocacy,19328" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">my study</a> of News Corp’s Voice coverage — Australia’s largest and most influential news organisation — found that News Corp actively campaigned for the “No” proposition in concert with the “No” campaign, presenting content more like a political campaign than traditional journalism and commentary.</p>
<p>A study by Queensland University of Technology’s <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1329878X241267756" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Tim Graham</a> analysed how the Voice Referendum was discussed on social media platform, X. Far from a rational debate, Graham identified that the “No” campaign and its supporters engaged in a participatory disinformation propaganda campaign, which became a “truth market” about the Voice.</p>
<p><strong>The ‘truth market’</strong><br />This “truth market” was described as drawing “Yes” campaigners into a debate about the truth of the Voice, sidetracking them from promoting their own cause.</p>
<p>What such studies showed was that, far from McAllister and Biddle’s assumed rational information environment, the Voice Referendum public debate was awash with manipulation, propaganda, disinformation and fear-mongering.</p>
<p>The “No” campaign that delivered this manipulation perfectly demonstrates how the Right uses media to undermine institutions of truth, to undermine facts and to undermine the rationality of democratic debates.</p>
<p>The completely unfounded assumption that the more information a voter received about the Voice, the more likely they would vote “Yes”, reveals a misunderstanding of the reality of a manipulated public debate environment present across all types of media, from mainstream news to social media.</p>
<p>It also wrongly treats voters like rational deliberative computers by assuming that the more information that goes in, the more they accept that information. This is far from the reality of how mediated communication affects the public.</p>
<p>The reason the influence of media on individuals and collectives is, in reality, so difficult to measure and should never be bluntly described as having total effect or no effect, is that people are not rational when they consume media, and every individual processes information in their own unique and unconscious ways.</p>
<p>One person can watch a manipulated piece of communication and accept it wholeheartedly, others can accept part of it and others reject it outright.</p>
<p><strong>Manipulation unknown</strong><br />No one piece of information determines how people vote and not every piece of information people consume does either. That’s the point of a manipulated media environment. People who are being manipulated do not know they are being manipulated.</p>
<p>Importantly, when you ask individuals how their media consumption impacted on them, they of course do not know. The decisions people make based on the information they have ephemerally consumed — whether from the media, conversations, or a wide range of other information sources, are incredibly complex and irrational.</p>
<p>Surely the re-election of Donald Trump for a second time, despite all the rational arguments against him, is proof that the manipulated media environment is an incredibly powerful weapon — a weapon the Right, globally, is clearly proficient at wielding.</p>
<p>It is time those on the Left caught up and at least understood the reality they are working in.</p>
<p><em>Dr <a href="http://independentaustralia.net/profile-on/victoria-fielding,261" target="_blank" rel="noopener" rel="nofollow">Victoria Fielding</a> is an Independent Australia columnist. This article was first published by the Independent Australia and is republished with the author’s permission.<strong><br /></strong></em></p>
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<p>Article by <a href="https://www.asiapacificreport.nz/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AsiaPacificReport.nz</a></p>
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